Machine learning reveals key factors in Indian food inflation.
problem Understanding and mitigating food inflation in India.
method Gradient Boosted Regression Trees (BRT) analysis of multiple factors.
result MSP and farm wages are crucial in food price changes, not international prices.
High and volatile global food prices have led to food riots and played a critical role in triggering the Arab Spring revolutions in recent years. The severe drought in the US in the summer of 2012 led to a new increase in food prices. Through the fall, they remained at a threshold above which the riots and revolutions …
Recent droughts in the midwestern United States threaten to cause global catastrophe driven by a speculator amplified food price bubble. Here we show the effect of speculators on food prices using a validated quantitative model that accurately describes historical food prices. During the last six years, high and fluctu…
Increases in global food prices have led to widespread hunger and social unrest---and an imperative to understand their causes. In a previous paper published in September 2011, we constructed for the first time a dynamic model that quantitatively agreed with food prices. Specifically, the model fit the FAO Food Price I…
Wavelet analysis reveals financialization effects on oil-food price correlation.
problem Investigating the correlation between oil and food prices and their determinants.
method Wavelet analysis and energy-based measures to differentiate high and low frequency movements.
result Significant local correlation between food and oil is due to financialization and emerging economies' demand.
Recent increases in basic food prices are severely impacting vulnerable populations worldwide. Proposed causes such as shortages of grain due to adverse weather, increasing meat consumption in China and India, conversion of corn to ethanol in the US, and investor speculation on commodity markets lead to widely differin…
Research shows franchised fast food companies' stock prices decline more during recessions.
problem Impact of recession on franchised fast food companies' stock prices.
method Analyzed stock price data with Weibull distribution.
result Recessions have a more severe impact on franchised fast food companies' stock prices.
Conversion of corn to ethanol in the US since 2005 has been a major cause of global food price increases during that time and has been shown to be ineffective in achieving US energy independence and reducing environmental impact. We make three key statements to enhance understanding and communication about ethanol prod…
Study adapts OHLC volatility estimators for monitoring market stress in diverse settings.
problem Limited use of range-based volatility estimators in local commodity markets.
method Adapted OHLC volatility estimators to monitor market distress across various contexts.
result OHLC-based volatility indicators detect market disruptions missed by standard momentum indicators.
Paper uses clustering to identify food assistance deserts in Ohio.
problem Food insecurity and accessibility issues in Ohio.
method Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) clustering technique.
result Identifies food assistance deserts within Ohio.
KitcheNette predicts and recommends food ingredient pairings.
problem Limited study of food ingredient pairings despite many existing pairings.
method Siamese neural networks trained on a dataset of 300K scores.
result KitcheNette outperforms other models and discovers novel pairings.
Identifies community structure in international food trade networks.
problem Understanding how international food trade networks connect countries.
method Analysis of multi-layer network, econometric models.
result Probability of country pairs being in the same food trade community depends more on geopolitical and economic factors than on economic size.
Study forecasts food security trends using real-time data.
problem Food insecurity prediction for sub-national regions.
method Quantitative methodology combining various machine learning models.
result Reservoir Computing model performs best in food security prediction.
Forecasting IDP migration helps aid groups allocate resources.
problem Accurate prediction of IDP movement during conflicts.
method Used machine learning on food price, fuel price, wage, geospatial, and news data.
result Monthly IDP flow can be forecasted one month in advance.
The easy access to large data sets has allowed for leveraging methodology in network physics and complexity science to disentangle patterns and processes directly from the data, leading to key insights in the behavior of systems. Here we use to country specific food production data to study binary and weighted topologi…
This study explores factors and enablers of compliance risk in Vietnamese seafood supply chain.
problem Compliance risk in Vietnamese seafood supply chain.
method Comprehensive literature review and expert interviews.
result Three main critical factor groups influencing compliance risk identified.
The study models market price movement based on investors' expectations.
problem Understanding the dynamics of investors' expectations and market price movement.
method Developed a non-linear evolutionary equation linking investors' expectations and market asset price movement.
result Model predictions co-integrated with asset time series, suggesting potential for price movement forecasting.
