A model-free hedging method using stock crowding scores.
problem Designing costless portfolio strategies to hedge market risk.
method Network analysis of fund holdings to compute crowding scores, constructing long-short portfolios without numerical optimization.
result Long-short portfolios provide protection against both small and large market price fluctuations.
In this paper, we argue that, once the costs of maintaining the hedging portfolio are properly taken into account, semi-static portfolios should more properly be thought of as separate classes of derivatives, with non-trivial, model-dependent payoff structures. We derive new integral representations for payoffs of exot…
Deep Bellman Hedging uses reinforcement learning to optimize financial portfolio hedging.
problem Optimizing financial portfolio hedging with derivatives and trading frictions.
method Actor-critic reinforcement learning algorithm with continuous state and action spaces.
result Trained model provides optimal hedge for any initial portfolio and market state.
Model-free approach to hedge path-dependent options using min-max optimization.
problem Hedging path-dependent options with maturity T using a static portfolio of vanilla options.
method Model-free approach based on primal-dual Martingale Optimal Transport (MOT) problem, solving a min-max optimization problem.
result Provides theoretical bounds on hedging error at maturity T.
Deep Hedging learns optimal strategies for various risk levels.
problem Finding optimal hedging policies for diverse risk aversions.
method Continuous Reinforcement Learning with actor-critic algorithm.
result Demonstrated effectiveness in a stochastic volatility model.
Simplified approach to portfolio risk management and hedging in practice.
problem Challenges in applying academic portfolio risk management and hedging in real-world business settings.
method A straightforward approach using convex optimization and quadratic programming.
result Demonstrates how to solve portfolio risk management and hedging problems with CVXOPT.
In this short note, we will show how to optimize the portfolio of a large trader whose hedging strategy affects the price of his assets.
Investigates how options can control systemic risk in portfolios.
problem Systemic risk in optioned portfolios.
method Correlation hedging, extreme loss hedging, and SOCP formulation.
result Options can make systemic risk controllable and enhance return-risk performance.
Discrete time hedging in a complete diffusion market is considered. The hedge portfolio is rebalanced when the absolute difference between delta of the hedge portfolio and the derivative contract reaches a threshold level. The rate of convergence of the expected squared hedging error as the threshold level approaches z…
New method for insurance valuation combining hedging and risk minimization.
problem Current insurance valuation methods do not reflect regulatory risk measures.
method Two-step hedging procedure using generalised regression.
result The method produces portfolios neutral to risk measures like VaR or expectiles.
New dual approach for hedging Bermudan options efficiently.
problem Computing efficient hedging portfolios for Bermudan options.
method Pure dual approach, rewriting dual pricing formula as excess reward representation, strict convexification, Monte Carlo method.
result Convergence and effectiveness of the new algorithm tested on various Bermudan options.
This paper presents hedging strategies for European and exotic options in a Levy market. By applying Taylor's Theorem, dynamic hedging portfolios are con- structed under different market assumptions, such as the existence of power jump assets or moment swaps. In the case of European options or baskets of European optio…
A semi-static approach efficiently replicates and prices callable interest rate derivatives.
problem Efficiently replicating and pricing callable interest rate derivatives under dynamic market conditions.
method Proposes a semi-static hedging algorithm that updates the replication portfolio on a finite number of instances, rather than continuously.
result The hedging error can be made arbitrarily small with a sufficiently large replication portfolio, and closed-form error margins are determined.
Deep neural networks reduce portfolio tail-risk by 99% in crisis-era simulations.
problem Managing tail risk in financial portfolios.
method Parameterizing convex-risk minimization with deep neural networks.
result Significant reduction in one-day 99% CVaR.
Hedge funds have long been viewed as a veritable "black box" of investing since outsiders may never view the exact composition of portfolio holdings. Therefore, the ability to estimate an informative set of asset weights is highly desirable for analysis. We present a compositional state space model for estimation of an…
Paper develops a robust hedging framework to reduce market risk and uncertainty.
problem Managing uncertainty and risk exposure in portfolio management.
method Combines high-frequency realized variance, covariance measures, and autoregressive models for multi-step volatility forecasting. Uses a box-uncertainty robust optimization scheme to derive a closed-form solution for the robust hedge ratio.
result Robust hedge ratios are more stable and entail lower turnover than standard dynamic hedges, improving downside protection and risk-adjusted performance.
