Simple changes in neural activations can greatly affect task learning and switching.
problem How to learn and switch between new tasks quickly and flexibly.
method Investigated module architectures in an embodied two-dimensional touchscreen environment.
result Simple changes in neural activations significantly influence task learning and switching.
A new method for pricing European options in changing market conditions.
problem Lack of closed-form solutions for pricing European options in regime-switching models.
method Physics-informed residual learning (PIRL) for efficient option pricing.
result PIRL eliminates the need for retraining and offers near-instantaneous pricing.
Many complex dynamical phenomena can be effectively modeled by a system that switches among a set of conditionally linear dynamical modes. We consider two such models: the switching linear dynamical system (SLDS) and the switching vector autoregressive (VAR) process. Our Bayesian nonparametric approach utilizes a hiera…
Study tackles balancing policy switching costs in offline RL.
problem Balancing the cost of policy switching in offline RL.
method Optimal transport ideas and Net Actor-Critic algorithm.
result Demonstrated efficiency on multiple RL benchmarks.
The stochastic knapsack has been used as a model in wide ranging applications from dynamic resource allocation to admission control in telecommunication. In recent years, a variation of the model has become a basic tool in studying problems that arise in revenue management and dynamic/flexible pricing; and it is in thi…
This work addresses identifiability in sequential data with switching dynamics, introducing a new estimator.
problem Identifiability of sequential data with regime-switching dynamics under flexible assumptions.
method Introduces ΩSDS, a flow-based estimator for exact likelihood optimization. result Demonstrates improved disentanglement and more accurate forecasting compared to VAE-based estimators.
In this work we study the price-hedge issue for general defaultable contracts characterized by the presence of a contingent CSA of switching type. This is a contingent risk mitigation mechanism that allow the counterparties of a defaultable contract to switch from zero to full/perfect collateralization and switch back …
Develops identifiability theory for multi-lag regime-switching models.
problem Ensuring interpretability of deep latent variable models with multi-lag dependencies.
method Formulates a general theoretical framework for multi-lag Regime-Switching Models (RSMs), proving identifiability of number of regimes and multi-lag transitions.
result Establishes identifiability conditions for multi-lag regime-switching models, including Markov Switching Models and Switching Dynamical Systems.
Paper extends Lévy models with memory to better price FX double barrier options.
problem Efficiently pricing double barrier options in complex FX models.
method Introduces regime-switching Lévy models with memory and a modified numerical method.
result New models and method improve accuracy of option pricing.
Develops a method to model neural dynamics with flexible yet interpretable latent states.
problem Capturing complex nonlinear dynamics in neural time series while maintaining interpretability.
method Gaussian Process Switching Linear Dynamical System (gpSLDS) that balances expressiveness and interpretability.
result Favorable performance in comparison to rSLDS on synthetic and real neuroscience data.
Unified visual environment for rapid task learning and switching.
problem Rapid and flexible learning of new tasks in a variety of environments.
method Unified visual interaction environment, reward map prediction, modular architecture, dynamic neural voting scheme.
result Modules with specific design principles outperform standard neural networks, requiring fewer training examples and neurons.
Modeling temperature dynamics for weather derivatives using a novel regime-switching model.
problem Basis risk in weather derivatives due to poor design and modelling of temperature.
method Novel time-varying mean-reversion Lévy regime-switching model.
result The proposed model accurately models deseasonalized temperature data.
Recent financial disasters have emphasised the need to accurately predict extreme financial losses and their consequences for the institutions belonging to a given financial market. The ability of econometric models to predict extreme events strongly relies on their flexibility to account for the highly nonlinear and a…
A switchable deep beamformer enables versatile image processing.
problem Training and storing separate beamformers for each application.
method Switchable deep beamformer using Adaptive Instance Normalization (AdaIN) layers.
result Single network can produce various image processing outputs.
DSARF models complex spatio-temporal data with deep switching auto-regressive factors.
problem Forecasting complex spatio-temporal data with recurring patterns.
method Deep switching auto-regressive factorization (DSARF) with stochastic variational inference.
result DSARF outperforms state-of-the-art methods in long- and short-term prediction accuracy.
SDN optimizes flow entries to reduce control plane overhead.
problem Efficiently manage flow entries in SDN switches with limited TCAM capacity.
method Proposes reinforcement learning algorithms to optimize flow entries.
result Achieves up to 60% reduction in long-term control plane overhead.
