Meta-Router optimizes LLM selection using gold-standard and preference-based data.
problem Training a high-quality LLM router with combined data sources is challenging due to bias and scarcity.
method Developed an integrative causal router training framework to correct bias and improve routing accuracy.
result Our approach delivers more accurate routing and improves the trade-off between cost and quality.
PPI++ outperforms gold-standard labels only if pseudo-labels are highly correlated.
problem Optimizing statistical estimation using noisy pseudo-labels.
method Exact finite-sample analysis of PPI++ on mean estimation problem.
result PPI++ has provably worse estimation error than gold-standard labels alone in some settings.
New method improves statistical inference using machine learning-imputed data.
problem Improving statistical inference with imputed data from machine learning.
method Two-phase sampling approach for Z-estimation with ML-imputed outcomes.
result Guaranteed efficiency matching or exceeding classical inference, regardless of prediction quality.
Efficiently evaluate generative models at the prompt level using tensor factorization.
problem Fine-grained evaluations of generative models are costly and often misaligned with human judgment.
method Tensor factorization model that merges cheap autorater data with a small set of human gold-standard labels.
result The method provides accurate and tight confidence intervals for model performance.
The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve is a very useful tool for analyzing the diagnostic/classification power of instruments/classification schemes as long as a binary-scale gold standard is available. When the gold standard is continuous and there is no confirmative threshold, ROC curve becomes less useful…
Objective: To evaluate unsupervised clustering methods for identifying individual-level behavioral-clinical phenotypes that relate personal biomarkers and behavioral traits in type 2 diabetes (T2DM) self-monitoring data. Materials and Methods: We used hierarchical clustering (HC) to identify groups of meals with simila…
New method for valid inference from ML-predicted data.
problem Invalid scientific conclusions from ML-predicted outcomes.
method Assumption-Lean and Data-Adaptive Post-Prediction Inference (PSPA)
result Valid and powerful inference based on ML-predicted data.
Despite an explosion in the number of experimentally determined, atomically detailed structures of biomolecules, many critical tasks in structural biology remain data-limited. Whether performance in such tasks can be improved by using large repositories of tangentially related structural data remains an open question. …
Paper proposes a new method to measure model sensitivity using final model only.
problem Understanding model behavior using only the final trained model.
method Reframe TDA as measuring sensitivity, propose further training as gold standard, unify gradient-based methods.
result Gradient-based methods approximate further training but vary in quality.
Semantic Web knowledge representation standards, and in particular RDF and OWL, often come endowed with a formal semantics which is considered to be of fundamental importance for the field. Reasoning, i.e., the drawing of logical inferences from knowledge expressed in such standards, is traditionally based on logical d…
The article explains how to estimate confusion matrices for classifiers using unlabeled data.
problem Estimating sensitivity and specificity of binary medical diagnostic tests without gold standard tests.
method Modifying diagnostic test solutions to estimate confusion matrices for classifiers on unlabeled data.
result The approach can be used to estimate accuracy statistics for supervised or unsupervised binary classifiers on unlabeled data.
New neural network models speed up Bayesian multilevel modeling.
problem Complex computational challenges in Bayesian multilevel modeling.
method Probabilistic neural network architectures that leverage multilevel model factorization.
result Efficient posterior inference on unseen datasets with near-instant results.
We present an algorithm, AROFAC2, which detects the (CP-)rank of a degree 3 tensor and calculates its factorization into rank-one components. We provide generative conditions for the algorithm to work and demonstrate on both synthetic and real world data that AROFAC2 is a potentially outperforming alternative to the go…
Two new methods improve forecasting of functional time series data.
problem Forecasting of functional time-dependent data.
method Functional Singular Spectrum Analysis (FSFA) based forecasting methods.
result Our methods outperform existing algorithms for periodic stochastic processes.
