We investigate the macroeconomic consequences of narrow banking in the context of stock-flow consistent models. We begin with an extension of the Goodwin-Keen model incorporating time deposits, government bills, cash, and central bank reserves to the base model with loans and demand deposits and use it to describe a fr…
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48 results for “fractional flow reserve”
Deep learning improves plaque prediction for coronary artery health.
problem Predicting coronary artery plaque health from CT scans.
method 3D RCNN, 2D multi-view ensemble, 2.5D approach.
result Improved prediction accuracy for revascularization decisions.
High-value transactions between Australian banks are settled in the Reserve Bank Information and Transfer System (RITS) administered by the Reserve Bank of Australia. RITS operates on a real-time gross settlement (RTGS) basis and settles payments sourced from the SWIFT, the Austraclear, and the interbank transactions e…
Overprocuring reserves can improve network efficiency by using excess reserves for congestion management.
problem Optimizing energy and reserve allocation between zones to minimize costs and ensure deliverability.
method Developed allocation models for co-allocating traded energy and reserve products, considering both deterministic and stochastic flows.
result Excess reserve supplies can be used for congestion management, leading to additional network benefits.
In this paper the dependence of wealth distribution and the velocity of money on the required reserve ratio is examined based on a random transfer model of money and computer simulations. A fractional reserve banking system is introduced to the model where money creation can be achieved by bank loans and the monetary a…
Life insurance cash flows become reserve dependent when contract conditions are modified during the contract term on condition that actuarial equivalence is maintained. As a result, insurance cash flows and prospective reserves depend on each other in a circular way, and it is a non-trivial problem to solve that circul…
New model for disability insurance reserving handles delays in claim information.
problem Disability insurance claims are affected by long delays and adjudication processes.
method Proposes a new individual reserving model for real-time claim evolution.
result Shows that new reserves can be calculated as modifications of classic reserves.
Fractional combinatorial flow improves surface conformal structures.
problem Improving discrete conformal structures on surfaces.
method Introducing a fractional combinatorial Calabi flow for discrete conformal structures on surfaces.
result Longtime existence and global convergence of the fractional combinatorial Calabi flow for various surface types.
Threadneedle is a multi-agent simulation framework, based on a full double entry book keeping implementation of the banking system's fundamental transactions. It is designed to serve as an experimental test bed for economic simulations that can explore the banking system's influence on the macro-economy under varying a…
Optimal control of reserve assets for stablecoins to maintain peg stability.
problem Balancing immediate liquidity and yield on reserve assets for stablecoin peg maintenance.
method Developed a stochastic model predictive control framework with moment closure for event intensities, incorporating a soft-thresholding structure for rebalancing.
result Optimal policy shifts predictably toward cash as expected outflows intensify or windows lengthen, preserving most bill carry in calm markets and quickly building cash during stress.
The paper proposes an original methodology for constructing quantitative statistical models based on multidimensional distribution functions constructed on the basis of the insurance companies' data on inshurance policies (including policies with deductible) and claims incurred. Real data of some Russian insurance comp…
Derives equations for life insurance reserves with interest rate uncertainty.
problem Life insurance reserves with stochastic interest rates.
method Partial differential equations for reserves under stochastic interest rates.
result Explicit solutions for reserves under specific models.
We study a fractional conformal curvature flow on the standard unit sphere and prove a perturbation result of the fractional Nirenberg problem with fractional exponent . This extends the result of Chen-Xu (Invent. Math. 187, no. 2, 395-506, 2012) for the scalar curvature flow on the standard unit sphere.
Two-dimensional transition rates improve life insurance reserve calculations.
problem Calculating life insurance reserves with Markov assumptions.
method Introducing two-dimensional forward and backward transition rates.
result Two-dimensional transition rates enable more accurate reserve calculations.
We establish short-time existence of the smooth solution to the fractional mean curvature flow when the initial set is bounded and C^{1,1}-regular. We provide the same result also for the volume preserving fractional mean curvature flow.
Methods from the geometry of nonholonomic manifolds and Lagrange-Finsler spaces are applied in fractional calculus with Caputo derivatives and for elaborating models of fractional gravity and fractional Lagrange mechanics. The geometric data for such models are encoded into (fractional) bi-Hamiltonian structures and as…
We formulate the fractional Ricci flow theory for (pseudo) Riemannian geometries enabled with nonholonomic distributions defining fractional integro-differential structures, for non-integer dimensions. There are constructed fractional analogs of Perelman's functionals and derived the corresponding fractional evolution …
Geodesic flows on surfaces have specific fractional-linear integrals related to constant cross-ratios.
problem Characterizing geodesic flows on surfaces with fractional-linear integrals.
method Proving the dimension of fractional-linear integrals and giving a geometric criterion.
result The dimension of fractional-linear integrals is either 3 or 5, corresponding to constant curvature.
