A new CA-GAN architecture improves minority class data generation in health datasets.
problem Algorithmic bias due to health data poverty and underrepresentation of minority groups.
method Proposes CA-GAN architecture to address shortcomings of resampling and GAN-based approaches.
result CA-GAN outperforms SMOTE and WGAN-GP* in generating authentic minority class data and maintaining original distribution.
New indicator detects financial strain through smart meter data.
problem Fuel poverty in households, affecting millions.
method Smart meters and machine learning for behavior measurement.
result Early detection of financial strain in households.
Scoping review of EO-ML methods for causal inference in poverty geography.
problem Lack of thorough documentation and best practices for EO-ML methods in causal analysis.
method Comprehensive scoping review cataloging five principal approaches.
result Detailed protocol for integrating EO data into causal analysis.
With a new deprivation (or poverty) function, in this paper, we theoretically study the changes in poverty with respect to the `global' mean and variance of the income distribution using Indian survey data. We show that when the income obeys a log-normal distribution, a rising mean income generally indicates a reductio…
Modeling poverty transitions in India over 54 years, showing rising but persistent poverty.
problem Understanding and addressing poverty dynamics in India over long periods.
method Stochastic model of Geometric Brownian Motion with reallocation (RGBM).
result Annual poverty transitions are common, but poverty persists, especially among the poorest.
Spatial machine learning improves poverty targeting in Indonesia.
problem Conventional PMT methods have high exclusion and inclusion errors due to spatial dependencies and regional heterogeneity.
method Integrates spatial contiguity matrices into SML models to identify and compare poverty clusters.
result SML reduces exclusion errors from 28% to 20% compared to standard machine learning models.
Mapping the spatial distribution of poverty in developing countries remains an important and costly challenge. These "poverty maps" are key inputs for poverty targeting, public goods provision, political accountability, and impact evaluation, that are all the more important given the geographic dispersion of the remain…
Wariness affects poverty traps and equilibrium diversity in economic models.
problem The impact of wariness on poverty traps and equilibrium diversity in economic models.
method An overlapping generations model to explore the effects of wariness on poverty traps and equilibrium diversity.
result Wariness can amplify or mitigate the likelihood of poverty traps and can lead to multiple intertemporal equilibria.
We provide investment advice for an individual who wishes to minimize her lifetime poverty, with a penalty for bankruptcy or ruin. We measure poverty via a non-negative, non-increasing function of (running) wealth. Thus, the lower wealth falls and the longer wealth stays low, the greater the penalty. This paper general…
Subsidized insurance reduces poverty by providing social benefits and lowering government costs.
problem Reducing poverty through effective social protection mechanisms.
method Modeling household capital dynamics under four insurance frameworks (uninsured, insured, insured with subsidies, insured with flexible premiums) to assess poverty reduction and governmental costs.
result Subsidized insurance schemes provide maximum social benefits while reducing governmental costs, effectively reducing poverty.
In a recent work (Chattopadhyay, A. K. et al, Europhys. Lett. {\bf 91}, 58003, 2010) based on food consumption statistics, we showed how a stochastic agent based model could represent the time variation of the income distribution statistics in a developing economy, thereby defining an alternative \enquote{poverty index…
Study analyzes household capital risk and poverty trapping, deriving a new function for capital deficit distribution.
problem Analyzing the risk of household capital falling into poverty.
method Introduced a new Gerber-Shiu function to model trapping time and capital deficit distribution.
result Derived a model for capital deficit distribution at trapping using GB distributions.
Study maps interdependence of SDGs, finds complex, dynamic linkages.
problem Identify which SDGs promote progress and how quickly.
method Used a balanced panel of 114 countries from 2000 to 2024, applying two estimators to recover directed interaction network and measure dynamic linkages.
result 84 goal linkages survive false-discovery control, showing both synergies and trade-offs, with no single goal acting as a universal accelerator.
Model shows how capital accumulation can lead to poverty traps and well-being states.
problem Capital accumulation and its effects on poverty and well-being.
method Stochastic Solow growth model with sigmoidal saving fraction and bimodal steady state distribution.
result Existence of poverty trap with fluctuation-driven transitions between poverty and well-being states.