The task of drug-target interaction prediction holds significant importance in pharmacology and therapeutic drug design. In this paper, we present FRnet-DTI, an auto encoder and a convolutional classifier for feature manipulation and drug target interaction prediction. Two convolutional neural neworks are proposed wher…
Combines trial and observational data to improve policy evaluation.
problem External validity of randomized trial results in target populations.
method Uses covariate data to model trial sampling and certifies policy evaluations.
result Valid trial-based policy evaluations under model miscalibration.
Many modern databases include personal and sensitive correlated data, such as private information on users connected together in a social network, and measurements of physical activity of single subjects across time. However, differential privacy, the current gold standard in data privacy, does not adequately address p…
To date, testing interactions in high dimensions has been a challenging task. Existing methods often have issues with sensitivity to modeling assumptions and heavily asymptotic nominal p-values. To help alleviate these issues, we propose a permutation-based method for testing marginal interactions with a binary respons…
AM-PPI uses multiple predictors to reduce label cost in healthcare AI.
problem Reduces label cost in post-deployment monitoring of healthcare AI.
method Combines model predictions with a small labeled sample, routing each instance to a cost-appropriate subset of predictors.
result Produces narrower confidence intervals than single-predictor methods.
New methods use ML predictions to improve statistical inference.
problem Improving statistical inference using machine learning predictions.
method Prediction-Augmented Trees (PART, PAQ) for reliable statistical analysis.
result PART and PAQ outperform existing methods in various datasets.
Regardless of the gold-standard being considered as outdated, it provides valuable signs concerning the development of novel monetary standards, better adjusted to the current macroeconomic environment. By using a point of view of classical physics, the intent of this work is doing a review of the concept of monetary s…
A simple and widely adopted approach to extend Gaussian processes (GPs) to multiple outputs is to model each output as a linear combination of a collection of shared, unobserved latent GPs. An issue with this approach is choosing the number of latent processes and their kernels. These choices are typically done manuall…
Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are generally regarded as the gold standard technique for Bayesian inference. They are theoretically well-understood and conceptually simple to apply in practice. The drawback of MCMC is that in general performing exact inference requires all of the data to be processed at eac…
With the proliferation of mobile devices and the internet of things, developing principled solutions for privacy in time series applications has become increasingly important. While differential privacy is the gold standard for database privacy, many time series applications require a different kind of guarantee, and a…
In medical risk modeling, typical data are "scarce": they have relatively small number of training instances (N), censoring, and high dimensionality (M). We show that the problem may be effectively simplified by reducing it to bipartite ranking, and introduce new bipartite ranking algorithm, Smooth Rank, for robust lea…
DPConvCNP learns to predict private data accurately and privately.
problem Balancing privacy and accuracy in machine learning models.
method Meta-learning combined with improved DP mechanism.
result DPConvCNP outperforms DP GP baseline, especially on non-Gaussian data.
Extends post-prediction inference method for more accurate AI/ML data analysis.
problem Naively using AI/ML predictions as true observations leads to biased results.
method Extends Wang et al. method to relax assumptions and incorporate a scaling factor.
result Yields unbiased point estimates and proper coverage in simulations.
Randomized experiments are the gold standard for evaluating the effects of changes to real-world systems. Data in these tests may be difficult to collect and outcomes may have high variance, resulting in potentially large measurement error. Bayesian optimization is a promising technique for efficiently optimizing multi…
New DP methods for estimating means and frequencies with varying privacy demands.
problem Estimating statistics with users having different privacy requirements.
method Proposes algorithms for empirical mean and frequency estimation under heterogeneous privacy constraints, considering both correlated and permuted datasets.
result Establishes theoretical performance guarantees for algorithms, achieving minimax optimality.
Generative model emulates climate model for 100-year forecasts.
problem Challenges in accurately simulating long-term climate data.
method Integrates DYffusion with SFNO for stable, accurate climate simulations.
result Achieves near gold-standard performance for climate model emulation.
