Optimal investment and risk control strategies for insurers are derived using a time-consistent approach.
problem Optimal investment and risk control for insurers under mean-variance criterion.
method Introducing a deterministic forward auxiliary process to formulate a time-consistent problem.
result Optimal strategy and value function obtained in closed-form for the new problem.
The paper analyzes investment and consumption strategies under uncertain market conditions.
problem Investment and consumption under drift and volatility uncertainties.
method Randomization approach to construct robust preferences and strategies.
result Developed optimal and robust investment and consumption strategies remain valid in the physical market.
We introduce the concept of forward rank-dependent performance processes, extending the original notion to forward criteria that incorporate probability distortions. A fundamental challenge is how to reconcile the time-consistent nature of forward performance criteria with the time-inconsistency stemming from probabili…
A new method solves complex control problems with random coefficients.
problem Solving LQ McKean-Vlasov control problems with random coefficients.
method Decomposes the problem into two decoupled stochastic optimal control problems.
result The sum of optimal controls of auxiliary problems equals the original problem's optimal control.
A new method uses higher-order Langevin dynamics with critical damping for better generative modeling.
problem Improving generative models using Langevin dynamics with auxiliary variables.
method Introducing higher-order Langevin dynamics with critical damping, providing closed-form solutions.
result Improved generative models with better performance as measured by FID metric.
Markov jump processes and continuous time Bayesian networks are important classes of continuous time dynamical systems. In this paper, we tackle the problem of inferring unobserved paths in these models by introducing a fast auxiliary variable Gibbs sampler. Our approach is based on the idea of uniformization, and sets…
Stochastic delay differential equations (SDDE's) have been used for financial modeling. In this article, we study a SDDE obtained by the equation of a CIR process, with an additional fixed delay term in drift; in particular, we prove that there exists a unique strong solution (positive and integrable) which we call fix…
We propose a probabilistic model for refining coarse-grained spatial data by utilizing auxiliary spatial data sets. Existing methods require that the spatial granularities of the auxiliary data sets are the same as the desired granularity of target data. The proposed model can effectively make use of auxiliary data set…
A new training method speeds up ResNet training by 3x with minimal accuracy loss.
problem Training ResNets is slow due to dependencies between modules.
method Serial-parallel hybrid training strategy with data augmentation and downsampling.
result Significant speedup over traditional methods with comparable accuracy.
Forward gradients improve neural network training without backpropagation issues.
problem Training neural networks without backpropagation's locking and memorization problems.
method Using directional derivatives in forward differentiation mode, with biased guesses based on feedback from small auxiliary networks.
result Using gradients from a local loss as a candidate direction improves Forward Gradient methods.
Deep learning method solves American options with free boundary using Landau transformation.
problem Solving American options with a free boundary using deep learning.
method Landau transformation, dual solution framework, auxiliary function, feed forward deep neural network (DNN).
result Deep learning method efficiently prices options with early exercise features.
A new method for diffusion generative models improves sample quality and speed.
problem Improving the efficiency and quality of diffusion generative models.
method Developed a complete recipe for forward diffusion processes in SGMs, introducing PSLD.
result PSLD achieves superior sample quality and speed compared to existing methods.
Develops a new class of forward performance processes for investment pools.
problem Investment performance in market models with continuous semimartingale stock prices.
method Constructs a broad class of forward performance processes with power mixture initial conditions.
result Characterizes and derives properties of two-power mixture forward performance processes.
We propose a simulation method for multidimensional Hawkes processes based on superposition theory of point processes. This formulation allows us to design efficient simulations for Hawkes processes with differing exponentially decaying intensities. We demonstrate that inter-arrival times can be decomposed into simpler…
We introduce a new family of MCMC samplers that combine auxiliary variables, Gibbs sampling and Taylor expansions of the target density. Our approach permits the marginalisation over the auxiliary variables yielding marginal samplers, or the augmentation of the auxiliary variables, yielding auxiliary samplers. The well…
A number of optimal decision problems with uncertainty can be formulated into a stochastic optimal control framework. The Least-Squares Monte Carlo (LSMC) algorithm is a popular numerical method to approach solutions of such stochastic control problems as analytical solutions are not tractable in general. This paper ge…
Sequential experiments are often characterized by an exploration-exploitation tradeoff that is captured by the multi-armed bandit (MAB) framework. This framework has been studied and applied, typically when at each time period feedback is received only on the action that was selected at that period. However, in many pr…
Study on predictable forward processes in trading without frequent evaluations.
problem Trading performance evaluation times not matching trading times.
method Solving a linear functional equation to construct predictable forward processes.
result Predictable forward processes are inherently myopic and optimal strategies do not use future information.