LINTEL improves INTEL's time series prediction by optimizing computation and accuracy.
problem Online prediction of time series with regime switching and outliers.
method Gaussian process-based approach with exact filtering distribution and constant-time updates.
result LINTEL is over five times faster with better quality predictions.
Flexible nonlinear Hawkes processes for time-varying systems.
problem Limited expressive ability of classic Hawkes processes.
method Flexible state-switching Hawkes processes with latent variable augmentation for Bayesian inference.
result Superior performance compared to state-of-the-art competitors.
New algorithm reduces switching costs in multinomial logit bandit problems.
problem Minimizing switching costs in multinomial logit bandit problems.
method Proposed AT-DUCB and FH-DUCB algorithms with low assortment switching costs.
result AT-DUCB and FH-DUCB algorithms achieve almost optimal minimax regret with low switching costs.
New polynomial invariants derived from birack and switch structures.
problem Polynomial invariants of braids.
method Switch structures, birack colorings, quiver-valued invariants.
result New polynomial invariants of braids.
Signals coming from multivariate higher order conditional moments as well as the information contained in exogenous covariates, can be effectively exploited by rational investors to allocate their wealth among different risky investment opportunities. This paper proposes a new flexible dynamic copula model being able t…
In this paper, we study optimal switching problems under ambiguity. To characterize the optimal switching under ambiguity in the finite horizon, we use multidimensional reflected backward stochastic differential equations (multidimensional RBSDEs) and show that a value function of the optimal switching under ambiguity …
Survey reviews code-switched speech and language processing.
problem Processing code-switched text and speech for multilingual communities.
method Reviews computational approaches and lists available resources.
result Essential for building intelligent agents that interact in multilingual settings.
Develops a flexible model for regime transitions in time series data.
problem Nonlinear and context-dependent regime transitions in time series data.
method Semi-parametric state-space model with learned transition functions.
result Improved recovery of nonlinear transition dynamics and earlier detection of regime changes.
This work extends identifiability analysis to sequential latent variable models, focusing on Switching Dynamical Systems.
problem Identifying latent variables in sequential data models.
method Proved identifiability of Markov Switching Models and established conditions for Switching Dynamical Systems.
result Identifiability of latent variables and non-linear mappings in Switching Dynamical Systems up to affine transformations.
The problem of optimal switching between nonlinear autonomous subsystems is investigated in this study where the objective is not only bringing the states to close to the desired point, but also adjusting the switching pattern, in the sense of penalizing switching occurrences and assigning different preferences to util…
Study on revenue management with limited switches, achieving strong performance and reduced switch counts.
problem Resource-constrained dynamic pricing with limited switching constraints.
method Developed algorithms for blind network revenue management and bandits with knapsacks, achieving optimal regret rates.
result Optimal regret rates are fully characterized by a piecewise-constant function of the switching budget and resource constraints.
HireVAE adapts to market regimes for online stock prediction.
problem Building an online and adaptive factor model for stock prediction.
method HireVAE uses a hierarchical latent space to estimate latent factors from historical market information.
result HireVAE outperforms previous methods in active returns across benchmarks.
For power grid operations, a large body of research focuses on using generation redispatching, load shedding or demand side management flexibilities. However, a less costly and potentially more flexible option would be grid topology reconfiguration, as already partially exploited by Coreso (European RSC) and RTE (Frenc…
New algorithms improve sampling from complex distributions.
problem Sampling from complex probability distributions efficiently.
method Regime-switching Langevin dynamics and Monte Carlo algorithms.
result Convergence guarantees and iteration complexities provided.
Squirrel switches between optimizers for better performance.
problem Finding the best optimizer for a given problem.
method Switches between different optimizers based on performance.
result Improves performance on various problems.
Study approximates financial market with discrete-time models.
problem Approximating continuous-time financial market models with discrete-time.
method Constructs discrete-time market models with Markov switching and proves convergence.
result Discrete-time models converge to continuous-time Black-Scholes model with Markov switching.
Optimizes control of hybrid systems with multiple switching processes.
problem Optimal control of hybrid systems with multiple Markov switching processes.
method Combines two separate Markov chains into one synthetic chain, derives HJB equations, and solves the portfolio choice problem.
result Derives explicit solutions and value functions for the optimal control problem.
