Solves Ricci flow singularities by healing pinched discs.
problem Ricci flow singularities and their healing process.
method Constructs smooth solutions from singular metrics, healing with points.
result Healed metrics are final-time limits of Ricci flow near Type-I singularities.
Machine learning aids self-healing in cellular networks, tackling data imbalance and cost sensitivity.
problem Challenges in applying machine learning for self-healing in cellular networks.
method Data-driven machine learning techniques addressing data imbalance, insufficiency, and cost sensitivity.
result Feasibility and effectiveness of cost-sensitive fault detection with imbalanced data.
Study shows how embryo wounds heal through a mathematical model.
problem Understanding wound closure in embryonic epidermal healing.
method Developed a curvature flow model linked to physical wound closure.
result Closed, initially convex curves shrink to a round point in finite time under the flow.
A new method helps deep learning systems adapt to changing conditions.
problem Deep learning systems struggle with environmental drifts and long healing cycles.
method Intentional forgetting integrated into continual learning to overcome issues.
result Dr. DRL reduces healing time and fine-tuning episodes by 18.74% and 17.72% respectively.
New method calibrates Gaussian product experts for better predictions.
problem Erratic predictions and uncalibrated uncertainty in Gaussian product experts.
method Calibration via tempered softmax and Wasserstein barycenter for predictions.
result Improved predictions with better mean and uncertainty quantification.
New divergences improve score-based methods for multi-modal distributions.
problem Blindness problem in score-based divergences for multi-modal distributions.
method Proposed a new family of divergences to mitigate blindness.
result Improved performance in density estimation compared to traditional approaches.
Hides the complexity of neural networks, making them more transparent.
problem Lack of transparency in Neural Networks hinders their adoption.
method Proposes Hide-and-Seek (HnS) framework for training interpretable neural networks.
result Interpretable neural networks can be trained without sacrificing predictive power.
Kalman Filters are one of the most influential models of time-varying phenomena. They admit an intuitive probabilistic interpretation, have a simple functional form, and enjoy widespread adoption in a variety of disciplines. Motivated by recent variational methods for learning deep generative models, we introduce a uni…
Deep RL improves cellular network fault management and performance.
problem Fault management and radio performance improvement in outdoor cellular networks.
method Deep Q-Learning for self-organizing networks fault management.
result The proposed algorithm learns to clear alarms and improve radio performance better than existing methods.
Study shows LLMs can remove half of layers without significant performance drop.
problem Understanding knowledge storage in LLMs' weights.
method Layer pruning and finetuning to identify and remove unnecessary parameters.
result Minimal degradation of performance after removing up to half of layers.
The financial crisis offers new business opportunities in heritage management.
problem Financial institutions' weakened financial condition due to fluctuating real estate property prices.
method Proactive management and stakeholder cooperation to stabilize and optimize properties.
result Properties can serve as a solid base for new business and investment opportunities.
Introduces a new class of hybrid processes combining Markov chains and Hawkes processes.
problem Characterize and ensure existence and uniqueness of complex hybrid marked point processes.
method Defines hybrid marked point processes implicitly via intensity and state process interactions, proving existence and uniqueness under general assumptions.
result Proves existence and uniqueness of hybrid marked point processes, extending existing results.
This chapter is an attempt to present a mathematical theory of compound fractional Poisson processes. The chapter begins with the characterization of a well-known Lévy process: The compound Poisson process. The semi-Markov extension of the compound Poisson process naturally leads to the compound fractional Poisson proc…
A deep Neyman-Scott process uses Poisson processes for efficient inference in complex point processes.
problem Efficient inference in complex hierarchical point processes.
method Developed an efficient posterior sampling via Markov chain Monte Carlo for likelihood-based inference.
result More hidden Poisson processes improve likelihood fitting and event prediction.
The study examines Hawkes processes and their long-term behavior.
problem Understanding the long-term behavior of Hawkes processes.
method Proving functional limit theorems under various conditions on the dispersion of child events.
result Functional limit theorems hold for Hawkes processes with different levels of child event dispersion.
Paper discovers process models from online event streams.
problem Discovering process models from continuous event streams.
method Generic architecture for process discovery in event streams.
result The proposed architecture enables process discovery from event streams.
