A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Paper tackles backwards-compatible data adaptation for confounded covariate and label shifts.
problem Adapt covariates to predict labels confounded with covariate shifts.
method Proposes confounded shift framework based on minimizing divergence between source and target conditional distributions, conditioning on confounders.
result Demonstrates approach on synthetic and real datasets, achieving backwards-compatible data adaptation.
RLSbench benchmarks domain adaptation under label proportion shifts, revealing widespread failures and proposing a two-step meta-algorithm.
problem Domain adaptation under label proportion shifts is poorly understood and inconsistent across methods.
method RLSbench introduces a large-scale benchmark with 500 distribution shift pairs. It proposes a two-step meta-algorithm to improve domain adaptation methods under label proportion shifts.
result The two-step meta-algorithm improves domain adaptation methods by 2-10% accuracy points under large label proportion shifts.
Paper tackles online adaptation to changing label distributions.
problem Adapting machine learning models to changing label distributions in real-world settings.
method Leverages novel analysis to show estimation of expected test loss is possible without true labels. Proposes adaptation algorithms inspired by classical online learning techniques.
result Empirically verified that OGD is particularly effective and robust to various label shift scenarios.
We propose Regularized Learning under Label shifts (RLLS), a principled and a practical domain-adaptation algorithm to correct for shifts in the label distribution between a source and a target domain. We first estimate importance weights using labeled source data and unlabeled target data, and then train a classifier …
Discrepancy between training and testing domains is a fundamental problem in the generalization of machine learning techniques. Recently, several approaches have been proposed to learn domain invariant feature representations through adversarial deep learning. However, label shift, where the percentage of data in each …
GS-B3SE improves label shift estimation by smoothing priors on a graph.
problem Label shift adaptation when source and target distributions share conditional but not marginal probabilities.
method Graph-Smoothed Bayesian Black-Box Shift Estimator (GS-B3SE) places Laplacian-Gaussian priors on log-priors and confusion-matrix columns tied by a label-similarity graph.
result GS-B3SE produces a tractable posterior with HMC or Newton-CG schemes, proving identifiability, contraction, and robustness.
Unified learning bound for covariate and concept shifts.
problem Generalization under distribution shift in machine learning.
method Support-agnostic definitions of covariate and concept shifts using entropic optimal transport, leading to a unified error bound applicable to various loss functions and label spaces.
result Development of estimators for shifts with concentration guarantees and the DataShifts algorithm for quantifying and estimating the error bound.
In safety-critical applications of machine learning, it is often important to abstain from making predictions on low confidence examples. Standard abstention methods tend to be focused on optimizing top-k accuracy, but in many applications, accuracy is not the metric of interest. Further, label shift (a shift in class …
Label shift refers to the phenomenon where the prior class probability p(y) changes between the training and test distributions, while the conditional probability p(x|y) stays fixed. Label shift arises in settings like medical diagnosis, where a classifier trained to predict disease given symptoms must be adapted to sc…
Faced with distribution shift between training and test set, we wish to detect and quantify the shift, and to correct our classifiers without test set labels. Motivated by medical diagnosis, where diseases (targets) cause symptoms (observations), we focus on label shift, where the label marginal p(y) changes but the …
LIME is a popular approach for explaining a black-box prediction through an interpretable model that is trained on instances in the vicinity of the predicted instance. To generate these instances, LIME randomly selects a subset of the non-zero features of the predicted instance. After that, the perturbed instances are …
Develops a method for kernel ridge regression under covariate shift using pseudo-labels.
problem Learning a regression function with small mean squared error over a target distribution with labeled data from a different feature distribution.
method Split labeled data into two subsets, conduct kernel ridge regression on each, use imputation model to fill missing labels, and select the best candidate model.
result Non-asymptotic excess risk bounds demonstrate effective adaptation to target distribution and covariate shift.