In the study of investment problem, aside from the investment risk the background risk appears. Both the investment risk and the background risk are probabilistically described by random variables. This paper starts from the hypothesis that the two types of risk can be represented both probabilistically (by random vari…
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48 results for “fuzzy risk”
Paper solves portfolio optimization with fuzzy risk and credibility theory.
problem Optimizing investment in risky assets with fuzzy risk and credibility theory.
method Formulated as an optimization problem with credibilistic expected utility. Derived formulas for optimal allocation using various moments and utility function parameters.
result Different formulas for optimal allocation of risky assets are derived, considering fuzzy risk and utility function parameters.
This paper solves a coinsurance problem using fuzzy numbers and expected utility operators.
problem Formulating a coinsurance problem in the possibilistic setting of expected utility operators.
method Developed a framework using expected utility operators to model risk aversion and solve the coinsurance problem.
result Various formulas for the optimal -coinsurance rate are derived for specific utility functions and fuzzy numbers.
Study enhances financial forecasting with machine learning and fuzzy MCDM.
problem Increasing financial uncertainty and market complexity.
method Integrates machine learning (XGBoost, LSTM, GNN) and intuitionistic fuzzy MCDM.
result High forecasting accuracy with low MAPE and narrow confidence intervals.
In this paper two portfolio choice models are studied: a purely possibilistic model, in which the return of a risky asset is a fuzzy number, and a mixed model in which a probabilistic background risk is added. For the two models an approximate formula of the optimal allocation is computed, with respect to the possibili…
Abstract: A possibilistic portfolio choice problem using expected utility operators.
problem A possibilistic portfolio choice problem in the framework of expected utility operators.
method Using expected utility operators, the paper formulates a possibilistic choice problem and derives two approximate calculation formulas for optimization.
result Two approximate calculation formulas for optimization of possibilistic portfolio choice problem.
Fair insurance contracts are designed to handle default risk using cooperative game theory.
problem Designing fair insurance contracts in the presence of default risk.
method Cooperative game theory to specify premiums and participation in benefit.
result Fair benefit participation emerges as a game outcome involving residual risks.
The future value of a security is described as a random variable. Distribution of this random variable is the formal image of risk uncertainty. On the other side, any present value is defined as a value equivalent to the given future value. This equivalence relationship is a subjective. Thus follows, that present value…
The main objective is to present a some variant of the Black - Litterman model. We consider the canonical case when priori return is determined by means such excess return from the CAPM market portfolio which is derived using reverse optimization method. Then the a priori return is at risk quantified uncertainty. On th…
A fuzzy expert system selects stocks for BSE using AI techniques.
problem Selecting stocks for investment allocation is challenging due to many influencing factors.
method Dempster-Shafer (DS) evidence theory for rule base generation, portfolio optimization model with ACO algorithm.
result The model's performance is satisfactory for short-term investment.
BFPM relaxes fuzzy and possibilistic clustering restrictions, allowing full memberships in multiple clusters.
problem Issues with previous fuzzy and possibilistic clustering methods, especially overlapping clusters.
method BFPM allows larger membership values and multiple full memberships per object.
result BFPM overcomes conventional methods' limitations and improves data object tracking.
Realization of uncertainty of prices is captured by volatility, that is the tendency of prices to vary along a period of time. This is generally measured as standard deviation of daily returns. In this paper we propose and investigate the application of fuzzy transform and its inverse as an alternative measure of volat…
Paper simulates LR fuzzy intervals with interval-valued cores.
problem Generating random fuzzy intervals with interval-valued cores.
method Developed algorithms for simulating LR fuzzy numbers with interval-valued cores.
result Numerically efficient algorithm for simulating fuzzy values.
A system predicts stock prices and recommends investment portions.
problem Optimizing stock investment decisions based on predicted prices and risk tolerance.
method Support Vector Regression for price prediction, Markowitz portfolio theory and fuzzy logic for investment recommendations.
result Experimental results on NYSE show the system's effectiveness.
Fuzzy Lie Groupsmath.DG
In this paper, we have tried to apply the concepts of fuzzy sets to Lie groups and its relative concepts. First, we define a fuzzy submanifold after reviewing fuzzy manifold definition. In main section, we defined the Lie group and some its relative concepts such as fuzzy transformation group,…
Review of uncertainty representation methods in risk management.
problem Inadequate consideration of uncertainty in risk management.
method Systematic literature review of 370 publications.
result Probabilistic methods are predominant, but fuzzy and evidence-based approaches are also useful.
Fuzzy eIX method evolves classifiers for online data streams.
problem Handling time-varying classifiers in online data streams.
method Develops evolving Internal-eXternal Fuzzy granules for numerical data.
result Fuzzy eIX maintains high accuracy in dynamic scenarios.
