Upper bounds on utility for managing heterogeneous collectivised funds.
problem Managing pension funds with diverse investor preferences and mortality.
method Axiomatic approach to define optimal management strategies.
result Asymptotically optimal strategies for maximizing investor utility.
We quantify the benefit of collectivised investment funds, in which the assets of members who die are shared among the survivors. For our model, with realistic parameter choices, an annuity or individual fund requires approximately 20\% more initial capital to provide as good an outcome as a collectivised investment fu…
Various types of structures that enable a group of individuals to pool their mortality risk have been proposed in the literature. Collectively, the structures are called pooled annuity funds. Since the pooled annuity funds propose different methods of pooling mortality risk, we investigate the connections between them …
This paper introduces an innovative Bayesian machine learning algorithm to draw interpretable inference on heterogeneous causal effects in the presence of imperfect compliance (e.g., under an irregular assignment mechanism). We show, through Monte Carlo simulations, that the proposed Bayesian Causal Forest with Instrum…
Study on pooled annuity funds and how initial savings affect income stability.
problem Analyzing the stability of income payments in pooled annuity funds.
method Examining the influence of initial savings on income fluctuations and developing a criterion for pooling funds.
result Identification of a term, the 'implied number of homogeneous members', linking initial savings to income fluctuations.
Evology models US equity mutual funds interactions for investment strategies.
problem Understanding complex interactions in financial markets.
method Agent-based model (ABM) of US stock market participants and their strategies.
result Trading strategies interact with other market participants and conditions.
The study analyzes ETFs' portfolio optimization and tail-risk management.
problem Analyzing the performance of actively managed ETFs in managing risk and diversification.
method Daily Bloomberg data for 30 funds, evaluating various strategies under long-only and long-short constraints.
result Tangency-type portfolios generally outperform buy-and-hold benchmarks, while minimum-variance and CVaR-minimizing portfolios sacrifice upside for downside control.
Study finds public procurement awards, especially NGEU-funded ones, boost new lending.
problem Understanding the impact of public procurement on new lending.
method Panel data local projections model, controlling for various factors.
result Public procurement awards, particularly NGEU-funded ones, significantly increase new lending.
Optimizes pension mix of PAYGO, EET, and individual savings.
problem Balancing PAYGO, EET, and individual savings in funded pension schemes.
method Solves a Nash equilibrium between pension participants and government, considering age-dependent preferences and optimal asset allocation.
result Identifies critical ages and optimal contribution rates for maximizing overall utility.
Optimizes investment strategies for retirees with longevity risk.
problem Maximizing retirement savings under longevity risk for a group of investors.
method Analytic and numerical solutions for investment strategies in both discrete and continuous time models.
result Analytic formulae for optimal investment strategies in both discrete and continuous time models.
Generative model learns investment strategies without explicit utility specification.
problem Challenges in modeling complex, multi-objective fund optimization.
method Generative adversarial network (GAN) framework that learns latent strategy representations.
result Framework captures diverse investment styles and realizations of optimization parameters.
We propose a novel approach for analysis of the composition of an equity mutual fund based on the time series decomposition of the price movements of the individual stocks of the fund. The proposed scheme can be applied to check whether the style proclaimed for a mutual fund actually matches with the fund composition. …
The paper optimizes pension policies with guarantees and sustainability constraints.
problem Designing optimal pension policies with guarantees and sustainability constraints.
method Dynamic utility model, stochastic domain, overlapping generations, time-consistent decision criterion.
result Optimal investment/pension policy computed for a general framework.
Funds inflate their returns due to price pressure, leading to wealth reallocation and market crashes.
problem Funds inflate their returns due to price pressure, leading to wealth reallocation and market crashes.
method Decomposed fund returns into price pressure and fundamental components, and identified the impact of price chasing on fund flows.
result Funds' self-inflated returns lead to wealth reallocation and market crashes, and can be predicted by fund illiquidity.
This report was originally written as an industry white paper on Hedge Funds. This paper gives an overview to Hedge Funds, with a focus on risk management issues. We define and explain the general characteristics of Hedge Funds, their main investment strategies and the risk models employed. We address the problems in H…
Employs granular data to create a multilayer network for euro area banks, revealing distinct risk patterns.
problem Lack of comprehensive, granular data integration for systemic risk assessment in euro area banks.
method Constructs an empirically grounded multilayer network integrating various supervisory and statistical datasets, each layer representing a distinct transmission channel.
result Cross-layer heterogeneity in connectivity and centrality reveals economically relevant structure and misidentifies systemically important institutions.
