Study estimates Medallion's compounded return before fees at 31.8%.
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Trend · papers per month
Reinforcement learning crypto agent achieves high returns on Bitcoin derivatives.
The paper uses clustering and integer programming to optimize stock selection for investment funds.
Bielecki and Rutkowski (2014) introduced and studied a generic nonlinear market model, which includes several risky assets, multiple funding accounts and margin accounts. In this paper, we examine the pricing and hedging of contract both from the perspective of the hedger and the counterparty with arbitrary initial end…
Kiva is an online non-profit crowdsouring microfinance platform that raises funds for the poor in the third world. The borrowers on Kiva are small business owners and individuals in urgent need of money. To raise funds as fast as possible, they have the option to form groups and post loan requests in the name of their …
In this note we sketch an initial tentative approach to funding costs analysis and management for contracts with bilateral counterparty risk in a simplified setting. We depart from the existing literature by analyzing the issue of funding costs and benefits under the assumption that the associated risks cannot be hedge…
The model of this paper gives a convenient strategy that a bank in the federal funds market can use in order to maximize its profit in a contemporaneous reserve requirement (CRR) regime. The reserve requirements are determined by the demand deposit process, modelled as a Brownian motion with drift. We propose a new mod…
Simulation reveals relationships in stock market pyramid schemes.
Study finds WACC negatively impacts firm profitability in Bangladesh's food industry.
Valuation adjustments are nowadays a common practice to include credit and liquidity effects in option pricing. Funding costs arising from collateral procedures, hedging strategies and taxes are added to option prices to take into account the production cost of financial contracts so that a profitability analysis can b…
This paper proposes a two-stage scoring approach to help lenders decide their fund allocations in the peer-to-peer (P2P) lending market. The existing scoring approaches focus on only either probability of default (PD) prediction, known as credit scoring, or profitability prediction, known as profit scoring, to identify…
Study examines impact of capital structure on Indian auto companies' profitability.
Bilateral CVA as currently implement has the counterintuitive effect of profiting from one's own widening CDS spreads, i.e. increased risk of default, in practice. The unified picture of CVA and liquidity introduced by Morini & Prampolini 2010 has contributed to understanding this. However, there are two significant om…
We build a simple model of leveraged asset purchases with margin calls. Investment funds use what is perhaps the most basic financial strategy, called "value investing", i.e. systematically attempting to buy underpriced assets. When funds do not borrow, the price fluctuations of the asset are normally distributed and u…
We point out a simple equities trading strategy that allows a sufficiently large, market-neutral, quantitative hedge fund to achieve outsized returns while simultaneously contributing significantly to increasing global wealth inequality. Overnight and intraday return distributions in major equity indices in the United …
New pension design reduces volatility without guarantees.
Currency carry trade is the investment strategy that involves selling low interest rate currencies in order to purchase higher interest rate currencies, thus profiting from the interest rate differentials. This is a well known financial puzzle to explain, since assuming foreign exchange risk is uninhibited and the mark…
This paper aims to make a new contribution to the study of lifetime ruin problem by considering investment in two hedge funds with high-watermark fees and drift uncertainty. Due to multi-dimensional performance fees that are charged whenever each fund profit exceeds its historical maximum, the value function is expecte…
Online trading platforms manipulate profits and losses, causing 82% of retail traders to lose money.
Out of the companies, Dolby is the company with the best overall financial and operation health. According to the table that accounted its financial statements for the past three years, Dolby has stable profit margins that generates a revenue in the billions, the only company in ten figures. Corporate competition to ga…
This paper explores deep learning for financial trading, integrating sentiment analysis.
Autogov uses RL to automate DeFi governance, improving security and profitability.
Optimizes stock portfolios with profit, risk, and sustainability.
Study finds IBS useful for predicting ETF price movements.
The paper explains the fair basis in bond-CDS trading during financial crises.
A scenario in which regulators take the drastic step of requiring coverage of all venture bank investment loans using interbank borrowed funds is considered. In this scenario, a minimal amount of default insurance is used, such that Tier 1 and 2 capital requirements are still met. To do this, the default insurance perc…
Research proposes a decentralized invoice discounting system using Kelly criterion.
Agent learns to trade currency pairs with improved risk management.
Study optimal control strategy for hedge funds managers with PSAHARA utility family.
Whether you trade futures for yourself or a hedge fund, your strategy is counted. Long and short position limits make the number of unique strategies finite. Formulas of the numbers of strategies, transactions, do nothing actions are derived. A discrete distribution of actions, corresponding probability mass, cumulativ…
Bielecki and Rutkowski (2014) introduced and studied a generic nonlinear market model, which includes several risky assets, multiple funding accounts and margin accounts. In this paper, we examine the pricing and hedging of contract both from the perspective of the hedger and the counterparty with arbitrary initial end…
We consider and extend the adversarial agent-based learning approach of Gy{ö}rfi {\it et al} to the situation of zero-cost portfolio selection implemented with a quadratic approximation derived from the mutual fund separation theorems. The algorithm is applied to daily sampled sequential Open-High-Low-Close data and se…
We propose a novel approach for analysis of the composition of an equity mutual fund based on the time series decomposition of the price movements of the individual stocks of the fund. The proposed scheme can be applied to check whether the style proclaimed for a mutual fund actually matches with the fund composition. …
Funds inflate their returns due to price pressure, leading to wealth reallocation and market crashes.
This paper supplies two possible resolutions of Fortune's (2000) margin-loan pricing puzzle. Fortune (2000) noted that the margin loan interest rates charged by stock brokers are very high in relation to the actual (low) credit risk and the cost of funds. If we live in the Black-Scholes world, the brokers are presumabl…
This report was originally written as an industry white paper on Hedge Funds. This paper gives an overview to Hedge Funds, with a focus on risk management issues. We define and explain the general characteristics of Hedge Funds, their main investment strategies and the risk models employed. We address the problems in H…
Study on CEF discount in Bangladesh, finds size and maturity impact, turnover negative.
Paper finds funding rates on BitMEX predict Bitcoin inverse swap contracts.
Study uses deep learning for pairs trading in Polish equities, achieving profits in 2017-2019.
Deep learning models predict mutual funds' performance better than traditional methods.
This paper optimizes perpetual contract liquidity by accounting for funding rates.
This paper examines the risk-adjusted performance and differential fund flows for socially responsible mutual funds (SRMF). The results show that SRMF rated high on ESG, perform better than lower rated ESG funds during the period of economic crisis. The findings also show that low ESG rated SRMF had higher differential…
Study finds Indian mutual funds adjust cash holdings based on inflows, impacting stock purchases.
Blockchain protocol improves traditional mutual funds with performance fees and investor protection.
Structuring a viable pension plan is a problem that arises in the study of financial contracts pricing and bears special importance these days. Deterministic pension models often rely on projections that are based on several assumptions concerning the "average" long-time behavior of the stock market. Our aim here is to…
Study uses machine learning and PolyModel to improve hedge fund performance.
In this paper we investigate the relationship between Funding Value Adjustment (FVA) and Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR). FVA is defined in a consistent way with NSFR such that the new framework of FVA monitors the costs due to keeping NSFR at an acceptable level, as well. In addition, the problem of choosing the optim…
Study examines Indian equity mutual funds' investment style and risk-shifting.