A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
The paper connects higher order risk measures and stochastic dominance, showing their equivalence and integrating them with optimization.
Paper examines risk measure expansions under FGM dependence, improving accuracy at extreme levels.
Investigates a new measure PELVE_n for risk assessment.
New Gini indices capture more nuanced income inequality.
In this article, we study the problem of pricing defaultable bond with discrete default intensity and barrier under constant risk free short rate using higher order binary options and their integrals. In our credit risk model, the risk free short rate is a constant and the default event occurs in an expected manner whe…
BScNets expands graph learning to higher-order interactions.
The aim of this paper is to provide a mathematical contribution on the semi-static hedge of timing risk associated to positions in American-style options under a multi-dimensional market model. Barrier options are considered in the paper and semi-static hedges are studied and discussed for a fairly large class of under…
Study improves BN TTA under distribution shift using higher-order asymptotics.
Paper analyzes how latency affects optimal order execution in markets.
Users form information trails as they browse the web, checkin with a geolocation, rate items, or consume media. A common problem is to predict what a user might do next for the purposes of guidance, recommendation, or prefetching. First-order and higher-order Markov chains have been widely used methods to study such se…
Unified asymptotic treatment for VaR- and expectile-based systemic risk measures.
In this paper, a standard PDE for the pricing of arithmetic average strike Asian call option is presented. A Crank-Nicolson Implicit Method and a Higher Order Compact finite difference scheme for this pricing problem is derived. Both these schemes were implemented for various values of risk free rate and volatility. Th…
We introduce a faithful representation of the heavy tail multivariate distribution of asset returns, as parsimonous as the Gaussian framework. Using calculation techniques of functional integration and Feynman diagrams borrowed from particle physics, we characterize precisely, through its cumulants of high order, the d…
New method improves model risk prediction using cross-audit projection.
A model simulates how different types of traders react to macroeconomic news.
Paper studies optimal investing for retirees with risk constraints.
The paper introduces a new class of multivariate mixtures for actuarial applications.
Based on a faithful representation of the heavy tail multivariate distribution of asset returns introduced previously (Sornette et al., 1998, 1999) that we extend to the case of asymmetric return distributions, we generalize the return-risk efficient frontier concept to incorporate the dimensions of large risks embedde…
Any optimization algorithm based on the risk parity approach requires the formulation of portfolio total risk in terms of marginal contributions. In this paper we use the independence of the underlying factors in the market to derive the centered moments required in the risk decomposition process when the modified vers…
Constructs new elicitable risk measures with multiplicative scoring functions.
Improved estimation of higher order integrals using shrinkage techniques.
We present novel minibatch stochastic optimization methods for empirical risk minimization problems, the methods efficiently leverage variance reduced first-order and sub-sampled higher-order information to accelerate the convergence speed. For quadratic objectives, we prove improved iteration complexity over state-of-…
A statistical functional, such as the mean or the median, is called elicitable if there is a scoring function or loss function such that the correct forecast of the functional is the unique minimizer of the expected score. Such scoring functions are called strictly consistent for the functional. The elicitability of a …
In this article, we consider a 2 factors-model for pricing defaultable bond with discrete default intensity and barrier where the 2 factors are stochastic risk free short rate process and firm value process. We assume that the default event occurs in an expected manner when the firm value reaches a given default barrie…
Financial institutions have to allocate so-called "economic capital" in order to guarantee solvency to their clients and counter parties. Mathematically speaking, any methodology of allocating capital is a "risk measure", i.e. a function mapping random variables to the real numbers. Nowadays "value-at-risk", which is d…
Nonlinear similarity measures defined in kernel space, such as correntropy, can extract higher-order statistics of data and offer potentially significant performance improvement over their linear counterparts especially in non-Gaussian signal processing and machine learning. In this work, we propose a new similarity me…
Currency carry trade is the investment strategy that involves selling low interest rate currencies in order to purchase higher interest rate currencies, thus profiting from the interest rate differentials. This is a well known financial puzzle to explain, since assuming foreign exchange risk is uninhibited and the mark…
HAMD optimizes cubic portfolios without quadratization, achieving better results.
A new game-theoretic approach balances downside risk with expected reward.
New method improves credit risk estimation and pricing.
Digital currencies and cryptocurrencies have hesitantly started to penetrate the investors, and the next step will be the regulatory risk management framework. We examine the Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall properties for the major digital currencies, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, and Ripple. The methodology used i…
Study privacy vs. utility in estimating network parameters with aggregated data.
We propose parametric copulas that capture serial dependence in stationary heteroskedastic time series. We develop our copula for first order Markov series, and extend it to higher orders and multivariate series. We derive the copula of a volatility proxy, based on which we propose new measures of volatility dependence…
Proves lower discount rates are needed for future losses.
A key feature of inductive logic programming (ILP) is its ability to learn first-order programs, which are intrinsically more expressive than propositional programs. In this paper, we introduce techniques to learn higher-order programs. Specifically, we extend meta-interpretive learning (MIL) to support learning higher…
Algorithm tackles large-scale portfolio optimization with higher moments, improving computational efficiency.
For certain classes of knots we define geometric invariants called higher-order genera. Each of these invariants is a refinement of the slice genus of a knot. We find lower bounds for the higher-order genera in terms of certain von Neumann -invariants, which we call higher-order signatures. The higher-order genera o…
A fundamental property of complex networks is the tendency for edges to cluster. The extent of the clustering is typically quantified by the clustering coefficient, which is the probability that a length-2 path is closed, i.e., induces a triangle in the network. However, higher-order cliques beyond triangles are crucia…
Robust MCVaR portfolio optimization using RKHS for risk management.
Stability of capillary hypersurfaces with higher order mean curvature.
Generative model prices options and extracts risk-neutral densities.
Bayesian hypergraph inference models disease pathways from EHR data.
Paper proposes an efficient algorithm to handle high-order portfolio moments.
We use the Frölicher-Nijenhuis formalism to reformulate the inverse problem of the calculus of variations for a system of differential equations of order 2k in terms of a semi-basic 1-form of order k. Within this general context, we use the homogeneity proposed by Crampin and Saunders in [14] to formulate and discuss t…
Hedging methods to mitigate the exposure of variable annuity products to market risks require the calculation of market risk sensitivities (or "Greeks"). The complex, path-dependent nature of these products means these sensitivities typically must be estimated by Monte Carlo simulation. Standard market practice is to m…
Higher order higher spin operators are generalizations of -powers of the Dirac operator. In this paper, we study higher order higher spin operators defined on some conformally flat manifolds, namely cylinders and Hopf manifolds. We will also construct the kernels of these operators on these manifolds.
The paper improves CR Sobolev inequalities and classifies minimizers.
In this study, we tested the interaction effect of multimodal datasets using a novel method called the kernel method for detecting higher order interactions among biologically relevant mulit-view data. Using a semiparametric method on a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS), we used a standard mixed-effects linear mo…