Study on CEF discount in Bangladesh, finds size and maturity impact, turnover negative.
problem Exploring the discount puzzle in closed-end mutual funds in Bangladesh.
method Fixed effects panel regression with diagnostic tests.
result Fund size and maturity positively impact CEF discount, turnover negatively impacts.
Deep learning models predict mutual funds' performance better than traditional methods.
problem Predicting mutual funds' performance accurately.
method Deep learning models (LSTM, GRUs) trained with Bayesian optimization and ensemble methods.
result Ensemble method of LSTM and GRUs achieves the highest accuracy in forecasting mutual funds' Sharpe ratios.
This paper optimizes perpetual contract liquidity by accounting for funding rates.
problem Optimal liquidity provision for perpetual contracts with stochastic funding rates.
method Formulated a control problem, solved with a HJB scheme, and calibrated on real data.
result Funding-aware market making improves performance and reduces inventory risk.
This paper examines the risk-adjusted performance and differential fund flows for socially responsible mutual funds (SRMF). The results show that SRMF rated high on ESG, perform better than lower rated ESG funds during the period of economic crisis. The findings also show that low ESG rated SRMF had higher differential…
Study finds Indian mutual funds adjust cash holdings based on inflows, impacting stock purchases.
problem Active liquidity management by mutual funds in India.
method Examined cash holdings and stock purchases of Indian equity mutual funds.
result Funds with active liquidity choices outperform, highlighting the importance of this strategy.
Blockchain protocol improves traditional mutual funds with performance fees and investor protection.
problem Operational issues and performance fees in traditional mutual funds.
method Developed a blockchain protocol that integrates features of mutual funds and hedge funds.
result Blockchain can simplify performance fee calculations and protect investors.
Study uses machine learning and PolyModel to improve hedge fund performance.
problem Improving hedge fund investment performance with machine learning.
method Integration of machine learning techniques, PolyModel feature selection, and analysis of fund size.
result Machine learning enhances cumulative returns but increases annual volatility.
In this paper we investigate the relationship between Funding Value Adjustment (FVA) and Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR). FVA is defined in a consistent way with NSFR such that the new framework of FVA monitors the costs due to keeping NSFR at an acceptable level, as well. In addition, the problem of choosing the optim…
Repo dealers' market power affects bond prices by up to 2 percentage points.
problem Market power of repo dealers impacts bond prices and liquidity.
method Proprietary data on repo and reverse-repo trades analyzed.
result Market power of repo dealers accounts for 0.5-1.3 percentage points of bond yield deviation.
Study examines Indian equity mutual funds' investment style and risk-shifting.
problem Understanding how Indian equity mutual funds' investment styles affect their returns.
method Estimating size and style beta coefficients, identifying breakpoints, analyzing investment styles, and assessing risk-shifting intensity.
result Funds can enhance returns by shifting to high-return styles like Small Value and Small Blend.
Sparse portfolio strategy from mutual funds' favorite stocks in China A share market.
problem Building a sparse portfolio from mutual funds' favorite stocks in a market with limited fund information.
method Analyzed mutual fund favorite stocks, used portfolio optimizer with constraints, and compared different methods.
result Sparse portfolios consistently outperform the benchmark index 930950.CSI.
A fund manager invests both the fund's assets and own private wealth in separate but potentially correlated risky assets, aiming to maximize expected utility from private wealth in the long run. If relative risk aversion and investment opportunities are constant, we find that the fund's portfolio depends only on the fu…
Estimates growth loss in fund models and proposes a shrinkage method.
problem Estimating growth loss in fund models under frequentist and Bayesian estimation.
method Proposes a shrinkage method to target maximal growth with minimal deviation.
result Empirical evidence shows shrinkage gives a stable estimate closer to growth potential.
Study uses topic modeling and sentiment analysis to uncover hedge fund performance insights.
problem Hedge fund opacity and limited disclosure make them hard to analyze.
method Applied topic modeling and sentiment analysis to hedge fund documents using DistilBERT and Top2Vec.
result Automated topic modeling and sentiment analysis can predict hedge fund performance.
