Research
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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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25.0%50.0%75.0%100.0% · Feb 199419922001200920172026
48 results for gray-box models

Data-driven approach learns effective equations for phase field interfaces.

problem Learning accurate equations for phase field interface dynamics.
method Data-driven identification of partial differential equations from phase field data.
result Data-driven equations outperform analytical approximations in certain regimes.

Adversarial samples are perturbed inputs crafted to mislead the machine learning systems. A training mechanism, called adversarial training, which presents adversarial samples along with clean samples has been introduced to learn robust models. In order to scale adversarial training for large datasets, these perturbati…

2018-08-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhances NOAA's Geospace model with machine learning for predicting ground magnetic perturbations.

problem Predicting the probability of ground magnetic field changes.
method Combining physics-based model with machine learning (boosted ensemble of classification trees).
result The ML-enhanced model consistently improves probabilistic forecast metrics.

Adversarial attack methods have demonstrated the fragility of deep neural networks. Their imperceptible perturbations are frequently able fool classifiers into potentially dangerous misclassifications. We propose a novel way to interpret adversarial perturbations in terms of the effective input signal that classifiers …

2018-03-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Randomized diversification defends machine learning models against adversarial attacks.

problem Vulnerability of machine learning systems to adversarial attacks.
method Multi-channel architecture with shared secret key for randomized transforms in a gray-box scenario.
result Increased robustness against various adversarial attacks.

Evaluates SHIELD's effectiveness against adaptive adversaries in various threat models.

problem Evaluating SHIELD's efficacy against adaptive adversaries in different threat models.
method Empirical analysis of SHIELD's robustness against adaptive attacks using Projected Gradient Descent (PGD) attacks in various threat models (white-box, gray-box).
result The targeted PGD attack success rate drops from 64.3% to 48.9% when models are trained from scratch instead of retrained.

ATHENA builds flexible defenses against adversarial attacks.

problem Extensive research on adversarial attacks is domain-specific and cannot be easily extended.
method Designing an extensible framework based on diverse weak defenses.
result Comprehensive empirical study demonstrates the effectiveness of ATHENA.

Paper proposes a method to test and verify control systems with machine learning components.

problem Testing and verifying control systems with machine learning components is challenging.
method Gradient-based method combined with randomized search to find adversarial samples.
result Method outperforms Simulated Annealing optimization in finding adversarial samples.

We develop an automated variational inference method for Bayesian structured prediction problems with Gaussian process (GP) priors and linear-chain likelihoods. Our approach does not need to know the details of the structured likelihood model and can scale up to a large number of observations. Furthermore, we show that…

2016-09-14abs ↗pdf ↗

DPC uses physics and neural nets to solve SDEs.

problem Solving stochastic differential equations with missing physics.
method Physics-data fusion with conditional maximum mean discrepancy (CMMD) loss.
result DPC achieves highly accurate solutions on benchmark examples.

NDS learns dynamical models with prior knowledge, improving accuracy and efficiency.

problem Learning accurate dynamical models with limited data and varying dynamics.
method Neural Dynamical Systems (NDS) integrates prior knowledge in ODEs with neural networks to estimate parameters and predict states.
result NDS achieves higher accuracy and uses fewer samples compared to other methods.

Unlike traditional programs (such as operating systems or word processors) which have large amounts of code, machine learning tasks use programs with relatively small amounts of code (written in machine learning libraries), but voluminous amounts of data. Just like developers of traditional programs debug errors in the…

2016-03-23abs ↗pdf ↗

New method learns from non-uniform data and partial physical knowledge.

problem Identifying dynamical systems from non-uniformly sampled data.
method Physics-informed neural networks integrating numerical integration methods.
result Learning unknown kinetic rates and estimating parameters from non-uniform data.

Paper builds ML classifier to detect crypto-ransomware.

problem Detecting crypto-ransomware with high accuracy and low false positives.
method Behavior-based detection using input/output activities and file-content entropy. Deep-learning classifier with adversarial research and Integrated Gradient method for explanation.
result Deep-learning classifier achieves high accuracy and low false positive rate in detecting crypto-ransomware.

Proposes a framework to identify and correct model-form errors in nonlinear systems.

problem Model-form errors in nonlinear dynamical systems due to unknown or approximated governing equations.
method Uses a hybrid approach combining machine learning and Bayesian filtering to estimate and correct model-form errors.
result Improves the predictive capability of known but approximate governing equations for nonlinear dynamical systems.

Though deep neural networks have achieved state-of-the-art performance in visual classification, recent studies have shown that they are all vulnerable to the attack of adversarial examples. Small and often imperceptible perturbations to the input images are sufficient to fool the most powerful deep neural networks. Va…

2018-06-02abs ↗pdf ↗

MimickNet approximates clinical ultrasound post-processing without proprietary data.

problem Matching proprietary clinical-grade ultrasound post-processing techniques.
method Deep learning framework MimickNet that transforms raw DAS beams into post-processed images.
result MimickNet achieves high SSIM scores (0.930-0.967) on test sets.

