Ensemble unsupervised anomaly detection using IRT for hidden ground truth.
problem Challenges in constructing an ensemble from unsupervised anomaly detection methods.
method Use Item Response Theory to compute latent traits and construct an ensemble that downplays noisy methods.
result Demonstrated effectiveness of IRT ensemble on extensive data repository.
This paper investigates generalisation in multi-agent games, where the generality of the agent can be evaluated by playing against opponents it hasn't seen during training. We propose two new games with concealed information and complex, non-transitive reward structure (think rock/paper/scissors). It turns out that mos…
DeepONets enhance spatial-temporal surrogates for structural dynamics.
problem Creating full spatial-temporal surrogates for dynamical systems under uncertainty.
method Proposed Full-Field Extended DeepONet (FExD) to learn full solution operator across multiple degrees of freedom.
result FExD achieves superior accuracy and computational efficiency compared to other models.
Enhances preference learning by incorporating response times into binary choices.
problem Limited information from binary choices about preference strength.
method Combines choices and response times using the EZ diffusion model.
result Response times improve utility estimation for strong preferences.
MoA framework improves financial LLM responses at low cost.
problem Complexity and cost in LLM research for financial domains.
method Mixture of Agents (MoA) framework using customized small models.
result MoA produces higher quality responses at lower costs.
SHIFT improves robustness in estimating dose-response functions with heavy-tailed contamination.
problem Outliers bias estimates of average dose-response functions in heavy-tailed data.
method SHIFT combines cross-fit nuisance orthogonalization, Welsch-loss, and defensive OLS refit.
result SHIFT reduces RMSE from 1.03 to 0.33 on localized contamination test.
Study constructs balanced datasets for seismic failure prediction.
problem Imbalanced datasets limit machine learning performance in seismic failure prediction.
method Framework with three steps: GMF identification, probability density estimation, and sample transformation.
result Framework improves machine learning performance in seismic failure mode prediction.
New method improves RL/IL agents' adaptability to unseen environments.
problem Current RL/IL techniques struggle with generalizing to unseen environments.
method Zero-shot compositional policy learning with multi-modal fusion and attention mechanism.
result Language grounding enhances generalization across varied environments.
Spectral Independence Criterion helps infer cause-effect relationships in time series.
problem Distinguishing cause from effect in time series data.
method Spectral Independence Criterion (SIC) based on PSD and frequency response.
result SIC provides a robust method for causal inference in time series data.
A machine learning surrogate model predicts earthquake-induced building responses.
problem Expensive FE model simulations for earthquake damage estimation.
method SVD-based earthquake characterization and machine learning model training.
result Deep neural network provides most accurate predictions of building responses.
Paper introduces metrics for evaluating multi-agent policies using best response dynamics.
problem Evaluation and ranking of multi-agent policies in reinforcement learning.
method Adopting strict best response dynamics (SBRD) to model selfish behaviors, proposing perturbed SBRD for dynamic and non-stationary settings.
result Proposed perturbed SBRD can observe policies with maximum metrics and differ from optimal by any given tolerance.
Experiments that study neural encoding of stimuli at the level of individual neurons typically choose a small set of features present in the world --- contrast and luminance for vision, pitch and intensity for sound --- and assemble a stimulus set that systematically varies along these dimensions. Subsequent analysis o…
New method identifies shared topics in LLM inputs and outputs for better detection of hallucinations.
problem Detecting semantic drift in LLM responses from context.
method Transformed Deterministic Information Bottleneck (DIB) into UDIB for high-dimensional data.
result UDIB generates more informative topic representations for SDM, improving hallucination detection.
DynNet models dynamic responses of linear and nonlinear systems with fewer variables and higher accuracy.
problem Predicting dynamic responses of linear and nonlinear systems.
method Physics-based recurrent neural network with optimized architecture and training techniques.
result Higher accuracy and fewer trainable variables compared to existing models.
Ideal attribution mechanisms track model interactions for faithful watermarks.
problem Ensuring models provide transparent and fair attribution decisions.
method Introducing ideal attribution mechanisms and a ledger for tracking model interactions.
result A unified framework for evaluating watermarking schemes, clarifying attainable guarantees.
Method fuses low and high-resolution data for better health estimates.
problem Improving high-resolution health estimates from mixed data sources.
method Fusion of unbiased low-resolution and potentially biased high-resolution data, learning a distribution consistent with sampling bias.
result Significant reduction in bias in high-resolution estimates.
