A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Proposes a conservative LR estimator for infrequent data near a frequency threshold.
Study describes frequencies of geodesics on hyperbolic surfaces as genus grows.
This paper proposes a novel multiscale estimator for the integrated volatility of an Ito process, in the presence of market microstructure noise (observation error). The multiscale structure of the observed process is represented frequency-by-frequency and the concept of the multiscale ratio is introduced to quantify t…
New Fourier-based diffusion model improves high-frequency generation quality.
Tests factor models by decomposing market into body and tail legs, revealing inconsistent results.
LSTM models improve macroeconomic forecasting with mixed frequency data.
Detects corruption in agentic models during execution.
We introduce a new non parametric method that allows for a direct, fast and efficient estimation of the matrix of kernel norms of a multivariate Hawkes process, also called branching ratio matrix. We demonstrate the capabilities of this method by applying it to high-frequency order book data from the EUREX exchange. We…
Paper uses machine learning for nowcasting corporate earnings from mixed-frequency data.
Paper establishes a formula linking model performance to insurance loss ratio.
Study uses machine learning to predict high-frequency trading liquidity.
Using recent advances in the econometrics literature, we disentangle from high frequency observations on the transaction prices of a large sample of NYSE stocks a fundamental component and a microstructure noise component. We then relate these statistical measurements of market microstructure noise to observable charac…
The paper analyzes a private likelihood-ratio test for frequency tables under differential privacy constraints.
A flexible nonparametric online changepoint detection algorithm for high-frequency data.
This study proposes a trainable adaptive window switching (AWS) method and apply it to a deep-neural-network (DNN) for speech enhancement in the modified discrete cosine transform domain. Time-frequency (T-F) mask processing in the short-time Fourier transform (STFT)-domain is a typical speech enhancement method. To re…
Recently, sparsity-based algorithms are proposed for super-resolution spectrum estimation. However, to achieve adequately high resolution in real-world signal analysis, the dictionary atoms have to be close to each other in frequency, thereby resulting in a coherent design. The popular convex compressed sensing methods…
This paper examines the volatility and covariance dynamics of cash and futures contracts that underlie the Optimal Hedge Ratio (OHR) across different hedging time horizons. We examine whether hedge ratios calculated over a short term hedging horizon can be scaled and successfully applied to longer term horizons. We als…
Neural nets optimize dynamic hedging strategies with transaction costs.
We present a careful analysis of possible issues on the application of the self-excited Hawkes process to high-frequency financial data. We carefully analyze a set of effects leading to significant biases in the estimation of the "criticality index" n that quantifies the degree of endogeneity of how much past events tr…
We study the dynamical behavior of high-frequency data from the Korean Stock Price Index (KOSPI) using the movement of returns in Korean financial markets. The dynamical behavior for a binarized series of our models is not completely random. The conditional probability is numerically estimated from a return series of K…
We introduce a bootstrap procedure for high-frequency statistics of Brownian semistationary processes. More specifically, we focus on a hypothesis test on the roughness of sample paths of Brownian semistationary processes, which uses an estimator based on a ratio of realized power variations. Our new resampling method,…
This paper extends Kelly Criterion to include rebalancing frequency for optimal portfolio selection.
Study finds traditional technical indicators underperform in high-frequency trading, suggesting risk management over prediction.
Paper proposes a time-frequency analysis method for blind modulation classification in MIMO systems.
This paper extends the analysis of Muni Toke and Yoshida (2020) to the case of marked point processes. We consider multiple marked point processes with intensities defined by three multiplicative components, namely a common baseline intensity, a state-dependent component specific to each process, and a state-dependent …
In this paper, a genetic algorithm-based frequency-domain feature search (GAFDS) method is proposed for the electroencephalogram (EEG) analysis of epilepsy. In this method, frequency-domain features are first searched and then combined with nonlinear features. Subsequently, these features are selected and optimized to …
Deep RL strategy improves natural gas trading performance.
Optimizes hedge ratio for delta-neutral liquidity positions in AMMs.
This paper develops novel deep learning-based architectures and design methodologies for an orthogonal frequency division multiplexing (OFDM) receiver under the constraint of one-bit complex quantization. Single bit quantization greatly reduces complexity and power consumption, but makes accurate channel estimation and…
When designing fully-convolutional neural network, there is a trade-off between receptive field size, number of parameters and spatial resolution of features in deeper layers of the network. In this work we present a novel network design based on combination of many convolutional and recurrent layers that solves these …
DRL agents learn to trade Intel stock with stable positive returns.
Estimates graph process with high-frequency data, proving asymptotic properties.
In the present work we address the problem of evaluating the historical performance of a trading strategy or a certain portfolio of assets. Common indicators such as the Sharpe ratio and the risk adjusted return have significant drawbacks. In particular, they are global indices, that is they do not preserve any 'local'…
Study benchmarks TSC algorithms in distinguishing diffusions using the likelihood ratio test.
A Hawkes process model with a time-varying background rate is developed for analyzing the high-frequency financial data. In our model, the logarithm of the background rate is modeled by a linear model with a relatively large number of variable-width basis functions, and the parameters are estimated by a Bayesian method…
New isoperimetric inequality for clamped plates in RCD(0,N) spaces, sharp and stable.
The fundamental frequency (F0) represents pitch in speech that determines prosodic characteristics of speech and is needed in various tasks for speech analysis and synthesis. Despite decades of research on this topic, F0 estimation at low signal-to-noise ratios (SNRs) in unexpected noise conditions remains difficult. T…
An ability to postpone one's execution without penalty provides an important strategic advantage in high-frequency trading. To elucidate competition between traders one has to formulate to a quantitative theory of formation of the execution price from market expectations and quotes. This theory was provided in 2005 by …
WaveLSFormer learns profitable trading policies from financial time series data.
This paper shows how to carry out efficient asymptotic variance reduction when estimating volatility in the presence of stochastic volatility and microstructure noise with the realized kernels (RK) from [Barndorff-Nielsen et al., 2008] and the quasi-maximum likelihood estimator (QMLE) studied in [Xiu, 2010]. To obtain …
New method bypasses global fit for LISA's Galactic binaries, extracting population parameters directly.
Paper analyzes systematic jump risk around the clock using news narratives.
The fundamental frequency (F0) contour of speech is a key aspect to represent speech prosody that finds use in speech and spoken language analysis such as voice conversion and speech synthesis as well as speaker and language identification. This work proposes new methods to estimate the F0 contour of speech using deep …
The stock market prediction has always been crucial for stakeholders, traders and investors. We developed an ensemble Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) model that includes two-time frequencies (annual and daily parameters) in order to predict the next-day Closing price (one step ahead). Based on a four-step approach, this …
Agent-based model simulates financial market crashes and identifies key factors.
We investigate serial correlation, periodic, aperiodic and scaling behaviour of eigenmodes, i.e. daily price fluctuation time-series derived from eigenvectors, of correlation matrices of shares listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) from January 1993 to December 2002. Periodic, or calendar, components are dete…
Single image super-resolution is the task of inferring a high-resolution image from a single low-resolution input. Traditionally, the performance of algorithms for this task is measured using pixel-wise reconstruction measures such as peak signal-to-noise ratio (PSNR) which have been shown to correlate poorly with the …
Paper proposes ExsdHawkes to model LOBs, capturing volatility dynamics.