Paper revisits HVA to address model risk in banking.
problem Model risk and dynamic hedging frictions in banking.
method Reconciles global fair valuation with local bank models.
result Local models should be excluded rather than managed via reserves.
Fair market valuations ignore future worker profits in employee-owned firms.
problem Ignoring future worker profits in fair market valuations for employee-owned firms.
method Analyzing property rights and residual claimants in employee-owned firms.
result Fair market valuations are inappropriate for employee-owned firms.
In the aftermath of the 2007 global financial crisis, banks started reflecting into derivative pricing the cost of capital and collateral funding through XVA metrics. Here XVA is a catch-all acronym whereby X is replaced by a letter such as C for credit, D for debt, F for funding, K for capital and so on, and VA stands…
New framework values football players based on in-game interactions.
problem Valuing football players based on in-game performance.
method Combining financial models and network theory using a passing matrix.
result Dynamic and individualized player valuation framework.
Fast ML framework for derivative valuation from volatility surfaces.
problem Derivative valuation from complex volatility surfaces.
method Parameterized SVI model, synthetic market scenarios, Gaussian Process Regressor.
result Very accurate and fast (3-4 orders of magnitude) derivative valuations.
Develops framework for valuing and assessing risk of renewable PPAs.
problem Valuation and risk assessment of non-standard renewable PPAs.
method Formalizes payoff structures, derives fair contract prices, proposes market risk-assessment methodology.
result Fair prices and risk profiles vary across technologies and contractual structures.
This paper studies the stochastic modeling of market drawdown events and the fair valuation of insurance contracts based on drawdowns. We model the asset drawdown process as the current relative distance from the historical maximum of the asset value. We first consider a vanilla insurance contract whereby the protectio…
Enhances data valuation by integrating global and local statistical properties.
problem Insufficient consideration of global and local statistical properties in data valuation methods.
method Proposes a method that fuses global and local statistical properties into regularization terms for Shapley value estimation and dynamic data valuation.
result Demonstrates improved performance and efficiency of data valuation methods through integration of global and local statistical properties.
Paper introduces a new principle for fair redistribution of insurance surplus.
problem Fair redistribution of surplus in life insurance policies.
method Introduces ISU decomposition principle based on infinitesimal sequential updates.
result Existing heuristic formulas can be replicated as ISU decompositions.
Efficient WKNN-Shapley computation improves data valuation accuracy.
problem Efficient computation of Data Shapley for WKNN algorithm.
method Reframed WKNN-Shapley as a counting problem, introduced quadratic-time algorithm.
result Quadratic-time WKNN-Shapley computation, improving from O(NK). Paper develops framework for valuing and assessing credit risk in renewable PPAs.
problem Renewable PPAs expose both parties to counterparty credit risk.
method Modelled joint dynamics of electricity prices and renewable output, incorporated default probabilities.
result Provides transparent metric for PPA valuation under counterparty risk.
Financial models are studied where each asset may potentially lose value relative to any other. Conditioning on non-devaluation, each asset can serve as proper numéraire and classical valuation rules can be formulated. It is shown when and how these local valuation rules can be aggregated to obtain global arbitrage-fre…
WassFFed addresses fairness in Federated Learning by ensuring consistency between local and global models.
problem Achieving fairness in Federated Learning where data is distributed among diverse user groups.
method WassFFed employs a Wasserstein barycenter calculation to aggregate local models' outputs, ensuring consistency and fairness.
result WassFFed outperforms existing approaches in balancing accuracy and fairness.
The rise of algorithmic decision making led to active researches on how to define and guarantee fairness, mostly focusing on one-shot decision making. In several important applications such as hiring, however, decisions are made in multiple stage with additional information at each stage. In such cases, fairness issues…
In general it is not clear which kind of information is supposed to be used for calculating the fair value of a contingent claim. Even if the information is specified, it is not guaranteed that the fair value is uniquely determined by the given information. A further problem is that asset prices are typically expressed…
This paper improves financial derivative pricing by incorporating multiple hedging instruments.
problem Valuation of financial derivatives with multiple hedging instruments.
method Deep hedging algorithm and reinforcement learning to solve global hedging problems.
result Including options as hedging instruments can significantly decrease equal risk prices and market incompleteness.
