Robustly detects jumps in high-frequency CIR and CKLS models.
problem Jump detection in high-frequency jump-diffusion processes.
method MDPDE-based robust estimators for drift and diffusion coefficients.
result Maximum of normalized residuals converges to Gumbel distribution.
We derive asymptotic expansions for option data to detect infinite variation volatility.
problem Detecting infinite variation volatility in high-frequency option data.
method Nonparametric higher-order asymptotic expansions for small-time changes of characteristic functions of Itô semimartingales.
result Evidence of infinite variation volatility in high-frequency option data.
Study efficient rebalancing strategies for portfolio tracking error.
problem Optimizing portfolio rebalancing under high-frequency asset price models.
method Discrete-time rebalancing strategies derived from continuous model.
result Asymptotically efficient sequence of simple strategies.
The study tackles rough noise in high-frequency financial data using fractional Brownian motion.
problem Impediments to analyzing high-frequency financial data due to noise.
method Assuming an efficient price process as a continuous Itô semimartingale, the study derives consistent estimators and confidence intervals for roughness parameters and volatilities.
result The rough noise model explains divergence rates in volatility signature plots over time and between assets.
High-dimensional inference for sparse spectral precision matrices
problem Inference on the spectral precision matrix at a fixed frequency
method Full likelihood-based inference using neighboring discrete Fourier transforms
result Simultaneous control of regularization, finite-sample truncation, and smoothing biases
Estimates graph process with high-frequency data, proving asymptotic properties.
problem Estimating graph process with high-frequency data.
method Discretized maximum likelihood estimators for GrOU process under high-frequency sampling.
result Asymptotic central limit theorems for estimators under finite and infinite jump activity.
Develops a test to distinguish between standard and rough volatility.
problem Determining whether asset volatility follows a standard semimartingale or a rough process.
method Uses sample autocovariance of high-frequency asset return data to detect negative autocorrelation at high frequencies.
result Evidence of rough volatility in SPY high-frequency data.
In this paper, we provide non-parametric statistical tools to test stationarity of microstructure noise in general hidden Ito semimartingales, and discuss how to measure liquidity risk using high frequency financial data. In particular, we investigate the impact of non-stationary microstructure noise on some volatility…
The paper introduces a new volatility model for state heterogeneous financial markets using high-frequency data.
problem State heterogeneity in financial volatility processes.
method Developed a state heterogeneous GARCH-Ito (SG-Ito) model based on continuous Ito diffusion process.
result Empirical studies reveal various state heterogeneities in S&P 500 index volatility.
New model reduces volatility parameters and complexity.
problem Accurately modeling multivariate volatility with network structure.
method Introduces a new multivariate volatility model using both low and high-frequency data.
result The model significantly reduces parameter count and computational complexity.
The paper introduces a dynamic MVP model using high-frequency financial data.
problem Capturing the dynamics of minimum variance portfolio weights in financial markets.
method Imposes autoregressive structure on MVP processes and uses CLIME and LASSO for estimation.
result Proposes DR-MVP model with established asymptotic properties.
Two econometric models forecast security volatility using various data sources.
problem Forecasting security volatility using low, high, and option data.
method Proposes two GARCH models integrating low, high, and option data.
result GARCH-Itô-OI and GARCH-Itô-IV models outperform other models in 5-minute high-frequency data.
Method detects jumps in high-frequency order prices using local minima.
problem Detecting jumps in high-frequency order prices with noisy data.
method Developed methods to estimate, locate and test for jumps using local minima of best ask quotes.
result Consistently estimated jump sizes and times, established asymptotic properties of tests, and demonstrated faster convergence rates.
Paper develops new spot regression estimators using candlesticks for asset pricing.
problem Estimation of spot betas in asset pricing and risk management.
method Develops a new estimation and inference framework for spot regressions using high-frequency candlesticks.
result The proposed candlestick-based estimators reduce estimation risk and achieve higher power in hypothesis testing.
This paper shows a buy-and-hold strategy is asymptotically log-optimal for a market with a dominant asset.
problem Finding a safe and optimal investment strategy in a market with a dominant asset.
method Investment strategy based on the dominant asset and buy-and-hold approach.
result Buy-and-hold strategy on the dominant asset is asymptotically log-optimal with a sublinear rate of convergence.
Study on frequencies of non-simple curves in surfaces of large genus.
problem Frequency of non-simple curves in surfaces of large genus.
method Expression for frequency, large genus asymptotics, comparison with previous work.
result Identify most common types of non-simple curves with K intersections.