Fuzzy prediction sets generalize binary predictions to include elements at varying confidence levels.
problem Binary prediction sets are limited; fuzzy prediction sets offer richer guarantees.
method Generalize prediction sets to fuzzy sets, showing they are e-values with merging properties.
result Optimal e-values lead to optimal fuzzy prediction sets, including optimal conformal prediction.
Paper defines kernels for fuzzy sets, useful in machine learning.
problem Uncertainty in data with fuzzy set membership.
method Defined cross product, intersection, non-singleton, and distance-based kernels.
result Kernels improve machine learning tasks with fuzzy data.
MBGD-RDA trains TSK fuzzy systems efficiently on big datasets.
problem Training TSK fuzzy systems efficiently on big datasets.
method MBGD-RDA combines mini-batch gradient descent, regularization, AdaBound, and novel techniques for TSK fuzzy systems.
result MBGD-RDA achieves fast convergence and superior generalization on big datasets.
Enhanced fuzzy system predicts chaotic time series with improved accuracy.
problem Forecasting chaotic time series with high uncertainty.
method Combines evolving fuzzy systems, participatory learning, KRLS, and type-2 fuzzy sets.
result Proposed model outperforms other methods in accuracy and complexity.
A new adaptive binarization technique using fuzzy integrals improves image quality.
problem Improving image thresholding quality.
method FLAT (Fuzzy Local Adaptive Thresholding) based on fuzzy integrals.
result The proposed FLAT method produces better image quality than traditional algorithms and neural networks.
Paper investigates differentiable fuzzy implications and their suitability for learning.
problem Analyzing differentiable fuzzy implications and their suitability for learning.
method Investigates the properties of fuzzy implications in a differentiable setting and introduces a new family of fuzzy implications.
result Various fuzzy implications are unsuitable for differentiable learning, and a new family of fuzzy implications is introduced.
A deep convolutional fuzzy system (DCFS) on a high-dimensional input space is a multi-layer connection of many low-dimensional fuzzy systems, where the input variables to the low-dimensional fuzzy systems are selected through a moving window across the input spaces of the layers. To design the DCFS based on input-outpu…
SESSC clusters fuzzy rules for TSK classifiers, improving performance with label info.
problem Lack of supervised clustering for TSK fuzzy classifiers.
method SESSC integrates within-cluster compactness, between-cluster separation, and label information.
result SESSC initialization outperforms other clustering methods, especially for small rule numbers.
This paper explores fuzzy systems' equivalence to neural networks and other machine learning methods.
problem Designing optimal fuzzy systems and overcoming challenges.
method Comparative analysis of Takagi-Sugeno-Kang fuzzy systems with neural networks, mixture of experts, CART, and stacking ensemble regression.
result Functional equivalence between fuzzy systems and machine learning methods.
A new fuzzy clustering method using hyperbolic smoothing for large datasets.
problem Building fuzzy clusters for large data sets efficiently.
method A novel smoothing numerical approach to relax the sum-of-squares criterion, converting the problem into a differentiable optimization problem.
result The method produces better fuzzy partitions compared to traditional fuzzy -means.
In this paper we use fuzzy systems theory to convert the technical trading rules commonly used by stock practitioners into excess demand functions which are then used to drive the price dynamics. The technical trading rules are recorded in natural languages where fuzzy words and vague expressions abound. In Part I of t…
New method reduces complexity of fuzzy decision trees in Big Data.
problem Reducing complexity in multi-way fuzzy decision trees for Big Data classification.
method Two-step process: 1) Probability integral transform, 2) Ruspini strong fuzzy partition.
result Up to 6 million fewer leaves with similar classification accuracy.
The Fuzzy ROCstat.OT
Fuzzy ROC handles indeterminate data points in ROC analysis.
problem Handling indeterminate data points in ROC analysis.
method Extends ROC visualization to indeterminate data, addressing sensitivity and specificity bounds.
result Visual summarization of possibilities from different indeterminacy zones.
Centroid-based methods including k-means and fuzzy c-means are known as effective and easy-to-implement approaches to clustering purposes in many applications. However, these algorithms cannot be directly applied to supervised tasks. This paper thus presents a generative model extending the centroid-based clustering ap…
Unified probabilistic foundation for fuzzy simplicial sets in dimensionality reduction.
problem Lack of clear probabilistic interpretation in fuzzy simplicial sets.
method Introducing a probabilistic framework explaining fuzzy simplicial sets as marginals of probability measures on simplicial sets.
result Unified probabilistic theoretical foundation for fuzzy simplicial sets.
