Tree-based variational inference improves PLN model for hierarchical count data.
problem Limited applicability of PLN model in ecosystems due to lack of hierarchical tree structures.
method Introduced PLN-Tree model integrating structured variational inference techniques.
result Enhanced generative improvements and practical interpretability in microbiome modeling.
The paper proposes count echo state networks for forecasting graduate student enrollments.
problem Forecasting graduate student enrollments from historical data.
method Developed hierarchical count echo state networks and compared them to Poisson autoregressions and negative binomial models.
result Hierarchical negative binomial based echo state network is the superior model.
Bayesian models forecast COVID-19 hospitalizations at single sites.
problem Forecasting daily COVID-19 hospitalizations at a single hospital.
method Hierarchical Bayesian models with generalized Poisson likelihood and autoregressive/Gaussian process latent processes.
result Demonstrated superior performance compared to baselines in public datasets.
We develop deep Poisson-gamma dynamical systems (DPGDS) to model sequentially observed multivariate count data, improving previously proposed models by not only mining deep hierarchical latent structure from the data, but also capturing both first-order and long-range temporal dependencies. Using sophisticated but simp…
PHIBP models complex microbiome data with shared parameters.
problem Complex, sparse count data in microbiome analysis.
method Bayesian nonparametric framework with shared species parameters.
result Flexible multivariate count model with tractable inference.
We analyze large, multi-dimensional, sparse counting data sets, finding unsupervised groups to provide unique insights into genetic data. We create gene and biological pathway groups based on patients' variants to find common risk factors for four common types of cancer (breast, lung, prostate, and colorectal) and auti…
Hierarchical beta process has found interesting applications in recent years. In this paper we present a modified hierarchical beta process prior with applications to hierarchical modeling of multiple data sources. The novel use of the prior over a hierarchical factor model allows factors to be shared across different …
Proposes a new DNN framework for count data with high-cardinality features.
problem Real-world data often have correlations and high-cardinality categorical features that traditional DNNs overlook.
method Introduces a hierarchical likelihood learning framework with gamma random effects for Poisson DNNs.
result Improves prediction performance by capturing nonlinear effects and subject-specific cluster effects.
The study shows pseudo-Anosovs are common in mapping class groups.
problem Counting pseudo-Anosovs in mapping class groups.
method Using weakly contracting isometries and Morse elements.
result Pseudo-Anosovs are generic in mapping class groups.
Time series of counts arise in a variety of forecasting applications, for which traditional models are generally inappropriate. This paper introduces a hierarchical Bayesian formulation applicable to count time series that can easily account for explanatory variables and share statistical strength across groups of rela…
The counting grid is a grid of microtopics, sparse word/feature distributions. The generative model associated with the grid does not use these microtopics individually. Rather, it groups them in overlapping rectangular windows and uses these grouped microtopics as either mixture or admixture components. This paper bui…
Study identifies contagion in aggregated defaults despite environmental changes.
problem Identify contagion in aggregated default counts with fluctuating probabilities.
method Compare three contagion mechanisms (Davis-Lo, Torri, Vasicek) under i.i.d. and hierarchical specifications.
result Threshold contagion is largely absorbed into environmental heterogeneity, while cumulative contagion leaves a persistent signature.
Precision medicine aims for personalized prognosis and therapeutics by utilizing recent genome-scale high-throughput profiling techniques, including next-generation sequencing (NGS). However, translating NGS data faces several challenges. First, NGS count data are often overdispersed, requiring appropriate modeling. Se…
Bayesian model tackles spatial count data issues with flexible non-parametric techniques.
problem Challenges in traditional parametric models for spatial count data with unbalanced distributions and complex dependencies.
method Bayesian semi-parametric spatial dispersed count model combining non-parametric techniques and adapted count models.
result Demonstrates superior performance in managing dispersion and capturing intricate spatial patterns.
Accurate statistical models of neural spike responses can characterize the information carried by neural populations. But the limited samples of spike counts during recording usually result in model overfitting. Besides, current models assume spike counts to be Poisson-distributed, which ignores the fact that many neur…
PHIBP predicts infectious disease outbreaks in sparse data regions.
problem Predicting outbreaks in regions with no historical data.
method Poisson Hierarchical Indian Buffet Process (PHIBP) framework.
result PHIBP provides accurate outbreak predictions and meaningful insights in sparse data settings.
