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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for game-theoretic niching

BOP-Elites uses Bayesian Optimisation for QD search, improving efficiency and insight.

problem Finding diverse high-performing points from an objective function.
method Bayesian Optimisation and Gaussian Processes to model quality and diversity.
result Significantly more sample efficient and better at identifying niche solutions.

The paper explores game-theoretic alignment of LLMs with human preferences, finding limitations and conditions.

problem Aligning LLMs with human preferences using game theory.
method Systematic study of payoff choices in a two-player zero-sum game for desirable alignment properties.
result Impossibility of preference matching in game-theoretic LLM alignment under standard assumptions.

Game-theoretic models predict asset prices in financial markets.

problem Understanding price formation in financial markets with limited liquidity.
method Developed game-theoretic models for many-person and mean-field games, derived analytical formulas, and numerically assessed results.
result The derived price converges to the mean-field counterpart under specific conditions.

Game-theoretic model captures investor interactions for stock price forecasting.

problem Complex market dynamics driving stock price movements.
method Game-theoretic modeling of heterogeneous investor interactions in a dynamic graph structure.
result Our method outperforms state-of-the-art stock price forecasting methods.

Novel segmentation method for energy game-theoretic frameworks using graphical lasso.

problem Difficulty in computing utility functions for high-player energy game-theoretic frameworks.
method Graphical Lasso based approach to cluster features leading to energy usage behaviors.
result Characteristic clusters demonstrating different energy usage behaviors identified.

Proposes a game-theoretic framework to motivate energy-efficient behavior in smart buildings.

problem Improving energy efficiency in smart building infrastructure through occupant behavior.
method Introduces a novel game-theoretic framework with human interaction, incorporating utility learning and deep neural networks.
result Demonstrates highly accurate prediction of occupant energy resource usage and explainable decision-making.

We consider the game-theoretic scenario of testing the performance of Forecaster by Sceptic who gambles against the forecasts. Sceptic's current capital is interpreted as the amount of evidence he has found against Forecaster. Reporting the maximum of Sceptic's capital so far exaggerates the evidence. We characterize t…

2010-05-11abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the dynamics of co-evolution of producers and customers described by bit-strings representing individual traits. Individual ''size-like'' properties are controlled by binary encounters which outcome depends upon a recognition process. Depending upon the parameter set-up, mutual selection of producers and custo…

2007-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

A game-theoretic framework identifies influential hyperparameters for neural networks.

problem Understanding which hyperparameters are most important for neural network performance.
method Employing Shapley Effects for global sensitivity analysis and Pareto front sets for identifying effective configurations.
result Reveals which hyperparameters are most influential for different objectives in neural networks.

In this article we consider a game theoretic approach to the Risk-Sensitive Benchmarked Asset Management problem (RSBAM) of Davis and Lleo \cite{DL}. In particular, we consider a stochastic differential game between two players, namely, the investor who has a power utility while the second player represents the market …

2015-03-05abs ↗pdf ↗

A game-theoretic approach for unsupervised domain adaptation.

problem Assigning labels to unlabeled instances in a target domain using labeled instances from a source domain.
method Graph transduction games (GTG) for iterative algorithm.
result Guaranteed termination to a Nash equilibrium, corresponding to consistent labeling.

Proposes a game-theoretic approach for class-dependent rationalization.

problem Optimizing feature selection for complex neural predictors.
method A game-theoretic approach where classes compete to find evidence for factual and counterfactual scenarios.
result The method identifies both factual and counterfactual rationales consistent with human rationalization.

We study the origins of the dt\sqrt{dt} effect in finance and SDE. In particular, we show, in the game-theoretic framework, that market volatility is a consequence of the absence of riskless opportunities for making money and that too high volatility is also incompatible with such opportunities. More precisely, riskles…

2018-02-04abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper establishes a non-stochastic analogue of the celebrated result by Dubins and Schwarz about reduction of continuous martingales to Brownian motion via time change. We consider an idealized financial security with continuous price path, without making any stochastic assumptions. It is shown that typical price …

2009-04-28abs ↗pdf ↗

We solve a continuous-time game-theoretic problem for Kihlstrom-Mirman preferences.

problem Dynamic inconsistency in preferences due to multiattribute utility theory.
method Formalized an equilibrium control theory for continuous-time Markov processes.
result Equilibrium strategy and value function as solution to extended HJB system.

