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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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95190284379 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for frugal evaluation

Proposes a method to evaluate generalizability in causal inference models.

problem Lack of formal procedures to statistically evaluate generalizability in causal inference.
method Frugal parameterization to simulate from causal benchmarks, using mean and distributional regression methods.
result Ensures more realistic evaluations of causal inference models, avoiding over-reliance on conventional metrics.

Sampling a fraction of pairs can match full evaluation in machine learning losses.

problem High computational cost of full pairwise loss evaluation.
method Survey sampling techniques targeting informative pairs.
result Performance close to full pairwise evaluation achieved with frugal sampling.

A new cost-frugal HPO method controls training cost during optimization.

problem Ignoring training cost variation in HPO leads to inefficient hyperparameter tuning.
method Developed a randomized direct-search method with convergence and approximation guarantees.
result Proved an O(dK)O(\frac{\sqrt{d}}{\sqrt{K}}) convergence rate and O(dε2)O(dε^{-2}) approximation guarantee.

Frengression models causal data flexibly and faithfully.

problem Challenges in robust benchmarking and evaluation of causal inference with real-world data.
method Introduces frengression, a deep generative model for joint distribution of covariates, treatments, and outcomes.
result Frengression provides accurate estimation and flexible simulation of multivariate, time-varying data.

Frugal method predicts multiple local electricity loads efficiently.

problem Day-ahead forecasting of over 1000 substations in France.
method Adaptive generalized additive models with state-space representations, combined with transfer learning.
result Reduction of computational needs and emissions with competitive accuracy.

A new optimizer saves significant shots in quantum machine learning.

problem Training variational QML algorithms is challenging due to large datasets and shot-count overhead.
method Proposed Refoqus optimizer that samples over both dataset and measurement operators.
result Refoqus can save several orders of magnitude in shot cost compared to existing methods.

Frugal Flows learn complex data and infer marginal causal effects.

problem Challenges in estimating marginal causal effects from complex data.
method Frugal Flows use normalizing flows to flexibly learn data and infer causal quantities.
result Frugal Flows can generate synthetic data that closely matches real-world data and exactly parameterize causal quantities.

Spectral regularization improves learning over combinatorial spaces with limited data.

problem Learning pseudo-Boolean functions with scarce labeled data.
method Regularizing the spectral representation of learned functions using the L_1 norm.
result Regularization allows for data-frugal learning and achieves statistically optimal generalization performance.

In many real-world scenarios where data is high dimensional, test time acquisition of features is a non-trivial task due to costs associated with feature acquisition and evaluating feature value. The need for highly confident models with an extremely frugal acquisition of features can be addressed by allowing a feature…

2019-09-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Model learns brevity by exposing to easy problems, improving efficiency without explicit length penalties.

problem Excessive verbosity in step-by-step reasoning models trained with RLVR.
method Retaining and up-weighting moderately easy problems as implicit length regularizers.
result Model generates solutions that are, on average, nearly twice as short without explicit length penalties.

We present an LDA approach to entity disambiguation. Each topic is associated with a Wikipedia article and topics generate either content words or entity mentions. Training such models is challenging because of the topic and vocabulary size, both in the millions. We tackle these problems using a novel distributed infer…

2013-09-02abs ↗pdf ↗

The family of temporal difference (TD) methods span a spectrum from computationally frugal linear methods like TD(λ) to data efficient least squares methods. Least square methods make the best use of available data directly computing the TD solution and thus do not require tuning a typically highly sensitive learning r…

2016-11-28abs ↗pdf ↗

We provide a mathematical definition of fragility and antifragility as negative or positive sensitivity to a semi-measure of dispersion and volatility (a variant of negative or positive "vega") and examine the link to nonlinear effects. We integrate model error (and biases) into the fragile or antifragile context. Unli…

2012-08-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper introduces SPADE method to protect classifiers from OOD and adversarial samples.

problem Protecting classifiers from out-of-distribution and adversarial samples.
method SPADE method based on GEV model in latent space.
result Provable protection against OOD and adversarial samples.

ASPIRE improves amortized posterior inference for Bayesian inverse problems.

problem Bayesian inverse problems are computationally challenging due to uncertainty quantification.
method Iterative refinement of amortized posteriors using physics-based and summary statistics.
result ASPIRE achieves better posterior approximations with minimal extra computations.

Optimal transport aggregation combines distributed MoE models efficiently.

problem Combining local MoE models trained on distributed datasets.
method Optimal transport for minimizing divergence between local and global estimators, with MM algorithm for optimization.
result Aggregated estimator achieves performance comparable to centralized training but with reduced computation time.

When building large-scale machine learning (ML) programs, such as big topic models or deep neural nets, one usually assumes such tasks can only be attempted with industrial-sized clusters with thousands of nodes, which are out of reach for most practitioners or academic researchers. We consider this challenge in the co…

2014-12-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a method to evaluate OPE robustness to hyperparameters and policies.

problem Difficulty in selecting and tuning OPE estimators due to limited experimental evaluations.
method Introduces IEOE (Interpretable Evaluation for Offline Evaluation) to assess robustness.
result Demonstrates improved evaluation of OPE estimators' reliability.

