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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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87175262349 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for granular observations

New method predicts bankruptcy by imputing missing data with granular semantics.

problem Missing data, high dimensional data, and class imbalance in bankruptcy prediction.
method Granular computing for missing data imputation with feature semantics and AI-driven pipeline.
result Efficient solution for big datasets with high imputation rates.

Paper tackles cross-granularity few-shot learning with meta-embedder.

problem Few-shot learning with coarse labels and fine-grained testing.
method Meta-embedder that optimizes visual and semantic discrimination across coarse and fine classes.
result Meta-embedder achieves effective cross-granularity few-shot classification.

Neural HMM with AGA captures multi-scale dynamics in financial markets.

problem Capturing multi-scale temporal dynamics in financial markets.
method Parallel multi-resolution encoders, adaptive gating, and multi-head attention.
result Outperforms fixed-resolution baselines in predicting price movements and liquidity shocks.

Simultaneously estimates travel times and route choice model parameters.

problem Interdependent estimation of arc travel times and route choice model parameters.
method Maximum likelihood estimation for any differentiable route choice model.
result Strong performance in real-world data, even compared to arc travel time estimation methods.

GBOC detects anomalies in time series data using granular-ball vectors.

problem Challenges in modeling normal behavior in dynamic, nonlinear time series data.
method Granular-ball Vector Data Description (GVDD) and Granular-ball One-Class Network (GBOC).
result GBOC improves anomaly detection in time series data.

Study identifies key brain regions and model architectures for ASD diagnosis.

problem Subjective and time-consuming ASD diagnosis by clinicians.
method Comparative analysis of model architectures and atlas granularities.
result High-performing models use 2-4 hidden layers and 16-64 neurons per layer, and cerebellum is predictive of ASD.

GACAN combines multi-granularity time series for traffic forecasting.

problem High dynamics and complex spatial-temporal dependency of road networks in traffic forecasting.
method Graph Attention-Convolution-Attention Networks (GACAN) with Att-Conv-Att (ACA) block.
result GACAN outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in traffic forecasting.

Chaos in cerebellar cells enhances complexity of neural patterns.

problem Understanding how cerebellar granular layer represents complex information.
method Constructed a model of cerebellar granular layer with gap junctions, evaluated using reservoir computing.
result Chaotic dynamics in the cerebellar granular layer produce complex and diverse output patterns.

New method detects anomalies in computing centers' logs.

problem Anomaly detection in continuously changing log data for predictive maintenance.
method Evolving granular classifiers using Fuzzy-set-Based evolving Modeling and evolving Granular Neural Network.
result Classification model prioritizes maintenance based on anomaly severity.

Machine learning uncovers hidden correlations in granular material behavior.

problem Predicting mechanical behavior of granular materials from particle size distributions.
method Used Discrete Element Method to generate packings, trained artificial Neural Network.
result Artificial Neural Network revealed hidden correlations between particle size distributions and mechanical behavior.

We introduce a microscopic model for the dynamics of the order book to study how the lack of liquidity influences price fluctuations. We use the average density of the stored orders (granularity gg) as a proxy for liquidity. This leads to a Price Impact Surface which depends on both volume ωω and gg. The dependence …

2009-02-24abs ↗pdf ↗

INGB improves oversampling for noisy imbalanced datasets.

problem Imbalanced, noisy, and complex datasets in classification problems.
method INGB uses granular balls to simulate spatial distribution and informed entropy for optimization, followed by nonlinear oversampling.
result INGB outperforms traditional linear sampling frameworks and algorithms on complex datasets.

Continuous time Bayesian networks (CTBNs) describe structured stochastic processes with finitely many states that evolve over continuous time. A CTBN is a directed (possibly cyclic) dependency graph over a set of variables, each of which represents a finite state continuous time Markov process whose transition model is…

2012-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Revisits granular models explaining firm growth rates and sizes.

problem Understanding the relationship between firm size and growth rate statistics.
method Developed new theoretical insights linking firm size and growth rate statistics within granular models.
result Growth volatility distribution is size-independent but fat-tailed, challenging granular models.

We introduce a hierarchical architecture for video understanding that exploits the structure of real world actions by capturing targets at different levels of granularity. We design the model such that it first learns simpler coarse-grained tasks, and then moves on to learn more fine-grained targets. The model is train…

2018-09-04abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper considers the problem of predicting the number of events that have occurred in the past, but which are not yet observed due to a delay. Such delayed events are relevant in predicting the future cost of warranties, pricing maintenance contracts, determining the number of unreported claims in insurance and in …

2018-01-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uses trajectory embedding to measure place function similarity at fine spatial granularity.

problem Measuring place function similarity at fine spatial granularity.
method Trajectory embedding to reduce dimensions and measure similarity of place functions.
result Embedding similarity can be a metric proxy for place functions at fine spatial granularity.

