StageNet improves health risk prediction by integrating disease stage information.
problem Improving health risk prediction for patients with chronic conditions.
method StageNet uses a stage-aware LSTM and stage-adaptive convolutional modules to extract and integrate disease stage information.
result StageNet achieves up to 12% higher AUPRC for risk prediction and over 58% higher Calinski-Harabasz score for patient subtyping compared to state-of-the-art models.
DynGraph2Seq predicts health stages from user activity graphs in online forums.
problem Predicting health stages from changing user activities in online forums.
method Formulated user activities as dynamic graphs, used DynGraph2Seq model with hierarchical attention.
result Demonstrated effectiveness and interpretability of DynGraph2Seq.
Develops a two-stage conformal prediction method for Parkinson's disease medication needs.
problem Heterogeneous disease progression and treatment response in Parkinson's Disease.
method Two-stage conformal prediction framework with statistical guarantees.
result Quantifies uncertainty in medication needs predictions, improving clinical trust and quality of life.
A new framework integrates classification and regression tasks in multi-task learning.
problem Jointly solving classification and regression tasks in multi-task scenarios.
method Two-Stage Learning-to-Defer (L2D) framework with a unified deferral mechanism.
result Unified deferral mechanism ensures convergence to the Bayes-optimal rejector.
Models predict patients at risk of uncontrolled hypertension.
problem Identifying patients at risk of uncontrolled hypertension.
method Developed machine learning models (logistic regression and recurrent neural networks) using EHR data.
result Best model achieved AUROC of 0.719, outperforming baseline.
Electronic health records (EHRs) have contributed to the computerization of patient records and can thus be used not only for efficient and systematic medical services, but also for research on biomedical data science. However, there are many missing values in EHRs when provided in matrix form, which is an important is…
Study assesses health plan risk measures for Solvency Capital Requirement.
problem Assessing risk measures for health plans to meet Solvency Capital Requirement.
method Three-part regression model with three GLMs for claim counts, episode allocation, and severity.
result Reduction in regression models compared to traditional methods.
Study uses machine learning to predict future health from various health data types.
problem Predicting future health using diverse health data types.
method Applied machine learning (neural networks and XGBoost) to longitudinal data from 6830 individuals.
result Health-related measures were the strongest predictors of future health status, while genetic data performed poorly.
Deep neural network predicts health costs better than traditional models.
problem Accurate prediction of healthcare costs for optimal cost management.
method Developed a deep neural network to predict future health care costs from health insurance claims records.
result Deep neural network outperformed ridge regression and Morbi-RSA models in cost prediction.
The field of mobile health aims to leverage recent advances in wearable on-body sensing technology and smart phone computing capabilities to develop systems that can monitor health states and deliver just-in-time adaptive interventions. However, existing work has largely focused on analyzing collected data in the off-l…
Study defines and optimizes bank reliability using LR and PSO.
problem Lack of reliability concept in financial services.
method Logistic Regression (LR) for initial estimation, Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) for optimization.
result Optimal financial ratios maximize bank reliability.
While the volume of electronic health records (EHR) data continues to grow, it remains rare for hospital systems to capture dense physiological data streams, even in the data-rich intensive care unit setting. Instead, typical EHR records consist of sparse and irregularly observed multivariate time series, which are wel…
Study finds macroeconomic indicators predict health workforce and infrastructure measures.
problem Evaluating the predictive value of macroeconomic indicators for public health targets.
method Examined multiple forecasting approaches including neural networks, generalized additive models, random forests, and time series models with exogenous indicators.
result Macroeconomic indicators provide consistent and reproducible predictive signals for health workforce and infrastructure measures, but less so for other targets.
New deep learning model for sparse, irregularly sampled multivariate time series.
problem Supervised learning with sparse and irregularly sampled multivariate time series.
method Interpolation-Prediction Networks: semi-parametric interpolation followed by a prediction network.
result Interpolation-Prediction Networks outperform baseline models in classification and regression tasks.
LHIEM model predicts health, income, and employment over years.
problem Lack of path dependency in health policy simulations.
method Discrete-time microsimulation with Markov chain modules.
result Validates health care financing proposal through detailed modeling.
AdaCare learns health status from biomarkers across multiple time scales.
problem Lack of explicit extraction of historical biomarker variation and adaptability to diverse patient conditions.
method Scale-adaptive feature extraction and recalibration for interpretability.
result AdaCare achieves state-of-the-art prediction accuracy and provides interpretable results.
