A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
SLIC-UAV monitors forest recovery using UAVs and machine learning.
Study uses SAR data to estimate forest vegetation indices, improving monitoring of temperate forests.
Paper proposes a method to quantify and explain machine learning uncertainty in predictive process monitoring.
Study uses satellite and lidar data to map forest height and biomass in France.
Paper optimizes a big data and ML risk monitoring system for financial markets.
A monitoring procedure improves machine learning forecasts for digital platforms.
Predictive process monitoring is concerned with the analysis of events produced during the execution of a business process in order to predict as early as possible the final outcome of an ongoing case. Traditionally, predictive process monitoring methods are optimized with respect to accuracy. However, in environments …
Paper proposes real-time VaR estimation using quantile regression forest with conformal calibration.
Study develops a dynamic risk model for COVID-19 mortality using UK Biobank data.
Probabilistic-driven classification techniques extend the role of traditional approaches that output labels (usually integer numbers) only. Such techniques are more fruitful when dealing with problems where one is not interested in recognition/identification only, but also into monitoring the behavior of consumers and/…
Random Forests are reinterpreted as generative models to handle missing data and detect outliers.
The ability to track and monitor relevant and important news in real-time is of crucial interest in multiple industrial sectors. In this work, we focus on the set of cryptocurrency news, which recently became of emerging interest to the general and financial audience. In order to track relevant news in real-time, we (i…
Continuous, ubiquitous monitoring through wearable sensors has the potential to collect useful information about users' context. Heart rate is an important physiologic measure used in a wide variety of applications, such as fitness tracking and health monitoring. However, wearable sensors that monitor heart rate, such …
The assessment of energy expenditure in real life is of great importance for monitoring the current physical state of people, especially in work, sport, elderly care, health care, and everyday life even. This work reports about application of some machine learning methods (linear regression, linear discriminant analysi…
The emergence of an ageing population is a significant public health concern. This has led to an increase in the number of people living with progressive neurodegenerative disorders like dementia. Consequently, the strain this is places on health and social care services means providing 24-hour monitoring is not sustai…
Study compares semi-supervised learning methods for anomaly detection in hydraulic systems.
Continuous high frequency water quality monitoring is becoming a critical task to support water management. Despite the advancements in sensor technologies, certain variables cannot be easily and/or economically monitored in-situ and in real time. In these cases, surrogate measures can be used to make estimations by me…
Paper uses robust GMM to reconstruct missing data in Sentinel-2 images for crop monitoring.
Study predicts coastal water quality using machine learning, identifying salinity as key factor.
Distribution grid is the medium and low voltage part of a large power system. Structurally, the majority of distribution networks operate radially, such that energized lines form a collection of trees, i.e. forest, with a substation being at the root of any tree. The operational topology/forest may change from time to …
TLRF improves timely COVID-19 outbreak detection with small sample size counties.
Study compares geostatistical and machine learning models for PM2.5 prediction.
missForestPredict fills missing data for prediction models quickly and accurately.
Paper identifies resting positions using EGG, ECG, respiration rate, and SpO2.
Factor analysis or sometimes referred to as variable analysis has been extensively used in classification problems for identifying specific factors that are significant to particular classes. This type of analysis has been widely used in application such as customer segmentation, medical research, network traffic, imag…
For the purpose of monitoring the behavior of complex infrastructures (e.g. aircrafts, transport or energy networks), high-rate sensors are deployed to capture multivariate data, generally unlabeled, in quasi continuous-time to detect quickly the occurrence of anomalies that may jeopardize the smooth operation of the s…
Online leading has disrupted the traditional consumer banking sector with more effective loan processing. Risk prediction and monitoring is critical for the success of the business model. Traditional credit score models fall short in applying big data technology in building risk model. In this manuscript, data with var…
AI-driven framework improves enterprise financial audits and risk identification.
Estimates financial networks using high-frequency trade data.
Machine learning models predict US economic recessions using Treasury term spreads.
iMondrian forest combines isolation forest and Mondrian forest for better anomaly detection.
AI systems that explain their decisions can be monitored for harmful intentions.
In the monitoring of a complex electric grid, it is of paramount importance to provide operators with early warnings of anomalies detected on the network, along with a precise classification and diagnosis of the specific fault type. In this paper, we propose a novel multi-stage early warning system prototype for electr…
Phytoplankton plays an important role in marine ecosystem. It is defined as a biological factor to assess marine quality. The identification of phytoplankton species has a high potential for monitoring environmental, climate changes and for evaluating water quality. However, phytoplankton species identification is not …
Ensembles of randomized decision trees, usually referred to as random forests, are widely used for classification and regression tasks in machine learning and statistics. Random forests achieve competitive predictive performance and are computationally efficient to train and test, making them excellent candidates for r…
New random forest method provides optimal rates and confidence bands.
RFpredInterval package builds prediction intervals for random forests and boosted forests.
We propose random hinge forests, a simple, efficient, and novel variant of decision forests. Importantly, random hinge forests can be readily incorporated as a general component within arbitrary computation graphs that are optimized end-to-end with stochastic gradient descent or variants thereof. We derive random hinge…
Improved random forest proximities capture data geometry.
Deep forests enhance expressiveness exponentially with depth, not width or tree size.
This paper improves forest pruning to balance accuracy and interpretability.
This paper is a comment on the survey paper by Biau and Scornet (2016) about random forests. We focus on the problem of quantifying the impact of each ingredient of random forests on their performance. We show that such a quantification is possible for a simple pure forest , leading to conclusions that could apply more…
Forest-guided smoothing uses random forest outputs for interpretable local smoothers.
In this paper we propose using the principle of boosting to reduce the bias of a random forest prediction in the regression setting. From the original random forest fit we extract the residuals and then fit another random forest to these residuals. We call the sum of these two random forests a \textit{one-step boosted …
Simple online monitor detects unsafe LLM outputs.
By seeking the narrowest prediction intervals (PIs) that satisfy the specified coverage probability requirements, the recently proposed quality-based PI learning principle can extract high-quality PIs that better summarize the predictive certainty in regression tasks, and has been widely applied to solve many practical…
Improves time series classification with forest proximities.
This research tackles monitoring machine learning algorithms post-deployment, addressing performativity issues.