How technology affects growth or employment has long been debated. With a hiatus, the debate revived once again in the form of how Information and Communications Technology, as a form of new technology, exerts on productivity and employment. Information and Communications Technology perceived as General Purpose Technol…
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arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
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48 results for “generation technologies”
Comparative Analysis of Technological Fitness and Coherence at different geographical scalesphysics.soc-ph
The paper analyzes tech specialization and diversification at various scales.
problem Trade-offs between specialization and diversification in economic development.
method Patent data and Economic Complexity framework.
result Technological Coherence positively impacts growth at metropolitan areas but negatively at larger scales.
This paper analyzes the dynamic incentives for technology adoption under a transferable permits system, which allows for strategic trading on the permit market. Initially, firms can invest both in low-emitting production technologies and trade permits. In the model, technology adoption and allowance price are generated…
Develops a deep learning framework to predict future tech directions for high-tech companies.
problem Difficult task in predicting future R&D trends for high-tech companies due to complexity and variety of factors.
method Deep Technology Forecasting (DTF) framework with three components: PCR, CTR, and DTT neural network.
result DTF framework precisely predicts future tech emphasis of companies using hybrid factors.
Estimates yearly improvement rates for nearly all technologies using US patent data.
problem Providing a comprehensive account of technological change rates.
method Mapping patents to technology domains, calculating average centrality, and estimating improvement rates.
result Variation in improvement rates from 1.9% to 228.8% per year, with software-based domains often the fastest.
Qlib aims to integrate AI into quantitative investment.
problem Challenges in applying AI to quantitative investment.
method Design and develop Qlib to accommodate AI-driven workflow.
result Qlib realizes the potential of AI technologies in quantitative investment.
Developing Knowledge States: Technology and the Enhancement of National Statistical Capacityq-fin.GN
National statistical systems are the enterprises tasked with collecting, validating and reporting societal attributes. These data serve many purposes - they allow governments to improve services, economic actors to traverse markets, and academics to assess social theories. National statistical systems vary in quality, …
In this paper, the agent-based modeling is employed to model the effect of intellectual property policy at the speed of technological advancement. Every agent has inborn preferences towards investing their capital into independent technological development, innovation appropriation, and production. The relative cost of…
Predicting one type of technological motion? A nonlinear map to study the 'sailing-ship' effectphysics.soc-ph
Study of dynamic competition between old and new technologies using a nonlinear map.
problem Dynamic competition between old and new technologies in market share.
method Simulations with three key parameters: scientific-technological, purely technological, and economic.
result Different outcomes in terms of technology prevalence based on interaction of key parameters.
This paper provides a quantitative method for estimating the risk associated with candidate transportation technology, before it is developed and deployed. The proposed solution extends previous methods that rely exclusively on low-fidelity human-in-the-loop experimental data, or high-fidelity traffic data, by adopting…
This paper presents a general theory that aims at explaining timescales observed empirically in technology transitions and predicting those of future transitions. This framework is used further to derive a theory for exploring the dynamics that underlie the complex phenomenon of irreversible and path dependent price or…
Quantum crypto-economics: Blockchain prediction markets for the evolution of quantum technologyq-fin.PR
Quantum crypto-economics models price risks in blockchain technology.
problem Quantum technology's potential to undermine blockchain security.
method Building financial models to price quantum risk in blockchain scenarios.
result Quantum crypto-economics models can assess and price quantum risks in blockchain.
Statistical Basis for Predicting Technological Progressphysics.soc-ph
Forecasting technological progress is of great interest to engineers, policy makers, and private investors. Several models have been proposed for predicting technological improvement, but how well do these models perform? An early hypothesis made by Theodore Wright in 1936 is that cost decreases as a power law of cumul…
Which factor dominates the industry evolution? A synergy analysis based on China's ICT industryphysics.soc-ph
Industry evolution caused by various reasons, among which technology progress driving industry development has been approved, but with the new trend of industry convergence, inter-industry convergence also plays an increasing important role. This paper plans to probe the industry synergetic evolution mechanism based on…
Data-driven models and computational tools for neurolinguistics: a language technology perspectivecs.LG
Paper reviews neurolinguistics and language technologies, emphasizing mutual enrichment.
problem Understanding brain activity during language processing.
method Brain imaging studies and natural language representations.
result Development of brain-aware natural language representations.
