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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for heterogeneous populations

A new method identifies sub-populations in unlabelled heterogeneous data by accounting for co-features.

problem Estimating sub-populations in unlabelled heterogeneous data with co-features.
method Mixture of Conditional Gaussian Graphical Models (CGGM) with penalized EM algorithm.
result The method successfully identifies sub-populations disrupted by co-features.

Proposes a federated transfer learning method to improve precision medicine models for underrepresented populations.

problem Underrepresentation of minorities in precision medicine research leads to underperforming risk prediction models.
method Two-way federated transfer learning strategy integrating diverse populations and healthcare institutions.
result Improves risk prediction models for underrepresented populations, reducing performance gaps.

Develops robust learning methods for datasets with sub-populations.

problem Robust performance and generalization to unseen testing populations in datasets with sub-populations.
method Min-max-regret (MMR) formulation for distribution-free robust hierarchical model.
result Empirical MMR enjoys regret guarantees on training and unseen testing populations.

A method for inferring motility models and heterogeneity from particle trajectories.

problem Understanding motility patterns from discrete trajectory data of biological agents.
method Maximum likelihood approach for second-order Langevin models with population heterogeneity.
result The proposed method outperforms alternative approaches for short trajectories.

Kernel measures similarity of nonlinear causal structures in heterogeneous populations.

problem Learning causal structure in populations with diverse underlying structures.
method Distance covariance-based kernel for measuring similarity of causal structures.
result Kernel enables clustering of homogeneous subpopulations for causal structure learning.

LEARNER improves low-rank matrix estimation using source population data.

problem Improving low-rank matrix estimation in target populations with diverse data sources.
method LEARNER uses similarity in latent spaces between source and target populations to enhance estimation.
result LEARNER often outperforms benchmark methods, especially with higher signal-to-noise ratios in the source population.

Estimates population mean from user-level data with privacy, accounting for heterogeneity.

problem Heterogeneous user data with varying numbers of data points and distributions.
method Simple model of heterogeneous user data, differential privacy mechanism for estimation.
result Asymptotic optimality of the proposed estimator and general lower bounds on error.

We introduce a general framework for estimation of inverse covariance, or precision, matrices from heterogeneous populations. The proposed framework uses a Laplacian shrinkage penalty to encourage similarity among estimates from disparate, but related, subpopulations, while allowing for differences among matrices. We p…

2016-01-02abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper addresses external validity bias in causal inference.

problem Estimating causal effects in a target population.
method Synthesis of approaches for generalizability and transportability, including tests for heterogeneity of treatment effects and differences between study and target populations.
result Framework for addressing external validity bias in causal inference.

New method estimates treatment effects across different populations.

problem Estimating treatment effects across populations with changing distributions.
method SBRL-HAP framework combining balancing and independence regularizers with hierarchical attention.
result Significant improvement in HTE estimation across out-of-distribution populations.

New method resolves causal heterogeneity by defining a resolution profile.

problem Causal subgroup analyses often oversimplify heterogeneity into a small number of groups.
method Introduces a resolution profile as a functional of the causal feature law, using Bayesian-bootstrap inference.
result Shows that the resolution profile is a continuous path with discontinuities at knots, providing integer-valued subgroup numbers.

Proposes a new method to handle data heterogeneity in causal inference.

problem Challenges of collaborating between different data centers due to heterogeneity.
method Collaborative inverse propensity score weighting estimator to adjust for distribution shift.
result Significant improvements over traditional meta-analysis methods when dealing with increased heterogeneity.

A new model for heterogeneous populations optimizes consumption and investment over short horizons.

problem Optimizing consumption and investment in economies with a heterogeneous population over short time periods.
method Continuous-time general equilibrium framework with Brownian flow on a type space, solving vanishing-horizon problems under relative-income criteria.
result Existence and characterization of short-horizon Duesenberry equilibrium, with sharp asset-pricing implications.

Develops a method to estimate personalized treatment regimes from summary statistics.

problem Estimating optimal treatment regimes for a target population when individual-level data is unavailable.
method A weighting framework that tailors a treatment regime for the target population using summary statistics.
result Consistent and asymptotically normal estimator for optimal treatment regimes.

The paper proposes a mixture model with segmentation for heterogeneous functional data.

problem Heterogeneity in time and population for functional data.
method Mixture model with segmentation of time, maximum likelihood estimator, EM algorithm with dynamic programming.
result The method is consistent and identifiable, and illustrated on simulated and real datasets.

CRE discovers interpretable subgroups with heterogeneous treatment effects.

problem Identifying subgroups with notable treatment effect heterogeneity.
method Causal Rule Ensemble (CRE) using an ensemble-of-trees approach.
result CRE offers interpretable decision rules and high stability in subgroup discovery.

CLSB models system dynamics from cross-sectional data with population-level regularization.

problem Challenges in modeling system dynamics from limited cross-sectional samples and heterogeneous individual behaviors.
method Introduces CLSB framework for learning dynamics, regularized for population-level temporal variations.
result Empirically superior in single-cell sequencing data analyses, e.g., simulating cell development and drug response.