We develop correlated random measures, random measures where the atom weights can exhibit a flexible pattern of dependence, and use them to develop powerful hierarchical Bayesian nonparametric models. Hierarchical Bayesian nonparametric models are usually built from completely random measures, a Poisson-process based c…
A simple guide to understanding hierarchical causality in complex systems.
problem Understanding hierarchical causality in complex systems.
method Formalizing hierarchical causality in terms of actors and agents, with three key structures.
result The system requires three additional structures: causation classes, aggregation operators, and discrete event-time maps.
New method improves uncertainty calibration in deep learning.
problem Systematic overconfidence in EDL on out-of-distribution inputs.
method Density-Informed Pseudo-count EDL (DIP-EDL) separates class prediction from uncertainty.
result DIP-EDL achieves asymptotic concentration and enhances robustness and uncertainty calibration.
In record linkage (RL), or exact file matching, the goal is to identify the links between entities with information on two or more files. RL is an important activity in areas including counting the population, enhancing survey frames and data, and conducting epidemiological and follow-up studies. RL is challenging when…
The seemingly disjoint problems of count and mixture modeling are united under the negative binomial (NB) process. A gamma process is employed to model the rate measure of a Poisson process, whose normalization provides a random probability measure for mixture modeling and whose marginalization leads to an NB process f…
We present a novel method for exact hierarchical sparse polynomial regression. Our regressor is that degree r polynomial which depends on at most k inputs, counting at most ℓ monomial terms, which minimizes the sum of the squares of its prediction errors. The previous hierarchical sparse specification aligns w…
A beta-negative binomial (BNB) process is proposed, leading to a beta-gamma-Poisson process, which may be viewed as a "multi-scoop" generalization of the beta-Bernoulli process. The BNB process is augmented into a beta-gamma-gamma-Poisson hierarchical structure, and applied as a nonparametric Bayesian prior for an infi…
New approach reduces particle simulation complexity to linear time and space.
problem Challenges in learning dynamics from particle interactions, especially N-body problems.
method Transforms fully-connected interaction graphs into hierarchical ones, reducing complexity.
result Linear time and space complexity for large-scale simulations, retaining high accuracy.
The paper reviews and extends calibration concepts for classification and regression.
problem Formalizing compatibility between probabilistic predictions and outcomes.
method Review and extension of existing calibration concepts, introduction of new concepts.
result Hierarchical relations between calibration concepts for various data types.
Next-generation sequencing technologies provide a revolutionary tool for generating gene expression data. Starting with a fixed RNA sample, they construct a library of millions of differentially abundant short sequence tags or "reads", which constitute a fundamentally discrete measure of the level of gene expression. A…
By developing data augmentation methods unique to the negative binomial (NB) distribution, we unite seemingly disjoint count and mixture models under the NB process framework. We develop fundamental properties of the models and derive efficient Gibbs sampling inference. We show that the gamma-NB process can be reduced …
FOSC-X: An extended framework for extracting multiple optimal flat clusterings from hierarchical cluster trees
problem Extracting multiple optimal flat clusterings from hierarchical cluster trees
method Dynamic programming with lower and upper feasibility bounds
result Guaranteed optimal rankings of top-M solutions with linear-time complexity
A deep probabilistic model analyzes DNA-encoded library data for efficient screening.
problem Complex data from DNA-encoded library experiments mask underlying signals.
method Compositional deep probabilistic model of DEL data, modeling latent reactions between synthons.
result DEL-Compose model demonstrates strong performance and valuable insights.
Bayesian deep learning counts crowds robustly despite occlusions and scale variations.
problem Accurately counting individuals in crowded scenes with occlusions and varying sizes.
method Proposes a Bayesian multi-scale neural network with a ResNet feature extractor, dilated convolutions, and a Perspective-aware Aggregation Module.
result Achieves superior performance on crowd counting benchmarks with uncertainty estimates.
Proposes a hierarchical model for learning discrete Bayesian networks with shrinkage.
problem Learning discrete Bayesian networks with high-order interactions and cell probabilities.
method Hierarchical Dirichlet shrinkage model with Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithm for sampling.
result Efficiently learns graph structure and selects between DAGs from sparse count data.
Bluetooth data predicts depression severity, showing 18.8% extra variance.
problem Predicting depressive symptom severity using Bluetooth data.
method Extracted 49 Bluetooth features from NBDC data, used linear mixed-effect and hierarchical Bayesian linear regression models.
result Hierarchical Bayesian model achieved best prediction metrics (R2=0.526, RMSE=3.891).