AI enhances personalized drug development and decision-making in pharma.
problem Traditional drug development lacks personalized treatment plans.
method Application of AI in drug discovery, clinical trials, and post-marketing assessment.
result AI improves personalized medicine, optimizing health outcomes.
Stable health predictions need deconfounding test set features.
problem Stability of predictions in health machine learning is compromised by selection biases.
method Deconfounding the test set features improves prediction stability across different environments.
result Improved stability achieved by deconfounding test set features.
Study integrates diverse data sources to predict mental health conditions.
problem Predict individuals' mental health conditions using a heterogeneous network approach.
method Leverage a heterogeneous information network (HIN) to model social interaction, health data, and survey data. Apply recommender system (RS) and node classification (NC) paradigms to predict mental health states.
result RS and NC methods outperform traditional logistic regression models in predicting mental health conditions.
Model predicts depression and anxiety from social network dynamics.
problem Predicting mental health from social interactions.
method Developed a predictive model using dynamic social network data.
result Dynamic social network model outperforms static models.
Study optimizes deep learning models for sleep stage classification.
problem Time-consuming and inconsistent manual sleep stage scoring.
method Investigated architectural choices in encoder-predictor architectures for polysomnography recordings.
result Robust architectures improve sleep stage classification performance.
CovidCare uses EMR data to predict patient outcomes in emerging epidemics.
problem Intelligent prognosis for patients with emerging infectious diseases during rapid epidemics.
method Transfer learning and knowledge distillation from existing EMR data.
result CovidCare outperforms baseline methods in predicting patient length of stay.
Study on privacy-preserving health care models that sacrifice accuracy for data protection.
problem Privacy-preserving models in health care neglect data from the tails, reducing accuracy for small groups.
method Used state-of-the-art differentially private learning methods for clinical prediction tasks.
result Privacy-preserving models in health care exhibit steep tradeoffs between privacy and utility, and disproportionately influence large demographic groups.
A new conformal prediction framework for two-stage models identifies stage-wise uncertainty.
problem Limited coverage guarantees and lack of modular structure understanding in existing conformal prediction methods.
method Decomposes prediction residuals into stage-specific components, calibrates parameters using FWER control, and adapts to non-stationary settings.
result Improves coverage and identifies stage-wise error contributions compared to standard conformal methods.
Acute Kidney Injury (AKI) is a common clinical syndrome characterized by the rapid loss of kidney excretory function, which aggravates the clinical severity of other diseases in a large number of hospitalized patients. Accurate early prediction of AKI can enable in-time interventions and treatments. However, AKI is hig…
New methods reduce bias in machine learning predictions for causal inference without extra data.
problem Machine learning predictions from satellite data shrink toward the mean, leading to biased causal estimates.
method Two post-hoc correction methods: Linear Calibration Correction (LCC) and Tweedie's approach, reduce shrinkage-induced bias.
result Tweedie's method yields nearly unbiased treatment-effect estimates, enabling multiple trials with a single map.
Study shows racial bias in health data, which can be reduced with simple techniques.
problem Racial bias in health indicators measured by the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS).
method Used publicly available and nationally representative MEPS data to show bias in predictive models for care management.
result Racial bias can be significantly reduced using simple mitigation techniques.
Machine learning models outperform traditional actuarial methods in predicting health insurance costs.
problem Improving accuracy in health insurance pricing to identify concession opportunities.
method Developed and evaluated two machine learning models at the patient and employer-group levels.
result Machine learning models outperformed traditional actuarial models by 20% in predicting costs.
The huge wealth of data in the health domain can be exploited to create models that predict development of health states over time. Temporal learning algorithms are well suited to learn relationships between health states and make predictions about their future developments. However, these algorithms: (1) either focus …
Deep learning predicts drug prescriptions across global health records.
problem Predicting drug prescriptions in chronic disease patients.
method Adaptive cross-global attention graph kernel network with support vector machine.
result Model outperforms current methods in accuracy and interpretability.
New fair regression method improves fairness in chronic kidney disease classification.
problem Mitigating societal bias in health care for multiple groups.
method Penalized fair regression framework for multiple groups, with penalties for true positive rate disparity.
result Achieves fairness-accuracy frontier beyond existing methods in simulations and real-world data.