At the heart of technology transitions lie complex processes of social and industrial dynamics. The quantitative study of sustainability transitions requires modelling work, which necessitates a theory of technology substitution. Many, if not most, contemporary modelling approaches for future technology pathways overlo…
Different technological domains have significantly different rates of performance improvement. Prior theory indicates that such differing rates should influence the relative speed of diffusion of the products embodying the different technologies since improvement in performance during the diffusion process increases th…
The Tech Decouplingq-fin.ST
Tech sector decouples from non-tech sectors post-2015, predicting economic growth.
problem Understanding the relationship between technology and economic growth.
method ARIMA modeling, stationarity tests, data wrangling, exploratory data analysis.
result The technology sector decouples from non-technology sectors post-2015 and predicts economic growth.
Tool uses text mining to define innovative tech fields from abstracts.
problem Defining scope in dynamic, multidisciplinary tech projects.
method Text mining of Elsevier's Scopus abstracts.
result Tool provides crucial information for tech field definition.
Modeling tech transfer to explain convergence in Central and Eastern Europe.
problem Understanding mechanisms of technological diffusion in developing economies.
method Introducing a herding-based mechanism to model technological adoption and productivity growth.
result Explicit analytical solution showing nonlinear convergence to a moving frontier.
Smart contracts are a digital technology with potential but also flaws.
problem Understanding the potential and limitations of smart contracts.
method Exploratory study combining statistics, IT, and law.
result Smart contracts have both idealistic promises and practical challenges.
Model predicts carbon price for green tech adoption.
problem Achieving emission targets with green technology adoption.
method Stationary equilibrium model with endogenous carbon price.
result Carbon price and stationary distribution of firms identified.
TechRankq-fin.CP
TechRank ranks companies and technologies based on investor preferences.
problem Estimating influence and ranking companies and technologies.
method Recursive algorithm based on a bi-partite graph with weighted nodes, incorporating investor preferences.
result Provides investors with a quantitative ranking of technologies for optimal portfolio design.
Space exploration technology advances exponentially, consistent with Moore's and Wright's laws.
problem Predicting the advancement of space exploration technology.
method Analysis of Moore's and Wright's laws applied to space exploration technology.
result Spacecraft technology advances exponentially, consistent with Moore's and Wright's laws.
Geoeconomic analysis of venture capital portfolios reveals key emerging tech domains and countries.
problem Quantifying geoeconomic power and technological sovereignty through venture capital data.
method Economic complexity methods applied to venture capital portfolios and RVA metrics.
result Cloud Computing, Cybersecurity Tools, and Medtech have the highest concentration of specialization among high-GCI countries.
Margin trading and short selling boost green tech innovation in China.
problem Encouraging green technology innovation in Chinese companies.
method Quasi-experimental research using panel data of Chinese listed companies, double difference model.
result Margin trading and short selling increase green tech innovation significantly.
New method assesses energy storage value beyond cost reduction.
problem Improving energy storage value beyond cost reduction.
method Market potential method to evaluate and compare energy storage technologies.
result High-cost hydrogen storage can be more valuable than low-cost hydrogen storage.
Machine learning and blockchain are two of the most noticeable technologies in recent years. The first one is the foundation of artificial intelligence and big data, and the second one has significantly disrupted the financial industry. Both technologies are data-driven, and thus there are rapidly growing interests in …
AI enhances quantitative investment for better returns and risk control.
problem Achieving stable returns through AI in quantitative investment.
method Application of AI technology in quantitative investment strategies.
result AI improves investment performance and risk management.
Study finds tax avoidance and IT issues hinder revenue in Gombe state.
problem Problems of personal income tax on revenue generation in Gombe state.
method Survey with primary and secondary data, chi square test.
result Tax avoidance and IT issues are major problems.
SafeRNet: Safe Transportation Routing in the era of Internet of Vehicles and Mobile Crowd Sensingcs.LG
World wide road traffic fatality and accident rates are high, and this is true even in technologically advanced countries like the USA. Despite the advances in Intelligent Transportation Systems, safe transportation routing i.e., finding safest routes is largely an overlooked paradigm. In recent years, large amount of …
The optimal (`equilibrium') macroscopic properties of an economy with industries endowed with different technologies, commodities and one consumer are derived in the limit with fixed using the replica method. When technologies are strictly inefficient, a phase transition occurs upon increas…
The paper proposes an AI and IIoT framework for improved maintenance.
problem Current maintenance practices need improvement with AI and IIoT.
method Review of reliability modeling, introduction of Intelligent Maintenance framework, and novel probabilistic deep learning approach.
result Demonstrated novel probabilistic deep learning reliability modelling in Turbofan Engine Degradation Dataset.
