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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,878 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for free-living individuals

Technical report predicts eating and food purchasing behaviors of free-living individuals.

problem Predicting eating and food purchasing behaviors of free-living individuals.
method Applied multiple machine learning algorithms (Logistic Regression, RBF-SVM, Random Forest, Gradient Boosting) to minute-level features from sensors and environmental context.
result Gradient Boosting model had the highest mean accuracy score (0.7289) for predicting eating events before 0 to 4 minutes.

Continuous monitoring of cardiac health under free living condition is crucial to provide effective care for patients undergoing post operative recovery and individuals with high cardiac risk like the elderly. Capacitive Electrocardiogram (cECG) is one such technology which allows comfortable and long term monitoring t…

2019-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Controller-Augmented Hidden Markov Models (CHMMs) are a framework for constrained sequential inference.

problem Hidden Markov models fail under pathwise constraints like precedence, visitation, or monotonic state progression.
method CHMMs compile constraints into finite-state controllers, then use standard forward-backward and Viterbi recursions to compute exact constrained posteriors and paths.
result CHMMs provide exact constrained inference, monotone ascent in constrained EM, and linear complexity in controller cardinality.

We study notions of fairness in decision-making systems when individuals have diverse preferences over the possible outcomes of the decisions. Our starting point is the seminal work of Dwork et al. which introduced a notion of individual fairness (IF): given a task-specific similarity metric, every pair of individuals …

2019-04-03abs ↗pdf ↗

The study analyzes the conflict between group fairness and individual fairness in machine learning.

problem The conflict between group fairness (optimal statistical parity) and individual fairness in machine learning.
method Established sufficient conditions for the compatibility between optimal statistical parity and individual fairness requirements.
result Identified regions along the Pareto frontier that satisfy individual fairness requirements.

This paper introduces individual fairness in clustering using ff-divergence.

problem Ensuring fair clustering by treating similar individuals similarly.
method Uses ff-divergence to measure statistical similarity and assigns individuals to probability distributions over cluster centers.
result Provides an algorithm with provable approximation guarantee for clustering with individual fairness constraints.

Social media reduces individual investors' disposition effect through negative information.

problem The disposition effect in individual investors selling profitable assets too early and holding onto losing assets for too long.
method Analysis of post data and trading data from Xueqiu.com.
result Social media information significantly reduces the disposition effect.

Paper operationalizes individual fairness using side-information and a unified representation.

problem Difficulty in eliciting a human specification of a similarity metric for individual fairness.
method Proposes a Pairwise Fair Representation (PFR) model that learns from fairness graph and side-information.
result Unified PFR model effectively operationalizes individual fairness without human specification.

There has been much discussion recently about how fairness should be measured or enforced in classification. Individual Fairness [Dwork, Hardt, Pitassi, Reingold, Zemel, 2012], which requires that similar individuals be treated similarly, is a highly appealing definition as it gives strong guarantees on treatment of in…

2019-06-01abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper clarifies the distinction between CATE and ITE under ignorability assumptions.

problem Confusion between CATE and ITE hinders personalized effect estimation.
method Clarifies the distinction between CATE and ITE under ignorability assumptions.
result CATE and ITE are not necessarily the same under ignorability assumptions.

Deep learning models can infer individual trajectories from sparse data.

problem Learning individual dynamics from limited data points.
method Combining variational autoencoders (VAEs) with ordinary differential equations (ODEs) for dynamic modeling.
result Deep learning can recover individual trajectories from sparse data, but requires careful adaptation.

The definition of preferences assigned to individuals is a concept that concerns many disciplines, from economics, with the search of an acceptable outcome for an ensemble of individuals, to decision making an analysis of vote systems. We are concerned in the phenomena of good selection and economic fairness. In Arrow'…

2006-09-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Post-processing corrects bias in ML systems without retraining.

problem Correcting bias in ML systems that are already in use.
method Proposes general post-processing algorithms for individual fairness based on graph Laplacian regularization.
result Empirically, post-processing algorithms correct individual biases in large-scale NLP models while preserving accuracy.

