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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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306191121 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for hidden biases

Study evaluates bias mitigation methods in deep learning, finds they often exploit hidden biases.

problem Deep learning systems learn biases, affecting performance on minority groups.
method Improved evaluation protocol, new dataset, robustness across different tuning distributions.
result Bias mitigation methods often exploit hidden biases, are not robust to multiple forms of bias, and are sensitive to tuning set choice.

Regularized training of an autoencoder typically results in hidden unit biases that take on large negative values. We show that negative biases are a natural result of using a hidden layer whose responsibility is to both represent the input data and act as a selection mechanism that ensures sparsity of the representati…

2014-02-13abs ↗pdf ↗

New benchmark uncovers hidden biases in LLMs that refuse to answer certain queries.

problem Evaluating fairness in LLMs, especially in sensitive applications.
method Silenced Bias Benchmark (SBB) using activation steering to reduce model refusals during QA.
result Exposes hidden unfair preferences in LLMs' latent space, distinguishing direct responses from underlying fairness issues.

Caus-Modens uses deep ensembles to better predict causal outcomes in hidden confounding scenarios.

problem Predicting causal outcomes in the presence of hidden confounders.
method Caus-Modens employs a modulated ensemble approach to improve prediction intervals for causal outcomes using sensitivity models.
result Caus-Modens provides tighter prediction intervals for causal outcomes compared to existing methods.

Paper detects biases in medical imaging ML models using counterfactual analysis.

problem Bias in medical imaging ML models negatively impacts generalization performance.
method Counterfactual invariance framework combining conditional latent diffusion models and statistical hypothesis testing.
result The method identifies and quantifies biases without direct access to counterfactual data.

Stable unactivated neurons reduce expressiveness in ReLU networks.

problem Reducing expressiveness in ReLU neural networks due to stably unactivated neurons.
method Investigated the probability of neurons being stably unactivated in ReLU networks with symmetric weight and bias distributions.
result Proved the probability of a neuron being stably unactivated in the second hidden layer of a ReLU network.

Periodic activation functions improve neural network reliability and interpretability.

problem Neural networks reinforce hidden biases, making them unreliable and hard to interpret.
method Introduce periodic activation functions in Bayesian neural networks to establish a connection with stationary Gaussian process priors.
result Periodic activation functions, including sinusoidal, triangular, and ReLU, improve model performance and sensitivity to perturbations.

DWTS uses observational data to improve clinical trial efficiency.

problem Lack of definitive conclusions from randomized clinical trials due to insufficient patient cohorts and confounding biases.
method DWTS combines observational data with randomized clinical trials using Doubly Debiased LASSO (DDL) to identify reliable covariates.
result DWTS reduces cumulative regret in clinical trials compared to standard methods.

CausalGame benchmarks LLM agents' causal thinking in games.

problem Evaluating causal thinking in AI Scientists with LLMs.
method Interactive games with 14 scenarios incorporating selection bias, measurement error, and hidden confounders.
result None of the 30 LLM agents demonstrated reliable causal thinking, with the best model achieving only 68.0% survival.

We describe a generalization of the Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM) which is able to encode prior information that state transitions are more likely between "nearby" states. This is accomplished by defining a similarity function on the state space and scaling transition probabilities by pai…

2017-07-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Hidden Markov Models analyze mobile health data to identify APNS states.

problem Subjective self-report measures of APNS lead to errors and biases.
method Exploratory hidden Markov factor models and Stabilized Expectation-Maximization algorithm.
result Identified homogeneous APNS states and dynamic transitions.

We prove that the binary classifiers of bit strings generated by random wide deep neural networks with ReLU activation function are biased towards simple functions. The simplicity is captured by the following two properties. For any given input bit string, the average Hamming distance of the closest input bit string wi…

2018-12-25abs ↗pdf ↗

This study examines biases in flow matching samplers using finite-sample estimation.

problem Biases in flow matching samplers when using finite-sample surrogates.
method Finite-sample plug-in estimation and hierarchy of empirical FM models.
result Exact empirical minimizer and smoothed plug-in regime identified for affine conditional flows.

