Many biological characteristics of evolutionary interest are not scalar variables but continuous functions. Here we use phylogenetic Gaussian process regression to model the evolution of simulated function-valued traits. Given function-valued data only from the tips of an evolutionary tree and utilising independent pri…
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48 results for “function-valued Gaussian process”
LUNO linearizes neural operators to quantify their predictive uncertainty.
problem Quantifying the predictive error of neural operators for high-stakes simulations.
method Model linearization to push weight-space uncertainty forward to predictions.
result LUNO provides a practical and theoretically sound way to apply Bayesian methods to neural operators.
FFBO optimizes functions as inputs and outputs, improving on existing BO methods.
problem Optimizing functions as both inputs and outputs in complex systems.
method Function-on-function Gaussian process (FFGP) model with a separable operator-valued kernel, scalar upper confidence bound (UCB) acquisition function, and scalable functional gradient ascent algorithm (FGA).
result FFBO outperforms existing methods in synthetic and real-world data.
A new type of quadrature is developed. The Gaussian quadrature, for a given measure, finds optimal values of a function's argument (nodes) and the corresponding weights. In contrast, the Lebesgue quadrature developed in this paper, finds optimal values of function (value-nodes) and the corresponding weights. The Gaussi…
This work extends diffusion models to function space for better generative modeling.
problem Limited applicability of diffusion models to functional data domains.
method Introduces Denoising Diffusion Operators (DDOs) for training diffusion models in function space.
result Demonstrates accurate function-valued generation at fixed cost.
TERA method speeds up derivative Gaussian processes in high dimensions.
problem High-dimensional function evaluations and gradient computations are computationally expensive.
method TERA uses exact gradient reduction to decouple and from the computational cost.
result TERA achieves state-of-the-art predictive accuracy with orders of magnitude faster computation.
Paper introduces a method for operator learning using random features.
problem Estimating maps between infinite-dimensional spaces using input-output pairs.
method Function-valued random features method, building a linear combination of random operators.
result The method provides convergence guarantees and error bounds for nonlinear problems.
Sparse pseudo-point approximations for Gaussian process (GP) models provide a suite of methods that support deployment of GPs in the large data regime and enable analytic intractabilities to be sidestepped. However, the field lacks a principled method to handle streaming data in which both the posterior distribution ov…
Gaussian process (GP) models form a core part of probabilistic machine learning. Considerable research effort has been made into attacking three issues with GP models: how to compute efficiently when the number of data is large; how to approximate the posterior when the likelihood is not Gaussian and how to estimate co…
NP-PROV separates mean and variance spaces to improve function uncertainty.
problem Neural Processes fail on out-of-domain tasks due to shared latent space uncertainty.
method Separates mean and variance into function-value-related and position-related latent spaces.
result NP-PROV achieves state-of-the-art likelihood with bounded variance in drifts.
Evolutionary Inference for Function-valued Traits: Gaussian Process Regression on Phylogeniesq-bio.QM
Biological data objects often have both of the following features: (i) they are functions rather than single numbers or vectors, and (ii) they are correlated due to phylogenetic relationships. In this paper we give a flexible statistical model for such data, by combining assumptions from phylogenetics with Gaussian pro…
Generative models for function-valued data in infinite dimensions.
problem Lack of semantics relating discretized data to underlying functional forms.
method Generalized diffusion models to function space, using Gaussian measures on Hilbert spaces.
result Explicit specification of function space allows unconditional and conditional generation of function-valued data.
Researchers improve Gaussian processes to model inconsistent preferences.
problem Model inconsistent preferences and clusters of comparable items.
method Generalized Gaussian processes with spectral decomposition and universal RKHS.
result Competitive with state-of-the-art methods on simulated and real-world data.
Study lenient regret and good-action identification in Gaussian process bandits.
problem Optimizing function values above a certain threshold in Gaussian process bandits.
method Study lenient regret notions and introduce algorithms for finding good actions.
result Upper and lower bounds on lenient regret for GP-UCB and elimination algorithms.
Gaussian processes (GPs) with derivatives are useful in many applications, including Bayesian optimization, implicit surface reconstruction, and terrain reconstruction. Fitting a GP to function values and derivatives at points in dimensions requires linear solves and log determinants with an ${n(d+1) \times n(d…
This work extends Gaussian process priors to neural operators for function space mappings.
problem Improving uncertainty quantification in deep neural networks.
method Extending Gaussian process priors to neural operators with conditions for convergence and computation of covariance functions.
result Arbitrary-depth neural operators with Gaussian kernels converge to function-valued GPs, enabling posterior computation in regression scenarios.