Study improves Cox model for predicting stock trading signs using Japanese market data.
problem Improving Cox model for predicting stock trading signs using Japanese market data.
method Added new covariates and used high-frequency trading data for 222 Nikkei 225 stocks.
result Cox-type model performs well in Japanese market and identifies key factors for accurate estimation.
Modeling high-frequency speculative markets as auction search processes.
problem Understanding trading dynamics in high-frequency order-driven markets.
method Total order book model with diffusion-drift-reaction model, inspired by foraging and chemotaxis.
result Analytic and numerical analysis of trading performance in various search mechanisms.
This work proves convergence of adaptive resampling for random Fourier features.
problem Sampling Fourier frequencies well for high-dimensional data.
method Data adaptive resampling of Fourier frequencies, asymptotically optimal.
result Proves convergence of adaptive resampling method for regression and classification problems.
Log-normal continuous random cascades form a class of multifractal processes that has already been successfully used in various fields. Several statistical issues related to this model are studied. We first make a quick but extensive review of their main properties and show that most of these properties can be analytic…
Bayesian method corrects misspecified volatility estimation in high-frequency financial data.
problem Volatility estimation in financial data with infinite jump activity and microstructure noise.
method Proposes a misspecified posterior corrected by a simple estimate of the location shift and re-scaling of the log likelihood.
result Establishes a Bernstein-von Mises theorem for the adjusted posterior, showing asymptotic Gaussianity and consistent estimation.
High-frequency data cointegration framework developed with rigorous theory and tests.
problem Cointegration in high-frequency data with jumps and infinite activity.
method Regression-based estimation method and Dickey-Fuller type residual tests.
result Consistent and asymptotic limit theory for cointegration tests.
New measures detect asymmetries, non-linearity in stock returns.
problem Detecting asymmetries and non-linearity in stock returns.
method Proposed non-linear, local, invariant dependence measures; nonparametric estimator proven.
result Measures show tail asymmetry, non-linearity, risk buildup during market distress.
Proposes overnight volatility model for better market dynamics.
problem Lack of high-frequency data during close-to-open period.
method Itô diffusion model with weighted least squares estimation.
result Developed and validated overnight volatility model.
The basic model for high-frequency data in finance is considered, where an efficient price process is observed under microstructure noise. It is shown that this nonparametric model is in Le Cam's sense asymptotically equivalent to a Gaussian shift experiment in terms of the square root of the volatility function σ. A…
Study uses multi-kernel Hawkes models to analyze high-frequency price dynamics.
problem Understanding responsive speeds of market participants in high-frequency trading.
method Multi-kernel Hawkes models with conditional Hessian analysis for optimization.
result Existence of multi-kernels (UHF, VHF, HF) in high-frequency price dynamics.
We build an agent-based model to study how the interplay between low- and high-frequency trading affects asset price dynamics. Our main goal is to investigate whether high-frequency trading exacerbates market volatility and generates flash crashes. In the model, low-frequency agents adopt trading rules based on chronol…
We continue the study of the operator of generalized Maxwell equations and completely discover the behavior of the solutions of the time-harmonic equations as the frequency tends to zero. Thereby, we identify degenerate operators in terms of special 'polynomially growing' solutions of a corresponding static problem, wh…
Estimates volatility of volatility and leverage effect using high-frequency options data.
problem Estimating volatility of volatility and leverage effect from high-frequency options data.
method Model-free estimators using characteristic function of price increments and spot volatility.
result Developed feasible inference methods for estimating volatility of volatility and leverage effect.
Local convolutions bias neural networks towards high-frequency adversarial examples.
problem High-frequency adversarial examples in neural networks.
method Analysis of different linear and nonlinear architectures, focusing on the impact of local convolution operations.
result Local convolutions induce an implicit bias towards high frequency features, leading to high-frequency adversarial examples.
Study describes frequencies of geodesics on hyperbolic surfaces as genus grows.
problem Large genus asymptotic behaviors of geodesic frequencies on hyperbolic surfaces.
method Proof of conjecture involving separating and nonseparating geodesics.
result Explicit function $f( rac{n}{g})$ for frequency ratio given.
Paper develops a new estimator for rough volatility parameters.
problem Estimating rough volatility parameters from high-frequency data.
method Develops a semiparametric estimator for H in rough volatility models. result The estimator achieves optimal convergence rate in minimax sense.