Recommender system is an important component of many web services to help users locate items that match their interests. Several studies showed that recommender systems are vulnerable to poisoning attacks, in which an attacker injects fake data to a given system such that the system makes recommendations as the attacke…

2018-09-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Study develops time-continuous models and probabilistic descriptions for agent-based economic market models.

problem Formulating and describing agent-based economic market models in a time-continuous and probabilistic manner.
method Derived time-continuous formulations, discussed impact of time-scaling, proved stability, presented probabilistic descriptions using kinetic theory.
result Time-continuous formulations and probabilistic descriptions for agent-based economic market models.

Hybrid model combines interpretable and black-box models for better transparency and performance.

problem Balancing interpretability and predictive performance in machine learning models.
method Proposes a Hybrid Predictive Model (HPM) integrating an interpretable model with a black-box model, using principled objective functions and customized training algorithms.
result Hybrid models achieve an efficient trade-off between transparency and predictive performance.

Boosts generative models by combining multiple meta-models.

problem Challenges in creating a single generative model that accurately represents complex data.
method Cascades multiple meta-models (like RBM and VAE) to create a stronger generative model.
result Derives a decomposable variational lower bound for training and evaluating the boosted model.

The paper introduces BCART models for aggregate claim amount, improving frequency-severity and joint modeling.

problem Modeling aggregate claim amount with frequency-severity and joint dependencies.
method Developed three types of BCART models: frequency-severity, sequential, and joint models. Used various distributions for claim severity data.
result Weibull distribution outperforms gamma and lognormal for right-skewed, heavy-tailed claim severity data.

The paper uses model-based trees to create interpretable surrogate models for complex machine learning models.

problem Interpreting complex machine learning models.
method Using model-based trees to partition feature space and create interpretable models.
result Model-based trees generate optimal surrogate models that balance interpretability and performance.

The study examines how model predictions hold up under model extensions.

problem Model predictions may not be robust under model extensions, limiting their applicability.
method The study uses causal ordering to assess robustness of qualitative model predictions and characterizes model extensions that preserve predictions.
result Conditions and techniques are provided to assess robustness of model predictions under model extensions.

MALC combines interpretable linear models with black-box models for better predictions and transparency.

problem Combining interpretability with black-box models for better predictions.
method Formulates MALC as a convex optimization problem and uses accelerated proximal gradient method for training.
result MALC provides an efficient frontier balancing prediction accuracy and transparency.

Revises Bayesian model averaging for foundation models.

problem Ensemble pre-trained and lightly-finetuned foundation models for improved classification performance.
method Introduces trainable linear classifiers and computationally cheaper model averaging scheme (OMA).
result Ensembled models can better predict on various datasets.

Paper introduces symmetric divergence link models for probability distributions.

problem Symmetric divergence measures for probability distributions.
method Two general classes of link models: one for survival functions and another for cumulative probability distribution functions.
result Advantages of symmetric divergence measures over asymmetric measures for model averaging and feature assessment.

Researchers review challenges in interpreting additive models, especially neural additive models.

problem Challenges in interpreting additive models, particularly neural additive models.
method Review of generalized additive models and discussion of nonidentifiability.
result Challenges in claiming interpretability or suitability for safety-critical applications of additive models.

Proposes a decision-theoretic approach for enhancing model interpretability in Bayesian frameworks.

problem Challenges the traditional approach of restricting model structure for interpretability in Bayesian frameworks.
method Introduces an interpretability utility function and a two-step method involving a reference model and a proxy model.
result Demonstrates that the proposed method generates more accurate models with the same level of interpretability.

Sigma models linked to Gross-Neveu models via quiver varieties.

problem Understanding the relationship between sigma models and Gross-Neveu models.
method Exploring the mathematical correspondence between sigma models and Gross-Neveu models, including their geometric and trigonometric/elliptic deformations.
result Sigma models are mathematically equivalent to Gross-Neveu models under certain conditions.

Simple models are preferred over complex models, but over-simplistic models could lead to erroneous interpretations. The classical approach is to start with a simple model, whose shortcomings are assessed in residual-based model diagnostics. Eventually, one increases the complexity of this initial overly simple model a…

2017-06-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Matryoshka hides secret models in a carrier model, achieving high capacity and robustness.

problem Stealing functionality of private ML data by hiding models in a carrier model.
method Parameter sharing approach exploiting the learning capacity of the carrier model.
result Hides a 26x larger secret model or 8 secret models in the carrier model.

Semi-parametric models improve robot dynamics modeling accuracy.

problem Improving inverse dynamics model accuracy in robotics.
method Comparison of semi-parametric Gaussian process regression and a novel model-based neural network.
result Semi-parametric Gaussian process regression yields the most accurate models.

A novel kernel approach for model selection in simulator-based models.

problem Model selection for simulator-based statistical models with limited prior knowledge.
method Iteratively updates model weights and parameters using Bayes' rule and kernel recursive ABC algorithm.
result Demonstrates effectiveness on dynamical systems in ecology and epidemiology.