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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,786 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for graph statistics

Large graphs abound in machine learning, data mining, and several related areas. A useful step towards analyzing such graphs is that of obtaining certain summary statistics - e.g., or the expected length of a shortest path between two nodes, or the expected weight of a minimum spanning tree of the graph, etc. These sta…

2013-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the change-point detection problem of deciding, based on noisy measurements, whether an unknown signal over a given graph is constant or is instead piecewise constant over two connected induced subgraphs of relatively low cut size. We analyze the corresponding generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) statistics a…

2012-06-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Statistical-computational gap found in aligning multiple Gaussian graphs.

problem Aligning multiple Gaussian graphs with unknown signals.
method Generalized informational threshold and computational barrier analysis.
result Existence of a statistical-computational gap in multiple Gaussian graph alignment.

Relational machine learning studies methods for the statistical analysis of relational, or graph-structured, data. In this paper, we provide a review of how such statistical models can be "trained" on large knowledge graphs, and then used to predict new facts about the world (which is equivalent to predicting new edges…

2015-03-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Revises GNN neighborhood aggregation for more accurate node classification.

problem Flaws in benchmark GNN models for node classification.
method Statistical signal processing approach to neighborhood aggregation.
result Novel insights for designing more efficient GNN models.

Graph learning improves FXRP and FXSA with significant statistical arbitrage gains.

problem Improving FXRP and FXSA with complex multi-currency and interest rate relationships.
method Two-step graph learning approach: first, edge-level regression on spatiotemporal graph; second, stochastic optimization with constraints and risk-adjusted return maximization.
result Graph-learning method achieves higher information and Sortino ratios than benchmarks.

Paper provides statistical guarantees for GNNs in link prediction.

problem Link prediction accuracy in graph neural networks.
method Proposes a linear GNN architecture (LG-GNN) and derives statistical guarantees.
result LG-GNN produces consistent estimators for edge probabilities and has better detection of high-probability edges.

We define and study the statistical models in exponential family form whose sufficient statistics are the degree distributions and the bi-degree distributions of undirected labelled simple graphs. Graphs that are constrained by the joint degree distributions are called dKdK-graphs in the computer science literature and…

2014-11-14abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce GraSPy, a Python library devoted to statistical inference, machine learning, and visualization of random graphs and graph populations. This package provides flexible and easy-to-use algorithms for analyzing and understanding graphs with a scikit-learn compliant API. GraSPy can be downloaded from Python Pac…

2019-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

The goal of this paper is to show that there exists a simple, yet universal statistical logic of spectral graph analysis by recasting it into a nonparametric function estimation problem. The prescribed viewpoint appears to be good enough to accommodate most of the existing spectral graph techniques as a consequence of …

2016-02-11abs ↗pdf ↗

New method for testing directed graphs using surrogate data.

problem No established method for statistical testing on directed graphs.
method Define directed graph wide-sense stationary signals, generate surrogates preserving covariance, construct null distributions.
result Feasibility and superiority of new approach over existing methods.

In this work we develop a theory of hierarchical clustering for graphs. Our modeling assumption is that graphs are sampled from a graphon, which is a powerful and general model for generating graphs and analyzing large networks. Graphons are a far richer class of graph models than stochastic blockmodels, the primary se…

2016-07-06abs ↗pdf ↗

AgraSSt assesses graph generators using Stein operators and kernel discrepancies.

problem Assessing the quality of graph generators that are implicit or not in explicit form.
method AgraSSt uses Stein operators and kernel discrepancies to assess graph generators, providing interpretable criticisms.
result Theoretical guarantees and empirical validation for various graph models.

The paper studies the graph geometry of finite groups, creating a dataset and analyzing its properties.

problem Understanding how group-theoretic structure is reflected in Cayley graph observables.
method Construction of a dataset of Cayley graphs for groups of order up to 767, analysis of graph statistics, and comparison of model performance.
result Graph statistics are highly informative for predicting group properties, and GNNs can recover substantial structural signal.

We propose a novel node embedding of directed graphs to statistical manifolds, which is based on a global minimization of pairwise relative entropy and graph geodesics in a non-linear way. Each node is encoded with a probability density function over a measurable space. Furthermore, we analyze the connection between th…

2019-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

HYPA-DBGNN detects anomalous sequential patterns in temporal graphs.

problem Modeling temporal patterns in dynamic graphs, especially considering deviations from random shuffling.
method Two-step approach combining null model inference and neural message passing.
result HYPA-DBGNN outperforms baseline methods in static node classification tasks.

Graph Neural Networks improve financial time series forecasting accuracy.

problem Forecasting univariate financial time series with statistical significance.
method Introducing the Time-Geometric model combining geometric and temporal patterns.
result Statistically significant improvements in forecasting accuracy through geometric patterns.