Elliptical processes generalize Gaussian and Student-t models with fat tails and computational efficiency.
problem Need for models with fat tails and computational tractability.
method Represent elliptical distributions as continuous mixtures of Gaussian distributions, derive closed-form expressions for marginal and conditional distributions.
result Elliptical processes offer advantages in robust regression compared to Gaussian processes.
Directly proves CRP from stick-breaking process without measure theory.
problem Indirect proof of CRP from stick-breaking process is complex.
method Direct proof using stick-breaking process to CRP, avoiding measure theory.
result Direct proof connects stick-breaking process to CRP.
We show that the stick-breaking construction of the beta process due to Paisley, et al. (2010) can be obtained from the characterization of the beta process as a Poisson process. Specifically, we show that the mean measure of the underlying Poisson process is equal to that of the beta process. We use this underlying re…
SNP extends Neural Processes to handle temporal dependencies in sequences.
problem Handling temporal dependencies in sequences of stochastic processes.
method Integrates a temporal state-transition model into Neural Processes.
result First 4D model capable of dynamic 3D scene modeling.
We investigate the Student-t process as an alternative to the Gaussian process as a nonparametric prior over functions. We derive closed form expressions for the marginal likelihood and predictive distribution of a Student-t process, by integrating away an inverse Wishart process prior over the covariance kernel of a G…
Efficient methods for Lévy models using SINH-regular processes.
problem Efficient numerical methods for evaluating Lévy models.
method Defining SL-processes and sSL-processes, deriving properties of characteristic exponent, and showing all popular Lévy processes can be subordinated to Brownian motion.
result All crucial properties of characteristic exponent are consequences of a specific representation, and all popular Lévy processes are SL- or sSL-subordinated Brownian motion.
GRM uses graph neural networks to score process activity relevance.
problem Improving business processes with performance measures.
method Graph Relevance Miner (GRM) based on graph neural networks.
result Quantitatively evaluated relevance scores with four datasets.
Researchers study the geometric properties of a specific type of stable processes.
problem Understanding the information geometry of tempered stable processes.
method Derivation of α-divergence, Fisher information matrices, and α-connections.
result Obtained Fisher information matrices and α-connections for statistical manifolds.
This study bridges discrete and continuous state spaces using the Ehrenfest process and diffusion models.
problem Understanding the relationship between discrete and continuous state spaces in stochastic processes.
method Investigates time-continuous Markov jump processes on discrete state spaces and their correspondence to state-continuous diffusion processes.
result The time-reversal of the Ehrenfest process converges to the time-reversed Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, bridging discrete and continuous state spaces.
Paper proposes a new method for online process discovery.
problem Online process discovery requires limited memory.
method Mapped online process discovery to cache memory management and applied cache replacement policies.
result Implemented and evaluated a new approach for online process discovery.
Student's-T processes improve on Gaussian processes by handling outliers and variance more flexibly.
problem Outliers and variance limitations in Gaussian processes.
method Generalization of Gaussian processes using Student's-T distribution, with new kernel function and update rule.
result Student's-T processes provide better performance in Bayesian optimization, especially with outliers.
The fractional Poisson process (FPP) is a counting process with independent and identically distributed inter-event times following the Mittag-Leffler distribution. This process is very useful in several fields of applied and theoretical physics including models for anomalous diffusion. Contrary to the well-known Poiss…
Proposes a new BSP-Tree process for flexible space partition modeling.
problem Limited modelling flexibility of axis-aligned partitions in Mondrian process.
method Introduces a self-consistent Binary Space Partitioning (BSP)-Tree process with oblique cuts.
result Clear inferential improvements over standard Mondrian process and related methods.
Elliptical processes extend Gaussian models with heavier tails.
problem Regression and classification with non-Gaussian likelihoods or heavy tails.
method Spline normalizing flow for variational inference of elliptical distributions.
result Elliptical processes outperform Gaussian processes in non-Gaussian settings.
Recurrent neural networks improve process instance classification.
problem Classifying ongoing process instances based on activities.
method Applied recurrent neural networks, specifically GRU, to classify business process instances.
result GRU outperforms LSTM in training time with similar accuracy.
In this paper, we obtain the finite-horizon and infinite-horizon ruin probability asymptotics for risk processes with claims of subexponential tails for non-stationary arrival processes that satisfy a large deviation principle. As a result, the arrival process can be dependent, non-stationary and non-renewal. We give t…
Deep learning predicts business process events with high precision.
problem Predicting next events in business processes.
method Recurrent neural networks applied to deep learning.
result Deep learning surpasses state-of-the-art in prediction precision.