Statistical physics approaches can be used to derive accurate predictions for the performance of inference methods learning from potentially noisy data, as quantified by the learning curve defined as the average error versus number of training examples. We analyse a challenging problem in the area of non-parametric inf…
Study pricing options on forward contracts using infinite-dimensional affine models.
problem Pricing European-style options on forward contracts in complex stochastic volatility models.
method Model forward price curves using stochastic partial differential equations modulated by stochastic volatility processes. Analyze two classes of affine stochastic volatility models: Gaussian and pure-jump. Derive conditions for existence of exponential moments and develop semi-closed pricing formulas.
result Developed semi-closed Fourier-based pricing formulas for vanilla call and put options in infinite-dimensional affine models.
In spite of the recent surge of interest in quantile regression, joint estimation of linear quantile planes remains a great challenge in statistics and econometrics. We propose a novel parametrization that characterizes any collection of non-crossing quantile planes over arbitrarily shaped convex predictor domains in a…
A new GP interpolation method for better predictive distributions in ranges of interest.
problem Improving predictive distributions in specific ranges of interest.
method Relaxed Gaussian process interpolation, relaxing interpolation constraints outside ranges of interest.
result Better predictive distributions in ranges of interest, especially in non-stationary cases.
Logistic Gaussian process (LGP) priors provide a flexible alternative for modelling unknown densities. The smoothness properties of the density estimates can be controlled through the prior covariance structure of the LGP, but the challenge is the analytically intractable inference. In this paper, we present approximat…
BARK optimizes black-box functions using Bayesian Additive Regression Trees.
problem Bayesian optimization of complex, black-box functions with uncertainty quantification.
method BART Kernel using tree agreement for posterior over piecewise-constant functions, explored using MCMC.
result BARK obtains samples of Gaussian processes for function distributions, enabling acquisition functions for optimization.
It is now known that an extended Gaussian process model equipped with rescaling can adapt to different smoothness levels of a function valued parameter in many nonparametric Bayesian analyses, offering a posterior convergence rate that is optimal (up to logarithmic factors) for the smoothness class the true function be…
Bayesian optimization for function-valued responses, addressing worst case deviations.
problem Optimizing expensive functions with functional responses, focusing on worst case performance.
method Min-Max Functional Bayesian Optimization (MM-FBO) using Gaussian process surrogates and functional principal component analysis.
result MM-FBO consistently outperforms existing methods in synthetic and real-world applications.
We introduce a framework for Continual Learning (CL) based on Bayesian inference over the function space rather than the parameters of a deep neural network. This method, referred to as functional regularisation for Continual Learning, avoids forgetting a previous task by constructing and memorising an approximate post…
The aim of this article is to design a moment transformation for Student- t distributed random variables, which is able to account for the error in the numerically computed mean. We employ Student-t process quadrature, an instance of Bayesian quadrature, which allows us to treat the integral itself as a random variable…
New method improves GP regression by relaxing variational assumption.
problem Improving variational Gaussian processes for better predictive performance.
method Relaxing the variational assumption to a more general distribution for optimization.
result New tighter evidence lower bound for GP regression.
Monotonicity helps in safely optimizing unknown functions.
problem Sequentially maximizing an unknown function with safety constraints.
method Gaussian process with monotonicity assumption, inspired by GP-UCB and SafeOpt.
result The proposed M-SafeUCB algorithm achieves theoretical guarantees and safety.
In this paper, we consider the problem of Gaussian process (GP) optimization with an added robustness requirement: The returned point may be perturbed by an adversary, and we require the function value to remain as high as possible even after this perturbation. This problem is motivated by settings in which the underly…
This paper conditions non-linear infinite-dimensional diffusion processes.
problem Conditioning non-linear and infinite-dimensional diffusion processes.
method Infinite-dimensional Girsanov's theorem to condition function-valued stochastic processes.
result Conditioning of non-linear infinite-dimensional diffusion processes is achieved.
In many scientific and engineering applications, we are tasked with the maximisation of an expensive to evaluate black box function . Traditional settings for this problem assume just the availability of this single function. However, in many cases, cheap approximations to may be obtainable. For example, the exp…
A Domain-Shrinking based Bayesian Optimization Algorithm with Order-Optimal Regret Performancestat.ML
Bayesian optimization algorithm reduces regret with efficient region pruning.
problem Sequential optimization of unknown functions in high-dimensional spaces.
method Gaussian process-based, domain shrinking through tree-based region pruning.
result Order-optimal regret performance with reduced computational complexity.
