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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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94188282376 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for gradient shrinkage

Paper proposes faster method to find local minima in nonconvex optimization.

problem Escaping saddle points and finding local minima in nonconvex optimization.
method LENA (Last stEp shriNkAge) framework for faster perturbed stochastic gradient methods.
result LENA finds (ε,εH)(ε, ε_{H})-approximate local minima within ildeO(ε3+εH6) ilde O(ε^{-3} + ε_{H}^{-6}) evaluations.

This manuscript shows that AdaBoost and its immediate variants can produce approximate maximum margin classifiers simply by scaling step size choices with a fixed small constant. In this way, when the unscaled step size is an optimal choice, these results provide guarantees for Friedman's empirically successful "shrink…

2013-03-18abs ↗pdf ↗

New damping technique improves deep learning models by reducing noise in flat directions.

problem Improving generalization in deep learning models by reducing estimation noise in flat directions.
method Developed a novel random matrix theory based damping learner to reduce the shrinkage coefficient and improve generalization.
result Significant generalization improvements in logistic regression and deep neural networks experiments.

We develop methods for parameter estimation in settings with large-scale data sets, where traditional methods are no longer tenable. Our methods rely on stochastic approximations, which are computationally efficient as they maintain one iterate as a parameter estimate, and successively update that iterate based on a si…

2015-09-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Gradient tree boosting is a prediction algorithm that sequentially produces a model in the form of linear combinations of decision trees, by solving an infinite-dimensional optimization problem. We combine gradient boosting and Nesterov's accelerated descent to design a new algorithm, which we call AGB (for Accelerated…

2018-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper extends and applies a new shrinkage prior in Bayesian factor analysis.

problem Estimating the number of factors in sparse Bayesian factor analysis.
method Introduces and extends a generalized cumulative shrinkage process (CUSP) prior.
result Exchangeable spike-and-slab shrinkage priors imply increasing shrinkage as the column index increases.

We show that Residual Networks (ResNet) is equivalent to boosting feature representation, without any modification to the underlying ResNet training algorithm. A regret bound based on Online Gradient Boosting theory is proved and suggests that ResNet could achieve Online Gradient Boosting regret bounds through neural n…

2019-09-25abs ↗pdf ↗

R2D2-Net improves Bayesian neural networks by preventing over-shrinkage of important weights.

problem Bayesian neural networks struggle with choosing appropriate priors, leading to over-shrinkage or poor predictive performance.
method Proposes R2D2-Net with an R^2-induced Dirichlet Decomposition prior and variational Gibbs inference algorithm.
result R2D2-Net effectively shrinks irrelevant coefficients while preventing key features from over-shrinkage.

WeSpeR speeds up non-linear shrinkage for high-dimensional weighted covariance.

problem Computing non-linear shrinkage formulas for high-dimensional weighted sample covariance.
method Derive extit{WeSpeR} algorithm using asymptotic sample spectrum properties.
result Significantly speeds up non-linear shrinkage in dimensions higher than 1000.

Improved portfolio optimization method reduces risk and improves performance.

problem Minimizing risk in large portfolios with limited data.
method Combines Tikhonov regularization and direct shrinkage of portfolio weights.
result Significantly reduces out-of-sample variance and Sharpe ratio compared to existing methods.

Spectral deconfounding improves machine learning models by reducing hidden confounding effects.

problem Machine learning models can be misled by hidden confounders, leading to unreliable predictions.
method Develops a nonlinear spectral deconfounding framework for gradient boosting that modifies boosting dynamics to slow down in confounding-aligned directions.
result Spectrally deconfounded boosting improves estimation of the target function under hidden confounding and is more scalable.

Extends covariance estimation with multiple targets for better performance.

problem Improving covariance estimation for multiple targets.
method Combines multiple constant matrices with sample covariance matrix, derives estimators and proves convergence.
result The multi-target linear shrinkage estimator outperforms other estimators in various situations.

PAS improves estimation of multiple means using ML predictions and shrinkage.

problem Improving statistical estimates with limited gold-standard data and noisy ML predictions.
method Prediction-Powered Adaptive Shrinkage (PAS) that combines PPI with empirical Bayes shrinkage.
result PAS adapts to the reliability of ML predictions and outperforms traditional methods in large-scale applications.

Many machine learning algorithms require precise estimates of covariance matrices. The sample covariance matrix performs poorly in high-dimensional settings, which has stimulated the development of alternative methods, the majority based on factor models and shrinkage. Recent work of Ledoit and Wolf has extended the sh…

2016-11-02abs ↗pdf ↗

A popular regularized (shrinkage) covariance estimator is the shrinkage sample covariance matrix (SCM) which shares the same set of eigenvectors as the SCM but shrinks its eigenvalues toward its grand mean. In this paper, a more general approach is considered in which the SCM is replaced by an M-estimator of scatter ma…

2020-02-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates dependent parameters using Markovian dependence with shrinkage.

problem Estimating dependent parameters from a hidden Markov model.
method Developed a novel non-parametric shrinkage algorithm combining Tweedie-based ideas and efficient state estimation.
result Superior performance compared to non-shrinkage methods in hidden Markov models.