Paper establishes identifiability conditions for a model with two latent vectors and auxiliary data.

problem Identifying conditions for a statistical model with two latent vectors and auxiliary data.
method Proposes a statistical model with two latent vectors and auxiliary data, establishing various identifiability conditions.
result Identifiability conditions reveal a dimensionality relation and link model indeterminacies to maximum link weights.

The paper extends RDPG model to handle weighted graphs, enabling better analysis of network data.

problem Modeling networks with weighted edges to capture heterogeneous weight distributions.
method Proposes a nonparametric W-RDPG model with latent positions and moment-generating functions.
result Establishes statistical guarantees for estimating nodal latent positions and sampling graphs.

The random dot product graph (RDPG) is an independent-edge random graph that is analytically tractable and, simultaneously, either encompasses or can successfully approximate a wide range of random graphs, from relatively simple stochastic block models to complex latent position graphs. In this survey paper, we describ…

2017-09-16abs ↗pdf ↗

New method extracts cosmological information from dark matter halo catalogues using graph neural networks.

problem Quantifying cosmological information from large-scale structure data.
method Implicit likelihood approach with Information Maximising Neural Networks (IMNNs) on graph representations of dark matter halo catalogues.
result Graph neural network summaries can extract information from noisy catalogues and improve parameter constraints.

A model learns causal graphs from summary statistics of synthetic data.

problem Causal discovery algorithms are brittle with large sets of variables and limited data.
method A supervised model trained on synthetic data predicts causal graphs from summary statistics.
result The model generalizes well beyond its training set and runs on large graphs.

Galerkin method outperforms graph-based methods in spectral decompositions.

problem Improving spectral decomposition methods in machine learning.
method Restricting study to a small set of test functions using the Galerkin method.
result Statistical and computational superiority of Galerkin method over graph-based approaches.

Paper tackles shape graph registration using neural networks.

problem Constrained registration of shape graphs with varying nodes and edges.
method Shape-Graph Matching Network (SGM-net) with an elastic shape metric loss function.
result State-of-the-art matching performance and reduced computational cost.

GCNs improve regression tasks by aggregating neighbor signals.

problem GCNs' statistical properties in regression tasks are poorly understood.
method Examined two GCN convolutions and their impact on learning error.
result GCNs have a bias-variance trade-off that depends on neighborhood size and topology.

This chapter covers methods for identifying and inferring graph topologies.

problem Identifying and inferring graph topologies from multidimensional relational data.
method Overview of methods including correlation metrics, covariance selection, kernels, structural equations, and vector autoregressions.
result Supports both batch and online learning with convergence guarantees and leverages high-order statistical information.

A new graph-based approach for estimating complex data with manifold structure.

problem Regression of large-scale, complex data with underlying geometric structure and noises.
method Constructing a skeleton graph to capture geometric structure, defining metrics, and applying nonparametric regression.
result Statistical guarantees and effectiveness demonstrated through simulations and real data examples.

A new test statistic counts tree co-occurrences to detect edge correlation between networks.

problem Detecting edge correlation between networks using latent vertex correspondence.
method The test statistic is based on counting co-occurrences of signed trees for a family of non-isomorphic trees.
result The test runs in n2+o(1)n^{2+o(1)} time and succeeds with high probability for large nn.

This article develops a statistical test for the null hypothesis of strict stationarity of a discrete time stochastic process in the frequency domain. When the null hypothesis is true, the second order cumulant spectrum is zero at all the discrete Fourier frequency pairs in the principal domain. The test uses a window …

2018-01-20abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a new statistical model suitable for machine learning of systems with long distance correlations such as natural languages. The model is based on directed acyclic graph decorated by multi-linear tensor maps in the vertices and vector spaces in the edges, called tensor network. Such tensor networks have been …

2017-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper improves GNN generalization theory by considering graph manifolds.

problem Improper GNN generalization bounds ignoring graph structures.
method Taking a manifold perspective, the paper establishes GNN generalization theory.
result GNN generalization bounds decrease linearly with graph size and spectral continuity.

UnKGCP generates prediction intervals for uncertain knowledge graphs with statistical guarantees.

problem Lack of quantified predictive uncertainty in existing UnKGE methods.
method Proposes extsc{UnKGCP} framework using conformal prediction with a novel nonconformity measure.
result Sharp prediction intervals effectively capture predictive uncertainty in diverse UnKGE methods.

We study the statistical behavior of reasoning probes in a stylized model of iterative computation inspired by neural algorithmic reasoning. The underlying computation is given by a looped Boolean circuit whose graph is a perfect νν-ary tree (ν2ν\ge 2), with outputs recursively fed back as inputs across computation ro…

2026-02-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Although the computational and statistical trade-off for modeling single graphs, for instance, using block models is relatively well understood, extending such results to sequences of graphs has proven to be difficult. In this work, we take a step in this direction by proposing two models for graph sequences that captu…

2018-04-24abs ↗pdf ↗