Paper proves short-term existence of fractional mean curvature flow.
problem Existence of solutions for fractional mean curvature flow with capillary boundary conditions.
method Fixed point argument.
result Short time existence of solutions for fractional mean curvature flow.
This paper studies a finite-fuel two-dimensional degenerate singular stochastic control problem under regime switching that is motivated by the optimal irreversible extraction problem of an exhaustible commodity. A company extracts a natural resource from a reserve with finite capacity, and sells it in the market at a …
The paper solves fractional combinatorial flows for prescribed hyperbolic bordered surfaces.
problem Finding hyperbolic bordered surfaces with prescribed boundary lengths.
method Fractional combinatorial Calabi flow and generalized combinatorial Yamabe flow.
result The flows converge to a hyperbolic surface with prescribed boundary lengths.
We show existence of homothetically shrinking solutions of the fractional mean curvature flow, whose boundary consists in a prescribed numbers of concentric spheres. We prove that all these solutions, except from the ball, are dynamically unstable.
In this paper we consider the evolution of sets by a fractional mean curvature flow. Our main result states that for any dimension , there exists an embedded surface in evolving by fractional mean curvature flow, which developes a singularity before it can shrink to a point. When this resul…
We introduce a fractional Yamabe flow involving nonlocal conformally invariant operators on the conformal infinity of asymptotically hyperbolic manifolds, and show that on the conformal spheres $(\Sn, [g_{\Sn}])$, it converges to the standard sphere up to a Möbius diffeomorphism. This result allows us to obtain extinct…
Model estimates foreign exchange reserve compositions of undisclosed central banks.
problem Limited information on central bank reserve compositions hinders analysis.
method Hidden Markov Model relating portfolio valuation to exchange rates.
result China's reserve composition likely matches global average, while Singapore holds fewer US dollars.
The study provides a criterion for fractional-linear integrals of geodesics on surfaces.
problem Existence and classification of fractional-linear integrals for geodesic flows on Riemannian surfaces.
method Criterion and analysis of moduli space of local integrals.
result The moduli space of such local integrals is either the 2D projective plane or finite points.
New method for individual claims reserving using machine learning.
problem Traditional claims reserving methods are limited in individual claim prediction.
method Restructured data utilization for CL prediction, using multi-period factors.
result Neural networks applied for individual claims reserving.
In this paper we study smooth solutions to a fractional mean curvature flow equation. We establish a comparison principle and consequences such as uniqueness and finite extinction time for compact solutions. We also establish evolutions equations for fractional geometric quantities that yield preservation of certain qu…
Study examines value relevance of oil and gas reserve disclosures in London Stock Exchange.
problem Uncertainty in oil and gas reserves poses accounting challenges for investors.
method Empirical analysis using archival data and multifactor framework.
result Changes in reserves and their components are associated with share returns, but insignificantly due to oil price and longitudinal effects. Quality of disclosures positively impacts share returns.
RL-CVaR model improves insurance reserving under economic stress.
problem Managing insurance reserve setting under claim development uncertainty and macroeconomic stress.
method Reinforcement Learning (PPO) with CVaR constraints, trained under regime-aware curriculum.
result RL-CVaR policy reduces solvency violations and tail-risk compared to classical methods.
Paper proposes a new reserving model using machine learning techniques.
problem Managing uncertainties in premium sufficiency and reserves for future claims.
method Stacked model combining Gradient Boosting, Random Forest, Artificial Neural Networks, and log-normal approach.
result The proposed model improves traditional reserving techniques, leading to more accurate reserving risk assessment.
New method simplifies individual claims reserving.
problem Insufficient flexibility and robustness in existing methods.
method Building on classical chain-ladder method, introduces new perspective.
result Advances toward a new standard for micro-level reserving.
Chain-ladder reserving is sensitive to outliers, leading to unreliable estimates.
problem Sensitivity of loss reserving techniques to outliers.
method Derivation of impact functions for reserves and mean squared errors of prediction under Mack's Model.
result Impact of outliers varies widely in a loss triangle and depends on other cells.