We characterize the combinatorial structure of conditionally-i.i.d. sequences of negative binomial processes with a common beta process base measure. In Bayesian nonparametric applications, such processes have served as models for latent multisets of features underlying data. Analogously, random subsets arise from cond…
The paper analyzes multivariate Hawkes processes and their induced population processes.
problem Analyzing the time-dependent joint probability distribution of multivariate Hawkes processes.
method Exact and asymptotic analysis of general multivariate Hawkes processes and their induced population processes.
result Full characterization of the time-dependent joint transform of the multivariate population process and its intensity process.
The paper introduces new processes for modeling multivariate volatility.
problem Developing new stochastic processes for multivariate volatility modeling.
method Introducing Volterra Wishart and Volterra pure jump processes with fractional kernels.
result Affine covariance processes for multivariate volatility modeling.
Paper introduces non-linear process convolutions for multi-output Gaussian processes.
problem Building accurate covariance functions for multi-output Gaussian processes.
method Volterra series for non-linearity, closed-form expressions for mean and covariance.
result Non-linear model outperforms classical process convolution in synthetic and real datasets.
Unified approach for drawdown and drawup of Markov processes.
problem Study of drawdown and drawup in time-homogeneous Markov processes.
method Short-time pathwise analysis, integral equation solution.
result Unified approach to study various drawdown quantities.
New process from fractional BM and OU process yields simpler variance.
problem Simpler model for autocovariance structure.
method Construct new process using fractional BM and OU process, analyze increments.
result Variance of new process easier to compute than FARIMA.
Study on error probability for classification of heavy-tailed renewal processes.
problem Error probability in classification of heavy-tailed renewal processes.
method Asymptotic expressions for Bhattacharyya bound on misclassification error probabilities.
result Obtained asymptotic expressions for misclassification error probabilities.
Study shows convergence rates for BSDEs approximated by compound Poisson processes.
problem Analyzing convergence rates of BSDEs driven by Lévy processes.
method Approximating Lévy processes by compound Poisson processes and studying BSDEs.
result Optimal convergence rates derived for BSDEs in L2-norm and Wasserstein distance. Non-Markovian point process shows power-law scaling, similar to nonlinear Markovian process.
problem Understanding the scaling behavior of non-Markovian point processes.
method Analyzed a confined fractional Brownian motion-driven point process and compared it to a nonlinear Markovian process.
result A nonlinear Markovian process can reproduce the power-law scaling behavior of a non-Markovian point process.
Develops Bilateral Gamma processes for financial market modeling.
problem Modeling financial market fluctuations with Lévy processes.
method Exploration of bilateral Gamma distributions and their Lévy processes.
result Validates Bilateral Gamma processes on real financial data.
State spaces of multifactor approximations of nonnegative Volterra processes are linear transformations of the nonnegative orthant.
problem Characterizing state spaces of multifactor approximations of nonnegative Volterra processes.
method Explicit linear transformation of the nonnegative orthant.
result State spaces of multifactor approximations of nonnegative Volterra processes are given by explicit linear transformation of the nonnegative orthant.
The paper models user-advertiser interactions using point processes.
problem Causal inference problems in user-advertiser interaction.
method Temporal marked point processes and neural point processes.
result Neural point processes as practical solutions.
Paper introduces a new model for cyber insurance pricing.
problem Inaccurate pricing of cyber insurance due to multiple, contagious losses.
method Developed a bivariate compound dynamic contagion process.
result Analytical expressions for the compound process and its moments.
We describe the combinatorial stochastic process underlying a sequence of conditionally independent Bernoulli processes with a shared beta process hazard measure. As shown by Thibaux and Jordan [TJ07], in the special case when the underlying beta process has a constant concentration function and a finite and nonatomic …
New self-exciting random evolutions (SEREs) for modeling traffic and transport processes.
problem Modeling self-exciting and clustering effects in traffic and transport processes.
method Introducing a new process based on a superposition of a Markov chain and a Hawkes process, and constructing self-exciting random evolutions (SEREs).
result Developed new models and limit theorems for SEREs, including averaging and diffusion approximation.