Fuzzy clustering reduces text data dimensions effectively.
problem Sparsity and high dimensionality in document-term frequency matrices.
method Fuzzy clustering applied as a new unsupervised feature transformation method.
result Fuzzy clustering outperforms PCA and SVD in reducing text data dimensions.
TSK-Streams learns fuzzy rules from data streams.
problem Adaptive learning from evolving data streams.
method Combines AMRules principles with fuzzy rule advantages.
result TSK-Streams performs highly competitively in experiments.
Proposes new random models for fuzzy clustering similarity measures.
problem Challenges in choosing a random model for fuzzy clustering similarity measures.
method Introduces three intuitive and explainable random models for fuzzy clusterings.
result Each random model has distinct behavior, emphasizing the importance of accurate model selection.
Performance Optimization of a Fuzzy Entropy based Feature Selection and Classification Frameworkcs.LG
Optimized fuzzy entropy framework improves feature selection and classification performance.
problem Improving feature selection and classification in fuzzy entropy frameworks.
method Implemented and compared combinations of ideal vectors, maximal similarity classifiers, and fuzzy entropy functions.
result Optimized combination of ideal vector, similarity classifier, and fuzzy entropy function achieved the most stable performance for all three datasets.
Measuring the similarity of two files is an important task in malware analysis, with fuzzy hash functions being a popular approach. Traditional fuzzy hash functions are data agnostic: they do not learn from a particular dataset how to determine similarity; their behavior is fixed across all datasets. In this paper, we …
A comparative study of general fuzzy min-max neural networks for pattern classification problemscs.LG
Study compares GFMM neural networks for pattern classification.
problem Pattern classification problems.
method Two algorithms (incremental and agglomerative learning) to train GFMM neural networks.
result GFMM neural networks show strong and weak points on benchmark datasets.
A new hybrid fuzzy-crisp clustering algorithm addresses imbalanced cluster sizes.
problem Imbalanced influence in fuzzy c-means clustering for large vs. small clusters.
method Hybrid fuzzy-crisp algorithm combining linear and quadratic membership functions, setting exact zero membership for sufficiently distant points.
result The hybrid algorithm outperforms conventional fuzzy and crisp clustering methods on imbalanced datasets.
A novel fuzzy clustering method for multivariate time series.
problem Clustering multivariate time series with varying dependencies and dynamics.
method Quantile-based cross-spectral features, PCA, fuzzy C-means, fuzzy C-medoids.
result Substantially outperforms existing methods in various evaluation schemes.
New validity index for fuzzy-possibilistic c-means clustering.
problem Conflicting results in determining the optimal number of clusters due to noisy data points and outliers.
method Introducing a new validity index (FP index) for fuzzy-possibilistic c-means clustering.
result FP index works well in datasets with varying cluster shapes and densities.
Improved stock index analysis using fuzzy parameters and machine learning.
problem Analyzing the S&P 500 stock index with long-term dependence.
method Combining fuzzy theory and machine learning to modify the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model.
result The new model effectively captures the stochastic dynamics of the stock index time series.
Introduces fuzzy layers to enhance deep learning performance.
problem Improving deep learning accuracy for complex tasks.
method Incorporates fuzzy methodologies into deep learning architecture.
result Preliminary results show promising performance in semantic segmentation.
In regression problems, the use of TSK fuzzy systems is widely extended due to the precision of the obtained models. Moreover, the use of simple linear TSK models is a good choice in many real problems due to the easy understanding of the relationship between the output and input variables. In this paper we present FRU…
Improved TSK fuzzy regression models with MBGD-RDA and rule pruning.
problem Training and optimizing TSK fuzzy systems for regression tasks.
method MBGD-RDA algorithm with rule pruning for TSK fuzzy systems.
result Proposed MBGD-RDA variants and rule pruning improve performance and flexibility.
A novel weighted feature selection method using fuzzy sets improves classification accuracy and stability.
problem Improving feature selection accuracy and stability in machine learning models.
method Combination of four feature selection methods using fuzzy sets and bootstrap.
result Our method achieved significantly higher stability than individual methods.
In this paper, a similarity-driven cluster merging method is proposed for unsuper-vised fuzzy clustering. The cluster merging method is used to resolve the problem of cluster validation. Starting with an overspecified number of clusters in the data, pairs of similar clusters are merged based on the proposed similarity-…
This paper introduces a novel real-time Fuzzy Supervised Learning with Binary Meta-Feature (FSL-BM) for big data classification task. The study of real-time algorithms addresses several major concerns, which are namely: accuracy, memory consumption, and ability to stretch assumptions and time complexity. Attaining a fa…