Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,042 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

126253379505 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for fraud prediction

Fraud detection is a difficult problem that can benefit from predictive modeling. However, the verification of a prediction is challenging; for a single insurance policy, the model only provides a prediction score. We present a case study where we reflect on different instance-level model explanation techniques to aid …

2018-06-19abs ↗pdf ↗

A CBR approach helps fraud analysts trust machine learning predictions.

problem Understanding the trustworthiness of machine learning predictions for fraud analysts.
method Case-based reasoning (CBR) approach to visualize similar previous instances and their local post-hoc explanations.
result Empirically, the visualization of similar previous instances is useful and easy to use for fraud analysts.

Model predicts internal fraud in retail banking is cyclical and influenced by corruption.

problem Predicting and mitigating internal fraud losses in retail banking.
method Developed a dynamic model considering internal factors and macroeconomic indicators.
result Internal fraud losses are pro-cyclical and positively affected by corruption perceptions.

SemiGNN detects financial fraud using social relations and multi-view data.

problem Detecting fraud in financial services with limited labeled data and complex interactions.
method Semi-supervised graph attentive network with hierarchical attention mechanism.
result SemiGNN achieves better accuracy on fraud detection tasks compared to state-of-the-art methods.

The paper proposes a method to detect credit card fraud using sparse Gaussian approximations.

problem Detecting credit card fraud in financial institutions.
method Sparse Gaussian classification method with pseudo or inducing inputs and different kernels and inducing points.
result The RBF kernel with a higher number of inducing points achieved the best accuracy.

Many online platforms have deployed anti-fraud systems to detect and prevent fraudulent activities. However, there is usually a gap between the time that a user commits a fraudulent action and the time that the user is suspended by the platform. How to detect fraudsters in time is a challenging problem. Most of the exi…

2018-09-12abs ↗pdf ↗

EnsemFDet detects fraud by solving subproblems on small graphs, scaling up e-commerce fraud detection.

problem Detecting and preventing fraud in e-commerce, especially in large-scale bipartite graphs.
method EnsemFDet uses an ensemble approach to decompose the problem into smaller subproblems, solving them in parallel.
result EnsemFDet is up to 100x faster than state-of-the-art methods while maintaining high accuracy.

The paper examines how insurers can select claims for fraud investigation, proposing a randomized approach.

problem Inconsistent learning from biased claim selection.
method Formalizes selection in binary regression, proposes a randomized alternative, and defines consistency.
result The randomized selection strategy is consistent, while the traditional strategy is not.

CaT-GNN improves credit card fraud detection by integrating causal reasoning into GNNs.

problem Credit card fraud detection overlooks causal structure of transactions.
method CaT-GNN combines causal invariant learning and temporal graph neural networks.
result CaT-GNN outperforms existing methods on various datasets.

Study tackles imbalanced data in car insurance claims prediction.

problem Predicting rare events (claims) in car insurance with imbalanced data.
method Various machine learning techniques (logistic-regression, decision tree, random forest, xgBoost, feed-forward network) applied to imbalanced dataset.
result Comparison of machine learning algorithms' performance in claim occurrence prediction.

Neural networks can predict BMI from faces, and can be fooled into wrong predictions.

problem Vulnerability of BMI prediction models to adversarial attacks.
method Test-time adversarial attacks on neural networks trained to infer BMI from facial images.
result Neural networks can be tricked into predicting incorrect BMI values, posing a risk of insurance fraud.

New framework improves fraud prediction with incremental data balancing for massive data streams.

problem Class imbalance problem in massive imbalanced data streams.
method Incremental data balancing framework using Racing Algorithm for automated balancing and Random Forest for classification.
result Better results than Batch mode on European Credit Card dataset.

Semi-supervised GANs with log-signatures improve credit card fraud detection.

problem Detecting fraud in large, complex financial transaction data streams.
method Conditional GANs with Bayesian inference and log-signatures for robust feature encoding.
result Consistent improvements over benchmarks in global and domain-specific metrics.

Model detects insurance fraud using social network analysis.

problem Fraudulent insurance claims by exaggeration or intentional damage.
method Network construction linking claims and parties, BiRank algorithm for fraud score computation, feature extraction from network and claims, supervised model building.
result Network features improve fraud detection performance.

