Heat demand prediction is a prominent research topic in the area of intelligent energy networks. It has been well recognized that periodicity is one of the important characteristics of heat demand. Seasonal-trend decomposition based on LOESS (STL) algorithm can analyze the periodicity of a heat demand series, and decom…
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,657 papers · 148 categories
Trend · papers per month
48 results for “heating demand”
Novel probabilistic models forecast residential heating and electricity demand at hourly resolution.
problem Accurate hourly forecasting of residential heating and electricity demand.
method Probabilistic deep learning models trained on gas-heated region data.
result Significant improvement in forecast accuracy compared to NREL's ResStock model.
Using artificial neural network for the prediction of heat demand has attracted more and more attention. Weather conditions, such as ambient temperature, wind speed and direct solar irradiance, have been identified as key input parameters. In order to further improve the model accuracy, it is of great importance to und…
CityTFT models urban building energy using a data-driven approach.
problem Current UBEM methods are time-consuming and based on physics.
method CityTFT uses a TFT framework with an augmented loss function.
result CityTFT predicts energy demands with high accuracy.
Oil markets profoundly influence world economies through determination of prices of energy and transports. Using novel methodology devised in frequency domain, we study the information transmission mechanisms in oil-based commodity markets. Taking crude oil as a supply-side benchmark and heating oil and gasoline as dem…
Model forecasts hourly electricity demand influenced by weather, socio-economic, and political factors.
problem Accurate hourly electricity demand forecasting in the face of multifaceted uncertainties.
method Interpretable probabilistic mid-term forecasting model using Generalized Additive Models (GAMs).
result Highlights vulnerability of countries to extreme weather scenarios under electric heating adoption.
This paper optimizes a power-to-heat system using reinforcement learning for cost minimization under uncertain conditions.
problem Optimizing a power-to-heat system with fluctuating renewable energy sources.
method Stochastic optimal control, reinforcement learning (Q-learning).
result Reinforcement learning provides an efficient solution to the optimization problem.
Paper uses tensor completion to estimate HVAC fan power baselines.
problem Estimating HVAC fan power without demand response.
method Tensor completion for multi-dimensional data analysis.
result Tensor completion outperforms existing baselining methods.
In coming years residential consumers will face real-time electricity tariffs with energy prices varying day to day, and effective energy saving will require automation - a recommender system, which learns consumer's preferences from her actions. A consumer chooses a scenario of home appliance use to balance her comfor…
The large thermal capacity of buildings enables heating, ventilating, and air-conditioning (HVAC) systems to be exploited as demand response (DR) resources. Optimal DR of HVAC units is challenging, particularly for multi-zone buildings, because this requires detailed physics-based models of zonal temperature variations…
The paper compares heat kernels on manifolds with Robin boundary conditions.
problem Comparing heat kernels on manifolds with different boundary conditions.
method Proving comparison theorems for heat kernels on geodesic balls and minimal submanifolds.
result Eigenvalue comparison theorem for the first Robin eigenvalues on minimal submanifolds.
We give a short proof of a strong version of the short time asymptotic expansion of heat kernels associated to Laplace type operators acting on sections of vector bundles over compact Riemannian manifolds, including exponential decay of the difference of the approximate heat kernel and the true heat kernel. We use this…
Adaptive probabilistic load forecasting improves performance in power systems.
problem Complexity of electricity load forecasting due to changing drivers and local generation.
method Adaptive probabilistic approach using Kalman filter and online gradient descent.
result Adaptive probabilistic forecasts improve performance in both point and probabilistic forecasting.
Study on biharmonic map heat flow with monotonicity formula.
problem Properties of biharmonic heat kernel and extrinsic biharmonic map heat flow.
method Derived an entropy type quantity exhibiting monotonicity behaviors.
result Monotonicity formula for extrinsic biharmonic map heat flow.
Study on uniquely determining thermal properties from boundary temperature and heat flux measurements.
problem Determine thermal conductivity and volumetric heat capacity from boundary measurements.
method Uniqueness proof for isotropic and anisotropic media under thermal diffusivity assumption.
result Uniqueness of thermal properties in all dimensions and up to a gauge in two dimensions.
