Study of portfolio management under relative performance concerns using mean field games.
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This paper deals with forward performances of HARA type. Precisely, for a market model in which stock price processes are modeled by a locally bounded -dimensional semimartingale, we elaborate a complete and explicit characterization for this type of forward utilities. Furthermore, the optimal portfolios for each of…
Optimal wealth strategy derived for jump-diffusion models with liabilities.
Investigates optimal pension policies in PAYG systems with forward utility and ageing population.
Study shows Skorokhod insider outperforms forward insider in logarithmic utility maximization.
The article constructs a forward utility for markets with multiple default risks.
Study optimal investment and reinsurance for insurance companies in a dynamic market model.
This paper revisits optimal investment strategies for defined contribution pension schemes using forward preferences.
Solves wealth maximization problem using variational analysis.
In a Markovian stochastic volatility model, we consider financial agents whose investment criteria are modelled by forward exponential performance processes. The problem of contingent claim indifference valuation is first addressed and a number of properties are proved and discussed. Special attention is given to the c…
Investor optimizes utility in a market with endogenous pricing.
Study on hedging and valuation of basis risk in incomplete markets with partial information.
Deep learning solves non-Markovian FBSDEs for utility maximization.
Honest traders can outperform insiders in a Black-Scholes market with positive probability.
Optimal insurance and investment strategy under exponential preferences in a correlated market model.
New PFPPs based on rank-dependent utility for better performance control.
Reverse annealing boosts quantum matrix factorization performance.
We combine forward investment performance processes and ambiguity averse portfolio selection. We introduce the notion of robust forward criteria which addresses the issues of ambiguity in model specification and in preferences and investment horizon specification. It describes the evolution of time-consistent ambiguity…
We provide a verification and characterization result of optimal maximal sub-solutions of BSDEs in terms of fully coupled forward backward stochastic differential equations. We illustrate the application thereof in utility optimization with random endowment under probability and discounting uncertainty. We show with ex…
Machine learning speeds up GPR simulations.
We study utility maximization problem for general utility functions using dynamic programming approach. We consider an incomplete financial market model, where the dynamics of asset prices are described by an -valued continuous semimartingale. Under some regularity assumptions we derive backward stochastic partial…
We devise and analyze algorithms for the empirical policy evaluation problem in reinforcement learning. Our algorithms explore backward from high-cost states to find high-value ones, in contrast to forward approaches that work forward from all states. While several papers have demonstrated the utility of backward explo…
We consider a market model that consists of financial investors and producers of a commodity. Producers optionally store some production for future sale and go short on forward contracts to hedge the uncertainty of the future commodity price. Financial investors take positions in these contracts in order to diversify t…
We present a new approach to the optimal portfolio problem for an insider with logarithmic utility. Our method is based on white noise theory, stochastic forward integrals, Hida-Malliavin calculus and the Donsker delta function.
We propose a mathematical framework for the study of a family of random fields--called forward performances--which arise as numerical representation of certain rational preference relations in mathematical finance. Their spatial structure corresponds to that of utility functions, while the temporal one reflects a Nisio…
Paper proposes BMPO to optimize policies using bidirectional models.
Paper introduces FoMoH for optimization without backpropagation.
We introduce a new class of forward performance processes that are endogenous and predictable with regards to an underlying market information set and, furthermore, are updated at discrete times. We analyze in detail a binomial model whose parameters are random and updated dynamically as the market evolves. We show tha…
We introduce the concept of forward rank-dependent performance processes, extending the original notion to forward criteria that incorporate probability distortions. A fundamental challenge is how to reconcile the time-consistent nature of forward performance criteria with the time-inconsistency stemming from probabili…
Paper finds a new principle for optimizing consumption and wealth using Tsallis entropy.
Unique optimal strategy identified for state-dependent risk aversion.
The paper addresses human-like decision-making in multi-agent systems using bounded risk-sensitive Markov Games.
We introduce and solve a new type of quadratic backward stochastic differential equation systems defined in an infinite time horizon, called \emph{ergodic BSDE systems}. Such systems arise naturally as candidate solutions to characterize forward performance processes and their associated optimal trading strategies in a…
The paper solves investment problems with uncertain factors using game theory.
In this effort, we propose a new deep architecture utilizing residual blocks inspired by implicit discretization schemes. As opposed to the standard feed-forward networks, the outputs of the proposed implicit residual blocks are defined as the fixed points of the appropriately chosen nonlinear transformations. We show …
Study many-player investment-consumption games with power FPPs, finding market-risk preference affects consumption.
We give characterizations of affine transformations and affine vector fields in terms of the spray. By utilizing the Jacobi type equation that characterizes affine vector fields, we prove some rigidity theorems of affine vector fields on compact or forward complete non-compact Finsler manifolds with non-positive total …
A new asymptotic expansion scheme for backward SDEs (BSDEs) is proposed.The perturbation parameter is introduced just to scale the forward stochastic variables within a BSDE. In contrast to the standard small-diffusion asymptotic expansion method, the dynamics of variables given by the forward SDEs is treated exactly. …
We consider the problem of optimal portfolio selection under forward investment performance criteria in an incomplete market. Given multiple traded assets, the prices of which depend on multiple observable stochastic factors, we construct a large class of forward performance processes with power-utility initial data, a…
New approach avoids restrictive assumptions for optimal portfolio in default risk scenarios.
We present an adaptive approach to the construction of Gaussian process surrogates for Bayesian inference with expensive-to-evaluate forward models. Our method relies on the fully Bayesian approach to training Gaussian process models and utilizes the expected improvement idea from Bayesian global optimization. We adapt…
Study optimal investment in large populations of competitive, heterogeneous agents.
This paper is concerned with the study of insurance related derivatives on financial markets that are based on non-tradable underlyings, but are correlated with tradable assets. We calculate exponential utility-based indifference prices, and corresponding derivative hedges. We use the fact that they can be represented …
Proposes a new learning method for RBMs that combines strengths of forward and reverse KLD.
Learning customer preferences from an observed behaviour is an important topic in the marketing literature. Structural models typically model forward-looking customers or firms as utility-maximizing agents whose utility is estimated using methods of Stochastic Optimal Control. We suggest an alternative approach to stud…
We propose a feed-forward inference method applicable to belief and neural networks. In a belief network, the method estimates an approximate factorized posterior of all hidden units given the input. In neural networks the method propagates uncertainty of the input through all the layers. In neural networks with inject…
A method makes particle filters differentiable without altering their forward pass.
Reinforcement learning algorithms struggle when the reward signal is very sparse. In these cases, naive random exploration methods essentially rely on a random walk to stumble onto a rewarding state. Recent works utilize intrinsic motivation to guide the exploration via generative models, predictive forward models, or …