Being one of the most important factors of economic growth of the country, innovations became one of the key vectors in Russian economic policy. In this field technology parks are one of the most effective instruments which can provide growth of innovative activity in sectors, regions and economies. In this paper, we m…
Due to the increasing complexity of Integrated Circuits (ICs) and System-on-Chip (SoC), developing high-quality synthesis flows within a short market time becomes more challenging. We propose a general approach that precisely estimates the Quality-of-Result (QoR), such as delay and area, of unseen synthesis flows for s…
This is an expository paper on Mom-technology, describing the recent work of the authors in this area (found in arXiv:math/0606072, arXiv:0705.4325, and arXiv:0809.0346) concerning the use of Mom-technology to find the minimum-volume compact hyperbolic 3-manifold and the 10 smallest cusped hyperbolic 3-manifolds. In ad…
This paper explores IT governance for CBDC adoption in financial markets.
problem Adopting CBDC requires new IT governance models in financial markets.
method Systematic Literature Review (SLR) of 14 studies on IT resources and governance models.
result Many IT resources and preliminary IT designs for CBDC governance identified.
This paper is the first in a series whose goal is to understand the structure of low-volume complete orientable hyperbolic 3-manifolds. Here we introduce Mom technology and enumerate the hyperbolic Mom-n manifolds for n <= 4.
Study uses Perelman and Ricci flow methods to analyze economic inequality.
problem Impact of socio-economic challenges and technological progress on economic inequality.
method Perelman model and Ricci flow methods.
result Technological innovations and social protection programs reduce inequality.
Study shows financial literacy, social capital, and financial tech positively impact financial inclusion of Indonesian students.
problem Financial literacy, social capital, and financial technology's impact on financial inclusion of Indonesian students.
method Quantitative research using questionnaires distributed to 100 students from 7 private colleges in Tangerang, Indonesia.
result Financial literacy, social capital, and financial technology have a positive and significant influence on financial inclusion.
Modeling government intervention's impact on company market technology growth.
problem Understanding how governments influence technology growth and innovation diffusion.
method Proposed a simple extension of TGID models, incorporating a government intervention parameter.
result High government intervention can destabilize market development, lowering technology levels.
Typical properties of large random economies with linear activitiescond-mat.stat-mech
We study the competitive equilibrium of large random economies with linear activities using methods of statistical mechanics. We focus on economies with commodities, firms, each running a randomly drawn linear technology, and one consumer. We derive, in the limit with fixed, a complete de…
Study evaluates digital transformation impact on financial performance using LLMs.
problem Measuring and understanding the impact of digital transformation on financial performance.
method Constructed DT indicators from company reports; analyzed effects of different digital technologies.
result Digital transformation improves financial performance, but varies by technology.
Decentralized Finance (DeFi)q-fin.GN
Decentralized finance uses blockchain for $70B in assets, differing from traditional finance.
problem Ensuring compliance and security in decentralized finance.
method Systematic analysis of legal, economic, security, and privacy aspects.
result Decentralized finance offers unique economic effects and security features.
Paper analyzes AI's impact on job tasks, predicting future demands.
problem AI's impact on job tasks and potential technological unemployment.
method Dynamic task shares analysis using ARIMA model on large job postings dataset.
result AI has risen in high wage occupations, predicting future task demands.
Structural variants compose the majority of human genetic variation, but are difficult to assess using current genomic sequencing technologies. Optical mapping technologies, which measure the size of chromosomal fragments between labeled markers, offer an alternative approach. As these technologies mature towards becom…
Geometric theory explains substitutability in market outcomes based on production constraints.
problem Understanding substitutability in markets with structured feasible products.
method Modeling the set of feasible products as a compact Riemannian manifold to study intrinsic geometry and its effects on substitutability.
result Intrinsic geometry of the feasible set governs substitutability and market outcomes, with curvature controlling technological substitution elasticity.
We study the relationship between firms' performance and their technological portfolios using tools borrowed from the complexity science. In particular, we ask whether the accumulation of knowledge and capabilities related to a coherent set of technologies leads firms to experience advantages in terms of productive eff…