New method extracts factors of variation from data without much supervision.
problem Disentangling complex sensory inputs into simple factors of variation without much supervision.
method Develops a new approach for disentanglement under structural assumptions, reducing the need for auxiliary information.
result Disentanglement is possible even when auxiliary information does not ensure conditional independence, with less auxiliary information required.
Multi-task learning (MTL) has achieved success over a wide range of problems, where the goal is to improve the performance of a primary task using a set of relevant auxiliary tasks. However, when the usefulness of the auxiliary tasks w.r.t. the primary task is not known a priori, the success of MTL models depends on th…
New method improves quality and efficiency of generative models by using smaller diffusion times.
problem Lack of theoretical understanding of diffusion time T in score-based diffusion models.
method Introduce an auxiliary model to bridge the gap between ideal and simulated dynamics, followed by reverse diffusion.
result Empirical results show competitive performance in image data compared to state-of-the-art models.
Neural Flow Diffusion Models improve diffusion models by learning flexible forward processes.
problem Fixed forward processes in diffusion models complicate reverse processes and increase inference costs.
method Introduces NFDM, a framework supporting flexible forward processes and a novel parameterization technique.
result Demonstrates strong performance in likelihood estimation and learning generative dynamics.
Perry uses auxiliary data to estimate RL policy values with confidence intervals.
problem Leveraging auxiliary datasets for off-policy evaluation with uncertainty quantification.
method Two methods for constructing valid confidence intervals for OPE with data augmentation.
result Methods consistently produce confidence intervals covering ground truth policy values.
We study the forward price dynamics in commodity markets realized as a process with values in a Hilbert space of absolutely continuous functions defined by Filipović. The forward dynamics are defined as the mild solution of a certain stochastic partial differential equation driven by an infinite dimensional Lévy proces…
LRSAO uses RL to dynamically select and unlearn auxiliary objectives for EA optimization.
problem Optimizing complex landscapes with evolutionary algorithms.
method Local Reinforcement Learning (RL) to dynamically select and unlearn auxiliary objectives.
result Improved optimization complexity from O(n2log(n)/ℓ) to Θ(n2/ℓ2+nlog(n)). LDF combines neural networks with probabilistic models for data fusion.
problem Combining limited primary data with readily available auxiliary data.
method Neural networks as conjugate mappings of auxiliary data for posterior analysis.
result Efficient inference and compact latent variable posterior distributions.
In an incomplete market, with incompleteness stemming from stochastic factors imperfectly correlated with the underlying stocks, we derive representations of homothetic (power, exponential and logarithmic) forward performance processes in factor-form using ergodic BSDE. We also develop a connection between the forward …
Random forests and LASSO methods improve small area estimation using auxiliary data.
problem Estimating household consumption in small areas with limited sampled data.
method Model-based small area estimation using random forests and LASSO with auxiliary information.
result Bayesian shrinkage performed best in terms of bias, MSE, and prediction interval coverages.
Demographic projections of future mortality rates involve a high level of uncertainty and require stochastic mortality models. The current paper investigates forward mortality models driven by a (possibly infinite dimensional) Wiener process and a compensated Poisson random measure. A major innovation of the paper is t…
This paper presents novel mixed-type Bayesian optimization (BO) algorithms to accelerate the optimization of a target objective function by exploiting correlated auxiliary information of binary type that can be more cheaply obtained, such as in policy search for reinforcement learning and hyperparameter tuning of machi…
Generative models learn latent process to match target distributions.
problem Training flow-matching models with auxiliary stochastic dynamics.
method Introduces latent process generator matching, treating generative state as a deterministic image of a Markov process.
result Learn generator of a stochastic process with same marginal distributions.
New framework IIA identifies innovations in general nonlinear vector autoregressive processes.
problem Limited generality of NVAR models due to additive innovation assumption.
method Independent Innovation Analysis (IIA) framework, assuming mutual independence and modulation by an auxiliary variable.
result Guarantees identifiability of innovations with arbitrary nonlinearities, up to permutation and component-wise invertible nonlinearities.