A new method reduces preference distortion in LLM alignment.

problem Vulnerability of traditional LLM alignment methods to human preference heterogeneity.
method Sign Estimator: A simple, provably consistent, and efficient estimator using binary classification loss.
result Substantially reduces preference distortion over a panel of simulated personas.

Bayesian approach learns nonparametric mixture components from heterogeneous data.

problem Realistic modeling of heterogeneous data populations with nonparametric mixture components.
method Bayesian nonparametric modeling using Dirichlet process mixture priors.
result Posterior contraction rates for component densities are nearly polynomial, improving over deconvolution methods.

Study optimizes data collection from biased, costly sources to minimize risk.

problem Estimating population means and group-conditional means from multiple sources with varying costs and biases.
method Develops a sampling plan that maximizes effective sample size, paired with a post-stratification estimator.
result Achieves budgeted minimax optimal risk for estimating population means and group-conditional means.

Bayesian Federated Inference combines local data analyses to estimate regression models.

problem Estimating accurate parameters with limited data from different centers.
method Bayesian Federated Inference (BFI) for pooling local data analyses.
result Excellent performance of BFI methodology shown in real-life examples.

This article analyzes the problem of estimating the time until an event occurs, also known as survival modeling. We observe through substantial experiments on large real-world datasets and use-cases that populations are largely heterogeneous. Sub-populations have different mean and variance in their survival rates requ…

2019-05-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a generalized causal tree for handling multiple treatments in uplift modeling.

problem Handling multiple treatments in uplift modeling.
method Generalizes causal tree algorithm to handle multiple discrete and continuous-valued treatments.
result Demonstrates improved performance over existing methods in experiments and real data examples.

Conventional survival analysis approaches estimate risk scores or individualized time-to-event distributions conditioned on covariates. In practice, there is often great population-level phenotypic heterogeneity, resulting from (unknown) subpopulations with diverse risk profiles or survival distributions. As a result, …

2020-02-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Study optimal investment in large populations of competitive, heterogeneous agents.

problem Maximizing utility in a large, interacting agent system with relative performance concerns.
method Analyzes stochastic utility maximization game in finite and infinite agent settings, using graphon models and backward stochastic differential equations.
result Convergence of Nash equilibria and optimal utilities from finite to infinite agent models under specific conditions.

Study shows income inequality increases with city size, affecting only the wealthiest deciles.

problem Understanding income inequality in urban areas.
method Urban scaling analysis of total income scaling in population percentiles.
result Income in the poorest decile does not increase with city size, while the wealthiest deciles show superlinear scaling.

Novel framework identifies pump-specific deterioration rates using Bayesian hierarchical hazard modeling and causal discovery.

problem Challenges in asset management due to heterogeneous deterioration rates in pump equipment.
method Bayesian hierarchical hazard modeling with causal discovery, GPU-accelerated No-U-Turn Sampling (NUTS), and DirectLiNGAM.
result Identified striking heterogeneity in deterioration rates, with negative effects 400 times larger than positive effects.

The paper proposes methods to identify and sample from mixtures of Mallows models for top-k rankings.

problem Identifying and sampling from mixtures of Mallows models for top-k rankings in a heterogeneous population.
method Efficient sampling algorithms and identifiability proofs for both components of the mixture.
result The identifiability and learnability of the Mallows components' parameters in the mixture.

New model explains price dynamics of Bitcoin with psychological factors.

problem Understanding price variations in cryptocurrency markets with psychological factors.
method Extended agent-based model with heterogeneous psychological parameters.
result Model shows diverse dynamics based on psychological correlation.

Proposes a convex model for mixed logit to handle individual heterogeneity.

problem Non-convex optimization in mixed logit models for individual heterogeneity.
method Sparse and low-rank decomposition for convex formulation.
result Convex formulation avoids simulation-based approximation and unstable model interpretation.

Paper proposes a method to optimize policies for diverse individuals using heterogeneous data.

problem Learning optimal policies for a heterogeneous population from pre-collected data.
method Individualized offline policy optimization framework for heterogeneous MDPs.
result The proposed P4L algorithm achieves a fast rate of average regret.

Bayesian meta-learning improves health prediction models across similar diseases.

problem Inter- and intra-task variability in healthcare predictions due to disease heterogeneity and patient differences.
method Bayesian meta-learning approach that models task similarity to mitigate negative transfer and improve generalizability.
result Significant generalizability improvements in stroke prediction tasks using electronic health record data.

ScoreFusion fuses multiple diffusion models to enhance generative modeling of a target population.

problem Enhancing generative modeling of a target population with limited data.
method ScoreFusion uses KL barycenters of auxiliary populations and recasts the learning problem as score matching in denoising diffusion.
result ScoreFusion achieves a dimension-free sample complexity bound in total variation distance.