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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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22446688 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for fractional volatility

Approximates derivative pricing under fractional stochastic volatility.

problem Derivative pricing under fractional stochastic volatility model.
method Approximate expression derived from deterministic functions and fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.
result Numerical simulations show the feasibility and effect of long-range dependencies on derivative prices.

Study large deviations in fractional volatility models with non-Gaussian volatility.

problem Large deviations in fractional volatility models with non-Gaussian volatility.
method Established a small-noise large deviation principle for log-price.
result Logarithmic call price asymptotics for large strikes in a special case.

The paper models cryptocurrency price and volatility with jumps and fractional volatility.

problem Empirical evidence shows jumps in cryptocurrency price and volatility.
method Fractional stochastic volatility model with jumps and short-term volatility dependency.
result Fractional stochastic volatility models outperform other models in pricing and hedging cryptocurrency options.

Study confirms rough volatility in financial data, independent of microstructure noise.

problem Characterizing volatility in financial markets, especially rough volatility.
method Used range-based volatility estimators to confirm findings from fractional behavior.
result Log-volatility behaves like fractional Brownian motion with an even lower Hurst exponent.

Based on empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model is proposed with volatility driven by fractional noise. The model is used to obtain a risk-neutrality option pricing formula and an option pricing equation.

2004-04-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Study finds roughness in volatility despite diffusive instantaneous volatility.

problem Determining the roughness of volatility in financial assets.
method Non-parametric method based on normalized pp-th variation for estimating roughness of sample paths.
result Realized volatility exhibits rough behavior with a significantly smaller Hurst exponent than instantaneous volatility.

Study provides LDP for non self-similar stochastic volatility models.

problem Analyzing non self-similar stochastic volatility models.
method Short-time large deviation principle (LDP) for models with Volterra process.
result Derives consequences for option prices, implied volatility surfaces, and skew.

We consider the fractional Heston model originally proposed by Comte, Coutin and Renault. Inspired by recent ground-breaking work on rough volatility, which showed that models with volatility driven by fractional Brownian motion with short memory allows for better calibration of the volatility surface and more robust e…

2014-11-27abs ↗pdf ↗

New rough stochastic volatility models using log-modulated fractional Brownian motion.

problem Analyzing rough stochastic volatility models over the range 0H<1/20 \le H < 1/2.
method Introducing log-modulated fractional Brownian motion (log-fBm) to handle H=0H = 0 and analyze over the full range.
result Obtained skew asymptotics of log(1/T)pTH1/2\log(1/T)^{-p} T^{H-1/2} as To0T o 0 for H0H \ge 0, no flattening of skew as Ho0H o 0.

Based on criteria of mathematical simplicity and consistency with empirical market data, a model with volatility driven by fractional noise has been constructed which provides a fairly accurate mathematical parametrization of the data. Here, some features of the model are discussed and, using agent-based models, one tr…

2007-06-26abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper develops a European option pricing formula for fractional market models. Although there exist option pricing results for a fractional Black-Scholes model, they are established without accounting for stochastic volatility. In this paper, a fractional version of the Constant Elasticity of Variance (CEV) model …

2007-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

It has been recently shown that rough volatility models, where the volatility is driven by a fractional Brownian motion with small Hurst parameter, provide very relevant dynamics in order to reproduce the behavior of both historical and implied volatilities. However, due to the non-Markovian nature of the fractional Br…

2016-09-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Based on criteria of mathematical simplicity and consistency with empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model is constructed, the volatility process being driven by fractional noise. Price return statistics and asymptotic behavior are derived from the model and compared with data. Deviations from Black-Scholes…

2006-02-01abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper introduces a new method to detect rough volatility and market states using fractional derivatives.

problem Testing self-similarity in fractional processes from a single observed trajectory is difficult under long-range dependence.
method The paper introduces a regime-adaptive KS/GL--KS framework based on the discrete Grünwald--Letnikov (GL) fractional derivative.
result The method detects rough volatility and persistent, anti-persistent, or efficient market states in financial applications.

This paper extends Heston model to fractional Brownian motion for option pricing.

problem Developing a new financial model for option pricing with fractional Brownian motion.
method Extending Malliavin differentiability to fractional Heston-type model.
result Proves fractional Heston-type model is Malliavin differentiable and derives option pricing expressions.

Study tests rough fractional volatility model across different time scales, revealing new volatility patterns.

problem Testing robustness of rough fractional volatility model over various time scales.
method Used large dataset on FX rates, included smoothing and measurement errors, analyzed log-log plots of realized variance increments.
result Found new stylized facts in volatility patterns, including convexity and nonlinear behavior.

Study models market volatility with persistent and temporary impacts.

problem Microstructure of rough volatility models driven by Poisson measures.
method Existence and uniqueness of solutions for stochastic path-dependent Volterra equations.
result Volatility process converges to fractional Heston model with spikes.

The paper introduces a new stochastic volatility model with long-term memory and jumps.

problem Developing a model for variance and volatility swaps with long-term memory and jumps.
method Fractional Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model incorporating long-term memory and jumps.
result Arbitrage-free prices for variance and volatility swaps derived for the new model.

Method predicts LFSM increments from past observations using codifference.

problem Forecasting LFSM increments from discrete-time observations.
method Uses codifference for serial dependence, with conditional expectation or projection for α>1α>1 or α<2α<2.
result Method shows promising performance in forecasting volatilities, capturing kurtosis and serial dependence.