Paper identifies food types from Yelp photos using machine learning.
problem Ineffective labeling of food photos on Yelp.
method Image pre-processing, CNN feature extraction, and classification algorithms.
result Identifies up to 10 food types from raw photos with high accuracy.
Discriminatory trade liberalization policies are becoming more popular among world economies. Countries are motivated to enter for regional trade agreements to capture faster economic growth for alleviating poverty. In developing economies like most of the member countries of the Association of South East Asian Nations…
Paper compares machine learning models for food authenticity.
problem Determining correct food labelling from NIR spectroscopic data.
method Applied and compared various classification, dimension reduction, and variable selection approaches to NIR datasets of meat, olive oil, and honey samples.
result Partial least squares outperformed other approaches in classifying food authenticity.
Analyze food popularity trends using social media data.
problem Identify trends and popularity of cuisine types across space and time.
method Use off-the-shelf machine learning techniques, Kernel Density Estimation, and Bayesian Networks.
result Model dependencies among food cuisines popularity.
Deep learning system improves accuracy of food packaging date verification.
problem Improper labeling of food packaging poses health risks.
method Multi-source deep domain adaptation for domain-invariant representations and class boundary alignment.
result Significant improvement in classification accuracy of use-by date verification.
Predicts food ingredient amounts from images.
problem Predicting relative amounts of ingredients from food images.
method Proposes two deep learning models for sparse and dense predictions, with semi-automatic data pre-processing.
result Encouraging experimental results on a recipe dataset.
Market inefficiencies arise from density-dependent returns in a noisy environment.
problem Market inefficiencies and excess volatility.
method Developed a market model using ecological concepts.
result Market dynamics are density-dependent, leading to inefficiencies.
Model predicts human food choices based on demographics.
problem Predicting human food choices from demographic data.
method Non-deterministic model based on NHANES dataset and behavioral studies.
result Generates synthetic data similar to original dataset.
Automates honeybee dance analysis for real-time food source information.
problem Manual labeling of honeybee dance videos for extracting food source information is time-consuming and inaccurate.
method Proposes an automated process to monitor and segment honeybee dance components.
result Highly accurate real-time analysis of honeybee dance components.
Study reveals clusters of resilient and vulnerable Spanish agri-food firms post-Ukraine-Russia war.
problem Financial resilience of agri-food companies in Spain during the Ukraine-Russia conflict.
method Cluster analysis using centred log-ratios for compositional data of financial ratios.
result Increase in resilient firms by 2023, highlighting sectoral adaptation to economic challenges.
The paper compares clustering techniques for personalized food kits.
problem Designing food kits that match individual consumer preferences.
method Comparative analysis of clustering techniques using conjoint analysis data.
result SVD clustering outperforms k-means in personalized food kit design.
Recommender system improves recall of omitted foods in online dietary surveys.
problem Improving accuracy of online dietary assessment surveys through recall assistance.
method Developed a recommender algorithm to remind respondents of omitted foods based on past survey data.
result The recommender system captures more omitted foods than hand-coded prompts, but with lower precision.
Algorithm improves resource allocation for food outreach to homeless.
problem Resource-constrained outreach for homeless individuals and food rescue.
method Thompson sampling with Markov chain recovery (via Stein variational gradient descent) for partially-observed episodic restless bandits.
result Significantly outperforms baselines in both organizations' problems.
Deep learning model reduces food waste by stabilizing online food delivery supply chains.
problem Wastage and bullwhip effect in online food delivery services.
method Two-phase LSTM network for demand forecasting, newsvendor model for inventory management.
result Significant reduction in bullwhip effect and food waste, improved forecasting accuracy.
Geometric modeling for human food and chemical sensitivities.
problem Modeling biochemical processes in humans with sensitivities.
method Geometric approach to biochemical modeling.
result Geometric models improve understanding of sensitivities.
Study predicts purchasing decisions of online food delivery customers.
problem Understanding and predicting consumer purchasing decisions in online food delivery.
method Used machine learning techniques including CART, C4.5, random forest, and rule-based classifiers to predict purchasing decisions.
result C4.5 decision tree model outperformed others with 91.67% accuracy.