CausalLongPFN predicts counterfactual outcomes from time-series data.
problem Predicting future outcomes under varying treatments in time-series data with confounding and heterogeneity.
method Prior-fitted network pretrained on synthetic episodes of temporal structural causal models.
result CausalLongPFN outperforms domain-trained models on factual and counterfactual prediction tasks.
PCL framework optimizes climate risk management across three clusters.
problem Comprehensive risk management in response to climate change impacts.
method Optimization of preemptive adaptation, contingent arrangements, and loss acceptance.
result Balanced portfolio of actions across three clusters optimized for long-term aggregate outlay.
PPPD framework extracts physical characterizations from stochastic mechanical systems.
problem Complex system behavior requires more than probabilistic descriptions of QoI.
method Probabilistic Performance-Pattern Decomposition (PPPD) framework.
result Decomposes system behaviors into meaningful patterns in response space.
Sensors which use electromagnetic induction (EMI) to excite a response in conducting bodies have long been investigated for subsurface explosive hazard detection. In particular, EMI sensors have been used to discriminate between different types of objects, and to detect objects with low metal content. One successful, p…
Wide-band Electromagnetic Induction Sensors (WEMI) have been used for a number of years in subsurface detection of explosive hazards. While WEMI sensors have proven effective at localizing objects exhibiting large magnetic responses, detecting objects lacking or containing very low amounts of conductive materials can b…
Paper proposes a novel method to assess treatment effect estimators using cross-validation.
problem Lack of ground truth to objectively assess treatment effect estimators in RCTs.
method Cross-validation-like methodology combining noisy difference-of-means estimate and aggregation across RCTs.
result Aggressive downweighting or truncation of large values reduces variance and improves treatment effect estimation.
Using low-frequency (UHF to L-band) ultra-wideband (UWB) synthetic aperture radar (SAR) technology for detecting buried and obscured targets, e.g. bomb or mine, has been successfully demonstrated recently. Despite promising recent progress, a significant open challenge is to distinguish obscured targets from other (nat…
The article introduces inferential moments for analyzing uncertain multivariable systems.
problem Handling inference tasks in uncertain multivariable systems.
method Bayesian inference and quantification of inferential moments.
result Quantification of inferential moments and their connection to mutual information.
qEUBO optimizes decision-making with noisy feedback.
problem Optimizing decision-making with noisy preference feedback.
method Introduces qEUBO as a novel acquisition function for preferential Bayesian optimization.
result qEUBO is one-step Bayes optimal and enjoys an approximation guarantee under noise.
KLD token adjusts supply based on macroeconomic debt index, creating deflationary effect.
problem Managing deflationary pressures in digital assets.
method Debt-indexed supply adjustments linked to macroeconomic data.
result Deflationary mechanism strengthens as debt rises.
As machine learning algorithms are increasingly applied to high impact yet high risk tasks, such as medical diagnosis or autonomous driving, it is critical that researchers can explain how such algorithms arrived at their predictions. In recent years, a number of image saliency methods have been developed to summarize …
Auto-CEI improves LLM reasoning by balancing assertiveness and conservativeness.
problem Hallucinations and laziness in LLM reasoning tasks.
method Expert Iteration explores reasoning trajectories, guiding incorrect paths back on track and promoting appropriate 'I don't know' responses.
result Auto-CEI achieves superior alignment in logical reasoning, mathematics, and planning tasks.
PerSense assesses personality traits from text for commonsense reasoning.
problem Estimating human personality traits from text for mental health analysis.
method Aggregated Probability Density Functions (PDF) and Machine Learning (ML) models.
result PerSense algorithms achieve comparable results to ground truth data, with high accuracy for personality assessment and commonsense prediction.
Nuclear fusion is regarded as the energy of the future since it presents the possibility of unlimited clean energy. One obstacle in utilizing fusion as a feasible energy source is the stability of the reaction. Ideally, one would have a controller for the reactor that makes actions in response to the current state of t…
PILAF optimizes reward models from human feedback for better policy alignment.
problem Creating accurate reward models from human feedback for policy optimization.
method Policy-Interpolated Learning for Aligned Feedback (PILAF) that explicitly aligns preference learning with maximizing underlying oracle reward.
result PILAF is optimal from both optimization and statistical perspectives, demonstrating strong performance in RLHF settings.
Paper proposes decision-theoretic approach to combat wildfires.
problem Complexity and uncertainty in wildfire management.
method Partially-observable Markov decision process and data-driven model.
result Forecasting model accurately models wildfire spread.