Understanding the heat usage of customers is crucial for effective district heating operations and management. Unfortunately, existing knowledge about customers and their heat load behaviors is quite scarce. Most previous studies are limited to small-scale analyses that are not representative enough to understand the b…
We consider Laplacians acting on sections of homogeneous vector bundles over symmetric spaces. By using an integral representation of the heat semi-group we find a formal solution for the heat kernel diagonal that gives a generating function for the whole sequence of heat invariants. We show explicitly that the obtaine…
The heat kernel for the Cauchy-Riemann subLaplacian on S(2n+1) is derived in a manner which is completely analogous to the classical derivation of elliptic heat kernels. This suggests that the classical hamiltonian construction of elliptic heat kernels, with appropriate modifications, does yield heat kernels for subell…
The paper studies heat kernel asymptotics and proves Morse inequalities.
problem Analyzing the asymptotic behavior of heat kernels near critical points.
method Localization and scaling techniques in semi-classical analysis.
result The heat kernel near critical points is approximated by harmonic oscillator kernels, leading to Morse inequalities.
A new method forecasts hourly electricity prices considering product dynamics and limit order book signals.
problem High volatility and imbalance in power systems due to renewable energy and flexible demand.
method Incorporates short-term features from hourly and quarter-hourly products, including limit order book and neighboring product signals.
result Features from the limit order book are most influential, and neighboring product signals improve forecast accuracy.
Gradient Estimates For The CR Heat Equation On Complete noncompact Pseudo-Hermitian Manifoldsmath.DG
Derives gradient estimates for CR heat equation on pseudo-Hermitian manifolds.
problem Estimating solutions to CR heat equation on complex manifolds.
method Local and global Li-Yau type gradient estimates.
result Gradient estimates and Harnack inequality for positive solutions.
New heat equation method solves intertwining problems in CR geometry.
problem Intertwining problems in conformal CR geometry.
method Heat equation and extension problems approach.
result New intertwining formulas derived.
The Liouville theorem is proven for V T-harmonic map heat flow.
problem Proving Liouville theorems for V T-harmonic maps.
method Analyzing heat flow on manifolds with specific properties.
result Liouville theorems established for V T-harmonic maps.
We consider Laplacians acting on sections of homogeneous vector bundles over symmetric spaces. By using an integral representation of the heat semi-group we find a formal solution for the heat kernel diagonal that gives a generating function for the whole sequence of heat invariants. We argue that the obtained formal s…
Paper studies heat flow for maps on manifolds, avoiding singularities.
problem Avoiding singularities in heat flow for maps on manifolds.
method Introduces regularized conformal heat flow for -harmonic maps.
result Regularized -conformal heat flow does not develop finite time singularities.
In this paper, we first give a direct proof for two recurrence relations of the heat kernels for hyperbolic spaces in \cite{DM}. Then, by similar computation, we give two similar recurrence relations of the heat kernels for spheres. Finally, as an application, we compute the diagonal of heat kernels for odd dimensional…
Formulae connect heat kernels on glued manifolds.
problem Connecting heat kernels on joined manifolds.
method Proved gluing formulae for Laplacian heat kernels.
result Formulae linking heat kernels on joined manifolds.
Proves upper bounds for heat kernels evolving on manifolds.
problem Bounding heat kernels on evolving manifolds.
method Logarithmic Sobolev inequalities and ultracontractivity estimates.
result Gaussian upper bounds for heat kernels are derived.
This paper describes results characterizing the range of the time-t heat operator on various manifolds, including Euclidean spaces, spheres, and hyperbolic spaces. The guiding principle behind these results is this: The functions in the range of the heat operator should be, roughly, those functions having an analytic c…
Study on biharmonic heat equation on manifolds with curvature constraints.
problem Analyzing entire solutions of biharmonic heat equation on manifolds.
method Exponential decay estimates for biharmonic heat kernel under Ricci curvature and noncollapsing conditions. Proving uniqueness criteria for Cauchy problem.
result Conservation law for biharmonic heat kernel and uniform L-infinity estimate for entire solutions.
Derives properties of heat kernel for Rumin complex on Heisenberg groups.
problem Analyzing heat kernel properties for Rumin complex.
method Derives properties of heat equation with Hodge operator on Heisenberg groups.
result Constructs Calderón reproducing formula using heat kernel for Rumin forms.
The paper studies heat kernels on weighted Riemannian manifolds with curvature bounds.
problem Estimating heat kernels on weighted Riemannian manifolds with lower Ricci curvature bounds.
method Establishing parabolic Harnack inequalities, proving Gaussian bounds for heat kernels, and constructing Li-Yau-type gradient estimates.
result Gaussian upper and lower bounds for the heat kernel, Liouville theorem, uniqueness property, and eigenvalue bounds.