New algorithm learns switching dynamics from multiple neural signals.
problem Learning accurate switching dynamical system models from multimodal neural data.
method Unsupervised learning algorithm for multiscale switching dynamical system models.
result Switching multiscale dynamical system models outperform single-scale models in behavior decoding.
Paper tackles utility maximization with job-switching and retirement constraints.
problem Maximizing utility with job-switching and retirement constraints.
method Dual-martingale approach and double obstacle problem theory.
result Characterization of optimal job-switching strategy and wealth boundaries.
Solves label switching in mixture models using optimal transport.
problem Label switching in mixture model posterior inference prevents meaningful statistics assessment.
method Proposes an algorithm leveraging optimal transport to compute posterior statistics in a quotient space.
result Demonstrates advantages over alternative approaches on simulated and real data.
New RL algorithm reduces policy switching cost to loglog(T) with similar regret.
problem Low policy switching cost in real-life RL applications.
method Stage-wise exploration and adaptive policy elimination.
result Regret of O(HSAloglogT) with O(HSAloglogT) switching cost. The paper explores dynamic regret with switching cost in online decision making.
problem The relation between dynamic regret and switching cost in online decision making.
method Investigates two classic online settings: Online Algorithms (OA) and Online Convex Optimization (OCO). Provides a new theoretical analysis framework.
result The switching cost impacts dynamic regret differently in OA and has no impact in OCO.
Dynamic Vine Copulas detect and quantify time-varying higher-order interactions in multivariate systems.
problem Time-varying dependence in multivariate systems, including tail behavior, asymmetry, and conditional structure.
method Dynamic Vine Copulas (DVC) framework for estimating and diagnosing non-Gaussian dependence, using fixed-root-order C-vines and smooth parameter trajectories.
result DVC detects and quantifies time-varying higher-order interactions, distinguishing between pairwise and conditional dependence.
Developed a new statistic to test binary regime switching models.
problem Testing the model assumption of binary regime switching extension of GBM.
method Proposed a new discriminating statistics and identified an admissible class of regime switching candidate models.
result Sampling distribution of the test statistics differs significantly between different regime switching models.
A new network learns market conditions and predicts stock performance.
problem Optimizing stock portfolio performance in the US equities market.
method Residual Switching Network combining two ResNets: a switching module and a main module.
result The residual switching network strategy outperformed other models with an average annual Sharpe ratio of 2.22.
Paper analyzes minimax regret in constrained online convex optimization with limited switching opportunities.
problem Minimizing regret in online convex optimization with limited switching opportunities.
method Introduced fugal game relaxation and mini-batching algorithm to establish minimax regret bounds.
result Minimax regret of switching-constrained OCO is Θ(T / √K).
Paper presents an efficient algorithm for linear MDP with low switching cost.
problem Large state space reinforcement learning problems with low switching cost.
method First algorithm for linear MDP with low switching cost, achieving near-optimal regret and switching cost.
result Regret bound of $\widetilde{O}\left(\sqrt{d^3H^4K}
ight)$ and near-optimal switching cost of $O\left(d H\log K
ight)$.
Study online learning with feedback graphs and switching costs, providing algorithms and optimal regret bounds.
problem Online learning with partial feedback and switching costs.
method Analysis of feedback graphs, lower bound on expected regret, new algorithms (Threshold Based EXP3, EXP3. SC).
result Order optimal algorithms for specific cases and Threshold Based EXP3 outperforms in empirical evaluations.
The paper derives error bounds for piecewise smooth and switching regression models.
problem Regression problems with target functions switching between different modes.
method Derives generalization error bounds using Rademacher complexities and chaining arguments.
result Error bounds with radical dependency on the number of modes for piecewise smooth regression, and linear dependency for switching regression.
Solves risk-aware optimal switching problems in discrete time.
problem Non-Markovian optimal switching problems with risk awareness and general filtration.
method Solves reflected backward stochastic difference equations.
result Existence and uniqueness of solutions for the problems.
Study strategic competition in commodity markets using impulse-switching controls.
problem Strategic competition between upstream and downstream firms in commodity markets.
method Non-zero-sum stochastic differential game with mixed impulse/switching controls.
result Multiple Nash equilibria found, depending on the number of switches by the downstream firm.
This paper resolves the test for Markov regime switching models' regime number.
problem Testing the number of regimes in Markov regime switching models.
method Derives the asymptotic distribution of the likelihood ratio test statistic.
result Establishes the asymptotic validity of the parametric bootstrap.