This work improves variational inference by reducing gradient variance.
problem Hard optimization of flexible variational distributions.
method Control variate based on quadratic approximation of the model's mean and covariance.
result Significant improvement in gradient variance and optimization convergence.
Randomized control methods improve asset pricing and performance analysis.
problem Challenges in drawing inferences from traditional random portfolios in performance evaluation.
method Geometric random walks and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods to construct flexible control groups.
result Captured premia associated with size, value, quality, and momentum in a constrained setting.
The recent success of raw audio waveform synthesis models like WaveNet motivates a new approach for music synthesis, in which the entire process --- creating audio samples from a score and instrument information --- is modeled using generative neural networks. This paper describes a neural music synthesis model with fl…
MVPI framework optimizes risk in reinforcement learning, improving performance in robot simulations.
problem Optimizing risk in reinforcement learning control problems.
method Mean-Variance Policy Iteration (MVPI) framework for risk-averse control in MDPs.
result Risk-averse TD3 outperforms previous methods in robot simulation tasks.
Flexible framework for bounding high-loss predictions using quantiles.
problem Need for rigorous guarantees in risk-sensitive applications.
method Order statistics of loss values, flexible quantile-based metrics.
result Ability to rigorously control loss quantiles on real-world datasets.
Paper proposes a deep RL approach for traffic signal control balancing efficiency and equity.
problem Inefficient and inflexible traffic signal controllers.
method Deep reinforcement learning with a novel reward function combining efficiency and equity.
result The proposed algorithm achieves state-of-the-art performance on various traffic scenarios.
Deep reinforcement learning for high dimensional, hierarchical control tasks usually requires the use of complex neural networks as functional approximators, which can lead to inefficiency, instability and even divergence in the training process. Here, we introduce stacked deep Q learning (SDQL), a flexible modularized…
New framework controls statistical dispersion for high-stakes applications.
problem Understanding and controlling the dispersion of loss distributions in high-stakes applications.
method Simple yet flexible framework for distribution-free control of statistical dispersion measures.
result Proposed methods control statistical dispersion measures with societal implications.
The paper introduces a limit version of multiple stopping options such that the holder selects dynamically a weight function that control the distribution of the payments (benefits) over time. In applications for commodities and energy trading, a control process can represent the quantity that can be purchased by a fix…
RNE provides a flexible framework for diffusion models, enabling inference-time control and energy-based training.
problem Insufficient knowledge of marginal densities in diffusion models.
method Introduces Radon-Nikodym Estimator (RNE) to reveal the connection between marginal densities and transition kernels.
result RNE delivers strong results in inference-time control and energy-based diffusion training.
Bayesian approach controls FDR in high-dimensional models.
problem High-dimensional variable selection and inference.
method Adapted Mirror Statistic to Bayesian framework for FDR control.
result Effective FDR control without data splitting.
Paper proposes a new model for better engine control.
problem Optimal control problems are non-convex and hard to solve online.
method Combines Hammerstein-Wiener model with input convex neural networks.
result Optimal control problems are effectively solvable due to convexity and partial linearity.
DeepCTRL integrates rules into deep learning models, allowing flexible control at inference.
problem Lack of flexibility in incorporating rules into deep learning models.
method Integrates rule representations into deep neural networks, enabling flexible control at inference.
result Improves rule verification ratio and accuracy gains at downstream tasks.
In stochastic control problems delicate issues arise when the controlled system can jump due to both exogenous shocks and endogenous controls. Here one has to specify what the controller knows when about the exogenous shocks and how and when she can act on this information. We propose to use Meyer-σ-fields as a flexi…
Flexible deep learning framework controls FDR for feature selection.
problem Controlling Type-I error in feature selection for deep neural networks.
method Approximates FDR control for a wide range of deep architectures using gradient-based feature-importance vectors.
result Theoretical guarantee of FDR control for feature selection in deep learning models.
A new framework for adaptive behavior using reusable value profiles.
problem Adaptive behavior in changing environments requires switching among value-control regimes, but maintaining separate parameters for each situation is impractical.
method Introduces value profiles: reusable bundles of parameters assigned to hidden states, allowing for state-conditional strategy recruitment without independent parameters for each context.
result Profile-based models outperform simpler alternatives in probabilistic reversal learning, suggesting belief-dependent control of adaptive behavior.