Hybrid econometrics and ML for food policy priority analysis.
problem Constructing reliable measures of variable importance in econometrics.
method Conventional econometrics combined with advanced machine learning algorithms.
result Demonstrated the applicability of hybrid approach in policy priority issues.
Technical report predicts eating and food purchasing behaviors of free-living individuals.
problem Predicting eating and food purchasing behaviors of free-living individuals.
method Applied multiple machine learning algorithms (Logistic Regression, RBF-SVM, Random Forest, Gradient Boosting) to minute-level features from sensors and environmental context.
result Gradient Boosting model had the highest mean accuracy score (0.7289) for predicting eating events before 0 to 4 minutes.
For the first time, we apply the wavelet coherence methodology on biofuels (ethanol and biodiesel) and a wide range of related commodities (gasoline, diesel, crude oil, corn, wheat, soybeans, sugarcane and rapeseed oil). This way, we are able to investigate dynamics of correlations in time and across scales (frequencie…
Study proposes hybrid machine learning models for crop yield prediction.
problem Crop yield prediction for food security.
method Hybrid machine learning models (ANN-ICA and ANN-GWO).
result ANN-GWO model outperformed ANN-ICA in crop yield prediction.
Improved sales forecasting for new products using transfer learning.
problem Insufficient training data for new products leads to inaccurate sales forecasts.
method Network-based Transfer Learning approach for deep neural networks.
result Deep neural networks' prediction accuracy for food sales forecasting can be effectively increased.
Study uses AI to estimate food demand for businesses.
problem Difficulty in predicting daily food demand for personnel.
method Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) model trained on historical data.
result ANN model predicts daily food demand with low error rate.
Study finds WACC negatively impacts firm profitability in Bangladesh's food industry.
problem Determining the impact of Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) on firm profitability.
method Fixed Effects Panel Regression Model using 12 food and allied industry companies from 2005-2019.
result WACC negatively correlates with firm profitability (ROA), significant relationship.
Generative model creates meal images from ingredient descriptions.
problem Synthesize photo-realistic meal images from ingredient descriptions.
method Attention-based ingredients-image association model, cycle-consistent constraint.
result Model generates meal images corresponding to ingredient descriptions.
FOOD detects out-of-distribution samples quickly without needing OOD data.
problem Detecting out-of-distribution samples efficiently in neural networks.
method Extended DNN classifier with Gaussian layer and log likelihood ratio test.
result FOOD achieves state-of-the-art performance and is fast and applicable.
Researchers develop a machine learning model to improve smell perception for food quality monitoring.
problem Limited data in target domain makes it hard to accurately classify food quality.
method Weakly supervised domain adaptation framework using multiple models in supervised and unsupervised settings.
result The approach generalizes well from one domain to another, improving food quality classification.
Study forecasts vegetable prices in Nepal using a novel index and ensemble model.
problem High volatility and cultural influences on agricultural commodity prices.
method Developed KVPI, created features, evaluated multiple models, introduced Momentum-Corrected Online Stacking Ensemble.
result Achieved RMSE of 1.771, MAPE of 0.68%, and R-squared of 0.845 at 90-day horizon.
Study uses non-invasive sensors to assess microbial contamination in green salads.
problem Assessing microbial contamination in ready-to-eat green salads.
method Unified spectra analysis workflow with data normalization, feature selection, and partial least squares regression.
result Unified workflow provides efficient estimation of microbial contamination and shelf life.
Paper forecasts commodity price spikes using AI and economic news.
problem Accurate forecasting of commodity price spikes for economic stability.
method Hybrid framework combining historical data and semantic signals from economic news.
result Model achieves high AUC and accuracy in detecting price shocks.
Dataset for object detection at Oktoberfest beer tent.
problem Realistic object detection in a busy, diverse setting.
method Hand-annotated 1,110 images, provided trained models.
result Challenging dataset for object detection.
Bayesian model predicts sales from ad spending.
problem Predicting sales from advertising expenditures.
method Bayesian structural time series model.
result Model can incorporate prior information and update with data.