The article constructs a forward utility for markets with multiple default risks.
problem Characterizing forward performance processes in a market with multiple default risks.
method Using Jacod-Pham decomposition and recursive BSDEs, the article constructs a forward utility and proves its existence and uniqueness.
result The article identifies the risk-sensitive long-run growth rate of the optimal wealth process in a stochastic factor model with ergodic dynamics.
This paper deals with forward performances of HARA type. Precisely, for a market model in which stock price processes are modeled by a locally bounded d-dimensional semimartingale, we elaborate a complete and explicit characterization for this type of forward utilities. Furthermore, the optimal portfolios for each of…
A new model captures forward curve dynamics with stochastic volatility.
problem Modeling continuous-time evolution of forward curves in financial markets.
method Affine stochastic volatility model with modulated dynamics.
result Model allows for maturity-specific risk and volatility clustering.
Paper defends diffusion models from membership inference attacks using Langevin dynamics.
problem Defending diffusion models against membership inference attacks.
method Uses critically-damped higher-order Langevin dynamics with auxiliary variables.
result Demonstrates improved resistance to membership inference attacks through theoretical investigation and validation.
ZNMF improves facial recognition performance using data-dependent penalties.
problem Facial recognition performance in the Cambridge ORL database.
method ZNMF uses data-dependent auxiliary constraints to modify NMF.
result ZNMF outperforms other constrained NMF algorithms in facial recognition.
This paper proves existence of the long bond, long forward measure and long-term factorization of the stochastic discount factor (SDF) of Alvarez and Jermann (2005) and Hansen and Scheinkman (2009) in Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) models in the function space framework of Filipovic (2001). A sufficient condition on the wei…
A new diffusion model improves time-series forecasting by preserving seasonal patterns.
problem Improving time-series forecasting accuracy, especially for seasonal data.
method A forward diffusion process that decomposes signals into spectral components, altering only the diffusion process.
result The method maintains high signal-to-noise ratios for dominant frequencies, improving long-term pattern recovery.
HydaLearn dynamically adjusts task weights for better MTL performance.
problem Constant loss weights in MTL lead to poor results due to drifting relevance and varying mini-batch composition.
method HydaLearn uses mini-batch gradients to dynamically adjust task weights.
result HydaLearn improves performance on synthetic and real-world data.
We propose and investigate two model classes for forward power price dynamics, based on continuous branching processes with immigration, and on Hawkes processes with exponential kernel, respectively. The models proposed exhibit jumps clustering features. Models of this kind have been already proposed for the spot price…
LASLA improves multiple testing accuracy with network-structured data.
problem Efficiently incorporating complex side information into multiple testing.
method Locally adaptive structure learning algorithm (LASLA) integrating auxiliary information.
result LASLA asymptotically controls FDR and enhances power with side information.
Efficiently trains forward processes to minimize generative trajectories curvature.
problem High curvature of generative trajectories slows down sampling speed.
method Trains forward process to minimize curvature without ODE/SDE simulation.
result Lower curvature than previous models, decreased sampling costs.
Bayesian optimization is a powerful global optimization technique for expensive black-box functions. One of its shortcomings is that it requires auxiliary optimization of an acquisition function at each iteration. This auxiliary optimization can be costly and very hard to carry out in practice. Moreover, it creates ser…
Study uses auxiliary data to estimate system dynamics, reducing noise error.
problem Estimating system dynamics from similar but not identical systems.
method Weighted least squares approach with performance guarantees.
result Effective use of auxiliary data reduces estimation error due to process noise.
FLDD improves discrete diffusion models by learning a non-Markovian noising process.
problem Efficiency and quality of discrete diffusion models in few-step generation.
method Introduces a learnable non-Markovian forward (noising) process to match the target distribution.
result FLDD produces higher quality samples in fewer steps compared to conventional discrete diffusion models.
The goal of this note is to prove a compact embedding result for spaces of forward rate curves. As a consequence of this result, we show that any forward rate evolution can be approximated by a sequence of finite dimensional processes in the larger state space.
Study pricing options on forward contracts using infinite-dimensional affine models.
problem Pricing European-style options on forward contracts in complex stochastic volatility models.
method Model forward price curves using stochastic partial differential equations modulated by stochastic volatility processes. Analyze two classes of affine stochastic volatility models: Gaussian and pure-jump. Derive conditions for existence of exponential moments and develop semi-closed pricing formulas.
result Developed semi-closed Fourier-based pricing formulas for vanilla call and put options in infinite-dimensional affine models.