Improved estimation of higher order integrals using shrinkage techniques.

problem Estimating higher order Bochner integrals in non-parametric settings.
method Shrinkage of U-statistic towards a target element, considering kernel degeneracy.
result Consistent shrinkage estimators with fast rates of convergence, even for non-degenerate kernels.

New method improves covariance estimation for weighted samples.

problem Improving covariance estimation for weighted sample data.
method Asymptotic non-linear shrinkage formulas for covariance and precision matrix estimators of weighted sample covariances.
result Asymptotic non-linear shrinkage formulas for covariance and precision matrix estimators of weighted sample covariances.

This work extends Ledoit-Wolf shrinkage to unknown mean covariance estimation.

problem Large dimensional covariance matrix estimation with unknown mean under Kolmogorov asymptotics.
method Extending Ledoit-Wolf linear shrinkage to translation-invariant estimators, proving their convergence properties.
result A new estimator outperforms other standard estimators empirically.

Self-distillation optimally improves model performance in spiked covariance models.

problem Improving model performance in spiked covariance models.
method Developed spectral shrinkage estimators and analyzed self-distillation.
result Self-distillation achieves optimal performance among spectral shrinkage estimators for spiked covariance matrices.

Guided adaptive shrinkage uses co-data to improve feature selection in genomic studies.

problem Feature selection challenges in high-dimensional genomics data, especially in clinical settings.
method Guided adaptive shrinkage methods that use co-data to adapt shrinkage parameters.
result Improves feature selection in genomic studies, demonstrated through comparisons and examples.

This paper converts ADMM to proximal gradient for efficient sparse estimation.

problem Sparse estimation problems like fused lasso and convex clustering.
method General method converting ADMM to proximal gradient, assuming Lipschitz continuity of derivative.
result Significant improvement in efficiency for sparse estimation problems.

This study evaluates shrinkage estimators for improving mean and covariance in portfolio optimization.

problem Estimation errors in expected returns and covariance matrix in mean-variance model.
method Examined five shrinkage estimators for expected returns and eleven for covariance matrix across six datasets.
result GMV model with Ledoit Wolf COV2 outperforms traditional methods in most scenarios.

Stein showed that the multivariate sample mean is outperformed by "shrinking" to a constant target vector. Ledoit and Wolf extended this approach to the sample covariance matrix and proposed a multiple of the identity as shrinkage target. In a general framework, independent of a specific estimator, we extend the shrink…

2014-12-05abs ↗pdf ↗

GRASP simplifies Bayesian regression with grouped predictors using an adaptive NBP prior.

problem Regression with grouped predictors and adaptive shrinkage.
method Normal Beta Prime (NBP) prior with tunable hyperparameters for flexible sparsity control.
result Empirical validation of robust and versatile GRASP across various sparsity and signal-to-noise ratios.

High-dimensional shrinkage risk depends on the default prior for the common scale.

problem Choosing the default prior for the common scale in high-dimensional shrinkage.
method Using radial-power benchmark to compare variance-flat and standard deviation-flat priors.
result The standard deviation-flat prior has a one-unit asymptotic risk advantage near the origin.

Improved covariance matrix forecasting for S&P 500 using factor models and shrinkage.

problem Forecasting large covariance matrices of returns in finance.
method Decompose covariance matrix into firm-level factors and sectoral restrictions. Estimate using VHAR models with LASSO.
result Significantly improved forecasting precision compared to benchmarks.

The paper constructs optimal confidence bands for kernel gradient flow estimators.

problem Estimating generalization error and constructing confidence bands for kernel gradient flows.
method Established convergence rates and constructed optimal confidence bands under capacity-source condition.
result Optimal confidence bands for kernel gradient flows have shrinkage rates close to minimax optimal rates.

SCOPE estimator improves covariance and precision matrix estimation.

problem Estimating covariance and precision matrices accurately.
method Distributionally robust optimization with convex spectral divergence.
result SCOPE estimator reduces spectral bias and improves condition number.

Unified model combines shrinkage, views, and factor models for better portfolio selection.

problem Limitations of mean-variance analysis, estimation errors, and reliance on historical data.
method Bayesian approach integrating shrinkage estimation and Black-Litterman model with Fama-French factor models.
result The model outperforms simple and sample-based optimal portfolios in US equity market.

Non-linear shrinkage isn't optimal for portfolio optimization, especially when asset dependence is non-stationary.

problem Optimizing portfolios with non-stationary asset dependence structures.
method Derived and compared non-linear shrinkage with an optimal target for covariance matrix estimation.
result Non-linear shrinkage can be significantly improved for portfolio optimization.