We consider the problem of training generative models with deep neural networks as generators, i.e. to map latent codes to data points. Whereas the dominant paradigm combines simple priors over codes with complex deterministic models, we argue that it might be advantageous to use more flexible code distributions. We de…
Using reinforcement learning to learn control policies is a challenge when the task is complex with potentially long horizons. Ensuring adequate but safe exploration is also crucial for controlling physical systems. In this paper, we use temporal logic to facilitate specification and learning of complex tasks. We combi…
Digital twins improve single-arm trials by providing robust treatment effect estimates.
problem Lack of control arms in single-arm trials limits their gold-standard evidence.
method Outcome-model-based synthetic controls using machine learning models trained on historical data.
result Digital twins offer more robust treatment effect estimates and principled corrections.
Automates bias control in reinforcement learning algorithms.
problem Overestimation bias in reinforcement learning algorithms.
method Data-driven approach for automatic selection of bias control hyperparameters.
result Significant reduction in the number of interactions while maintaining performance.
Agents acting in the natural world aim at selecting appropriate actions based on noisy and partial sensory observations. Many behaviors leading to decision mak- ing and action selection in a closed loop setting are naturally phrased within a control theoretic framework. Within the framework of optimal Control Theory, o…
Random features enhance control of complex systems.
problem Flexible nonlinear models for control-affine systems.
method Random features approximations for control-affine structure.
result Methods formalized and shown to relate to ADP and AD kernels.
MEC-Cox: A Machine-Learning-Assisted Generalized Entropy Calibration Method for Estimating ATT Marginal Hazard-Ratio
problem Estimating ATT marginal hazard-ratio in externally controlled survival trials
method Machine-learning-assisted generalized entropy calibration for IPW Cox regression
result Reduces bias, increases efficiency, and improves coverage
The paper presents a model-free method for stabilizing unknown control systems.
problem Stabilizing unknown control systems in engineering.
method Solving discounted LQR problems with increasing discount factors.
result The method efficiently recovers a stabilizing controller for linear and smooth nonlinear systems.
KQT-EWMA monitors multivariate data streams online with flexible and practical change detection.
problem Online monitoring of multivariate data streams for detecting changes.
method Combines Kernel-QuantTree histogram and EWMA statistic for non-parametric monitoring.
result Controls Average Run Length (ARL0) while achieving comparable detection delays.
We consider adaptive control of the Linear Quadratic Regulator (LQR), where an unknown linear system is controlled subject to quadratic costs. Leveraging recent developments in the estimation of linear systems and in robust controller synthesis, we present the first provably polynomial time algorithm that provides high…
Finding optimal feedback controllers for nonlinear dynamic systems from data is hard. Recently, Bayesian optimization (BO) has been proposed as a powerful framework for direct controller tuning from experimental trials. For selecting the next query point and finding the global optimum, BO relies on a probabilistic desc…
DRMMs enable flexible conditional sampling for interactive machine learning.
problem Limited flexibility in conditional sampling for deep generative models.
method Proposes Deep Residual Mixture Models (DRMMs) that allow flexible conditional sampling.
result DRMMs enable sampling with arbitrary combinations of conditioning variables and priors.
Develops a numerical algorithm for stochastic impulse control using regression surrogates.
problem Optimal impulse control in stochastic processes.
method Generates statistical surrogates for continuation and intervention functions, recursively trained over simulated state trajectories.
result Demonstrates flexibility and extensibility of the numerical scheme through case studies.
For power grid operations, a large body of research focuses on using generation redispatching, load shedding or demand side management flexibilities. However, a less costly and potentially more flexible option would be grid topology reconfiguration, as already partially exploited by Coreso (European RSC) and RTE (Frenc…
New risk class penalizes loss deviations from mean on both sides.
problem Current risks are sensitive to loss tails on the upside and ignore the downside.
method Introduces a bi-directional risk class with flexible tail sensitivity.
result Derives high-probability learning guarantees without gradient clipping.
This work proposes a new method for simultaneous probabilistic identification and control of an observable, fully-actuated mechanical system. Identification is achieved by conditioning stochastic process priors on observations of configurations and noisy estimates of configuration derivatives. In contrast to previous w…
A drift detection method for large datasets without labels.
problem Early detection of concept drift in large, unlabeled datasets.
method Classical statistical process control in a label-less setting.
result Better statistical power than previous methods under computational constraints.
