We provide an efficient algorithm for the classical problem, going back to Galton, Pearson, and Fisher, of estimating, with arbitrary accuracy the parameters of a multivariate normal distribution from truncated samples. Truncated samples from a -variate normal means a samples is only re…
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
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The paper improves asset allocation using a skew-normal distribution in the Black-Litterman model.
We present a probabilistic framework for nonlinearities, based on doubly truncated Gaussian distributions. By setting the truncation points appropriately, we are able to generate various types of nonlinearities within a unified framework, including sigmoid, tanh and ReLU, the most commonly used nonlinearities in neural…
Faster diffusion-based models generate data with fewer steps.
RTRL optimizes long sequences without truncation, converging to loss minima.
We study inference and learning based on a sparse coding model with `spike-and-slab' prior. As in standard sparse coding, the model used assumes independent latent sources that linearly combine to generate data points. However, instead of using a standard sparse prior such as a Laplace distribution, we study the applic…
Study evaluates initialization strategies for infinite hidden Markov models.
UDN adapts depth to data complexity, outperforming standard neural networks.
In this letter we borrow from the inference techniques developed for unbounded state-cardinality (nonparametric) variants of the HMM and use them to develop a tuning-parameter free, black-box inference procedure for Explicit-state-duration hidden Markov models (EDHMM). EDHMMs are HMMs that have latent states consisting…
The paper constructs minimizers for deep learning networks and analyzes their geometric structure.
Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) are widely used for statistical modeling, because of ease of inference and the ubiquitous use of the normal distribution in practical approximations. However, they are also known for their limited modeling abilities, due to the Gaussian assumption. In this paper, we introduce a novel va…
A new method reduces variance in PG methods for RL, improving efficiency and convergence.
A new framework predicts hidden Markov model regimes online.
Paper proposes a new model for imputing missing spatiotemporal traffic data.
Functional connectivity refers to the temporal statistical relationship between spatially distinct brain regions and is usually inferred from the time series coherence/correlation in brain activity between regions of interest. In human functional brain networks, the network structure is often inferred from functional m…
The problem of an arbitrary truncated Levy flight description using the method of cumulant approach has been solved. The set of cumulants of the truncated Levy distribution given the assumption of arbitrary truncation has been found. The influence of truncation shape on the truncated Levy flight properties in the Gauss…
Efficiently estimate Boolean product distribution parameters from truncated samples.
In the paper "On Truncated Variation of Brownian Motion with Drift" (Bull. Pol. Acad. Sci. Math. 56 (2008), no.4, 267 - 281) we defined truncated variation of Brownian motion with drift, where is a standard Brownian motion. Truncated variation differs from regular variation by neglect…
Optimal algorithm learns Gaussian under halfspace truncation with minimal samples.
New method for constructing truncated vine copulas.
Non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) minimizes the Euclidean distance between the data matrix and its low rank approximation, and it fails when applied to corrupted data because the loss function is sensitive to outliers. In this paper, we propose a Truncated CauchyNMF loss that handle outliers by truncating large e…
Genetic sequence data are well described by hidden Markov models (HMMs) in which latent states correspond to clusters of similar mutation patterns. Theory from statistical genetics suggests that these HMMs are nonhomogeneous (their transition probabilities vary along the chromosome) and have large support for self tran…
Paper proposes approximate Stein classes for efficient truncated density estimation.
Paper defines new risk measures for elliptical distributions.
New DP framework using data truncation for efficient estimation.
Unified framework for mean testing under truncation bias.
Score matching method improves density estimation for truncated data on manifolds.
Deep learning methods have recently achieved great empirical success on machine translation, dialogue response generation, summarization, and other text generation tasks. At a high level, the technique has been to train end-to-end neural network models consisting of an encoder model to produce a hidden representation o…
Truncated backpropagation through time (TBPTT) is a popular method for learning in recurrent neural networks (RNNs) that saves computation and memory at the cost of bias by truncating backpropagation after a fixed number of lags. In practice, choosing the optimal truncation length is difficult: TBPTT will not converge …
Truncated densities are probability density functions defined on truncated domains. They share the same parametric form with their non-truncated counterparts up to a normalizing constant. Since the computation of their normalizing constants is usually infeasible, Maximum Likelihood Estimation cannot be easily applied t…
The method approximates stationary distributions of Markov models by truncating irrelevant states.
Paper tackles overestimation bias in continuous control, improving performance by 25%.
We consider an appoximation of a catenoid constructed from "odd" truncated cones that maintains minimality in a certain sense. Thorough this procedure, we obtain a discrete curve approximating a catenary by exploiting the fact that it is the function that generates a catenoid. In this investigation, the theory of the G…
Estimates domain truncation error for option pricing PDEs.
Choppy optimizes ranked list truncation using Transformer architecture.
We solve for functions from their truncated Hilbert transforms using Chebyshev series.
New COS method formula improves option pricing accuracy.
The generalized correlation approach, which has been successfully used in statistical radio physics to describe non-Gaussian random processes, is proposed to describe stochastic financial processes. The generalized correlation approach has been used to describe a non-Gaussian random walk with independent, identically d…
Lower bound shows super-polynomial gap for estimating truncated Gaussian means.
As in standard linear regression, in truncated linear regression, we are given access to observations whose dependent variable equals , where is some fixed unknown vector of interest and is independent noise; except we are only given an observation if its dep…
The paper analyzes and mitigates biases in scalable Gaussian Process methods.
We show that generalised geometry gives a unified description of maximally supersymmetric consistent truncations of ten- and eleven-dimensional supergravity. In all cases the reduction manifold admits a "generalised parallelisation" with a frame algebra with constant coefficients. The consistent truncation then arises …
Proposes a method to handle sparse multiway count data with false zeros using zero-truncated Poisson regression.
Adaptive Nucleus Truncation Improves Long-Form Reasoning
The paper studies deformation spaces of Coxeter truncation polytopes.
Estimates inverse temperature of Ising models with a single sample.
The paper connects quantum -symbols to tetrahedra volumes via discrete Fourier transforms.
Typically, operational risk losses are reported above some threshold. This paper studies the impact of ignoring data truncation on the 0.999 quantile of the annual loss distribution for operational risk for a broad range of distribution parameters and truncation levels. Loss frequency and severity are modelled by the P…