New taxonomy reveals different detection limits for various types of fraud.

problem Existing fraud detection treats all fraud as the same, ignoring its diverse forms.
method Introduced an observation-mechanism taxonomy with five fraud classes.
result Separate estimation by fraud class outperforms pooled estimation.

Enhanced loss function boosts fraud detection in auto insurance claims.

problem Class imbalance in auto insurance fraud detection.
method Structured three-stage training framework integrating convex surrogate, non-convex intermediate, and standard focal loss.
result Improves minority-class F1-scores and AUC compared to baseline methods.

IA-BMA adapts model weights to inputs for better predictions.

problem Predicting with multiple models in heterogeneous settings.
method Input adaptive Bayesian Model Averaging (IA-BMA) with an input adaptive prior and amortized variational inference.
result IA-BMA consistently delivers more accurate and better-calibrated predictions.

BreachRadar detects points-of-compromise in bank transactions to prevent fraud.

problem Detecting and preventing bank transaction fraud caused by data breaches.
method A distributed alternating algorithm that assigns probabilities to different locations being compromised.
result BreachRadar achieves over 90% precision and recall in detecting compromised cards.

DAMVI algorithm improves imbalanced binary classification by adjusting weights of examples and classifiers.

problem Imbalanced binary classification tasks where minority class is underrepresented.
method DAMVI algorithm increases positive example weights and optimizes classifier weights using PAC-Bayesian C-Bound.
result DAMVI outperforms state-of-the-art models on various imbalanced datasets.

TimeTrail detects financial fraud patterns through temporal correlation analysis.

problem Detecting and explaining complex financial fraud patterns.
method Temporal data enrichment, dynamic correlation analysis, interpretable pattern visualization.
result TimeTrail outperforms conventional methods in accuracy and interpretability.

Quantum Support Vector Classifier outperforms other QML models in finance fraud detection.

problem Detecting financial fraud using Quantum Machine Learning.
method Comparative study of four QML models: Quantum Support Vector Classifier, Variational Quantum Classifier, Estimator QNN, and Sampler QNN.
result Quantum Support Vector Classifier achieved the highest F1 scores (0.98) for fraud and non-fraud classes.

Accounting fraud is a global concern representing a significant threat to the financial system stability due to the resulting diminishing of the market confidence and trust of regulatory authorities. Several tricks can be used to commit accounting fraud, hence the need for non-static regulatory interventions that take …

2018-05-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhances fraud detection with multiple HMM perspectives.

problem Detecting credit card fraud from sequential transactions.
method Modeling credit card transactions from three perspectives (card-holder, terminal, amount/time) using HMMs and combining likelihoods as features.
result 15% increase in precision-recall AUC compared to state-of-the-art methods.

Study improves fraud detection in e-commerce with a stacked model combining CNNs, GNNs, and confidence gating.

problem Detecting credit card fraud in online transactions.
method Stacking approach with attention and confidence-driven layers, using DOWA and IOWA operators.
result The method achieves high accuracy and robust generalization in CCF detection.

This paper examines anomalies and frauds in blockchain networks and proposes detection techniques.

problem Anomalies and frauds undermine blockchain networks' integrity and security.
method Statistical and machine learning methods, game-theoretic solutions, digital forensics, reputation-based systems, and risk assessment techniques.
result Practical applications and insights for enhancing blockchain network security.

Although shill bidding is a common auction fraud, it is however very tough to detect. Due to the unavailability and lack of training data, in this study, we build a high-quality labeled shill bidding dataset based on recently collected auctions from eBay. Labeling shill biding instances with multidimensional features i…

2018-08-22abs ↗pdf ↗

AI-driven framework improves enterprise financial audits and risk identification.

problem Manual auditing is inefficient and limited by data complexity and evolving fraud tactics.
method Machine learning algorithms (SVM, RF, KNN) applied to a dataset of audit project counts, violations, and fraud instances.
result Random Forest achieves best performance with F1-score of 0.9012, identifying fraud and compliance anomalies.