A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Two new estimators improve VAE training for hierarchical and prior parameters.
A method for efficient CV estimates in Bayesian hierarchical models.
Paper analyzes consistency of Bayesian and machine learning methods for hierarchical parameter estimation.
Researchers develop methods for inference in hierarchical models using neural simulations.
HNPE uses auxiliary data to estimate parameters in uncertain models.
A new method for linear regression using feature graphs and hierarchical shrinkage.
The paper develops a decision support system for hierarchical text classification of conference proceedings.
A new method for efficient BNC parameter estimation outperforms HDP smoothing.
In many hierarchical inverse problems, not only do we want to estimate high- or infinite-dimensional model parameters in the parameter-to-observable maps, but we also have to estimate hyperparameters that represent critical assumptions in the statistical and mathematical modeling processes. As a joint effect of high-di…
New MMM captures hierarchical marketing effects and sign restrictions.
Method solves learning problem with hierarchical control objectives.
This paper introduces a novel parameter estimation method for the probability tables of Bayesian network classifiers (BNCs), using hierarchical Dirichlet processes (HDPs). The main result of this paper is to show that improved parameter estimation allows BNCs to outperform leading learning methods such as Random Forest…
We compare various extensions of the Bradley-Terry model and a hierarchical Poisson log-linear model in terms of their performance in predicting the outcome of soccer matches (win, draw, or loss). The parameters of the Bradley-Terry extensions are estimated by maximizing the log-likelihood, or an appropriately penalize…
In many signal processing problems, it may be fruitful to represent the signal under study in a frame. If a probabilistic approach is adopted, it becomes then necessary to estimate the hyper-parameters characterizing the probability distribution of the frame coefficients. This problem is difficult since in general the …
Existing methods for sparse channel estimation typically provide an estimate computed as the solution maximizing an objective function defined as the sum of the log-likelihood function and a penalization term proportional to the l1-norm of the parameter of interest. However, other penalization terms have proven to have…
Distance-based hierarchical clustering (HC) methods are widely used in unsupervised data analysis but few authors take account of uncertainty in the distance data. We incorporate a statistical model of the uncertainty through corruption or noise in the pairwise distances and investigate the problem of estimating the HC…
New method uses dendrograms for better mixture model selection and clustering.
Algorithm refines matrix ratings using hierarchical graph clustering.
Paper proposes a Renyi entropy-based method for tuning hierarchical topic models.
We define a family of kernels for mixed continuous/discrete hierarchical parameter spaces and show that they are positive definite.
New Bayesian method for joint sparse parameter inference.
We propose a novel approach for nonlinear regression using a two-layer neural network (NN) model structure with sparsity-favoring hierarchical priors on the network weights. We present an expectation propagation (EP) approach for approximate integration over the posterior distribution of the weights, the hierarchical s…
Learning an optimal policy from a multi-modal reward function is a challenging problem in reinforcement learning (RL). Hierarchical RL (HRL) tackles this problem by learning a hierarchical policy, where multiple option policies are in charge of different strategies corresponding to modes of a reward function and a gati…
We consider discrete graphical models Markov with respect to a graph and propose two distributed marginal methods to estimate the maximum likelihood estimate of the canonical parameter of the model. Both methods are based on a relaxation of the marginal likelihood obtained by considering the density of the variable…
Hierarchical Latent Attribute Models (HLAMs) are a family of discrete latent variable models that are attracting increasing attention in educational, psychological, and behavioral sciences. The key ingredients of an HLAM include a binary structural matrix and a directed acyclic graph specifying hierarchical constraints…
Paper proposes a GPU-based system for training massive deep learning models in ads systems.
We present a novel approach for estimating conditional probability tables, based on a joint, rather than independent, estimate of the conditional distributions belonging to the same table. We derive exact analytical expressions for the estimators and we analyse their properties both analytically and via simulation. We …
Tree structured graphical models are powerful at expressing long range or hierarchical dependency among many variables, and have been widely applied in different areas of computer science and statistics. However, existing methods for parameter estimation, inference, and structure learning mainly rely on the Gaussian or…
HCL learns shared and modality-specific latent representations for multimodal data.
Deep learning method for comparing hierarchical models.
Hierarchical latent tree analysis (HLTA) is recently proposed as a new method for topic detection. It differs fundamentally from the LDA-based methods in terms of topic definition, topic-document relationship, and learning method. It has been shown to discover significantly more coherent topics and better topic hierarc…
Due to the escalating growth of big data sets in recent years, new Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) parallel computing methods have been developed. These methods partition large data sets by observations into subsets. However, for Bayesian nested hierarchical models, typically only a few parameters are common f…
We investigate the choice of tuning parameters for a Bayesian multi-level group lasso model developed for the joint analysis of neuroimaging and genetic data. The regression model we consider relates multivariate phenotypes consisting of brain summary measures (volumetric and cortical thickness values) to single nucleo…
Hierarchical parametric models consisting of observable and latent variables are widely used for unsupervised learning tasks. For example, a mixture model is a representative hierarchical model for clustering. From the statistical point of view, the models can be regular or singular due to the distribution of data. In …
Bayesian model reduces TV watching data to 11 parameters for churn prediction.
Log-linear models are the popular workhorses of analyzing contingency tables. A log-linear parameterization of an interaction model can be more expressive than a direct parameterization based on probabilities, leading to a powerful way of defining restrictions derived from marginal, conditional and context-specific ind…
Proves EM algorithm guarantees for hierarchical imitation learning.
Unified Bayesian framework for PTA data analysis tackles hierarchical model issues.
The rough Bergomi (rBergomi) model, introduced recently in [5], is a promising rough volatility model in quantitative finance. It is a parsimonious model depending on only three parameters, and yet remarkably fits with empirical implied volatility surfaces. In the absence of analytical European option pricing methods f…
We propose an algorithm, HPREF (Hierarchical Partitioning by Repeated Features), that produces a hierarchical partition of a set of clusterings of a fixed dataset, such as sets of clusterings produced by running a clustering algorithm with a range of parameters. This gives geometric structure to such sets of clustering…
New hierarchical model improves on standard practice for high-dimensional data.
We propose a robust, scalable, integrated methodology for community detection and community comparison in graphs. In our procedure, we first embed a graph into an appropriate Euclidean space to obtain a low-dimensional representation, and then cluster the vertices into communities. We next employ nonparametric graph in…
Improved deep hierarchical VAE with diffusion-based VampPrior.
New method estimates SDE parameters efficiently using WCE and SGD.
Bayesian models use hyperparameters to indirectly assign priors, and this work shows how these priors can be derived from maximum entropy principles.
Piecewise constant denoising can be solved either by deterministic optimization approaches, based on the Potts model, or by stochastic Bayesian procedures. The former lead to low computational time but require the selection of a regularization parameter, whose value significantly impacts the achieved solution, and whos…
BOSH optimizes functions with stochastic evaluations more efficiently and precisely.
Hierarchical models are versatile tools for joint modeling of data sets arising from different, but related, sources. Fully Bayesian inference may, however, become computationally prohibitive if the source-specific data models are complex, or if the number of sources is very large. To facilitate computation, we propose…