Reinforcement learning (RL) constitutes a promising solution for alleviating the problem of traffic congestion. In particular, deep RL algorithms have been shown to produce adaptive traffic signal controllers that outperform conventional systems. However, in order to be reliable in highly dynamic urban areas, such cont…
Develops a new model for controllable and realistic traffic simulation.
problem Lack of models that offer both controllability and realism in traffic simulation.
method Guided Conditional Diffusion (CTG) model using diffusion modeling and differentiable logic.
result Improves controllability-realism tradeoff over strong baselines.
Machine learning boosts RCT efficiency by controlling type I error and improving statistical power.
problem Improving statistical efficiency in RCTs with complex covariate adjustments.
method Machine learning-assisted adjustment under Rosenbaum's framework for exact tests.
result The proposed method robustly controls type I error and significantly boosts statistical efficiency.
Variable speed limits (VSL) control is a flexible way to improve traffic condition,increase safety and reduce emission. There is an emerging trend of using reinforcement learning technique for VSL control and recent studies have shown promising results. Currently, deep learning is enabling reinforcement learning to dev…
NeurT-FDR controls FDR by incorporating feature hierarchy.
problem Controlling FDR in complex, large-scale hypothesis testing problems.
method NeurT-FDR uses a neural network to parametrize test-level covariates and a regression framework to adjust feature hierarchy.
result NeurT-FDR makes substantially more discoveries than competitive baselines.
Framework for estimating treatment effects using external control data.
problem Improving efficiency in estimating average treatment effects (ATE) in hybrid trials.
method Developed a formal causal inference framework based on exchangeability assumptions and graphical criteria. Proposed estimators and efficient doubly-robust methods.
result Established finite-sample performance and demonstrated application to spinal muscular atrophy trial.
Model captures system input variations in latent space for actionable dynamics.
problem Learning dynamical systems from data without prescribing a mathematical model.
method Structured latent ODE model with stochastic factors of variation for each input.
result Improves generation of time-series data and inference of system inputs over baselines.
Developed policy gradient methods for stochastic control with exit time, outperforming traditional techniques in share repurchase pricing.
problem Optimal control with exit time in stochastic models.
method Two types of algorithms: direct policy learning and alternately learning value function and control.
result Policy gradient methods outperform PDE or neural networks in share repurchase pricing.
New TTP framework fuses control arms while controlling Type-I error.
problem Bias in borrowing control data from previous trials.
method Kernel two-sample testing via MMD and equivalence testing.
result Higher power than standard TTP methods while maintaining error control.
New control methods improve dynamic measure transport paths.
problem Improving paths for dynamic measure transport.
method Connecting mean-field games to optimization problems for learning paths, advocating for smoothness of velocities.
result Our method recovers more efficient and smooth transport models compared to untilted paths.
A communication-efficient method controls FDR in network settings.
problem Controlling FDR in networks with limited communication.
method Sample-and-Forward: a flexible procedure for multihop networks.
result Nodes can control FDR without sharing p-values, achieving power and FDR control.
Paper uses VAEs to control IVS features for financial modeling.
problem Generating realistic IVSs with desired characteristics.
method Variational autoencoder architecture with controllable latent variables.
result Controlled generation of IVSs with specified features.
Backward Conformal Prediction offers flexible control over prediction set sizes while ensuring coverage guarantees.
problem Providing reliable prediction sets with controlled sizes in applications like medical diagnosis.
method Defines a rule that constrains prediction set sizes based on observed data, adapting coverage levels.
result Maintains computable coverage guarantees while ensuring interpretable, well-controlled prediction set sizes.
New distributions on manifolds for better sampling.
problem Creating flexible distributions on Riemannian manifolds.
method Area-preserving maps and isometries for constructing distributions.
result Flexibility and straightforward sampling of distributions.
Deep neural networks solve stochastic control problems with delay.
problem Challenges in stochastic control problems with delay due to path-dependence and high dimensions.
method Employing recurrent neural networks (RNNs) to parameterize policies and optimize objectives.
result RNNs, especially LSTMs, efficiently capture path-dependence and outperform feedforward networks in training and performance.