Modeling joint log-volatility dynamics with multivariate fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.

problem Empirical evidence of joint behavior in realized volatility time series.
method Multivariate fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with different Hurst exponents and non-trivial interdependencies.
result Model accurately captures asymmetries and spillover effects in realized-volatility time series.

We examine in this article the pricing of target volatility options in the lognormal fractional SABR model. A decomposition formula by Ito's calculus yields a theoretical replicating strategy for the target volatility option, assuming the accessibilities of all variance swaps and swaptions. The same formula also sugges…

2018-01-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Formula for option pricing in a stochastic volatility model with jumps.

problem Developing a formula for European option pricing in a complex stochastic volatility model.
method Fractional integral of a diffusion process, martingale representation, and Itô calculus for processes with jumps.
result A first-order approximation formula for option prices.

Study rough volatility models using path-dependent PDEs and fractional Brownian motions.

problem Modeling and analyzing rough volatility in financial markets.
method Showed conditional expectations are unique classical solutions to path-dependent PDEs derived from functional Itô formula. Leverage these to study weak rates of convergence for discretized stochastic integrals.
result Obtained optimal weak error rates for approximating log-stock prices in rough volatility models.

Rough volatility models are continuous time stochastic volatility models where the volatility process is driven by a fractional Brownian motion with the Hurst parameter smaller than half, and have attracted much attention since a seminal paper titled "Volatility is rough" was posted on SSRN in 2014 showing that the log…

2019-05-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates roughness of volatility from discrete variance data.

problem Estimating roughness exponent of stochastic volatility from discrete observations of integrated variance.
method Pathwise estimator based on fractional Brownian motion with drift.
result Strong consistency theorems for rough volatility models.

Study shows how certain stochastic models reach a steady state over time.

problem Understanding long-term behavior of stochastic volatility models.
method Novel coupling technique for Markov chains, applicable to random environments.
result Convergence to an invariant measure for multidimensional fractional models.

Model rough volatility using RDEs with correlated Brownian motion and fractional Brownian motion.

problem Modeling rough volatility with correlated stochastic processes.
method Developed a method to lift Brownian motion and rough paths, applying it to fractional Brownian motion to model rough volatility.
result Calibrated a new rough volatility model to market data.

We consider a fractional version of the Heston volatility model which is inspired by [16]. Within this model we treat portfolio optimization problems for power utility functions. Using a suitable representation of the fractional part, followed by a reasonable approximation we show that it is possible to cast the proble…

2018-09-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper extends a method to estimate Hurst parameter for rough stochastic volatility models.

problem Estimating Hurst parameter of rough stochastic volatility models from discrete observations.
method Extends a scale-invariant estimator to a general nonlinear function.
result Consistent estimation of Hurst parameter for a wide class of rough stochastic volatility models.

The Black-Scholes implied volatility skew at the money of SPX options is known to obey a power law with respect to the time-to-maturity. We construct a model of the underlying asset price process which is dynamically consistent to the power law. The volatility process of the model is driven by a fractional Brownian mot…

2015-01-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved volatility models for option pricing with weak error rates.

problem Improving volatility models to fit market data better.
method Developed a weak convergence analysis for the Euler method applied to linear rough volatility models.
result Proved weak convergence rates of 1/2 + H for linear models and 1 for quadratic payoffs.

Study approximates rough stochastic volatility models using diffusion processes.

problem High computational cost in simulating rough stochastic volatility models.
method Approximates stochastic Volterra equations with an N-dimensional diffusion process.
result Approximations converge strongly with superpolynomial rate in N.

Paper tackles rough volatility estimation from high-frequency data.

problem Estimating historical volatility from high-frequency asset price data.
method Uses fractional Brownian motion representation and particle methods for filtering and parameter estimation.
result Demonstrates efficient estimation of rough volatility using standard techniques.

Recent empirical studies suggest that the volatility of an underlying price process may have correlations that decay slowly under certain market conditions. In this paper, the volatility is modeled as a stationary process with long-range correlation properties in order to capture such a situation, and we consider Europ…

2016-04-01abs ↗pdf ↗

mfBm models and forecasts volatility with different Hurst exponents and correlations.

problem Modeling and forecasting volatility with varying Hurst exponents and correlations.
method Multivariate fractional Brownian motion (mfBm) with component-wise Hurst exponents, novel estimation method, time-reversibility test.
result mfBm reduces forecasting errors compared to a one-dimensional model and outperforms HAR model.

Instantaneous volatility of logarithmic return in the lognormal fractional SABR model is driven by the exponentiation of a correlated fractional Brownian motion. Due to the mixed nature of driving Brownian and fractional Brownian motions, probability density for such a model is less studied in the literature. We show i…

2017-02-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Study approximates weak error for specific stochastic models with rough and Gaussian mean-reverting volatility.

problem Approximating weak error for specific stochastic models with rough and Gaussian mean-reverting volatility.
method Used Euler type scheme with integrated kernels to study weak convergence rate.
result Obtained weak convergence rate of min(3α1,1)\min(3α-1,1) for discretised rough Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and stochastic rough volatility model.

We consider a class of fractional stochastic volatility models (including the so-called rough Bergomi model), where the volatility is a superlinear function of a fractional Gaussian process. We show that the stock price is a true martingale if and only if the correlation ρρ between the driving Brownian motions of the …

2018-11-27abs ↗pdf ↗