New Fourier-based diffusion model improves high-frequency generation quality.
problem Diffusion models struggle with high-frequency details.
method Analyzed and modified the forward process in Fourier space to equalize noise corruption across frequencies.
result Improved generation quality for high-frequency components.
Paper proposes using online text data to predict CPI with LLMs.
problem Forecasting Consumer Price Index (CPI) using low-frequency survey-based data.
method Develops an LLM-based approach combining online text time series with monthly CPI data.
result Establishes the asymptotic properties and provides prediction intervals for CPI forecasts.
A new method learns high-frequency components for better image reconstruction.
problem Efficiently reconstructing feature details in under-sampled imaging.
method Proposes HF-DAEP, a denoising autoencoder using multi-profile high-frequency components.
result Demonstrates improved reconstruction of feature details in MRI and CT.
Stochastic methods improve data assimilation with high-frequency sensor data.
problem Computational challenges in data assimilation with high-frequency sensor data.
method Adapted stochastic approximation methods to handle high-frequency observations.
result Produces high-quality estimates using all observations without compromising statistical accuracy.
PhaseDNN speeds up learning of high-dimensional functions across wide frequencies.
problem Training high-dimensional functions at wide frequencies is slow and inefficient.
method Parallel DNNs with frequency-specific training and phase shifts.
result PhaseDNN achieves uniform learning across wide frequencies.
A new neural network separates singing voices more effectively.
problem Separating singing voices from mixed signals with high accuracy.
method MBR-FCN that processes different frequency bands with varying resolutions and filters.
result The MBR-FCN achieves better performance with fewer parameters.
The study examines Bergman kernels on complex manifolds with boundary and their asymptotic expansions.
problem Analyzing Bergman kernels on complex manifolds with boundary and their asymptotic behavior.
method Establishing asymptotic expansions of partial Bergman kernels for high-frequency Fourier modes on R-symmetric complex manifolds with boundary. result Established R-equivariant extension results for biholomorphic maps between weakly pseudoconvex domains. In high-frequency financial data not only returns, but also waiting times between consecutive trades are random variables. Therefore, it is possible to apply continuous-time random walks (CTRWs) as phenomenological models of the high-frequency price dynamics. An empirical analysis performed on the 30 DJIA stocks shows …
In high-frequency financial data not only returns, but also waiting times between consecutive trades are random variables. Therefore, it is possible to apply continuous-time random walks (CTRWs) as phenomenological models of the high-frequency price dynamics. An empirical analysis performed on the 30 DJIA stocks shows …
Unified asymptotic theory and tests for ACD models reveal infinite-mean durations in cryptocurrency trading.
problem Challenges in asymptotic theory for ACD models, especially for integrated ACD.
method Unified asymptotic theory for quasi-maximum likelihood estimator, hypothesis testing framework.
result Infinite-mean durations in cryptocurrency trading, rejected integrated ACD hypothesis.
When estimating high-frequency covariance (quadratic covariation) of two arbitrary assets observed asynchronously, simple assumptions, such as independence, are usually imposed on the relationship between the prices process and the observation times. In this paper, we introduce a general endogenous two-dimensional nonp…
Study on Volterra Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process, proving asymptotic independence and ergodicity.
problem Analyzing the Volterra Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process and its properties.
method Fine asymptotic analysis of Volterra Riccati equation, affine transformation formula.
result Proves asymptotic independence and ergodicity of the process.
This paper investigates a financial market where returns depend on an unobservable Gaussian drift process. While the observation of returns yields information about the underlying drift, we also incorporate discrete-time expert opinions as an external source of information. For estimating the hidden drift it is crucial…
Paper develops a new estimator for high-dimensional panel data with common shocks.
problem Cross-sectionally dependent errors driven by common shocks in high-dimensional panel data.
method Factor-augmented sparse-group LASSO estimator combining MIDAS aggregation with latent factors.
result The estimator outperforms standard LASSO for prediction and estimation in settings with cross-sectional dependence.
Proposes MscaleDNN for solving high-dimensional PDEs efficiently.
problem Solving high-dimensional PDEs efficiently.
method Radial scaling in frequency domain and compact support activation functions.
result Increased power in multi-scale resolution and high frequency capturing.
Addressing the ongoing examination of high-frequency trading practices in financial markets, we report the results of an extensive empirical study estimating the maximum possible profitability of the most aggressive such practices, and arrive at figures that are surprisingly modest. By "aggressive" we mean any trading …