This paper evaluates and validates cluster results using external and internal evaluation methods.

problem Evaluating and validating the quality of clustering results.
method External evaluation using Homogeneity, Correctness, and V-measure scores; internal evaluation using Silhouette Index and Sum of Square Errors.
result Validation of the number of clusters using dendrogram and statistical frequency distribution.

Optimizes crowdsourced preference-based subjective evaluation with online learning.

problem Large-scale evaluation of generative media using crowdsourcing due to combinatorial explosion.
method Automatic optimization of pair combination selections and evaluation volumes with online learning.
result Optimizes evaluation by reducing pair combinations and allocating optimal evaluation volumes.

Our research extends the Bilingual Evaluation Understudy (BLEU) evaluation technique for statistical machine translation to make it more adjustable and robust. We intend to adapt it to resemble human evaluation more. We perform experiments to evaluate the performance of our technique against the primary existing evalua…

2015-09-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Study finds AUC is most consistent across different prevalence in binary classification.

problem Consistency of model evaluation metrics across varying prevalence in binary classification.
method Analysis of 156 data scenarios with 18 metrics, 5 models, and a random guess model.
result AUC has the smallest variance in evaluating individual models and ranking of models.

Cramming method evaluates learned policies from contextual bandits efficiently.

problem Evaluating final learned policies from contextual bandit algorithms.
method On-policy evaluation using a single pass of data, ensuring consistency and asymptotic normality.
result Cramming method reduces evaluation standard error by approximately 40% compared to off-policy methods.

Cer-Eval saves LLM evaluation costs while maintaining accuracy.

problem Challenges in evaluating large language models due to large dataset requirements.
method Adapts to different evaluation objectives, uses test sample complexity, and develops a partition-based algorithm.
result Cer-Eval can save 20-40% test points with comparable accuracy and 95% confidence guarantee.

The study addresses biases in evaluating molecular optimization methods and proposes methods to reduce these biases.

problem Biases in in silico evaluation of molecular optimization methods.
method Discussion and empirical investigation of bias reduction methods for predictor misspecification and sample reuse.
result Empirical investigation of bias reduction methods for predictor misspecification and sample reuse.

Paper addresses off-policy evaluation and learning with covariate shift.

problem Evaluating and training a new policy using historical data with a covariate shift.
method Derives efficiency bounds and proposes doubly robust estimators for OPE and OPL under covariate shift.
result Proposes estimators for off-policy evaluation and learning under covariate shift.

We consider evaluation methods for payoffs with an inherent financial risk as encountered for instance for portfolios held by pension funds and insurance companies. Pricing such payoffs in a way consistent to market prices typically involves combining actuarial techniques with methods from mathematical finance. We prop…

2011-09-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Progress in machine learning is measured by careful evaluation on problems of outstanding common interest. However, the proliferation of benchmark suites and environments, adversarial attacks, and other complications has diluted the basic evaluation model by overwhelming researchers with choices. Deliberate or accident…

2018-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

New method improves consistency of reinforcement learning performance evaluations.

problem Inconsistent performance results in reinforcement learning due to flawed evaluation metrics.
method Proposes a new comprehensive evaluation methodology for reinforcement learning algorithms.
result Demonstrates improved reliability of performance measurements for reinforcement learning algorithms.

This paper considers the challenge of evaluating a set of classifiers, as done in shared task evaluations like the KDD Cup or NIST TREC, without expert labels. While expert labels provide the traditional cornerstone for evaluating statistical learners, limited or expensive access to experts represents a practical bottl…

2012-12-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper tackles efficient evaluation of natural stochastic policies in offline RL.

problem Efficiency issues in evaluating natural stochastic policies due to unknown evaluation policy.
method Derive efficiency bounds for tilting and modified treatment policies, propose nonparametric estimators.
result Proposed estimators attain efficiency bounds under lax conditions and enjoy partial double robustness.

Study evaluates saliency maps on artificial data with different backgrounds.

problem Objective evaluation of saliency methods on artificial data with varying backgrounds.
method Developed a framework to generate artificial data with synthetic lesions and a known ground truth map, evaluated two data sets with different backgrounds (Perlin noise and 2D brain MRI slices).
result Heatmaps vary strongly between saliency methods and backgrounds.

A new method for faster multi-objective optimization by evaluating objectives separately.

problem Finding the Pareto front of trade-offs between multiple objectives efficiently.
method Knowledge Gradient with decoupled evaluations, accounting for different costs.
result The method significantly outperforms existing approaches in terms of evaluation cost.

Language model benchmarks often misrepresent true understanding, revealing vulnerabilities in evaluation methods.

problem Language model benchmarks fail to accurately reflect true language understanding and adaptability.
method Systematic analysis of NLP evaluation frameworks, identifying vulnerabilities in static benchmarks, human evaluation protocols, and LLM-as-judge frameworks.
result Current evaluation methods are unreliable and need improvement to accurately assess LLM performance.