Paper presents IMRCs for evolving tasks with forward and backward learning.
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
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In this introductory paper, we discuss how quantitative finance problems under some common risk factor dynamics for some common instruments and approaches can be formulated as time-continuous or time-discrete forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDE) final-value or control problems, how these final val…
SGD converges with perturbed forward-backward passes, explained by geometric amplification.
Backward exploration reduces sample complexity in policy evaluation.
The paper extends NUP representations to factor graphs for better estimation.
A simple approach improves performance on both past and future tasks in lifelong learning.
In this paper, we further study the forward-backward envelope first introduced in [28] and [30] for problems whose objective is the sum of a proper closed convex function and a twice continuously differentiable possibly nonconvex function with Lipschitz continuous gradient. We derive sufficient conditions on the origin…
New method for dynamic valuation in markets with random endowments.
Bayesian units improve speech recognition with minimal parameters.
Extends SABR model for pricing RFR caplets.
We propose a new forward-backward stochastic differential equation solver for high-dimensional derivatives pricing problems by combining deep learning solver with least square regression technique widely used in the least square Monte Carlo method for the valuation of American options. Our numerical experiments demonst…
Study on feature learning dynamics in infinite-depth neural networks, focusing on ResNets.
Optimal wealth strategy derived for jump-diffusion models with liabilities.
Extended flatness approach for discrete-time systems considers forward and backward shifts.
Method solves optimisation problems on non-Riemannian surfaces with bilateral curvature bounds.
DG improves policy gradient efficiency by selectively backpropagating only valuable samples.
In this paper, we introduce a large class of convergent numerical methods, based on (linear) basis function regression technique, to approximate the solution to a forward-backward stochastic differential equation with jumps (FBSDEJ hereafter). Numerical experiment shows good applicability of the proposed method.
FBSJNN solves PIDEs and FBSDEJs with deep learning, offering theoretical and numerical efficiency.
Paper proposes BMPO to optimize policies using bidirectional models.
Deep-learning method solves BSVIEs and coupled systems.
This paper presents a novel approach to numerically solve stochastic differential games for nonlinear systems. The proposed approach relies on the nonlinear Feynman-Kac theorem that establishes a connection between parabolic deterministic partial differential equations and forward-backward stochastic differential equat…
Kernel learning FBSDE filter improves nonlinear filtering efficiency.
We propose a simple technique for encouraging generative RNNs to plan ahead. We train a "backward" recurrent network to generate a given sequence in reverse order, and we encourage states of the forward model to predict cotemporal states of the backward model. The backward network is used only during training, and play…
This paper develops a new methodology for studying continuous-time Nash equilibrium in a financial market with asymmetrically informed agents. This approach allows us to lift the restriction of risk neutrality imposed on market makers by the current literature. It turns out that, when the market makers are risk averse,…
New algorithm for aggregate inference in HMMs with continuous observations.
A new algorithm solves high-dimensional nonlinear BSDEs efficiently.
Goals for reinforcement learning problems are typically defined through hand-specified rewards. To design such problems, developers of learning algorithms must inherently be aware of what the task goals are, yet we often require agents to discover them on their own without any supervision beyond these sparse rewards. W…
Deep learning solves non-Markovian FBSDEs for utility maximization.
We consider forward-backward greedy algorithms for solving sparse feature selection problems with general convex smooth functions. A state-of-the-art greedy method, the Forward-Backward greedy algorithm (FoBa-obj) requires to solve a large number of optimization problems, thus it is not scalable for large-size problems…
Paper tests Markov assumption in sequential decision making.
We propose a new variational inference algorithm for learning in Gaussian Process State-Space Models (GPSSMs). Our algorithm enables learning of unstable and partially observable systems, where previous algorithms fail. Our main algorithmic contribution is a novel approximate posterior that can be calculated efficientl…
We introduce two simple models of forward-backward stochastic differential equations with a singular terminal condition and we explain how and why they appear naturally as models for the valuation of CO2 emission allowances. Single phase cap-and-trade schemes lead readily to terminal conditions given by indicator funct…
We derive a backward and forward nonlinear PDEs that govern the implied volatility of a contingent claim whenever the latter is well-defined. This would include at least any contingent claim written on a positive stock price whose payoff at a possibly random time is convex. We also discuss suitable initial and boundary…
FLUID uses flows to unify filtering and smoothing for complex systems.
Two-dimensional transition rates improve life insurance reserve calculations.
Classical numerical methods for solving partial differential equations suffer from the curse dimensionality mainly due to their reliance on meticulously generated spatio-temporal grids. Inspired by modern deep learning based techniques for solving forward and inverse problems associated with partial differential equati…
ACI identifies cause-effect relationships and causal influence ranges in dynamical systems.
This paper formulates and studies a stochastic maximum principle for forward-backward stochastic Volterra integral equations (FBSVIEs in short), while the control area is assumed to be convex. Then a linear quadratic (LQ in short) problem for backward stochastic Volterra integral equations (BSVIEs in short) is present …
New HMC method handles features in POS tagging, outperforming MEMM.
New algorithms reduce variance in solving complex mathematical problems.
This paper is dedicated to the construction of high-order (in both space and time) finite-difference schemes for both forward and backward PDEs and PIDEs, such that option prices obtained by solving both the forward and backward equations are consistent. This approach is partly inspired by Andreasen & Huge, 2011 who re…
Unified framework for inference in complex nonlinear processes.
Backpropagation-free RL method trains layers using local signals.
A new method detects changes in data sequences by comparing backward and forward confidence sequences.
Paper presents a new backward deep BSDE method for solving nonlinear FBSDE problems.
We present a novel method in the family of particle MCMC methods that we refer to as particle Gibbs with ancestor sampling (PG-AS). Similarly to the existing PG with backward simulation (PG-BS) procedure, we use backward sampling to (considerably) improve the mixing of the PG kernel. Instead of using separate forward a…
In a Markovian stochastic volatility model, we consider financial agents whose investment criteria are modelled by forward exponential performance processes. The problem of contingent claim indifference valuation is first addressed and a number of properties are proved and discussed. Special attention is given to the c…
The paper explores how planning with models improves credit assignment in reinforcement learning.