This paper assesses the hedge effectiveness of an index-based longevity swap and a longevity cap. Although swaps are a natural instrument for hedging longevity risk, derivatives with non-linear pay-offs, such as longevity caps, also provide downside protection. A tractable stochastic mortality model with age dependent …
Deep BSDE method for pricing and hedging complex financial portfolios.
problem Simultaneous pricing and delta-gamma hedging of large portfolios of multi-asset Bermudan options.
method Discretely reflected BSDEs, One Step Malliavin scheme, neural network regression Monte Carlo method.
result Efficient and accurate pricing and hedging strategies for high-dimensional portfolios.
This paper investigates the pricing and hedging of variance swaps under a 3/2 volatility model. Explicit pricing and hedging formulas of variance swaps are obtained under the benchmark approach, which only requires the existence of the numéraire portfolio. The growth optimal portfolio is the numéraire portfolio and u…
PolyModel theory and iTransformer improve hedge fund portfolio construction.
problem Sparse financial time series data makes portfolio construction challenging.
method Identify asset pool, select risk factors, create quantitative and classical measures, and use iTransformer for trend capture.
result Improved Sharpe ratio and annualized return compared to benchmarks.
The paper compares traditional regression with modern neural network methods for financial hedging and risk compression.
problem Finding optimal hedge ratios and managing portfolio risk using traditional regression methods has limitations.
method The paper introduces regularization techniques and common factor analyses using neural networks to improve upon regression methods.
result Neural network methods provide better performance in hedge ratio estimation and risk compression compared to traditional regression.
We consider the fundamental theorem of asset pricing (FTAP) and hedging prices of options under non-dominated model uncertainty and portfolio constrains in discrete time. We first show that no arbitrage holds if and only if there exists some family of probability measures such that any admissible portfolio value proces…
This paper investigates the hedging effectiveness of a dynamic moving window OLS hedging model, formed using wavelet decomposed time-series. The wavelet transform is applied to calculate the appropriate dynamic minimum-variance hedge ratio for various hedging horizons for a number of assets. The effectiveness of the dy…
The third moment variation of a financial asset return process is defined by the quadratic covariation between the return and square return processes. The skew and fat tail risk of an underlying asset can be hedged using a third moment variation swap under which a predetermined fixed leg and the floating leg of the rea…
The study designs a green investment fund and a hedging strategy for insurance policies linked to it.
problem Hedging unit-linked life insurance policies with an environmentally sensitive investment fund.
method Developed a carbon-intensity-driven portfolio selection rule and a quadratic hedging approach.
result The hedging strategy minimizes the variance of hedging costs, as demonstrated through numerical analysis.
We investigate the optimal strategy over a finite time horizon for a portfolio of stock and bond and a derivative in an multiplicative Markovian market model with transaction costs (friction). The optimization problem is solved by a Hamilton-Bellman-Jacobi equation, which by the verification theorem has well-behaved so…
Perfect hedging of options with a dynamic portfolio in rough volatility models.
problem Hedging options in rough volatility models.
method Presented a simple but general result showing perfect hedging with a dynamic portfolio of underlying and variance swap.
result Rough volatility models significantly reduce hedging error compared to diffusion-based models.
Paper presents a machine learning algorithm for hedging ETF options, outperforming static hedging methods.
problem Semi-static hedging of ETF options with transaction costs and varying market conditions.
method Data-driven machine learning algorithm considering transaction costs, automated portfolio management, and PnL attribution analysis.
result The static hedging approach outperforms dynamic hedging methods in terms of profit and loss.
New methods improve portfolio risk minimization by estimating covariance matrix more accurately.
problem Uncertainty in estimating covariance matrix leads to unreliable hedge trades.
method Proposes two new estimators of the inverse covariance matrix using l2 and l1 norms.
result Portfolio formed using proposed estimators achieves substantial risk reduction and improved returns.
Study examines hedging options on asset portfolios against one underlying asset with transaction costs.
problem Hedging options on asset portfolios when one underlying asset is expensive to trade.
method Simulated data analysis with varying trading intervals, correlation coefficients, and transaction costs.
result Trading the wrong asset can be beneficial when correlation is high and transaction costs are low.
In this paper, we consider the problem of hedging Asian options in financial markets with transaction costs. For this, we use the asymptotic hedging approach. The main task of asymptotic hedging in financial markets with transaction costs is to prove the probability convergence of the terminal value of the investment p…
Study on hedging CVA in jump-diffusion setting using Monte Carlo simulations.
problem Hedging Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA) in financial portfolios.
method Monte Carlo simulation in Black-Scholes and Merton jump-diffusion settings.
result Hedging CVA is crucial for stable trading strategies, especially in jump-diffusion settings.