This paper examines the relationship between Inverse Perpetual Swap contracts, a Bitcoin derivative akin to futures and the margin funding interest rates levied on BitMEX. This paper proves the Heteroskedastic nature of funding rates and goes onto establish a causal relationship between the funding rates and the Bitcoi…
Funding is a cost to trading desks that they see as an input. Current FVA-related literature reflects this by also taking funding costs as an input, usually constant, and always risk-neutral. However, this funding curve is the output from a Treasury point of view. Treasury must consider Regulatory-required liquidity bu…
In this note we sketch an initial tentative approach to funding costs analysis and management for contracts with bilateral counterparty risk in a simplified setting. We depart from the existing literature by analyzing the issue of funding costs and benefits under the assumption that the associated risks cannot be hedge…
New methods for equity fund selection and portfolio construction using mutual fund top holdings.
problem Classic equity fund selection and portfolio construction problems.
method Propose an easy-to-implement framework to produce a long-short portfolio from mutual fund top holdings.
result Generate impressive results and show statistical evidence.
The proprietary nature of Hedge Fund investing means that it is common practise for managers to release minimal information about their returns. The construction of a Fund of Hedge Funds portfolio requires a correlation matrix which often has to be estimated using a relatively small sample of monthly returns data which…
Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) have been gaining increasing popularity in the investment community as is evidenced by the high growth both in the number of ETFs and their net assets since 2000. As ETFs are in nature similar to index mutual funds, in this paper we examined if this growing demand for ETFs can be explained …
The study quantifies the impact of fund miscategorization using machine learning.
problem The impact of fund miscategorization on investment decisions.
method Formulated as a distance-based outlier detection problem, used Random Forest based distance metric learning.
result Identified funds with strong relationship to future returns as outliers.
Machine learning categorizes mutual funds for better investment strategies.
problem Identifying similar mutual funds for diversified investment applications.
method Machine learning to learn and reproduce a well-regarded categorization system.
result Machine learning can learn and reproduce a categorization system that is widely regarded.
A new method identifies similar mutual funds using graph learning.
problem Identifying similar mutual funds with nuanced portfolio similarities.
method Node2Vec machine learning method applied to a weighted bipartite network of funds and assets.
result Identifies structural similarity among mutual funds' portfolios.
The paper analyzes fairness of compensation-based risk-sharing schemes for fund payouts.
problem Fair allocation of payouts in an endowment contingency fund.
method Analyzes two types of administrators and general non-negative loss distributions.
result General conditions for actuarial fairness are provided.
Investors in Target Date Funds are automatically switched from high risk to low risk assets as their retirements approach. Such funds have become very popular, but our analysis brings into question the rationale for them. Based on both a model with parameters fitted to historical returns and on bootstrap resampling, we…
By exploiting a bipartite network representation of the relationships between mutual funds and portfolio holdings, we propose an indicator that we derive from the analysis of the network, labelled the Average Commonality Coefficient (ACC), which measures how frequently the assets in the fund portfolio are present in th…
AI platforms disrupt investment by personalizing deal sourcing and insights.
problem Lack of scalable, personalized, and privacy-compliant deal sourcing and insights solutions.
method Development of in-house AI platforms that interact directly with funds and learn from interactions.
result AI platforms provide smarter, personalized use cases for funds, offering a competitive advantage.
The paper uses clustering and integer programming to optimize stock selection for investment funds.
problem Maximizing profits and minimizing risk in stock markets.
method Data-oriented analysis and clustering techniques with integer programming.
result Reconstructed NASDAQ 100 index fund example demonstrates effectiveness.
Study optimizes funding rates for cryptocurrency perpetual futures to maintain price alignment.
problem Maintaining alignment between perpetual future prices and target values in cryptocurrency markets.
method Developed replicating portfolios and path-dependent funding rates using path-dependent infinite-horizon BSDEs and arbitrage pricing theory.
result Appropriate funding rate design can keep perpetual future prices aligned with target values.
Commodity ETFs' portfolio optimization under heavy-tailed returns.
problem Optimizing commodity ETF portfolios under heavy-tailed return behavior.
method Passive buy-and-hold vs. rolling-window optimized portfolios.
result Improved risk-adjusted performance with minimum-risk and CVaR-based portfolios.
An option market maker incurs funding costs when carrying and hedging inventory. To hedge a net long delta inventory, for example, she pays a fee to borrow stock from the securities lending market. Because of haircuts, she posts additional cash margin to the lender which needs to be financed at her unsecured debt rate.…
Study measures investment funds' climate transition risk, finds moderate losses.
problem Measuring the impact of climate transition on investment portfolios.
method Comprehensive framework using geographical, sectoral, company and ISIN-level data.
result Investment funds suffer a moderate 5.7% loss in high transition risk scenario.