Develops MgCSL for discovering causal structures in high-dimensional data.

problem Discovering causal relationships from high-dimensional data with complex interplay of variables.
method MgCSL uses sparse auto-encoders for coarse-graining and multi-layer perceptrons for detailed analysis, introducing simplified acyclicity constraints.
result MgCSL outperforms existing methods and finds explainable causal connections in fMRI datasets.

Model quantifies cyber-attacks' impact on firms and insurers.

problem Impact of cyber-attacks on firms' revenues and insurers' portfolios.
method Stochastic SIR model coupled with granular firm growth model.
result Predicts insurer needs to compensate up to two days of revenue in a 100-day incident.

New method learns fusion rules from few images using granular ball priors.

problem Challenges in supervised learning for image fusion with limited data.
method Introduces incomplete priors and Granular Ball Pixel Computation (GBPC) algorithm.
result Lightweight neural network learns effective fusion rules from few images.

Reducing ICD-10 code granularity improves cost model accuracy and stability.

problem High-dimensional regression with ICD-10 codes leads to unstable coefficient estimates.
method Log-linear analytics approach to cost model regularization through diagnostic code merging.
result Reducing ICD-10 code granularity from 7 characters to 6 or fewer improves model interpretability and consistency.

Reduces high granularity and dimensionality in hierarchical categorical variables.

problem Overfitting and estimation issues in predictive models due to high granularity and dimensionality.
method Entity embedding and top-down clustering algorithm to reduce granularity and dimensionality.
result The reduced hierarchy improves model fit and complexity balance.

Paper tackles sparse, unstructured data tensors by optimizing adaptive aggregation granularity.

problem Sparse, unstructured data tensors are hard to analyze.
method Introduces IceBreaker, a greedy algorithm that optimizes adaptive tensor aggregation.
result IceBreaker constructs tensors with high structure quality from various datasets.

Uncovering the heterogeneity of causal effects of policies and business decisions at various levels of granularity provides substantial value to decision makers. This paper develops new estimation and inference procedures for multiple treatment models in a selection-on-observables framework by modifying the Causal Fore…

2018-12-22abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the problem of adaptively placing sensors along an interval to detect stochastically-generated events. We present a new formulation of the problem as a continuum-armed bandit problem with feedback in the form of partial observations of realisations of an inhomogeneous Poisson process. We design a solution m…

2019-05-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes element-level differential privacy for better privacy and utility in statistical learning.

problem Challenges of strong differential privacy in statistical learning applications.
method Introduces element-level differential privacy, extending classical DP to protect specific user elements.
result Provides better utility and more robust results compared to classical DP by allowing finer privacy protections.

Employs granular data to create a multilayer network for euro area banks, revealing distinct risk patterns.

problem Lack of comprehensive, granular data integration for systemic risk assessment in euro area banks.
method Constructs an empirically grounded multilayer network integrating various supervisory and statistical datasets, each layer representing a distinct transmission channel.
result Cross-layer heterogeneity in connectivity and centrality reveals economically relevant structure and misidentifies systemically important institutions.

Proposes a new model for estimating individual treatment effects.

problem Estimating individual treatment effects from observational data is challenging.
method Integrates diffusion modeling and conformal inference with propensity score and covariate approximation.
result Establishes rigorous theoretical guarantees and demonstrates competitive performance.

A method uses Wasserstein clustering to simplify financial data analysis.

problem Processing and analyzing granular financial data with missing values and identifying clusters.
method Variant of Lloyd's algorithm applied to probability distributions, using Wasserstein barycenters.
result Demonstrated usefulness in financial regulation context.

SGQuant reduces GNN memory usage without significant accuracy loss.

problem High memory consumption in GNNs limits their applicability on memory-constrained devices.
method Proposes a specialized GNN quantization scheme (SGQuant) with a quantization algorithm, fine-tuning scheme, and multi-granularity strategy.
result SGQuant reduces GNN memory footprint from 4.25x to 31.9x with minimal accuracy loss.

New method calibrates ABMs using graph neural networks for microdata.

problem Calibrating ABMs to granular microdata with high-dimensional learning tasks.
method Temporal graph neural networks for learning parameter posteriors.
result Graph neural networks offer inductive biases for Bayesian inference with ABM microstates.

Even in the simple one-factor credit portfolio model that underlies the Basel II regulatory capital rules coming into force in 2007, the exact contributions to credit value-at-risk can only be calculated with Monte-Carlo simulation or with approximation algorithms that often involve numerical integration. As this may r…

2003-02-20abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proposes a principle for dynamically adjusting the granularity of reinforcement learning abstractions.

problem Lack of general principles for dynamically adjusting the granularity of reinforcement learning abstractions.
method The paper proposes a principle based on rate-distortion theory, formalized through a performance certificate decomposing value error into learning and abstraction error bounds.
result Soft state-action abstractions can achieve near-optimal performance under substantial lossy compression of state and action information.