Reducing the incidence of surgical site infections (SSIs) is one of the objectives of the French nosocomial infection control program. Manual monitoring of SSIs is carried out each year by the hospital hygiene team and surgeons at the University Hospital of Bordeaux. Our goal was to develop an automatic detection algor…
We propose an algorithm for clustering high dimensional data. If P features for N objects are represented in an N×P matrix X, where N≪P, the method is based on exploiting the cluster-dependent structure of the N×N matrix XXT. Computational burden thus depends primarily on N, …
Nonlinear methods such as Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) are the gold standard for various challenging machine learning problems, e.g., image classification, natural language processing or human action recognition. Although these methods perform impressively well, they have a significant disadvantage, the lack of transpar…
Paper proposes active learning for mining conflict dynamics from textual data.
problem Lack of detailed information on conflict dynamics in existing datasets.
method Active learning with a large, encoder-only language model.
result Performance similar to human coding with reduced human annotation.
The paper introduces staged event trees for transparent treatment effect estimation.
problem Estimating treatment effects from observational data.
method Staged event trees framework for causal inference.
result Enhanced treatment effect estimation with improved interpretability.
Differential privacy has emerged as a gold standard in privacy-preserving data analysis. A popular variant is local differential privacy, where the data holder is the trusted curator. A major barrier, however, towards a wider adoption of this model is that it offers a poor privacy-utility tradeoff. In this work, we add…
A new algorithm improves topic model accuracy in small data sets.
problem Limited data leads to inaccurate topic model identification.
method Developed a novel variational message passing algorithm (ALBU) for LDA.
result ALBU learns latent distributions more accurately than Variational Bayes (VB) in small data sets.
The gold standard for discovering causal relations is by means of experimentation. Over the last decades, alternative methods have been proposed that can infer causal relations between variables from certain statistical patterns in purely observational data. We introduce Joint Causal Inference (JCI), a novel approach t…
Bayesian l0-regularized least squares is a variable selection technique for high dimensional predictors. The challenge is optimizing a non-convex objective function via search over model space consisting of all possible predictor combinations. Spike-and-slab (a.k.a. Bernoulli-Gaussian) priors are the gold standard f…
Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have become the gold standard when it comes to learning generative models for high-dimensional distributions. Since their advent, numerous variations of GANs have been introduced in the literature, primarily focusing on utilization of novel loss functions, optimization/regularizat…
New method uses imperfect LLM annotations for valid statistical inference in social science.
problem Inaccurate large language model annotations in social science research.
method Design-based supervised learning (DSL) combining imperfect LLM surrogates with gold-standard labels.
result DSL provides valid statistical inference with comparable predictive accuracy to existing methods.
Kernel interpolation speeds up online Gaussian process updates.
problem Efficiently updating Gaussian process posteriors with new data.
method Structured kernel interpolation for constant-time updates.
result Exact inference maintained with constant-time updates.
We describe a method for parameter estimation in bipartite probabilistic graphical models for joint prediction of clinical conditions from the electronic medical record. The method does not rely on the availability of gold-standard labels, but rather uses noisy labels, called anchors, for learning. We provide a likelih…
Bandit structured prediction describes a stochastic optimization framework where learning is performed from partial feedback. This feedback is received in the form of a task loss evaluation to a predicted output structure, without having access to gold standard structures. We advance this framework by lifting linear ba…
MoCA uses a novel autoencoder to analyze multi-modal health data.
problem Challenges in analyzing continuous multi-modal health data from wearable devices.
method Proposes MoCA, a self-supervised learning framework combining transformer and masked autoencoder methods.
result Demonstrates strong performance boosts across reconstruction and classification tasks.
Psychiatric neuroscience is increasingly aware of the need to define psychopathology in terms of abnormal neural computation. The central tool in this endeavour is the fitting of computational models to behavioural data. The most prominent example of this procedure is fitting reinforcement learning (RL) models to decis…
We tackle the problem of protein secondary structure prediction using a common task framework. This lead to the introduction of multiple ideas for neural architectures based on state of the art building blocks, used in this task for the first time. We take a principled machine learning approach, which provides genuine,…
Study on noise models for noisy labels in NLP.
problem Quality of noise models from noisy labels.
method Theoretical analysis and synthetic dataset creation.
result Expected error of noise models derived.