Tackling climate change is at the top of many agendas. In this context, emission trading schemes are considered as promising tools. The regulatory framework for an emission trading scheme introduces a market for emission allowances and creates a need for risk management by appropriate financial contracts. In this work,…
Paper compares neural networks and time-series models for weather derivative pricing.
problem Pricing accuracy and regime adaptation for temperature and precipitation weather derivatives.
method Benchmarked harmonic-regression/ARMA vs. feed-forward neural network for temperature. Used CNN for precipitation, adapting to seasonal heterogeneity.
result CNN yields more accurate pricing, especially for regime-adapted seasonal data.
An uncollateralized swap hedged back-to-back by a CCP swap is used to introduce FVA. The open IR01 of FVA, however, is a sure sign of risk not being fully hedged, a theoretical no-arbitrage pricing concern, and a bait to lure market risk capital, a practical business concern. By dynamically trading the CCP swap, with t…
Market valuation duration is 175 years, but drops to 46 years during crises.
problem Understanding the duration of market valuation and its impact on returns.
method Comparing market valuation ratios and dividends to estimate duration, analyzing the discount rate effect.
result Valuation duration is negatively correlated with market returns, with a robust out-of-sample R2 of 15%.
This work addresses local fairness in machine learning models.
problem Ensuring fairness within subregions of feature space, not just global averages.
method Introduces ROAD, a Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) approach with adversarial learning.
result Achieves Pareto dominance in local fairness and accuracy across datasets.
Is an option to early terminate a swap at its market value worth zero? At first sight it is, but in presence of counterparty risk it depends on the criteria used to determine such market value. In case of a single uncollateralised swap transaction under ISDA between two defaultable counterparties, the additional unilat…
Despite being described as a medium of exchange, cryptocurrencies do not have the typical attributes of a medium of exchange. Consequently, cryptocurrencies are more appropriately described as crypto assets. A common investment attribute shared by the more than 2,500 crypto assets is that they are highly volatile. An i…
New method for insurance valuation combining hedging and risk minimization.
problem Current insurance valuation methods do not reflect regulatory risk measures.
method Two-step hedging procedure using generalised regression.
result The method produces portfolios neutral to risk measures like VaR or expectiles.
We investigate the relation between the fair price for European-style vanilla options and the distribution of short-term returns on the underlying asset ignoring transaction and other costs. We compute the risk-neutral probability density conditional on the total variance of the asset's returns when the option expires.…
This paper introduces a novel framework for designing fair and sustainable unemployment benefits, grounded in cooperative game theory and real-time fiscal policy. The labor market is modeled as a coalitional game, where a random subset of participants is employed, generating stochastic economic output. To ensure fairne…
Model shows partial compliance can lead to less fair outcomes than expected.
problem How partial compliance affects fairness in competitive markets.
method Simple model of employment market, simulation to explore effects.
result Partial compliance can lead to less fair outcomes than expected.
New method improves fairness of facial recognition systems.
problem Facial recognition systems exhibit bias across different demographic groups.
method Optimizes centroid-based scores to reduce bias in pre-trained models.
result Demonstrates significant improvement in fairness with minimal loss in accuracy.
This work improves fairness in federated learning by using zero-shot data augmentation.
problem Statistical heterogeneity leads to biased and less uniform accuracy across clients in federated learning.
method Proposes a federated learning system with zero-shot data augmentation to mitigate statistical heterogeneity and improve fairness.
result Empirical results show improved test accuracy and fairness across clients.
Study on CFMMs pricing and hedging, developing models for LP and derivatives valuation.
problem Valuation and hedging of liquidity provider mechanisms in CFMMs.
method Developed a model with two types of traders, simulated their behavior, and calculated PnL.
result Foundations for estimating CFMM derivatives and understanding fair price distribution.
Improves global counterfactual explanations for model recourse.
problem Inability to provide explanations beyond local instances.
method Investigates and improves Actionable Recourse Summaries (AReS) for global counterfactual explanations.
result Develops more efficient and interactive explainability tools.