This study improves credit risk management using advanced reinforcement learning.
problem Sub-optimal hedging of credit losses due to bid-ask costs and model limitations.
method Risk-averse stochastic-horizon reinforcement learning for dynamic risk management.
result Efficacy demonstrated through numerical study of a single FX forward contract portfolio.
This paper derives a portfolio decomposition formula when the agent maximizes utility of her wealth at some finite planning horizon. The financial market is complete and consists of multiple risky assets (stocks) plus a risk free asset. The stocks are modelled as exponential Brownian motions with drift and volatility b…
The paper simplifies hedging and portfolio allocation in markets without a risk-free asset.
problem Optimal hedging and portfolio allocation in markets without a risk-free asset.
method Establishes equivalence between hedging with and without numeraire change, uses oblique projections.
result Explicit expressions for optimal strategies and efficient frontier computation.
This paper develops a new framework to assess crypto portfolio risk using simulation methods.
problem Traditional financial risk models fail to capture crypto market characteristics like volatility and contagion.
method The framework integrates four components: volatility stress testing, hedging, contagion modeling, and Monte Carlo simulation.
result The framework robustly assesses crypto portfolio risk and is validated with real data.
We develop a model for indifference pricing in derivatives markets where price quotes have bid-ask spreads and finite quantities. The model quantifies the dependence of the prices and hedging portfolios on an investor's beliefs, risk preferences and financial position as well as on the price quotes. Computational techn…
Method constructs hedging portfolio for carbon risk but not ESG risk.
problem Hedging carbon risk with ESG risk.
method Triangulated Maximally Filtered Graph and node2vec algorithms.
result Efficient hedging portfolio strategy for carbon risk but not ESG risk.
Neural nets optimize dynamic hedging strategies with transaction costs.
problem Optimal hedging strategy in presence of transaction costs and discrete time.
method Convolutional neural network trained to infer optimal hedging frequencies.
result Dynamic multiscale hedging strategy reduces risk and maximizes profit.
The paper proposes a method to improve forecast combination accuracy using portfolio theory.
problem Improving forecast accuracy by combining multiple forecasts.
method Generates forecast combinations using a portfolio analogy, allowing negative weights for hedging.
result Demonstrates improved performance in weighted random forest forecasts.
This article analyzes the relationship between co-persistence and hedging which indicates co-persistence ratio is just the long-term hedging ratio. The new method of exhaustive search algorithm for deriving co-persistence ratio is derived in the article. And we also develop a new hedging strategy of combining co-persis…
Study finds optimal boundaries for hedging a perpetual American put option.
problem Hedging perpetual American put options using delta hedging is impractical.
method Considered a seller of a perpetual American put option with a single trade.
result Determined optimal trading boundaries and hedging strategy.
The proprietary nature of Hedge Fund investing means that it is common practise for managers to release minimal information about their returns. The construction of a Fund of Hedge Funds portfolio requires a correlation matrix which often has to be estimated using a relatively small sample of monthly returns data which…
This study analyzes costs of CCP default resolution using Radner equilibrium approach.
problem Analyzing costs of CCP default resolution for investment banks' derivatives.
method Radner equilibrium approach for portfolio allocation and price discovery.
result Radner equilibria uniquely exist and provide solutions for market equilibria.
We consider conditional-mean hedging in a fractional Black-Scholes pricing model in the presence of proportional transaction costs. We develop an explicit formula for the conditional-mean hedging portfolio in terms of the recently discovered explicit conditional law of the fractional Brownian motion.
Study uses machine learning and PolyModel to improve hedge fund performance.
problem Improving hedge fund investment performance with machine learning.
method Integration of machine learning techniques, PolyModel feature selection, and analysis of fund size.
result Machine learning enhances cumulative returns but increases annual volatility.
We propose a long term portfolio management method which takes into account a liability. Our approach is based on the LQG (Linear, Quadratic cost, Gaussian) control problem framework and then the optimal portfolio strategy hedges the liability by directly tracking a benchmark process which represents the liability. Two…
Model for hedging price and quantity risks in electricity markets.
problem Hedging risks for energy retailers in a regulated electricity market.
method Closed-form solution for optimal portfolio using financial instruments based on price and weather indexes.
result Closed-form solution for mean-var model in discrete setting without distributional assumptions.