With the rapid expansion of mobile phone networks in developing countries, large-scale graph machine learning has gained sudden relevance in the study of global poverty. Recent applications range from humanitarian response and poverty estimation to urban planning and epidemic containment. Yet the vast majority of compu…
We present a stochastic agent-based model for the distribution of personal incomes in a developing economy. We start with the assumption that incomes are determined both by individual labour and by stochastic effects of trading and investment. The income from personal effort alone is distributed about a mean, while the…
Artificial intelligence (AI) has evolved considerably in the last few years. While applications of AI is now becoming more common in fields like retail and marketing, application of AI in solving problems related to developing countries is still an emerging topic. Specially, AI applications in resource-poor settings re…
Discriminatory trade liberalization policies are becoming more popular among world economies. Countries are motivated to enter for regional trade agreements to capture faster economic growth for alleviating poverty. In developing economies like most of the member countries of the Association of South East Asian Nations…
This paper introduces a novel framework for designing fair and sustainable unemployment benefits, grounded in cooperative game theory and real-time fiscal policy. The labor market is modeled as a coalitional game, where a random subset of participants is employed, generating stochastic economic output. To ensure fairne…
New methods reduce bias in machine learning predictions for causal inference without extra data.
problem Machine learning predictions from satellite data shrink toward the mean, leading to biased causal estimates.
method Two post-hoc correction methods: Linear Calibration Correction (LCC) and Tweedie's approach, reduce shrinkage-induced bias.
result Tweedie's method yields nearly unbiased treatment-effect estimates, enabling multiple trials with a single map.
Satellite imagery helps adjust for unobserved confounders in observational studies.
problem Adjusting for confounding factors in observational studies with non-tabular data like satellite imagery.
method Formalizing conditions for causal effect identification, estimation, and sensitivity analysis.
result Demonstrated the use of satellite imagery as a proxy for unobserved confounders in anti-poverty aid programs.
We describe a method to identify poor households in data-scarce countries by leveraging information contained in nationally representative household surveys. It employs standard statistical learning techniques---cross-validation and parameter regularization---which together reduce the extent to which the model is over-…
Study optimizes CT and microinsurance for efficient social protection in low-income countries.
problem Efficient targeting of cash transfers to reduce social protection costs in low-income countries.
method Modelled household capital dynamics using piecewise-deterministic Markov process, derived HJB equation for optimal injection, used dynamic programming.
result Optimal level of capital injection above poverty threshold for cost-effective social protection.
Study examines how insurance affects households prone to proportional losses, especially those near poverty.
problem Impact of insurance on households susceptible to proportional losses, focusing on poverty traps.
method Modelled proportional capital losses with insurance, derived closed formulae and non-local differential equations.
result New formulae and methods to calculate trapping probability, constraints on parameters to prevent certainty of trapping.
We analyze a conservative market model for the competition among economic agents in a close society. A minimum dynamics ensures that the poorest agent has a chance to improve its economic welfare. After a transient, the system self-organizes into a critical state where the wealth distribution have a minimum threshold, …
Paper introduces multi-scale methods to improve CATE estimation from EO data.
problem Challenges in balancing fine-grained and contextual information in EO-based causal inference.
method Multi-Scale Representation Concatenation, combining Vision Transformer and Causal Forests.
result Multi-scale approach captures effect heterogeneity better than single-scale models.
Study uses machine learning to predict future health from various health data types.
problem Predicting future health using diverse health data types.
method Applied machine learning (neural networks and XGBoost) to longitudinal data from 6830 individuals.
result Health-related measures were the strongest predictors of future health status, while genetic data performed poorly.
Paper analyzes factors affecting COVID-19 risk in US counties.
problem Identifying factors influencing COVID-19 risk in US counties.
method Combines unsupervised (K-means clustering) and supervised learning models.
result Mean temperature, poverty, obesity, and other factors are most significant.
Poor economies not only produce less; they typically produce things that involve fewer inputs and fewer intermediate steps. Yet the supply chains of poor countries face more frequent disruptions---delivery failures, faulty parts, delays, power outages, theft, government failures---that systematically thwart the product…
New proof shows local wealth condensation in economic models with biases.
problem Economic models with biases leading to wealth condensation.
method Elementary proof based on properties of wealth distributions.
result Local wealth condensation observed in models with wealth or poverty advantages.
The world GDP distribution is described using thermodynamics principles.
problem Understanding the distribution of GDP among countries.
method Applied Rayleigh-Jeans thermalization to GDP data.
result Emergence of low GDP states similar to condensation in optics.
