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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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57114170227 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for heavy-tailed targets

AIS algorithm improves heavy-tailed distribution estimation.

problem Inconsistent estimators and slow convergence in AIS for heavy-tailed distributions.
method Adapts Student-t proposal distributions by matching escort moments and minimizing α-divergence.
result Improves estimation accuracy for heavy-tailed distributions.

Unified approach for sampling non-differentiable and heavy-tailed targets.

problem Sampling non-differentiable and heavy-tailed distributions using Langevin algorithms.
method Anchored Langevin dynamics, which modifies the Langevin diffusion with a smooth reference potential and multiplicative scaling.
result Non-asymptotic guarantees in the 2-Wasserstein distance to the target distribution.

This work extends diffusion models to handle heavy-tailed targets, improving score estimation and sampling guarantees.

problem Score estimation and sampling guarantees for heavy-tailed targets in diffusion models.
method Kernel density estimation and minimax rates analysis for score estimation and sampling guarantees.
result Sharp minimax rates for score estimation and sampling guarantees for heavy-tailed targets, revealing qualitative differences between exponential and polynomial tails.

This paper analyzes sampling from heavy-tailed distributions using discretized Itô diffusions.

problem Sampling from heavy-tailed distributions with finite variance.
method Mean-square analysis of discretized Itô diffusions with weighted Poincaré inequalities.
result Explicit iteration complexity for obtaining samples close to target distributions in Wasserstein-2 metric.

New study shows Gaussian samplers struggle with heavy-tailed targets, while stable samplers excel.

problem The difficulty of sampling from heavy-tailed distributions using Gaussian versus stable oracles.
method Comparison of Gaussian and stable oracles for proximal samplers.
result Gaussian samplers have a fundamental barrier for high-accuracy guarantees in heavy-tailed sampling, while stable samplers excel.

New method improves generative modeling on convex domains using regularized mirror maps and Student-t priors.

problem Challenges in generative modeling on convex domains with heavy-tailed targets.
method Mirror Flow Matching with regularized mirror maps and Student-t priors.
result Empirically outperforms baselines and achieves competitive sample quality.

Unified framework for generating heavy-tailed distributions.

problem Extending SGMs to heavy-tailed targets.
method Combining early stopping with initialization for diffusion, and normalizing flows for generation.
result Unified generative framework with theoretical guarantees for heavy-tailed distributions.

TTF improves performance of normalizing flows for heavy-tailed distributions.

problem Improving performance of normalizing flows for heavy-tailed distributions.
method Uses a Gaussian base distribution and a final transformation layer to produce heavy tails.
result Experimental results show TTF outperforms current methods, especially in high-dimensional or heavy-tailed scenarios.

We obtain sharp bounds on the performance of Empirical Risk Minimization performed in a convex class and with respect to the squared loss, without assuming that class members and the target are bounded functions or have rapidly decaying tails. Rather than resorting to a concentration-based argument, the method used her…

2014-01-01abs ↗pdf ↗

HTFM improves mode coverage and tail-statistic recovery for heavy-tailed data.

problem Tackles heavy-tailed data in various domains with rare events.
method Proposes a framework using clock-conditioned Gaussian sources and truncated logsignature features.
result Improves mode coverage, sample quality, and tail-statistic recovery over Gaussian flow matching and baselines.

MAFLA improves sampling from heavy-tailed distributions using MH-inspired corrections.

problem Sampling from heavy-tailed and multimodal distributions when neither target nor proposal densities can be evaluated.
method Metropolis-Adjusted Fractional Langevin Algorithm (MAFLA) with Score Balance Matching.
result MAFLA significantly improves finite-time sampling accuracy over unadjusted fractional Langevin dynamics.

Paper shows robust generative learning with minimal assumptions on target distributions.

problem Learning generative models with minimal assumptions on target distributions.
method Lipschitz-regularized αα-divergences with minimal assumptions.
result Stable learning across various target distributions with minimal assumptions.

The paper develops a minimax optimal method for high-dimensional regression using auxiliary data.

problem High-dimensional additive regression with heavy-tailed errors and transfer learning.
method Smooth backfitting estimator with local linear smoothing, followed by a two-stage estimation method.
result The method achieves the minimax optimal rate under certain conditions.

Proposes a transfer learning method for high-dimensional quantile regression.

problem Inadequate handling of heterogeneity and heavy tails in transfer learning.
method High-dimensional quantile regression framework with double transfer learning estimator.
result Established error bounds and valid confidence intervals for high-dimensional quantile regression coefficients.

This work achieves exponential concentration in heavy-tailed data over CAT(κ) spaces using the Fréchet median.

problem Achieving robust estimation in heavy-tailed data distributions.
method Developing a concentration bound for the Fréchet median in CAT(κ) spaces.
result Exponential concentration of the Fréchet median in CAT(κ) spaces over heavy-tailed data.

The paper establishes CLTs for Markov chains and improves sampling algorithms for heavy-tailed distributions.

problem Establishing central limit theorems for ergodic averages of Markov chains.
method Drift conditions to provide necessary and sufficient conditions for CLTs, including lower bounds on convergence rates.
result Sharp conditions and convergence rates for various MCMC algorithms on heavy-tailed targets.

