arXiv research

Finite-time extinction and smoothing effects in fractional fast diffusion on manifolds.

Generative Fractional Diffusion Models improve image diversity and quality.

FDBM models use fractional Brownian motion to model complex stochastic processes.

Enhances option pricing with fractional order Black-Scholes-Merton model.

In this paper, we focus on option pricing models based on space-time fractional diffusion. We briefly revise recent results which show that the option price can be represented in the terms of rapidly converging double-series and apply these results to the data from real markets. We focus on estimation of model paramete…

In this paper, we show that the price of an European call option, whose underlying asset price is driven by the space-time fractional diffusion, can be expressed in terms of rapidly convergent double-series. The series formula can be obtained from the Mellin-Barnes representation of the option price with help of residu…

Data-driven discovery of "hidden physics" -- i.e., machine learning of differential equation models underlying observed data -- has recently been approached by embedding the discovery problem into a Gaussian Process regression of spatial data, treating and discovering unknown equation parameters as hyperparameters of a…

Formula for option pricing in a stochastic volatility model with jumps.

FSD-CAP improves graph feature imputation under high missing rates.

We suggest that the broad distribution of time scales in financial markets could be a crucial ingredient to reproduce realistic price dynamics in stylised Agent-Based Models. We propose a fractional reaction-diffusion model for the dynamics of latent liquidity in financial markets, where agents are very heterogeneous i…

Fractional porous media equations yield q-Gaussian solutions for stock price returns.

We study markets with no riskless (safe) asset. We derive the corresponding Black-Scholes-Merton option pricing equations for markets where there are only risky assets which have the following price dynamics: (i) continuous diffusions; (ii) jump-diffusions; (iii) diffusions with stochastic volatilities, and; (iv) geome…

We introduce a fractional Yamabe flow involving nonlocal conformally invariant operators on the conformal infinity of asymptotically hyperbolic manifolds, and show that on the conformal spheres $(\Sn, [g_{\Sn}])$, it converges to the standard sphere up to a Möbius diffeomorphism. This result allows us to obtain extinct…

The mixed-fractional CEV model improves CDS pricing by accounting for default risk.

We show how the prices of options can be determined with the help of double-fractional differential equation in such a way that their inclusion in a portfolio of stocks provides a more reliable hedge against dramatic price drops that the use of options whose prices were fixed by the Black-Scholes formula.

Analyzed a generalized voter model with power-law herding intensity, revealing anomalous diffusion and long-range memory.

Researchers study fractional porous medium equation on hyperbolic space.

Study approximates rough stochastic volatility models using diffusion processes.

This overview article concerns the notion of fractional smoothness of random variables of the form $g(X_T)$, where $X=(X_t)_{t\in [0,T]}$ is a certain diffusion process. We review the connection to the real interpolation theory, give examples and applications of this concept. The applications in stochastic finance main…

The fractional Poisson process (FPP) is a counting process with independent and identically distributed inter-event times following the Mittag-Leffler distribution. This process is very useful in several fields of applied and theoretical physics including models for anomalous diffusion. Contrary to the well-known Poiss…

Predicts solar dynamics with diffusion models, improving long-range dependencies.

In this paper we apply Markovian approximation of the fractional Brownian motion (BM), known as the Dobric-Ojeda (DO) process, to the fractional stochastic volatility model where the instantaneous variance is modelled by a lognormal process with drift and fractional diffusion. Since the DO process is a semi-martingale,…

Study finds roughness in volatility despite diffusive instantaneous volatility.

We show by explicit closed form calculations that a Hurst exponent H that is not 1/2 does not necessarily imply long time correlations like those found in fractional Brownian motion. We construct a large set of scaling solutions of Fokker-Planck partial differential equations where H is not 1/2. Thus Markov processes, …

In this paper we present a rather general phenomenological theory of tick-by-tick dynamics in financial markets. Many well-known aspects, such as the Lévy scaling form, follow as particular cases of the theory. The theory fully takes into account the non-Markovian and non-local character of financial time series. Predi…

In mathematical finance a popular approach for pricing options under some Levy model is to consider underlying that follows a Poisson jump diffusion process. As it is well known this results in a partial integro-differential equation (PIDE) that usually does not allow an analytical solution while numerical solution bri…

Simulates financial market orders using anomalous diffusion models.

The continuous-time random walk (CTRW) is a pure-jump stochastic process with several applications in physics, but also in insurance, finance and economics. A definition is given for a class of stochastic integrals driven by a CTRW, that includes the Ito and Stratonovich cases. An uncoupled CTRW with zero-mean jumps is…

A new method uses heat diffusion to efficiently solve combinatorial optimization problems.

A new concept, called balanced estimator of diffusion entropy, is proposed to detect scalings in short time series. The effectiveness of the method is verified by means of a large number of artificial fractional Brownian motions. It is used also to detect scaling properties and structural breaks in stock price series o…

VT-DIS improves sampling from Boltzmann distributions with minimal overhead.

The paper models cryptocurrency price and volatility with jumps and fractional volatility.

We develop a variational framework for SDEs driven by fractional noise.

Along with the recent advances in scalable Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods, sampling techniques that are based on Langevin diffusions have started receiving increasing attention. These so called Langevin Monte Carlo (LMC) methods are based on diffusions driven by a Brownian motion, which gives rise to Gaussian proposa…

SGLDiff approximates Bayesian posterior distributions with subsampling error.

Enhances diffusion-based sampling for molecular systems.

GraphXCOVID uses deep semi-supervised learning to identify COVID-19 from chest X-rays with minimal labels.

Paper derives analytical formulas for NLD-CEV moments with regime switching.

We discuss several aspects of Mellin transform, including distributional Mellin transform and inversion of multiple Mellin-Barnes integrals in $\mathbb{C}^n$ and its connection to residue expansion or evaluation of Laplace integrals. These mathematical concepts are demonstrated on several option-pricing models. This in…

Using Trades and Quotes data from the Paris stock market, we show that the random walk nature of traded prices results from a very delicate interplay between two opposite tendencies: long-range correlated market orders that lead to super-diffusion (or persistence), and mean reverting limit orders that lead to sub-diffu…

Diffusion models' consistency across splits explained by random matrix theory.

Diffusion MRI is the modality of choice to study alterations of white matter. In past years, various works have used diffusion MRI for automatic classification of AD. However, classification performance obtained with different approaches is difficult to compare and these studies are also difficult to reproduce. In the …

We derive a higher-order expansion for rough volatility models.

New sampling method for heavy-tailed distributions using Langevin Algorithm.

We investigate the asymptotic behavior as time goes to infinity of Hawkes processes whose regression kernel has $L^1$ norm close to one and power law tail of the form $x^{-(1+α)}$, with $α\in(0,1)$. We in particular prove that when $α\in(1/2,1)$, after suitable rescaling, their law converges to that of a kind of integr…

A stochastic theory for the toppling activity in sandpile models is developed, based on a simple mean-field assumption about the toppling process. The theory describes the process as an anti-persistent Gaussian walk, where the diffusion coefficient is proportional to the activity. It is formulated as a generalization o…

The paper analyzes the stationarity of stochastic Volterra integral equations and introduces fake stationary regimes.

Classical (Itô diffusions) stochastic volatility models are not able to capture the steepness of small-maturity implied volatility smiles. Jumps, in particular exponential Lévy and affine models, which exhibit small-maturity exploding smiles, have historically been proposed to remedy this (see \cite{Tank} for an overvi…