Bandit algorithms have been predominantly analyzed in the convex setting with function-value based stationary regret as the performance measure. In this paper, motivated by online reinforcement learning problems, we propose and analyze bandit algorithms for both general and structured nonconvex problems with nonstation…
On Sparse variational methods and the Kullback-Leibler divergence between stochastic processesstat.ML
The variational framework for learning inducing variables (Titsias, 2009a) has had a large impact on the Gaussian process literature. The framework may be interpreted as minimizing a rigorously defined Kullback-Leibler divergence between the approximating and posterior processes. To our knowledge this connection has th…
An Improved Multi-Output Gaussian Process RNN with Real-Time Validation for Early Sepsis Detectionstat.ML
Sepsis is a poorly understood and potentially life-threatening complication that can occur as a result of infection. Early detection and treatment improves patient outcomes, and as such it poses an important challenge in medicine. In this work, we develop a flexible classifier that leverages streaming lab results, vita…
Inference for GP models with non-Gaussian noises is computationally expensive when dealing with large datasets. Many recent inference methods approximate the posterior distribution with a simpler distribution defined on a small number of inducing points. The inference is accurate only when data points have strong corre…
Techniques known as Nonlinear Set Membership prediction, Lipschitz Interpolation or Kinky Inference are approaches to machine learning that utilise presupposed Lipschitz properties to compute inferences over unobserved function values. Provided a bound on the true best Lipschitz constant of the target function is known…
A novel GP architecture, Thin and Deep GP, learns lower-dimensional representations without losing interpretability.
problem Challenges in selecting appropriate kernel for Gaussian processes.
method Proposes a novel synthesis of deep and shallow GP approaches, parameterizing lengthscale in a way that maintains interpretability and learns lower-dimensional embeddings.
result TDGP discovers lower-dimensional manifolds in input data, performs well in benchmark datasets, and behaves well with increasing layers.
LSCI provides locally adaptive prediction sets for operator models with tighter coverage.
problem Generating robust, calibrated uncertainty quantification for operator models.
method Local Sliced Conformal Inference (LSCI) for operator models.
result LSCI yields tighter prediction sets with stronger adaptivity compared to conformal baselines.
Proposes PE-GP-UCB for time-varying Bayesian optimisation.
problem Time-varying Gaussian process bandits with unknown prior.
method PE-GP-UCB algorithm, relying on consistency of function values with priors.
result Regret bound provided for the proposed algorithm.
Enhances neural networks with prior function values to improve accuracy.
problem Improving neural network accuracy in regions without training data.
method Develops a probabilistic approach to augment BNNs with prior function values.
result Predictions rely more on prior information in uncertain regions.
Bayesian method with Gaussian process priors achieves optimal convergence rates for regression function and its derivatives.
problem Estimating the regression function and its derivatives in nonparametric regression.
method Bayesian approach with Gaussian process priors, focusing on convergence rates and plug-in property.
result Equivalence of convergence rates of posterior distributions and Bayes estimators for regression function and its derivatives.
Enhances POU-Nets with probabilistic noise model for efficient spatial data clustering.
problem Improving the efficiency and accuracy of deep learning models for spatial data.
method Integrates Gaussian noise model into POU-Nets to enable gradient-based optimization and hierarchical refinement.
result Achieves sharp spatial partitions and higher-order polynomial approximation without regularizers.
We consider black box optimization of an unknown function in the nonparametric Gaussian process setting when the noise in the observed function values can be heavy tailed. This is in contrast to existing literature that typically assumes sub-Gaussian noise distributions for queries. Under the assumption that the unknow…
Proposes efficient FOBO algorithms for global maxima of expensive functions.
problem Finding global maxima of expensive-to-evaluate functions.
method Uses gradient information from Gaussian process models to identify potential query points.
result Proposed algorithms outperform state-of-the-art FOBO algorithms.
A new method reduces the time needed for Bayesian optimization by a factor of 10-100.
problem Efficiently scaling Bayesian optimization to many observations.
method Epistemic Nearest Neighbors (ENN) for hyperparameter fitting and UCB acquisition.
result TuRBO-ENN reduces proposal time by one to two orders of magnitude compared to TuRBO.
This paper provides a block coordinate descent algorithm to solve unconstrained optimization problems. In our algorithm, computation of function values or gradients is not required. Instead, pairwise comparison of function values is used. Our algorithm consists of two steps; one is the direction estimate step and the o…
Hybrid GP/NN framework for operator learning improves performance and enables zero-shot predictions.
problem Approximating mappings between infinite-dimensional function spaces for solving PDEs.
method A hybrid GP/NN framework that approximates the bilinear form of an operator, allowing recovery of the operator.
result Improves performance of neural operators and enables zero-shot predictions.