arXiv research

New proofs for growth series of Coxeter groups using complex structures.

Method reconstructs aneurysm growth history from patient parameters using physics-informed autoencoder.

Study groups with polynomial growth, finding structure and applications.

We construct infinite series of non-simple ideal hyperbolic Coxeter 4-polytopes whose growth rates are Perron numbers. This infinite series is the first example of such a non-compact infinite polytopal series.

Growth functions of Coxeter groups and the Poincare series of Kleinian and Fuchsian singularities are $2$-tangle $q$-fractions.

Formula derived for spherical growth series of specific groups.

This paper investigates the statistical properties of within-country GDP and industrial production (IP) growth rate distributions. Many empirical contributions have recently pointed out that cross-section growth rates of firms, industries and countries all follow Laplace distributions. In this work, we test whether als…

Let $G$ be a finitely generated group with a finite generating set $S$. For $g\in G$, let $l_S(g)$ be the length of the shortest word over $S$ representing $g$. The growth series of $G$ with respect to $S$ is the series $A(t) = \sum_{n=0}^\infty a_n t^n$, where $a_n$ is the number of elements of $G$ with $l_S(g)=n$. If…

Paper introduces machine learning for time series data, improving nowcasting accuracy.

Study uses ML and statistical models to analyze climate impacts of industrial growth.

This note addresses some questions that arise in the series of works by Kyoji Saito on the growth functions of graphs. We study "hyperbolike" graphs, which include Cayley graphs of hyperbolic groups. We generalize some well-known results on hyperbolic groups to the hyperbolike setting, including rationality of generati…

New method uses resurgent analysis to determine growth rate of quantum field theory coefficients.

Analyzes Indian commercial dynamism using time series data.

We show that the characteristic series for the greedy normal form of a Coxeter group is always a rational series, and prove a reciprocity formula for this series when the group is right-angled and the nerve is Eulerian. As corollaries we obtain many of the known rationality and reciprocity results for the growth series…

Polynomial growth elements found in all subgroups of Out(F_n).

In this paper, we consider the formal power series whose n-th coefficient is the number of copies of a given finite graph in the ball of radius n centred at the identity element in the Cayley graph of a finitely generated group and call it the growth function. Epstein, Iano-Fletcher and Uri Zwick proved that the growth…

Paper uses time series transformers to predict investment success.

This article proposes a new approximation scheme for quadratic-growth BSDEs in a Markovian setting by connecting a series of semi-analytic asymptotic expansions applied to short-time intervals. Although there remains a condition which needs to be checked a posteriori, one can avoid altogether time-consuming Monte Carlo…

We present a quantitative characterisation of the fluctuations of the annualized growth rate of the real US GDP per capita growth at many scales, using a wavelet transform analysis of two data sets, quarterly data from 1947 to 2015 and annual data from 1800 to 2010. Our main finding is that the distribution of GDP grow…

We propose a new approach for properly analyzing stochastic time series by mapping the dynamics of time series fluctuations onto a suitable nonequilibrium surface-growth problem. In this framework, the fluctuation sampling time interval plays the role of time variable, whereas the physical time is treated as the analog…

We consider a vector field $X$ on a closed manifold which admits a Lyapunov one form. We assume $X$ has Morse type zeros, satisfies the Morse--Smale transversality condition and has non-degenerate closed trajectories only. For a closed one form $η$, considered as flat connection on the trivial line bundle, the differen…

Study on higher-dimensional quasigeodesics in metric spaces.

We compute the growth series and the growth functions of reducible and pseudo-Anosov elements of the pure mapping class group of the sphere with four holes with respect to a certain generating set. We prove that the ratio of the number of pseudo-Anosov elements to that of all elements in a ball with center at the ident…

GLMM trees identify subgroups with different growth patterns in longitudinal data.

A two-component model for the evolution of real GDP per capita in the USA is presented and tested. The first component of the GDP growth rate represents an economic trend and is inversely proportional to the attained level of real GDP per capita itself, with the nominator being constant through time. The second compone…

We have recently introduced the ``thermal optimal path'' (TOP) method to investigate the real-time lead-lag structure between two time series. The TOP method consists in searching for a robust noise-averaged optimal path of the distance matrix along which the two time series have the greatest similarity. Here, we gener…

Investment strategy using fractional Kelly portfolios for better growth expectations.