HealthSyn generates synthetic user behavior data for health interventions.
problem Lack of representative data for testing AI health interventions.
method Uses Markov processes to simulate diverse user actions, generating logs for ML algorithms.
result Synthetic data can be used to develop, test, and evaluate ML algorithms and RL-based interventions.
DeepCoDA provides personalized interpretability for complex health data.
problem Interpreting complex health data, especially compositional data, is challenging.
method DeepCoDA framework for high-dimensional compositional data, personalized interpretability through patient-specific weights.
result DeepCoDA maintains state-of-the-art performance and provides coherent, personalized interpretations.
Many models of market dynamics make use of the idea of conservative wealth exchanges among economic agents. A few years ago an exchange model using extremal dynamics was developed and a very interesting result was obtained: a self-generated minimum wealth or poverty line. On the other hand, the wealth distribution exhi…
Repository tackles fake health news in cancer research.
problem Spread of fake health news over the internet.
method Developed comprehensive FakeHealth repository with rich features and detailed explanations.
result Repository helps in understanding and validating health fake news datasets.
Automatically assesses the quality of online health articles.
problem Lack of automated tools to evaluate the quality of online health information.
method Data mining approach using 10 quality criteria and feature selection.
result Classifier achieved 84%-90% accuracy on 10 criteria.
When considering answering important questions with data, unsupervised data offers extensive insight opportunity and unique challenges. This study considers student survey data with a specific goal of clustering students into like groups with underlying concept of identifying different poverty levels. Fuzzy logic is co…
Study shows racial bias in health data, which can be reduced with simple techniques.
problem Racial bias in health indicators measured by the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS).
method Used publicly available and nationally representative MEPS data to show bias in predictive models for care management.
result Racial bias can be significantly reduced using simple mitigation techniques.
Bayesian model predicts patient survival from sparse EHR data.
problem Analyzing EHR data with few samples and diverse information.
method Nonparametric probabilistic model using Bayesian trees.
result Improved survival trajectory predictions on patient data.
Obtaining detailed and reliable data about local economic livelihoods in developing countries is expensive, and data are consequently scarce. Previous work has shown that it is possible to measure local-level economic livelihoods using high-resolution satellite imagery. However, such imagery is relatively expensive to …
Semiparametric STAR model improves mental health data analysis.
problem Overdispersed, zero-inflated, bounded count data in self-reported mental health surveys.
method STAR transformation and rounding of latent Gaussian model, nonparametric transformation estimation, EM algorithm for maximum likelihood.
result Substantial improvements in goodness-of-fit compared to existing models.
New algorithm forecasts health indicators for better equipment lifespan prediction.
problem Improving equipment lifespan prediction through health indicator forecasting.
method Generative + scenario matching approach using Gaussian Process.
result Superior performance compared to existing methods.
A control-theoretic model tackles microfinance sustainability issues.
problem High default rates in microfinance due to lack of data and information.
method A novel control-theoretic model that learns microfinance decision policies.
result The model achieves financial inclusion, fairness, social welfare, and sustainability.
Proposes a model to handle mobile health data with irregular measurements.
problem Handling heterogeneous, multi-resolution data in mobile health.
method Individualized dynamic latent factor model for irregular multi-resolution time series data.
result Superior performance compared to existing methods in simulation and smartwatch data applications.
Method fuses low and high-resolution data for better health estimates.
problem Improving high-resolution health estimates from mixed data sources.
method Fusion of unbiased low-resolution and potentially biased high-resolution data, learning a distribution consistent with sampling bias.
result Significant reduction in bias in high-resolution estimates.
Study finds macroeconomic indicators predict health workforce and infrastructure measures.
problem Evaluating the predictive value of macroeconomic indicators for public health targets.
method Examined multiple forecasting approaches including neural networks, generalized additive models, random forests, and time series models with exogenous indicators.
result Macroeconomic indicators provide consistent and reproducible predictive signals for health workforce and infrastructure measures, but less so for other targets.
Electronic health records (EHR) are rich heterogeneous collection of patient health information, whose broad adoption provides great opportunities for systematic health data mining. However, heterogeneous EHR data types and biased ascertainment impose computational challenges. Here, we present mixEHR, an unsupervised g…
Inpatient care is a large share of total health care spending, making analysis of inpatient utilization patterns an important part of understanding what drives health care spending growth. Common features of inpatient utilization measures include zero inflation, over-dispersion, and skewness, all of which complicate st…