In this paper we give Hamilton's Laplacian estimates for the heat equation on complete noncompact manifolds with nonnegative Ricci curvature. As an application, combining Li-Yau's lower and upper bounds of the heat kernel, we give an estimate on Laplacian form of the heat kernel on complete manifolds with nonnegative R…
Paper studies smoothness of bi-conformal heat flow on 4-manifolds.
problem Smoothness of bi-conformal heat flow on 4-manifolds.
method Introduces bi-conformal heat flow (bi-CHF) and proves global smoothness without finite time singularities.
result Global smoothness and no finite time singularity for bi-conformal heat flow.
Study heat content in sub-Riemannian manifolds, obtaining asymptotic expansion.
problem Heat content in sub-Riemannian manifolds with non-characteristic domains.
method Fourth-order asymptotic expansion, combining rough boundary temperature and stochastic completeness.
result Obtained a fourth-order asymptotic expansion for relative heat content.
In this paper, we study two kind of L^2 norm preserved non-local heat flows on closed manifolds. We first study the global existence, stability and asymptotic behavior to such non-local heat flows. Next we give the gradient estimates of positive solutions to these heat flows.
The paper develops heat kernel comparison theorems and applies them to spectral geometry.
problem Developing mathematical tools for spectral geometry.
method Established weighted heat kernel comparison theorems for manifolds with bounded radial curvatures.
result Two eigenvalue comparison theorems for the first Dirichlet eigenvalue of the Witten-Laplacian.
Due to expensive infrastructure and the difficulties in storage, supply conditions of natural gas are different from those of other traditional energy sources like petroleum or coal. To overcome these challenges, supplier countries require take-or-pay agreements for requested natural gas quantities. These contracts hav…
Heat flow fails to preserve concavity in curved spaces.
problem Non-preservation of concavity properties in curved spaces.
method Analysis of Dirichlet heat flow on Riemannian manifolds.
result No concavity properties are preserved unless curvature is zero.
We develop a new method for the calculation of the heat trace asymptotics of the Laplacian on symmetric spaces that is based on a representation of the heat semigroup in form of an average over the Lie group of isometries and obtain a generating function for the whole sequence of all heat invariants.
Bounds on Hessian of heat equation coupled with Ricci flow.
problem Estimating the Hessian of a solution to the conjugate heat equation coupled with Ricci flow.
method Obtained upper bounds for the Hessian.
result Local and global upper bounds for the Hessian of a positive solution.
Quantum heat tracesmath-ph
We study new invariants of elliptic partial differential operators acting on sections of a vector bundle over a closed Riemannian manifold that we call the relativistic heat trace and the quantum heat traces. We obtain some reduction formulas expressing these new invariants in terms of some integral transforms of the u…
Exponential rate of convergence for harmonic heat flow maps.
problem Analyzing the convergence rate of harmonic heat flow maps.
method Proving exponential convergence rate for harmonic heat flow maps.
result Exponential convergence rate of the harmonic heat flow.
From the uniformization theorem, we know that every Riemann surface has a simply-connected covering space. Moreover, there are only three simply-connected Riemann surfaces: the sphere, the Euclidean plane, and the hyperbolic plane. In this paper, we collect the known heat kernels, or Green's functions, for these three …
In a 1991 paper by Buttig and Eichhorn, the existence and uniqueness of a differential forms heat kernel on open manifolds of bounded geometry was proven. In that paper, it was shown that the heat kernel obeyed certain properties, one of which was a relationship between the derivative of heat kernel of different degree…
This paper proposes an unsupervised learning method to solve heat equations on chips.
problem Critical need for solving heat transfer equations on chips for 5G and AI.
method Hybrid framework of Auto Encoder and Image Gradient for unsupervised learning.
result Framework can solve heat transfer problems with a single training process and predict unseen cases.
New heat semigroup characterizes Sobolev and BV spaces in Carnot groups.
problem Lack of explicit representations and symmetry in heat kernels in sub-Riemannian geometry.
method Establishes a new heat semigroup characterisation using integral decoupling property.
result Characterizes Sobolev and BV spaces in Carnot groups.
Most of the current game-theoretic demand-side management methods focus primarily on the scheduling of home appliances, and the related numerical experiments are analyzed under various scenarios to achieve the corresponding Nash-equilibrium (NE) and optimal results. However, not much work is conducted for academic or c…