The paper tackles robust classification trees for distribution shifts, improving accuracy in public health and social work.
problem Learning robust classification trees for high-stakes settings with distribution shifts.
method Mixed-integer robust optimization technology to reformulate as a two-stage linear robust optimization problem.
result Increase of up to 12.48% in worst-case accuracy and 4.85% in average-case accuracy.
High-throughput machine learning predicts thousands of diagnosis codes with high accuracy.
problem Predicting disease risk for thousands of diagnosis codes at various time points.
method Training machine learning algorithms on EHR data to predict diagnosis risks.
result Achieved AUCs of 0.803 and 0.758 for 1 and 6-month predictions, respectively.
Electronic health record (EHR) systems are used extensively throughout the healthcare domain. However, data interchangeability between EHR systems is limited due to the use of different coding standards across systems. Existing methods of mapping coding standards based on manual human experts mapping, dictionary mappin…
Study uses machine learning and survival analysis to predict CKD progression.
problem Early detection and management of CKD to reduce ESRD risk.
method Combines machine learning and classical statistical models to identify novel CKD progression predictors.
result Deep learning models outperform other methods in predicting CKD progression.
Machine learning can improve 2SLS first stage predictions, but nonlinear methods often introduce bias.
problem Improving the first stage of 2SLS using machine learning.
method Decomposed bias into three components, investigated through simulation.
result Nonlinear machine learning methods can introduce substantial bias in second-stage estimates.
New algorithm forecasts health indicators for better equipment lifespan prediction.
problem Improving equipment lifespan prediction through health indicator forecasting.
method Generative + scenario matching approach using Gaussian Process.
result Superior performance compared to existing methods.
Improves flu prediction by blending environment and population info.
problem Challenges in using data from one environment in another due to feature variability and population subgroup differences.
method Population-aware hierarchical Bayesian domain adaptation framework with multiple invariant components.
result Model improves flu prediction in new environments with unlabelled data.
Sleep plays a vital role in human health, both mental and physical. Sleep disorders like sleep apnea are increasing in prevalence, with the rapid increase in factors like obesity. Sleep apnea is most commonly treated with Continuous Positive Air Pressure (CPAP) therapy. Presently, however, there is no mechanism to moni…
Enhances patient failure prediction using dynamic survival models.
problem Lack of precise individual level prediction in conventional models.
method Developed counterfactual dynamic survival model (CDSM).
result Inflection point of estimated survival curves predicts patient failure time.
The wide implementation of electronic health record (EHR) systems facilitates the collection of large-scale health data from real clinical settings. Despite the significant increase in adoption of EHR systems, this data remains largely unexplored, but presents a rich data source for knowledge discovery from patient hea…
The study predicts health risks of young migrants using machine learning.
problem Predicting health risks of young migrants in data-constrained environments.
method Designing a webapp for stakeholders, curating an artificially curated dataset, and experimenting with machine learning models.
result Machine learning can assist in identifying vulnerable migrants and critical factors of migration.
Paper proposes sharing models instead of data for smart health predictions.
problem Sharing sensitive medical data is legally restricted and challenging.
method Train a teacher model on sensitive data, then transfer its knowledge to a student model without accessing original data.
result Student model mimics teacher model performance in making accurate predictions.
Simulation-based inference aids in predicting disease dynamics for health policy.
problem Predicting disease dynamics to inform public health interventions.
method Simulation-based inference using machine learning.
result Potential for efficient interpretable Bayesian inference in epidemiological models.
Personalized predictive medicine necessitates the modeling of patient illness and care processes, which inherently have long-term temporal dependencies. Healthcare observations, recorded in electronic medical records, are episodic and irregular in time. We introduce DeepCare, an end-to-end deep dynamic neural network t…
AI improves healthcare diagnostics and predictions.
problem Data heterogeneity and model limitations in AI for health.
method Review of AI applications in health informatics.
result AI enhances disease diagnosis and prediction.
Infinite hierarchical contrastive clustering identifies personal environments linked to health outcomes.
problem Identifying meaningful relationships between environmental features and health outcomes on an individual level.
method Contrastive clustering framework with stick-breaking prior and participant-specific prediction loss.
result Model effectively identifies distinct personal environments and groups them into meaningful types linked to health outcomes.
This paper offers a methodological contribution at the intersection of machine learning and operations research. Namely, we propose a methodology to quickly predict expected tactical descriptions of operational solutions (TDOSs). The problem we address occurs in the context of two-stage stochastic programming where the…