Social learning can make financial markets inefficient, but individual learning can fix this.

problem Inefficiencies in financial markets due to social learning.
method Study of the Minority Game model with social and individual learning mechanisms.
result Individual learning can rescue a population from the inefficiencies caused by social learning.

The paper tackles individualized decision-making under unmeasured confounding, providing a novel minimax solution and a paradox.

problem Unmeasured confounding in causal inference leads to biased estimates and affects individualized decision-making.
method The authors establish a formal link between individualized decision-making under partial identification and classical decision theory, providing a minimax solution and a paradox.
result A novel minimax solution for individualized decision-making/policy assignment is provided, and an interesting paradox is drawn.

New approach models individual vitality for better mortality predictions.

problem Limited ability of existing mortality models to capture individual complexity.
method Developed a four-component framework for individual vitality dynamics.
result Demonstrates improved analytical and practical outcomes in life insurance and lifetime decision-making.

Paper introduces Functional Effects Models to account for individual heterogeneity in panel data.

problem Accounting for preference heterogeneity in panel data with machine learning.
method Functional Effects Models using gradient boosting decision trees and deep neural networks to learn individual-specific preference parameters.
result Functional Effects Models outperform traditional models in learning inter-individual heterogeneity and predictive performance.

Proposes a compensation mechanism for improving individual forecast confidence.

problem Difficult to assess the quality of individual probabilistic forecasts and their utilities.
method Compensation mechanism based on fair bets and online learning.
result The proposed mechanism cannot be exploited and ensures forecasted utility matches actual utility.

Proposes a deep learning method for modeling dynamic individual-level latent trajectories with changing parameters.

problem Modeling longitudinal data with changing individual-level dynamics parameters.
method Combines deep learning for dimensionality reduction and differential equations for dynamic modeling, allowing different parameters for sub-periods.
result Successfully identifies dynamic parameters and predictors of resilience.

Sensitivity analysis for individualized effects in OTRs with binary risk factors.

problem Addressing omitted confounding in individualized effects of OTRs.
method Simulation-based sensitivity analysis to simulate unmeasured confounders.
result Benchmarking the strength of omitted confounding for binary risk factors.

New model recommends stocks considering individual preferences and diversification.

problem Inaccurate stock price predictions and ignoring investment theories.
method Portfolio Temporal Graph Network Recommender (PfoTGNRec) incorporating diversification-enhancing sampling.
result PfoTGNRec outperforms state-of-the-art models in real-world data.

Paper proposes a method to optimize policies for diverse individuals using heterogeneous data.

problem Learning optimal policies for a heterogeneous population from pre-collected data.
method Individualized offline policy optimization framework for heterogeneous MDPs.
result The proposed P4L algorithm achieves a fast rate of average regret.

The paper compares methods for estimating individual treatment effects.

problem Estimating the optimal treatment effect for each individual.
method Comparison of machine learning methods for individual treatment effect estimation.
result Combination of Logistic Regression and Difference Score method, as well as Uplift Random Forest method, provides the best prediction accuracy.

Investigates fairness in pipeline models where individuals may drop out.

problem Fairness in pipeline models where individuals may drop out and subsequent stages depend on remaining individuals.
method Rigorous framework for evaluating fairness guarantees, showing that naïve auditing is insufficient and dependence must exist between stages.
result Fairness in pipelines can be arbitrary, even with just two stages, and requires dependence between stages.

Develops verifiers to check if machine learning models treat similar individuals equally.

problem Ensuring fairness in machine learning models by checking if similar individuals are treated differently.
method Constructs verifiers for proving individual fairness of machine learning models, considering relaxations of the problem.
result Developed verifiers for linear and kernelized polynomial/radial basis function classifiers.

Proposes a new model for estimating individual treatment effects.

problem Estimating individual treatment effects from observational data is challenging.
method Integrates diffusion modeling and conformal inference with propensity score and covariate approximation.
result Establishes rigorous theoretical guarantees and demonstrates competitive performance.

We provide scientific foundations for athletic performance prediction on an individual level, exposing the phenomenology of individual athletic running performance in the form of a low-rank model dominated by an individual power law. We present, evaluate, and compare a selection of methods for prediction of individual …

2015-05-05abs ↗pdf ↗