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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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3367100133 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for heavy-tailed covariates

Efficiently estimates sparse linear regression with heavy-tailed and outlier-contaminated data.

problem Estimating sparse linear regression coefficients with heavy-tailed and outlier-contaminated data.
method Efficient computation of estimators with sharp error bounds.
result Sharp error bounds for efficient estimators.

Efficiently estimates sparse linear regression with heavy-tailed data and outliers.

problem Sparse estimation of linear regression coefficients with heavy-tailed covariates and noises, including outliers.
method Efficient computation of robust estimator with nearly optimal error bound.
result Nearly optimal error bound for robust sparse estimation.

Improved robust regression for heavy-tailed and contaminated data.

problem Linear regression with heavy-tailed and adversarially contaminated covariates and responses.
method Applying a filtering algorithm to covariates and then using Huber regression, least trimmed squares, or least absolute deviation estimators on the remaining data.
result Near-optimal error rates achieved for the Huber regression estimator.

Paper quantizes heavy-tailed data for near optimal estimation rates.

problem Estimating parameters from heavy-tailed data with quantization.
method Truncate and dither data, then uniformly quantize; achieves near minimax rates.
result Near optimal estimation rates achievable with quantized data.

Study connects covariance cleaning theory to information theory for heavy-tailed distributions.

problem Optimizing covariance matrices for heavy-tailed distributions using information theory.
method Minimizing Frobenius norm and information loss between true and estimated covariance matrices.
result Asymptotic regime of large matrices minimizes information loss for Student's t distributions.

Study examines robust regression in high dimensions with heavy-tailed data.

problem Analyzing robust regression in high-dimensional settings with heavy-tailed data.
method Sharp asymptotic characterisation of M-estimators and ridge regression in elliptical distributions.
result Ridge regression is optimal and universal for finite second moments but can decay faster without them.

The study analyzes how covariance estimation errors affect the global minimum-variance portfolio under heavy-tailed distributions.

problem The impact of covariance estimation errors on the global minimum-variance portfolio under heavy-tailed distributions.
method Characterization of covariance-estimation error's effect on GMVP suboptimality, derivation of regret identity and bound, application to heavy-tailed returns.
result The decision geometry of GMVP regret is invariant to a (p-1)-dimensional projection of the error matrix, with invariance to the covariance-scale direction as an exact special case.

Study improves error bounds for sparse regression with heavy-tailed covariates.

problem Estimating sparse coefficients in linear regression with heavy-tailed covariates.
method Employed an 1\ell_1-penalized Huber regression method.
result Error bound identical to Gaussian case for LL-subexponential covariates.

New method for cross-validation in high-dimensional data with dependent or heavy-tailed covariates.

problem Inconsistent cross-validation in high-dimensional settings with dependent or heavy-tailed covariates.
method ROTI-GCV framework for cross-validation under proportional asymptotics regime.
result Demonstrated accuracy of ROTI-GCV in synthetic and semi-synthetic settings.

Paper examines the structure of stochastic gradients in deep learning.

problem Exploring the structure and heavy tails of stochastic gradients in deep learning.
method Conducted formal statistical tests on stochastic gradients and gradient noise.
result Stochastic gradients and gradient noise do not exhibit power-law heavy tails, but their covariance spectra do.

Independent Component Analysis (ICA) is the problem of learning a square matrix AA, given samples of X=ASX=AS, where SS is a random vector with independent coordinates. Most existing algorithms are provably efficient only when each SiS_i has finite and moderately valued fourth moment. However, there are practical appli…

2017-02-22abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method estimates parameters in heavy-tailed corrupted regression with unknown covariance and heterogeneous noise.

problem Estimating parameters in regression with heavy-tailed errors and unknown covariance.
method Near-optimal computationally tractable estimator based on power method and Multiplicative Weight Update algorithm.
result The estimator achieves the optimal statistical rate and breakdown-point under near-optimal sample size.

In this work we provide an estimator for the covariance matrix of a heavy-tailed multivariate distributionWe prove that the proposed estimator S^\widehat{\mathbf{S}} admits an \textit{affine-invariant} bound of the form \[(1-\varepsilon) \mathbf{S} \preccurlyeq \widehat{\mathbf{S}} \preccurlyeq (1+\varepsilon) \mathbf{…

2019-02-08abs ↗pdf ↗

This work studies applications and generalizations of a simple estimation technique that provides exponential concentration under heavy-tailed distributions, assuming only bounded low-order moments. We show that the technique can be used for approximate minimization of smooth and strongly convex losses, and specificall…

2013-07-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Study robust linear regression without distributional assumptions for heavy-tailed responses.

problem Linear regression with heavy-tailed responses and no distributional assumptions.
method Combining truncated least squares, median-of-means, and aggregation theory to construct a non-linear estimator.
result Achieves excess risk of order d/nd/n with optimal sub-exponential tail.

Paper proposes a 1-bit quantization scheme for high-dimensional statistical estimation.

problem High-dimensional statistical estimation with limited data.
method Uniformly dithered 1-bit quantization for sparse covariance matrix estimation, sparse linear regression, and matrix completion.
result Near minimax rates in sub-Gaussian regime and improved rates in heavy-tailed regime.

New method improves covariance estimation for weighted samples.

problem Improving covariance estimation for weighted sample data.
method Asymptotic non-linear shrinkage formulas for covariance and precision matrix estimators of weighted sample covariances.
result Asymptotic non-linear shrinkage formulas for covariance and precision matrix estimators of weighted sample covariances.

