A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
This paper relaxes the common prior assumption in the public and private information game of Morris and Shin (2000, 2004). For the generalized game, where the agent's prior expectations are heterogenous, it derives a sharp condition for the emergence of unique/multiple equilibria. This condition indicates that unique e…
A network may have weak signals and severe degree heterogeneity, and may be very sparse in one occurrence but very dense in another. SCORE (Jin, 2015) is a recent approach to network community detection. It accommodates severe degree heterogeneity and is adaptive to different levels of sparsity, but its performance for…
We study an adaptive source seeking problem, in which a mobile robot must identify the strongest emitter(s) of a signal in an environment with background emissions. Background signals may be highly heterogeneous and can mislead algorithms that are based on receding horizon control. We propose AdaSearch, a general algor…
Study causal financial signals for non-stationary markets, improving short-term forecasts.
problem Short-term forecasting in non-stationary financial markets under causal constraints.
method Construct causal signals from heterogeneous micro-features using causal centering, linear aggregation, Kalman filter, and forward-like operator.
result Causally constructed observables can exhibit substantial economic relevance in specific regimes but degrade under regime shifts.
The prevalence of online media has attracted researchers from various domains to explore human behavior and make interesting predictions. In this research, we leverage heterogeneous social media data collected from various online platforms to predict Taiwan's 2016 presidential election. In contrast to most existing res…
We study the fundamental tradeoffs between statistical accuracy and computational tractability in the analysis of high dimensional heterogeneous data. As examples, we study sparse Gaussian mixture model, mixture of sparse linear regressions, and sparse phase retrieval model. For these models, we exploit an oracle-based…
A growing part of the behavioral finance literature has addressed some of the stylized facts of financial time series as macroscopic patterns emerging from herding interactions among groups of agents with heterogeneous trading strategies and a limited rationality. We extend a stochastic herding formalism introduced for…
We address the problem of analyzing sets of noisy time-varying signals that all report on the same process but confound straightforward analyses due to complex inter-signal heterogeneities and measurement artifacts. In particular we consider single-molecule experiments which indirectly measure the distinct steps in a b…
When faced with a supervised learning problem, we hope to have rich enough data to build a model that predicts future instances well. However, in practice, problems can exhibit predictive heterogeneity: most instances might be relatively easy to predict, while others might be predictive outliers for which a model train…
Next generation networks are expected to be ultradense and aim to explore spectrum sharing paradigm that allows users to communicate in licensed, shared as well as unlicensed spectrum. Such ultra-dense networks will incur significant signaling load at base stations leading to a negative effect on spectrum and energy ef…
Financial markets provide an ideal frame for studying decision making in crowded environments. Both the amount and accuracy of the data allows to apply tools and concepts coming from physics that studies collective and emergent phenomena or self-organised and highly heterogeneous systems. We analyse the activity of 29,…
We propose a friend recommendation system (an application of link prediction) using edge embeddings on social networks. Most real-world social networks are multi-graphs, where different kinds of relationships (e.g. chat, friendship) are possible between a pair of users. Existing network embedding techniques do not leve…
KHGRec tackles noisy and incomplete KG-enhanced recommendations by modeling complex interactions.
problem Challenges in integrating KGs for accurate recommendations, especially in complex higher-order interactions and heterogeneous modalities.
method KHGRec uses a collaborative knowledge heterogeneous hypergraph (CKHG) to model group-wise interdependencies, employing two hypergraph encoders and attention mechanisms.
result KHGRec achieves an average 5.18% relative improvement over state-of-the-art baselines on four real-world datasets.
This paper investigates the impact of dark pools on price discovery (the efficiency of prices on stock exchanges to aggregate information). Assets are traded in either an exchange or a dark pool, with the dark pool offering better prices but lower execution rates. Informed traders receive noisy and heterogeneous signal…