We survey recent results in hermitian integral geometry, i.e. integral geometry on complex vector spaces and complex space forms. We study valuations and curvature measures on complex space forms and describe how the global and local kinematic formulas on such spaces were recently obtained. While the local and global k…
A new federated learning framework ensures fairness and robustness.
problem Collaborative fairness and adversarial robustness in federated learning.
method RFFL framework with a reputation mechanism to identify and remove non-contributing or malicious participants.
result RFFL achieves high fairness and robustness to different types of adversaries.
Gradient boosting method enforced with individual fairness.
problem Enforcing fairness in machine learning models.
method Functional gradient descent on robust loss function.
result Algorithm converges globally and generalizes.
The paper tackles fairness in forecasting and learning linear dynamical systems.
problem Under-representation bias in training data for multiple subgroups.
method Introducing subgroup-fair and instant-fair learning of LDS from multiple trajectories of varying lengths, using hierarchies of convexifications of non-commutative polynomial optimisation problems.
result Empirical results show both the beneficial impact of fairness considerations on statistical performance and encouraging effects of exploiting sparsity on run time.
In this paper we explore an identity in distribution of hitting times of a finite variation process (Yor's process) and a diffusion process (geometric Brownian motion with affine drift), which arise from various applications in financial mathematics. As a result, we provide analytical solutions to the fair charge of va…
In this paper we present a rigorously motivated pricing equation for derivatives, including general cash collateralization schemes, which is consistent with quoted market bond prices. Traditionally, there have been differences in how instruments with similar cash flow structures have been priced if their definition fal…
Researchers create a framework to value player actions in CSGO.
problem Lack of accessible data and analytical frameworks for esports players.
method Data model, graph distance measure, context-aware framework.
result Demonstrated framework's consistency and independence compared to existing methods.
Simplifies complex pricing models for better interpretability and revenue.
problem Complex pricing models are hard to interpret and not widely adopted.
method Model distillation to create interpretable pricing policies.
result Maximizes revenue while maintaining interpretability.
Extends micro-price concept to RFQ markets for fair pricing.
problem Valuing securities in illiquid RFQ markets.
method Bidimensional Markov-modulated Poisson processes for liquidity.
result Introduces Fair Transfer Price for fair securities valuation.
Paper refutes EM convergence theory and introduces a new EM algorithm.
problem The convergence theory of the EM algorithm is incorrect and affects its performance.
method Proposes a new EM algorithm called the Channel Matching (CM) EM algorithm and provides an initialization map.
result The locally maximal Q can affect the convergent speed but not the global convergence.
The paper analyzes GMWB annuities in low interest rate environments.
problem Valuation of GMWB annuities in low interest rate conditions.
method Dynamic programming and Hull-White interest rate model.
result Low interest rates increase the fair value of GMWB annuities.
In this paper we introduce the notion of cofrontal mappings, as the dual objects to frontal mappings, and study their basic local and global properties. Cofrontals are very special mappings and far from generic nor stable except for the case of submersions. It is observed that any smooth mapping can be C0-approximat…
In this paper, a geometric function is introduced to reflect the attenuation speed of impact of one firm's default to its partner. If two firms are competitions (copartners), the default intensity of one firm will decrease (increase) abruptly when the other firm defaults. As time goes on, the impact will decrease gradu…
Study on collateral currency impact in differential swaps valuation.
problem Impact of collateral currency on differential swap valuation and risk management.
method Replication using futures, explicit pricing and hedging strategies.
result Choice of collateral currency can introduce additional risk exposures.
Paper tackles fairness in CCA by minimizing correlation disparity error.
problem Fairness issues in CCA.
method Framework to minimize correlation disparity error in CCA.
result Reduces correlation disparity error without sacrificing CCA accuracy.
FairGP uses graph partitioning to make Graph Transformers fair and scalable.
problem Fairness issues in Graph Transformers, especially against sensitive features.
method Graph partitioning to minimize the influence of higher-order nodes and optimize attention mechanisms.
result FairGP improves fairness in Graph Transformers while reducing computational complexity.
The paper develops a valuation framework for GLWB-LTC contracts with Levy dynamics and stochastic interest rates.
problem Valuation of GLWB-LTC contracts with financial guarantees, longevity protection, and health-contingent LTC payments.
method Coupling a recombining Hull-White trinomial tree with an IMEX finite difference scheme, incorporating a seven-state health model.
result Hybrid tree-IMEX method delivers stable long-maturity prices consistent with simulation benchmarks.