This work compresses heavy-tailed weight matrices for tighter generalization bounds.

problem Empirical evidence linking heavy-tailed weight matrices to test set accuracy but lack of formal relationship with generalization bounds.
method Utilized the compression framework to show that heavy-tailed matrices can be compressed, resulting in sparse weight matrices.
result Demonstrated a non-vacuous generalization bound for compressed networks with heavy-tailed weight matrices.

Paper proposes a new method for covariance estimation using M-estimators with eigenvalue shrinkage.

problem Estimating covariance matrices in heavy-tailed distributions.
method Replaces shrinkage sample covariance matrix with M-estimator of scatter matrix and optimizes shrinkage parameter.
result Shrinkage M-estimators outperform shrinkage SCM in heavy-tailed distributions.

Novel SVM approach for extreme quantile regression with heavy tailed inputs.

problem Learning from extreme values in quantile regression.
method Support Vector Machine framework for handling high-dimensional and nonlinear settings.
result Established finite-sample learning guarantees under mild regularity assumptions.

Heavy-tailed outliers are more resilient to robust estimation than adversarial ones.

problem Developing robust estimators for data with outliers.
method Analyzing the relationship between adversarial and heavy-tailed outlier models.
result Optimal estimators for heavy-tailed outliers are also optimal for adversarial settings, but not vice versa.

Study characterizes learning from heavy-tailed data in high dimensions using superstatistical methods.

problem Characterizing learning from heavy-tailed data in high-dimensional settings.
method Empirical risk minimization with double-stochastic processes and superstatistical analysis.
result Analytical characterization of separability transition and generalization performance.

Improved Clipped-SGD achieves near-optimal heavy-tailed statistical estimation in streaming settings.

problem High-dimensional heavy-tailed statistical estimation in streaming with memory constraints.
method Stochastic convex optimization with Clipped-SGD, proving near-optimal sub-Gaussian statistical rates.
result Clipped-SGD achieves an error of Tr(Σ)+Tr(Σ)Σ2log(log(T)δ)T\sqrt{\frac{\mathsf{Tr}(Σ)+\sqrt{\mathsf{Tr}(Σ)\|Σ\|_2}\log(\frac{\log(T)}δ)}{T}} with probability 1δ1-δ.

Paper develops sparse learning for heavy-tailed time series with locally stationary dynamics.

problem Sparse learning for high-dimensional heavy-tailed locally stationary time series.
method Additive modeling with kernel smoothing, sparsity-inducing penalized estimation.
result Prediction-error bounds and convergence rates for different sparsity structures.

Optimizes hybrid insurance contracts for heavy-tailed losses.

problem Providing insurance against heavy-tailed losses with finite expected loss.
method Combines traditional and parametric insurance, using a Pareto-type criterion for optimization.
result The hybrid contract outperforms traditional contracts in simulations and real data.

Study LASSO for high-dimensional VAR models with weakly dependent innovations.

problem Understanding sparse regularization in high-dimensional VAR models with weakly dependent innovations.
method LASSO estimation for weakly sparse VAR models with heavy tailed innovations, under L1L^1 mixingale condition.
result Oracle properties of LASSO estimation in high-dimensional VAR models with weakly dependent innovations.

New methods estimate covariance for matrix data without assuming fixed size or specific distributions.

problem Estimating covariance for high-dimensional matrix data without distributional assumptions.
method Unified framework for bandable covariance estimation with rank one approximation, robust to heavy-tailed data.
result Proposed estimators are rate-optimal and perform well in simulations and real applications.

We study the design of portfolios under a minimum risk criterion. The performance of the optimized portfolio relies on the accuracy of the estimated covariance matrix of the portfolio asset returns. For large portfolios, the number of available market returns is often of similar order to the number of assets, so that t…

2015-03-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a new algorithm for graph learning with covariance constraints.

problem Graphical models and factor analysis not jointly leveraged in graph learning processes.
method Penalized maximum likelihood estimation of an elliptical distribution with Riemannian optimization.
result Effectiveness of the proposed approach demonstrated on real-world data sets.

Study uses detrended cross-correlation to analyze cryptocurrency market, revealing robust collective modes and distinguishing interdependencies.

problem Nonstationarity, long-range memory, and heavy-tailed fluctuations obscure traditional correlations in complex systems.
method Constructs detrended correlation matrices using multifractal detrended cross-correlation coefficient ρrρ_r to emphasize different fluctuations.
result Detrending and fluctuation analysis reveal distinct spectral properties from random case, identifying market and sectoral components.

Accelerated optimization methods improve robustness and privacy in estimation.

problem Improving robustness and privacy in estimation methods.
method Accelerated gradient methods based on Frank-Wolfe and projected gradient descent, with tailored learning rates and Nesterov's momentum.
result Reduction in iteration complexity, leading to stronger statistical guarantees.

Efficient algorithm learns mixture models of heavy-tailed distributions.

problem Learning mixture models of heavy-tailed distributions.
method Efficient high-dimensional sparse Fourier transforms.
result Algorithm succeeds for heavy-tailed distributions, including Laplace but excluding Gaussians.

Efficiently estimates covariance for sub-Weibull vectors with sub-Gaussian rate.

problem Outliers in high-dimensional covariance estimation.
method Cross-Fitted Norm-Truncated Estimator for Sub-Weibull distributions.
result Achieves optimal sub-Gaussian rate with O(Nd2)O(Nd^2) operations.

The paper provides exact multivariate amplitude distributions for non-stationary Gaussian or algebraic fluctuations.

problem Capturing the statistical properties of fluctuating correlations in non-stationary systems.
method Developed a random matrix model to average multivariate amplitude distributions from short time scales to large time scales.
result Explicit multivariate distributions for non-stationary correlation systems are provided, capturing the degree of non-stationarity.