Stein's method for measuring convergence to a continuous target distribution relies on an operator characterizing the target and Stein factor bounds on the solutions of an associated differential equation. While such operators and bounds are readily available for a diversity of univariate targets, few multivariate targ…

2016-11-21abs ↗pdf ↗

We study learning problems in which the underlying class is a bounded subset of LpL_p and the target YY belongs to LpL_p. Previously, minimax sample complexity estimates were known under such boundedness assumptions only when p=p=\infty. We present a sharp sample complexity estimate that holds for any p>4p > 4. It is b…

2020-02-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Study improves robust nonparametric regression in heavy-tailed noise.

problem Robust nonparametric regression with heavy-tailed noise and unbounded functions.
method Huber regression in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS), probabilistic effective hypothesis space, new comparison theorems.
result Explicit finite-sample error bounds and convergence rates for Huber regression in RKHS under heavy-tailed noise.

We improve generative models for heavy-tailed multivariate data using an invariant statistical loss.

problem Traditional generative models struggle with heavy-tailed and multivariate data, leading to unstable training and mode dropping.
method We extend the invariant statistical loss method to handle heavy-tailed and multivariate data using a Pareto-ISL generator trained with input noise from a generalised Pareto distribution.
result Pareto-ISL accurately models the tails of heavy-tailed distributions while capturing central characteristics.

Deep models can't generate heavy-tailed samples well.

problem Understanding the limitations of deep generative models in generating samples with heavy tails.
method Unified framework using concentration of measure and convex geometry, Gromov-Levy inequality.
result Deep generative models are not universal generators and can only produce concentrated samples with light tails.

Adaptive experiment designs can dramatically improve statistical efficiency in randomized trials, but they also complicate statistical inference. For example, it is now well known that the sample mean is biased in adaptive trials. Inferential challenges are exacerbated when our parameter of interest differs from the pa…

2019-11-07abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper improves kernel quantile regression with random features for handling heavy-tailed noises.

problem Handling heavy-tailed noises in kernel quantile regression.
method Introduces a refined error decomposition and establishes a novel connection between KQR-RF and KRR-RF.
result Establishes capacity-dependent learning rates for KQR-RF under mild conditions on the number of random features, which are minimax optimal up to some logarithmic factors.

Efficiently estimates sparse linear regression with heavy-tailed and outlier-contaminated data.

problem Estimating sparse linear regression coefficients with heavy-tailed and outlier-contaminated data.
method Efficient computation of estimators with sharp error bounds.
result Sharp error bounds for efficient estimators.

New method estimates extreme outcomes in heavy-tailed data, breaking circular dependence.

problem Estimating outcomes for extreme events in heavy-tailed data.
method Proposes an ADRF estimator that includes a structured tail-shape output and a diagnostic to evaluate tail shape.
result Successfully reduces MAE in deep-tail and conditional-shortfall predictions.

New diffusion models capture heavy-tailed distributions better.

problem Diffusion models struggle with rare or extreme events in heavy-tailed distributions.
method Repurposed diffusion framework using multivariate Student-t distributions, tailored perturbation kernel, and γγ-divergence.
result Our models generate rare and extreme events more effectively than standard diffusion models.

New concentration inequalities for tensors with heavy-tailed coefficients.

problem Developing bounds for Euclidean functions of tensors with sub-Weibull distributions.
method Extending concentration inequalities to sub-Weibull random tensors, using new inequalities for heavy-tailed random variables and martingale analysis.
result Established a phase transition between sub-gaussian and heavy-tailed regimes for Euclidean functions of tensors.

We study prediction and estimation problems using empirical risk minimization, relative to a general convex loss function. We obtain sharp error rates even when concentration is false or is very restricted, for example, in heavy-tailed scenarios. Our results show that the error rate depends on two parameters: one captu…

2014-10-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on error probability for classification of heavy-tailed renewal processes.

problem Error probability in classification of heavy-tailed renewal processes.
method Asymptotic expressions for Bhattacharyya bound on misclassification error probabilities.
result Obtained asymptotic expressions for misclassification error probabilities.

BBVI converges nearly dimensionally independent for log-concave targets.

problem Efficiently optimizing variational parameters in high-dimensional spaces.
method Proved convergence rate of BBVI with reparametrization gradient for log-concave targets.
result BBVI converges with nearly independent dimension dependence for log-concave targets.

Paper supports robust estimation in regression with heavy-tailed errors.

problem Support estimation in high-dimensional heteroscedastic mean regression.
method Use of Huber loss function and adaptive LASSO penalty for robust estimation.
result Sign-consistency and optimal rates of convergence in \ell_\infty norm.

Paper tackles robust offline RL with heavy-tailed rewards.

problem Real-world applications often encounter heavy-tailed rewards, challenging offline RL.
method Proposes ROAM and ROOM algorithms using median-of-means method for robust off-policy evaluation and OPO.
result Demonstrates superior performance on heavy-tailed reward datasets compared to existing methods.

Privacy-preserving SGD with heavy-tailed noise achieves differential privacy guarantees.

problem Privacy preservation in noisy SGD with heavy-tailed noise.
method Differential privacy guarantees for SGD with heavy-tailed noise.
result SGD with heavy-tailed perturbations achieves (0,O(1/n))(0, O(1/n))-DP.