We provide a mathematical definition of fragility and antifragility as negative or positive sensitivity to a semi-measure of dispersion and volatility (a variant of negative or positive "vega") and examine the link to nonlinear effects. We integrate model error (and biases) into the fragile or antifragile context. Unli…

2012-08-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Autoregressive state transitions, where predictions are conditioned on past predictions, are the predominant choice for both deterministic and stochastic sequential models. However, autoregressive feedback exposes the evolution of the hidden state trajectory to potential biases from well-known train-test discrepancies.…

2019-08-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Debias recommender systems by accounting for hidden confounders using network information.

problem Debiased recommender systems to reduce bias caused by hidden confounders.
method Leverage network information to disentangle user conformity and item popularity, modeling exposure and ratings while controlling hidden confounders.
result The proposed method effectively debiases recommender systems, improving recommendation accuracy.

The asymptotic behavior of the stochastic gradient algorithm with a biased gradient estimator is analyzed. Relying on arguments based on the dynamic system theory (chain-recurrence) and the differential geometry (Yomdin theorem and Lojasiewicz inequality), tight bounds on the asymptotic bias of the iterates generated b…

2017-08-30abs ↗pdf ↗

FreB protocol uses AI to infer hidden parameters with valid confidence regions.

problem Generating biased or overconfident conclusions from AI-generated posterior distributions.
method Frequentist-Bayes (FreB) protocol reshapes AI-generated posterior distributions into valid confidence regions.
result FreB provides valid confidence regions that consistently include true parameters with expected probability.

A new method removes biases in data integration by using surrogate control outcomes.

problem Data integration methods can be biased due to data-dependent processes.
method Post-integrated inference method using surrogate control outcomes to account for latent heterogeneity.
result The method provides consistent and efficient estimators under minimal assumptions and potential misspecifications.

New method removes hidden confounders for unbiased treatment effect estimation.

problem Bias in treatment effect estimation due to unobserved confounders.
method Proposes a new debiased estimation approach via SVD to handle heterogeneous confounding.
result Established rate of convergence for the estimator under different noise conditions.

When predictive models are used to support complex and important decisions, the ability to explain a model's reasoning can increase trust, expose hidden biases, and reduce vulnerability to adversarial attacks. However, attempts at interpreting models are often ad hoc and application-specific, and the concept of interpr…

2019-07-08abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper tackles fairness in machine learning by modeling latent unbiased labels.

problem Ensuring fairness in machine learning systems that use biased data.
method Explicitly models a latent variable representing a hidden, unbiased label to achieve demographic parity.
result The latent variable approach successfully retrieves fair labels from biased data.

When quantitative models are used to support decision-making on complex and important topics, understanding a model's ``reasoning'' can increase trust in its predictions, expose hidden biases, or reduce vulnerability to adversarial attacks. However, the concept of interpretability remains loosely defined and applicatio…

2019-07-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified predictive uncertainty disentangled using deep split ensembles.

problem Understanding and quantifying uncertainty in NNs for real-world applications.
method Deep split ensemble approach using multivariate Gaussian mixture model.
result Inherently well-calibrated models with high flexibility to group features.

This study uses neural networks to solve interpolation problems with sparse, infinitely wide layers.

problem Exact data interpolation using sparse, infinitely wide neural networks.
method Atomic norm framework to derive convex hulls and equivalent convex formulations.
result Simple characterizations of convex hulls for different constraints on network weights and biases.

The paper studies how neural networks evolve representations, finding a unique fixed point for nonlinear activations.

problem Understanding how neural networks transform input data across layers.
method Theoretical framework for the evolution of the kernel sequence, using mean-field regime and Hermite polynomials.
result For nonlinear activations, the kernel sequence converges globally to a unique fixed point.

Paper explores how knowledge distillation transfers inductive biases between models.

problem Transferring inductive biases between models for tasks with limited data.
method Knowledge distillation applied to models with different inductive biases (LSTMs vs. Transformers, CNNs vs. MLPs).
result Effect of inductive biases is transferred through knowledge distillation, impacting both performance and solution characteristics.

Market makers optimize bid/ask quotes under hidden Markov chain uncertainty.

problem Optimizing market quotes with hidden factors affecting order intensities.
method Solves stochastic control problem using filtering, control, and PDMPs theory.
result Value function is unique viscosity solution of dynamic programming equation.