Investigates the relationship between US money supply and asset indices over 2001-2019.

The volume conjecture and its generalization state that the series of certain evaluations of the colored Jones polynomials of a knot would grow exponentially and its growth rate would be related to the volume of a three-manifold obtained by Dehn surgery along the knot. In this paper, we show that for the figure-eight k…

We get asymptotics for the volume of large balls in an arbitrary locally compact group G with polynomial growth. This is done via a study of the geometry of G and a generalization of P. Pansu's thesis. In particular, we show that any such G is weakly commensurable to some simply connected solvable Lie group S, the Lie …

P.W. Anderson proposed the concept of complexity in order to describe the emergence and growth of macroscopic collective patterns out of the simple interactions of many microscopic agents. In the physical sciences this paradigm was implemented systematically and confirmed repeatedly by successful confrontation with rea…

Paper classifies economic states and optimizes portfolios for stagflationary environments.

Given for instance a finite volume negatively curved Riemannian manifold $M$, we give a precise relation between the logarithmic growth rates of the excursions into cusps neighborhoods of the strong unstable leaves of negatively recurrent unit vectors of $M$ and their linear divergence rates under the geodesic flow. As…

We consider vector fields $X$ on a closed manifold $M$ with rest points of Morse type. For such vector fields we define the property of exponential growth. A cohomology class $ξ\in H^1(M;\mathbb R)$ which is Lyapunov for $X$ defines counting functions for isolated instantons and closed trajectories. If $X$ has exponent…

Paper proposes new Langevin samplers for sampling from log-concave distributions with superlinear gradient growth.

Tech sector decouples from non-tech sectors post-2015, predicting economic growth.

Study finds nighttime lights correlate with Indian GDP growth.

In this paper we derive a generating series for the number of cellular complexes known as pavings or three-dimensional maps, on $n$ darts, thus solving an analogue of Tutte's problem in dimension three. The generating series we derive also counts free subgroups of index $n$ in $Δ^+ = \mathbb{Z}_2*\mathbb{Z}_2*\mathbb{Z…

Given a matrix $A\in SL(N,\Z)$, form the semidirect product $G=\Z^N\rtimes_A \Z$ where the $\Z$ factor acts on $\Z^N$ by $A$. Such a $G$ arises naturally as the fundamental group of an $N$-dimensional torus bundle which fibers over the circle. In this paper we prove that if $A$ has distinct eigenvalues not lying on the…

Hybrid model improves synthetic equity data generation.

Paper establishes a universal growth rate for smooth surrogate losses in classification.

Using a recently introduced rational expectation model of bubbles, based on the interplay between stochasticity and positive feedbacks of prices on returns and volatility, we develop a new methodology to test how this model classifies 9 time series that have been previously considered as bubbles ending in crashes. The …

In a recent significant advance, using Laguerre series, the valuation of Asian options has been reduced by Dufresne to computing the negative moments of Yor's accumulation processes. For these he has given functional recursion rules whose probabilistic structure has been the object of intensive recent studies of Yor an…

It is well known that the compactifications of the canonical contact systems living on real jet spaces $J^{\,r}(1,1)$, $r \ge 2$, are locally universal Goursat distributions, $Δ^r$, living on compact manifolds (called Goursat monsters) having open dense jet-like ($J^{\,r}(1,1)$-like) parts. By virtue of the results of …

Since with massive data growth, the need for autonomous and generic anomaly detection system is increased. However, developing one stand-alone generic anomaly detection system that is accurate and fast is still a challenge. In this paper, we propose conventional time-series analysis approaches, the Seasonal Autoregress…

We employ the Bayesian framework to define a cointegration measure aimed to represent long term relationships between time series. For visualization of these relationships we introduce a dissimilarity matrix and a map based on the Sorting Points Into Neighborhoods (SPIN) technique, which has been previously used to ana…

This is the second in a series of four papers (with research announcement posted on this arXiv) that together develop a decomposition theory for subgroups of Out(F_n). In this paper we relativize the "Kolchin-type theorem" from the work of Bestvina, Feighn, and Handel on the Tits alternative, which describes a decompos…

Let $Γ$ be the fundamental group of a manifold modeled on three dimensional Sol geometry. We prove that $Γ$ has a finite index subgroup $G$ which has a rational growth series with respect to a natural generating set. We do this by enumerating $G$ by a regular language. However, in contrast to most earlier proofs of thi…