Model predicts individual insurance claim reserves using activation patterns.
problem Accurately predicting individual claim reserves in insurance contracts.
method Multinomial logistic regression to model claim activation and development.
result The model generates accurate predictions of total and per coverage reserves.
The paper introduces combinatorial Calabi flows to find hyperbolic metrics on surfaces with boundary.
problem Finding hyperbolic metrics on surfaces with totally geodesic boundaries of given lengths.
method Introducing combinatorial Calabi flows and proving their long time existence and global convergence.
result Proves the long time existence and global convergence of combinatorial Calabi flow on surfaces with boundary.
New pricing framework allocates costs of operating reserves and transmission.
problem Allocating costs of operating reserves and transmission efficiently.
method Causation-based framework using contingency-constrained scheduling models.
result More comprehensive and efficient cost-reflective market operations.
Constant Curvature Coefficients and Exact Solutions in Fractional Gravity and Geometric Mechanicsmath-ph
We study fractional configurations in gravity theories and Lagrange mechanics. The approach is based on Caputo fractional derivative which gives zero for actions on constants. We elaborate fractional geometric models of physical interactions and we formulate a method of nonholonomic deformations to other types of fract…
Objective Variables for Probabilistic Revenue Maximization in Second-Price Auctions with Reservestat.ML
Many online companies sell advertisement space in second-price auctions with reserve. In this paper, we develop a probabilistic method to learn a profitable strategy to set the reserve price. We use historical auction data with features to fit a predictor of the best reserve price. This problem is delicate - the struct…
We introduce a new approach to incorporate uncertainty into the decision to invest in a commodity reserve. The investment is an irreversible one-off capital expenditure, after which the investor receives a stream of cashflow from extracting the commodity and selling it on the spot market. The investor is exposed to pri…
Case study shows impact of co-optimizing energy and reserve for wind energy.
problem Impact of lack of co-optimization of energy and reserve in high wind penetration scenarios.
method Developed two models with and without co-optimization, calibrated with Spanish market parameters.
result Models show significant differences in energy and reserve management.
A new framework combines multiple loss reserving models for better predictive performance.
problem Combining multiple loss reserving models to improve predictive performance.
method Systematic framework that considers full distributional properties and features of reserving data.
result Optimized ensemble outperforms traditional methods and captures relevant quantiles.
We consider the problem of governing systemic risk in a banking system model. The banking system model consists in an initial value problem for a system of stochastic differential equations whose dependent variables are the log-monetary reserves of the banks as functions of time. The banking system model considered gen…
Order flow in the financial markets from the perspective of the Fractional Lévy stable motionq-fin.ST
The study examines order flow in financial markets using fractional Lévy stable motion.
problem Challenges in selecting the best models for financial time series data.
method Investigates order disbalance time series from the perspective of fractional Lévy stable motion.
result Orders exhibit stable anti-correlation for 18 randomly selected stocks.
Traditional non-life reserving models largely neglect the vast amount of information collected over the lifetime of a claim. This information includes covariates describing the policy, claim cause as well as the detailed history collected during a claim's development over time. We present the hierarchical reserving mod…
In this article we consider the parameter risk in the context of internal modelling of the reserve risk under Solvency II. We discuss two opposed perspectives on parameter uncertainty and point out that standard methods of classical reserving focusing on the estimation error of claims reserves are in general not approp…
The paper analyzes risk measures and optimal reserve allocation strategies.
problem Risk measures and optimal reserve allocation across multiple lines of business.
method Formalizes expected maximum deficit, introduces implicitly bounded risk measures, and proposes capital allocation approaches.
result Theoretical results on static and dynamic coherence, convexity, and exact optimizations of aggregate minimum reserves.
Framework insures AI actions with reserve capital, preventing loss.
problem Ensuring safety and accountability for AI actions with varying side effects.
method Developed Actuarial Action Interface (AAI) and Authority Frontier to price and gate AI actions.
result Found common refusal and release patterns across domains, with varying required reserve capital.
Impact of aleatoric, stochastic and epistemic uncertainties on project cost contingency reservesstat.AP
Paper proposes a method to estimate project cost contingency reserves considering various types of uncertainty.
problem Inaccurate estimation of project cost contingency reserves due to ignoring different types of uncertainty.
method Quantitative determination of project cost contingency reserves using Monte Carlo Simulation considering aleatoric, stochastic, and epistemic uncertainties.
result The proposed method provides more accurate contingency reserves that align with actual project risks.