A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
EdgeLite detects hazardous supermarket floors, improving safety.
Study detects anomalies in robot vision data to predict hazards.
Wide-band Electromagnetic Induction Sensors (WEMI) have been used for a number of years in subsurface detection of explosive hazards. While WEMI sensors have proven effective at localizing objects exhibiting large magnetic responses, detecting objects lacking or containing very low amounts of conductive materials can b…
Research studies have shown that a large proportion of hazards remain unrecognized, which expose construction workers to unanticipated safety risks. Recent studies have also found that a strong correlation exists between viewing patterns of workers, captured using eye-tracking devices, and their hazard recognition perf…
Many online platforms have deployed anti-fraud systems to detect and prevent fraudulent activities. However, there is usually a gap between the time that a user commits a fraudulent action and the time that the user is suspended by the platform. How to detect fraudsters in time is a challenging problem. Most of the exi…
We investigate the effect of the proportional hazards assumption on prognostic and predictive models of the survival time of patients suffering from amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). We theoretically compare the underlying model formulations of several variants of survival forests and implementations thereof, includ…
PAC-Wrap provides provable guarantees for semi-supervised anomaly detection.
These days human beings are facing many environmental challenges due to frequently occurring drought hazards. It may have an effect on the countrys environment, the community, and industries. Several adverse impacts of drought hazard are continued in Pakistan, including other hazards. However, early measurement and det…
Develops a method to estimate average hazard under non-proportional hazards without relying on proportional hazards assumption.
Study explains mortgage burnout using Cox hazard models.
In natural hazard warning systems fast decision making is vital to avoid catastrophes. Decision making at the edge of a wireless sensor network promises fast response times but is limited by the availability of energy, data transfer speed, processing and memory constraints. In this work we present a realization of a wi…
New method estimates hazard ratios without bias in observational studies.
The paper proposes a new method for clustering survival data using smoothed log-hazard trajectories.
Novel approach to compute hazard ratios from observational studies using SCMs and backdoor adjustment.
Unified model estimates landslide hazard combining susceptibility, intensity, and frequency.
Study uses machine learning and survival analysis to predict CKD progression.
Recent work on follow the perturbed leader (FTPL) algorithms for the adversarial multi-armed bandit problem has highlighted the role of the hazard rate of the distribution generating the perturbations. Assuming that the hazard rate is bounded, it is possible to provide regret analyses for a variety of FTPL algorithms f…
Diverging Flows detects extrapolations in flow models, ensuring reliable predictions.
Real-time fuel leakage detection framework MOCPD improves accuracy.
Sensors which use electromagnetic induction (EMI) to excite a response in conducting bodies have long been investigated for subsurface explosive hazard detection. In particular, EMI sensors have been used to discriminate between different types of objects, and to detect objects with low metal content. One successful, p…
Spatially-aware model improves earthquake hazard assessment accuracy.
QSurv models survival data without discretization, achieving high accuracy.
Detecting anomalous activity in human mobility data has a number of applications including road hazard sensing, telematic based insurance, and fraud detection in taxi services and ride sharing. In this paper we address two challenges that arise in the study of anomalous human trajectories: 1) a lack of ground truth dat…
Study optimal reinsurance contracts to prevent moral hazard under non-concave premium principles.
Estimating causal effects for survival outcomes in the high-dimensional setting is an extremely important topic for many biomedical applications as well as areas of social sciences. We propose a new orthogonal score method for treatment effect estimation and inference that results in asymptotically valid confidence int…
BoXHED boosts hazard estimation for dynamic health risk scores.
Flexible DNN for survival data, avoiding proportional hazards assumption.
In this paper, we provide a solution to two problems which have been open in default time modeling in credit risk. We first show that if is an arbitrary random (default) time such that its Azéma's supermartingale $Z_t^τ=¶(τ>t|\F_t)$ is continuous, then avoids stopping times. We then disprove a conjecture about …
Federated Cox model handles non-proportional hazards in siloed data.
RETR improves indoor radar perception with a novel transformer model.
This paper proposes a decorrelation-based approach to test hypotheses and construct confidence intervals for the low dimensional component of high dimensional proportional hazards models. Motivated by the geometric projection principle, we propose new decorrelated score, Wald and partial likelihood ratio statistics. Wi…
ICODEN models survival data with interval-censored times using neural networks and ODEs.
The paper develops a filtering framework for estimating hazard rates with jumps in financial and insurance applications.
An extreme wind speed estimation method that considers wind hazard climate types is critical for design wind load calculation for building structures affected by mixed climates. However, it is very difficult to obtain wind hazard climate types from meteorological data records, because they restrict the application of e…
Proposes FarmHazard model for hazard regression with correlated covariates.
Knowledge about frequency and location of snow avalanche activity is essential for forecasting and mapping of snow avalanche hazard. Traditional field monitoring of avalanche activity has limitations, especially when surveying large and remote areas. In recent years, avalanche detection in Sentinel-1 radar satellite im…
The paper solves an insurance problem using mean-variance and rank-dependent utility theory.
Semi-parametric survival analysis methods like the Cox Proportional Hazards (CPH) regression (Cox, 1972) are a popular approach for survival analysis. These methods involve fitting of the log-proportional hazard as a function of the covariates and are convenient as they do not require estimation of the baseline hazard …
Paper connects Plackett-Luce and Cox models for preference estimation.
Cyber-physical systems (CPS) greatly benefit by using machine learning components that can handle the uncertainty and variability of the real-world. Typical components such as deep neural networks, however, introduce new types of hazards that may impact system safety. The system behavior depends on data that are availa…
DeepHazard uses neural networks to predict time-varying survival risks.
CoxSE combines deep learning with self-explaining neural networks for survival analysis.
We detail our ongoing work in Flint, Michigan to detect pipes made of lead and other hazardous metals. After elevated levels of lead were detected in residents' drinking water, followed by an increase in blood lead levels in area children, the state and federal governments directed over $125 million to replace water se…
Application of discrete-time survival methods for continuous-time survival prediction is considered. For this purpose, a scheme for discretization of continuous-time data is proposed by considering the quantiles of the estimated event-time distribution, and, for smaller data sets, it is found to be preferable over the …
We introduce a semi-parametric Bayesian model for survival analysis. The model is centred on a parametric baseline hazard, and uses a Gaussian process to model variations away from it nonparametrically, as well as dependence on covariates. As opposed to many other methods in survival analysis, our framework does not im…
Visual object detection is a computer vision-based artificial intelligence (AI) technique which has many practical applications (e.g., fire hazard monitoring). However, due to privacy concerns and the high cost of transmitting video data, it is highly challenging to build object detection models on centrally stored lar…
Proposes HGP to improve survival analysis models.
In credit risk literature, the existence of an equivalent martingale measure is stipulated as one of the main assumptions in the hazard process model. Here we show by construction the existence of a measure that turns the discounted stock and defaultable bond prices into martingales by identifying a no-arbitrage condit…