Flexible VAEs using FIFs improve model likelihood on image datasets.
problem Limitations of diagonal Gaussian posteriors in VAEs.
method Regularized Free-form Injective Flow (FIF) for flexible posterior.
result Full covariance VAEs outperform diagonal Gaussian posteriors.
Improved forecasting in daily time series competition using a correlator method.
problem Forecasting daily time series with data leakage issues.
method Ensemble of five statistical forecasting methods and a correlator method.
result The correlator method was responsible for most of the gains over naive forecasting.
FinBloom enhances LLMs for real-time financial queries.
problem Limited access to real-time financial data by LLMs.
method Developed a custom 7B parameter LLM, Financial Context Dataset, and a Financial Agent.
result Significantly improved LLMs' capability to handle dynamic financial tasks.
Bayesian optimization agent learns user preferences from pairwise comparisons.
problem Learning user preferences from unknown and infinite choices.
method Sequential Bayesian optimization with pairwise comparisons.
result Optimal agent strategy minimizes remaining system uncertainty.
Inference-Time Scaling can be extended to domains prone to systematic failure using intrinsic statistics.
problem Scaling inference time in domains prone to systematic failure
method Intrinsic Selection (iS), Intrinsic Particle Filtering (iPF), and Particle Distillation (dPF)
result Intrinsic Selection improves engineering design selection by 20% and pass@1 by 6.1 points on average.
Study on ground states of semilinear elliptic equations with various potential wells.
problem Characterizing ground states of semilinear elliptic equations with arbitrary potential wells.
method Analyzing solutions in convex domains and manifolds with non-negative Ricci curvature, using Morse theory and min-max methods.
result Ground states are mountain-pass type with Morse index 1 in convex domains and manifolds with non-negative Ricci curvature.
Ground-A-Video edits videos without training, preserving intended changes.
problem Complex multi-attribute video editing with omitted or wrong changes.
method Grounding-guided video-to-video translation with Cross-Frame Gated Attention.
result Zero-shot multi-attribute video editing with improved accuracy and frame consistency.
PPI uses predictions to improve inference from incomplete data.
problem Incomplete or costly-to-measure outcomes in research fields.
method Leverages large unlabeled datasets for improved statistical efficiency with bias correction.
result PPI variants produce tighter confidence intervals than complete-case analysis.
The paper identifies magnetic ground states and their role in determining the conformal class of a surface.
problem Understanding the magnetic ground states and their relation to the conformal class of a surface.
method Analyzing the magnetic Laplacian and its eigenvalues on a Riemannian surface.
result The ground state spectrum uniquely determines the volume and conformal class of the metric.
There are non-vanishing price responses across different stocks in correlated financial markets. We further study this issue by performing different averages, which identify active and passive cross-responses. The two average cross-responses show different characteristic dependences on the time lag. The passive cross-r…
A new method learns meaningful distances between samples using optimal transport.
problem Learning meaningful distances between samples in datasets without labeled data.
method Computes OT distances between samples and features using singular vectors of a function mapping ground metrics to OT distances.
result Wasserstein Singular Vectors provide a scalable solution for unsupervised ground metric learning.
This research detects and identifies human-made objects in 3D point clouds using novel methods.
problem Detect and identify human-made objects in 3D point clouds.
method Ground filtering, local information extraction, clustering using Marked Point Fields (MPFs) and Hessian matrix.
result The proposed method outperforms previous techniques in detecting human-made objects.
Parts of Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas have experienced increased rates of seismicity in recent years, providing new datasets of earthquake recordings to develop ground motion prediction models for this particular region of the Central and Eastern North America (CENA). This paper outlines a framework for using Artificial…
Automated scoring engines are increasingly being used to score the free-form text responses that students give to questions. Such engines are not designed to appropriately deal with responses that a human reader would find alarming such as those that indicate an intention to self-harm or harm others, responses that all…
Classification of ground state solutions to critical Dirac equation on spheres.
problem Classifying ground state solutions of the critical Dirac equation.
method Exploiting conformal covariance and relating to the Yamabe equation.
result Ground state solutions are given by Killing spinors up to conformal diffeomorphisms.
Develops adaptive algorithms for sustainable fertilizer use in agriculture.
problem Sustaining high yields while reducing environmental impacts of fertilizer use.
method Nonlinear model-based bandit algorithms linking biological processes to decision-making.
result Faster learning and higher profits with interpretable recommendations.