Recurrent-DBN models dynamic relational data with interpretable latent structures.
problem Interpreting dynamic relational data with hidden structures.
method Recurrent Dirichlet Belief Network framework with hierarchical latent structures and efficient inference strategy.
result Recurrent-DBN discovers interpretable latent structures and improves link prediction.
Bayesian model reduces TV watching data to 11 parameters for churn prediction.
problem Predicting customer churn in telecommunications with high-dimensional data.
method Bayesian hierarchical joint model for time-to-event and count data.
result Model reduces data from thousands to 11 customer-level parameter estimates.
Flow Matching for count data improves sample quality and efficiency.
problem Mapping between count distributions across batches or time points in high-dimensional count data.
method count-FM, a flow-matching framework based on a continuous-time birth-death process with local unit jumps.
result count-FM achieves better sample quality than representative baselines while using fewer parameters.
Algorithm identifies best item from subsets with random utility model feedback.
problem PAC learning the best item from subsets with random utility model feedback.
method Pairwise relative counts and hierarchical elimination for learning algorithm.
result Near-optimal PAC sample complexity guarantee for identifying ε-optimal item.
The abstract reviews models for analyzing count data.
problem Challenges in analyzing count data with standard methods.
method Review of generalized linear models and multinomial models.
result Fundamental connections between multinomial and count models.
Proposes a robust EM algorithm for analyzing incomplete panel count data.
problem Missing reports in panel count data.
method Functional EM algorithm for non-parametric counting process mean function estimation.
result Robust to misspecification of Poisson process assumption and missing completely at random.
Deep networks learn sparse hierarchical features without CoD.
problem Overparameterized deep networks struggle with the curse of dimensionality.
method Norm-constrained neural networks for sparse compositional functions.
result Deep networks can learn sparse hierarchical features efficiently.
Nested Chinese Restaurant Process (nCRP) topic models are powerful nonparametric Bayesian methods to extract a topic hierarchy from a given text corpus, where the hierarchical structure is automatically determined by the data. Hierarchical Latent Dirichlet Allocation (hLDA) is a popular instance of nCRP topic models. H…
Proposes a new algorithm for efficient probabilistic reconciliation of forecasts.
problem Ensuring coherence in forecasts for hierarchical time series.
method Bottom-Up Importance Sampling algorithm for any type of forecast distribution.
result Significant improvement over base probabilistic forecasts in experiments.
p-SNE embeds Poisson count data into low dimensions preserving structure.
problem Embedding high-dimensional sparse Poisson data into a low-dimensional space.
method p-SNE (Poisson Stochastic Neighbor Embedding) using KL divergence and Hellinger distance.
result p-SNE recovers meaningful structure in real-world count datasets.
Novel Bayesian method for high-dimensional count data prediction.
problem Count data in high-dimensional settings requires feature selection.
method Pseudo-Bayesian framework with scaled Student prior and exponential weights.
result Strong performance compared to Lasso in various settings.
Quantum theory improves counting overlapping clusters.
problem Counting overlapping clusters in machine learning.
method Applied quantum theory using path integral technique.
result Quantum theory provides a robust statistical method for counting clusters.
Better neural arithmetic logic units improve cell counting model generalization.
problem Neural networks struggle with high cell counts outside training data range.
method Introduced Neural Arithmetic Logic Units (NALU) for arithmetic operations in existing architectures.
result Improved cell counting accuracy for higher numeric ranges with better generalization.
The paper improves count data regression models for overdispersed data.
problem Improving regression models for overdispersed count data.
method Double ℓ1-regularized negative binomial regressions. result Oracle inequalities and consistency for Lasso estimators of partial regression coefficients.
Generative model identifies temporal count data components with regime-dependent contributions.
problem Modeling temporal count data with regime-dependent dynamics.
method Generative framework combining regime-adaptive dynamics with Poisson log-normal emissions.
result Established identifiability of the model and revealed co-variation patterns and regime shifts.
Hierarchical causal models help understand cause and effect in nested data.
problem Learning cause and effect from nested hierarchical data.
method Extend structural causal models and causal graphical models with inner plates, develop graphical identification technique and estimation methods.
result Hierarchical data can enable causal identification even when non-hierarchical data cannot.