The paper analyzes how mutable blockchain protocols affect miner behavior and strategic stability.

problem The mutability of blockchain protocols undermines long-term planning and cooperative equilibria.
method Integrates Austrian capital theory with repeated game theory to examine miner behavior under different institutional conditions.
result Effective time preference increases when protocol rules are mutable, leading to political rent-seeking and undermining strategic coherence.

Motivated by the recent applications of game-theoretical learning techniques to the design of distributed control systems, we study a class of control problems that can be formulated as potential games with continuous action sets, and we propose an actor-critic reinforcement learning algorithm that provably converges t…

2014-12-01abs ↗pdf ↗

End-to-end model predicts multiagent trajectories using game theory and neural nets.

problem Predicting trajectories of interacting agents in complex scenarios.
method Hybrid neural net with game-theoretic reasoning, using implicit layers to map preferences to Nash equilibria.
result Trains an interpretable model that predicts future trajectories and transfers to decision making.

Paper analyzes adversarial attacks and defenses using game theory.

problem Unclear conditions for optimal attacks and defenses in adversarial learning.
method Game-theoretic framework with locally linear decision boundary model.
result Fast Gradient Method attack and Randomized Smoothing defense form a Nash Equilibrium.

For a monotonically advancing front, the arrival time is the time when the front reaches a given point. We show that it is twice differentiable everywhere with uniformly bounded second derivative. It is smooth away from the critical points where the equation is degenerate. We also show that the critical set has finite …

2015-01-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes CoPO, a new policy optimization method for competitive games.

problem Designing efficient optimization methods for competitive Markov decision processes.
method Competitive policy optimization (CoPO) approach that exploits game-theoretic nature of competitive games.
result Stable optimization, convergence to sophisticated strategies, and higher scores compared to baseline methods.

Decentralised optimisation tasks are important components of multi-agent systems. These tasks can be interpreted as n-player potential games: therefore game-theoretic learning algorithms can be used to solve decentralised optimisation tasks. Fictitious play is the canonical example of these algorithms. Nevertheless fic…

2013-01-15abs ↗pdf ↗

It is now well known that decentralised optimisation can be formulated as a potential game, and game-theoretical learning algorithms can be used to find an optimum. One of the most common learning techniques in game theory is fictitious play. However fictitious play is founded on an implicit assumption that opponents' …

2011-12-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on stochastic mean curvature flow on networks using Ito calculus.

problem Understanding the dynamics of network structures under random influences.
method Application of Ito calculus to derive a stochastic differential equation (SDE) for network edges.
result New insights into the stability, long-term behavior, and pattern formation of complex networks under stochastic influences.

This work presents a game-theoretic method for AVs that handles imperfect communication and individual rewards.

problem Real-time, imperfect communication and individual rewards in multi-agent interactions.
method Game-theoretic approach that allows for imperfect communication and individual rewards.
result More realistic assumptions lead to better reward inference and prediction of future actions.

Game theory enhances preference learning, improving feature selection and interpretability.

problem Improving feature selection and interpretability in preference learning.
method Formulates preference learning as a two-player zero-sum game, proposing an algorithm to incrementally add features.
result Demonstrates the convergence of the algorithm and shows its effectiveness in feature selection and interpretability.

This work develops secure distributed algorithms for machine learning to protect against data poisoning and network attacks.

problem Vulnerability of distributed machine learning algorithms to cyber threats.
method Game-theoretic framework to capture conflicting goals of a learner and an attacker, iterative distributed algorithm.
result Distributed SVM is prone to fail in different types of attacks, with impact depending on network structure and attack capabilities.

Company mergers and acquisitions are often perceived to act as catalysts for corporate growth in free markets systems: it is conventional wisdom that those activities lead to better and more efficient markets. However, the broad adoption of this perception into corporate strategy is prone to result in a less diverse an…

2014-01-21abs ↗pdf ↗