A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
A new conformal prediction framework for graph-valued outputs using Z-Gromov-Wasserstein distances.
Develops a universal test for assessing dynamic network models.
It is the main purpose of this paper to introduce a graph-valued stochastic process in order to model the spread of a communicable infectious disease. The major novelty of the SIR model we promote lies in the fact that the social network on which the epidemics is taking place is not specified in advance but evolves thr…
Undirected graphical models encode in a graph the dependency structure of a random vector . In many applications, it is of interest to model given another random vector as input. We refer to the problem of estimating the graph of conditioned on as ``graph-valued regression.'' In this pap…
New method uses CNNs to estimate graph means.
In the present paper, we construct the generalized Kuperberg bracket for two-component links with one component fibred. We consider a new geometrical complexity for such links and establish minimality of diagrams in a strong sense.
New graph properties inherited by Frechet mean and median.
This chapter deals with decentralized learning algorithms for in-network processing of graph-valued data. A generic learning problem is formulated and recast into a separable form, which is iteratively minimized using the alternating-direction method of multipliers (ADMM) so as to gain the desired degree of paralleliza…
New polynomial invariants from quandle action quivers.
New graph-based invariants from quandle cocycles.
In-degree quiver polynomials for surface-links computed.
By generalizing the Kuperberg sl(3) bracket, we construct a graph-valued analogue of the Homflypt sl(3) invariant for virtual knots. The restriction of this invariant for classical knots coincides with the usual Homflypt sl(3) invariant, and for virtual knots and graphs it provides new information that allows one to pr…
This is a substantially revised version. The Kontsevich integral of a knot is a graph-valued invariant which (when graded by the Vassiliev degree of graphs) is characterized by a universal property; namely it is a universal Vassiliev invariant of knots. We introduce a second grading of the Kontsevich integral, the Eule…
We construct graph-valued analogues of the Kuperberg sl(3) and G2 invariants for virtual knots. The restriction of the sl(3) or G2 invariants for classical knots coincides with the usual Homflypt sl(3) invariant and G2 invariants. For virtual knots and graphs these invariants provide new graphical information that allo…
The paper computes an approximation to the sample Frechet mean of graph sets using spectral information.
A new method for spectral barycentre of graph datasets.
Abstracted Policy Graphs explain reinforcement learning decisions in context.
Graphs are commonly used to characterise interactions between objects of interest. Because they are based on a straightforward formalism, they are used in many scientific fields from computer science to historical sciences. In this paper, we give an introduction to some methods relying on graphs for learning. This incl…
This chapter is an attempt to present a mathematical theory of compound fractional Poisson processes. The chapter begins with the characterization of a well-known Lévy process: The compound Poisson process. The semi-Markov extension of the compound Poisson process naturally leads to the compound fractional Poisson proc…
We introduce a class of hybrid marked point processes, which encompasses and extends continuous-time Markov chains and Hawkes processes. While this flexible class amalgamates such existing processes, it also contains novel processes with complex dynamics. These processes are defined implicitly via their intensity and a…
A deep Neyman-Scott process uses Poisson processes for efficient inference in complex point processes.
The study examines Hawkes processes and their long-term behavior.
Elliptical processes generalize Gaussian and Student-t models with fat tails and computational efficiency.
We show that the stick-breaking construction of the beta process due to Paisley, et al. (2010) can be obtained from the characterization of the beta process as a Poisson process. Specifically, we show that the mean measure of the underlying Poisson process is equal to that of the beta process. We use this underlying re…
SNP extends Neural Processes to handle temporal dependencies in sequences.
We investigate the Student-t process as an alternative to the Gaussian process as a nonparametric prior over functions. We derive closed form expressions for the marginal likelihood and predictive distribution of a Student-t process, by integrating away an inverse Wishart process prior over the covariance kernel of a G…
Efficient methods for Lévy models using SINH-regular processes.
The aim of process discovery, originating from the area of process mining, is to discover a process model based on business process execution data. A majority of process discovery techniques relies on an event log as an input. An event log is a static source of historical data capturing the execution of a business proc…
GRM uses graph neural networks to score process activity relevance.
Researchers study the geometric properties of a specific type of stable processes.
This study bridges discrete and continuous state spaces using the Ehrenfest process and diffusion models.
The fractional Poisson process (FPP) is a counting process with independent and identically distributed inter-event times following the Mittag-Leffler distribution. This process is very useful in several fields of applied and theoretical physics including models for anomalous diffusion. Contrary to the well-known Poiss…
Proposes a new BSP-Tree process for flexible space partition modeling.
Gaussian process priors are commonly used in aerospace design for performing Bayesian optimization. Nonetheless, Gaussian processes suffer two significant drawbacks: outliers are a priori assumed unlikely, and the posterior variance conditioned on observed data depends only on the locations of those data, not the assoc…
Elliptical processes extend Gaussian models with heavier tails.
In this paper, we obtain the finite-horizon and infinite-horizon ruin probability asymptotics for risk processes with claims of subexponential tails for non-stationary arrival processes that satisfy a large deviation principle. As a result, the arrival process can be dependent, non-stationary and non-renewal. We give t…
We characterize the combinatorial structure of conditionally-i.i.d. sequences of negative binomial processes with a common beta process base measure. In Bayesian nonparametric applications, such processes have served as models for latent multisets of features underlying data. Analogously, random subsets arise from cond…
The paper analyzes multivariate Hawkes processes and their induced population processes.
The paper introduces new processes for modeling multivariate volatility.
Study on error probability for classification of heavy-tailed renewal processes.
Study shows convergence rates for BSDEs approximated by compound Poisson processes.
Non-Markovian point process shows power-law scaling, similar to nonlinear Markovian process.
Develops Bilateral Gamma processes for financial market modeling.
State spaces of multifactor approximations of nonnegative Volterra processes are linear transformations of the nonnegative orthant.
Automated process discovery is a class of process mining methods that allow analysts to extract business process models from event logs. Traditional process discovery methods extract process models from a snapshot of an event log stored in its entirety. In some scenarios, however, events keep coming with a high arrival…
The paper models user-advertiser interactions using point processes.
Paper introduces a new model for cyber insurance pricing.
We describe the combinatorial stochastic process underlying a sequence of conditionally independent Bernoulli processes with a shared beta process hazard measure. As shown by Thibaux and Jordan [TJ07], in the special case when the underlying beta process has a constant concentration function and a finite and nonatomic …