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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

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148296444592 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for fixed design regression

This work gives a simultaneous analysis of both the ordinary least squares estimator and the ridge regression estimator in the random design setting under mild assumptions on the covariate/response distributions. In particular, the analysis provides sharp results on the ``out-of-sample'' prediction error, as opposed to…

2011-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on discrepancy principle for learning algorithms in nonparametric regression.

problem Determining optimal iteration number in nonparametric regression with unknown optimal iteration.
method Investigates discrepancy principle and modified principles for kernelized spectral filters, using deviation inequalities and change-of-norm arguments.
result Classical discrepancy principle is adaptive for slow rates, while modified principles are adaptive for faster rates.

Selecting input variables or design points for statistical models has been of great interest in adaptive design and active learning. Motivated by two scientific examples, this paper presents a strategy of selecting the design points for a regression model when the underlying regression function is discontinuous. The fi…

2019-04-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Least Squares Estimators are suboptimal for 5D convex functions.

problem Suboptimality of Least Squares Estimators in estimating multidimensional convex functions.
method Analysis of natural subclasses of convex functions in random and fixed design settings.
result Risk of LSE is n2/dn^{-2/d} while minimax risk is n4/(d+4)n^{-4/(d+4)} for d5d \geq 5.

We propose LOCO, an algorithm for large-scale ridge regression which distributes the features across workers on a cluster. Important dependencies between variables are preserved using structured random projections which are cheap to compute and must only be communicated once. We show that LOCO obtains a solution which …

2014-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm identifies best arm in semiparametric bandits with near optimal efficiency.

problem Fixed-confidence Best Arm Identification in semiparametric bandits with unknown baseline shift.
method Phase-elimination algorithm based on orthogonalized regression design.
result Nearly optimal high-probability sample-complexity upper bound established.

We identify and validate a model for PCR in high dimensions, improving prediction guarantees.

problem Model identification and out-of-sample prediction in high-dimensional error-in-variables settings.
method Analysis of principal component regression (PCR) in fixed design settings, introducing a linear algebraic condition.
result Consistent model identification and improved out-of-sample prediction guarantees.

New bounds for KRR condition number reveal overfitting phenomena.

problem Characterizing overfitting in KRR with varying kernel spectral decay.
method Derived new bounds for kernel matrices, enhanced test error bounds, and identified feature independence role.
result Identified tempered and catastrophic overfitting phenomena.

Given a finite family of functions, the goal of model selection aggregation is to construct a procedure that mimics the function from this family that is the closest to an unknown regression function. More precisely, we consider a general regression model with fixed design and measure the distance between functions by …

2012-03-12abs ↗pdf ↗

In many scientific disciplines structures in high-dimensional data have to be found, e.g., in stellar spectra, in genome data, or in face recognition tasks. In this work we present a novel approach to non-linear dimensionality reduction. It is based on fitting K-nearest neighbor regression to the unsupervised regressio…

2011-07-19abs ↗pdf ↗

The Lasso method is analyzed for high-dimensional regression with Gaussian designs, leading to new insights on its performance.

problem Analyzing the Lasso method for high-dimensional regression with Gaussian designs.
method Generalizing the Lasso characterization to Gaussian correlated designs with non-singular covariance structure.
result Establishing non-asymptotic bounds on the distance between the distribution of various quantities in the two models.

Regularization is used to find a solution that both fits the data and is sufficiently smooth, and thereby is very effective for designing and refining learning algorithms. But the influence of its exponent remains poorly understood. In particular, it is unclear how the exponent of the reproducing kernel Hilbert space~(…

2013-10-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Lasso performs poorly with correlated covariates, but a rescaled approach fixes this.

problem Lasso's performance degrades with correlated covariates, leading to inefficiency.
method Proposes a rescaling method for Lasso to handle correlated covariates effectively.
result Rescaled Lasso provides strong provable guarantees for estimation with quadratic sample complexity.

We introduce single-set spectral sparsification as a deterministic sampling based feature selection technique for regularized least squares classification, which is the classification analogue to ridge regression. The method is unsupervised and gives worst-case guarantees of the generalization power of the classificati…

2015-06-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a method for early stopping in regression using reproducing kernels.

problem Early stopping for iterative learning algorithms in nonparametric regression.
method Data-driven rule based on minimum discrepancy principle, validated by fixed-point analysis of localized Rademacher complexities.
result The proposed rule is minimax-optimal and performs comparably to cross-validation.

Paper develops robust econometric methods for staggered adoption studies.

problem Estimation challenges in event studies with staggered adoption.
method Design-first framework with exact probability limits, diagnostics, and orthogonal score constructions.
result Uniformly valid inference under restricted violations of parallel trends.

Spectrahedral regression fits convex functions via a non-convex optimization problem.

problem Fitting convex functions to data sets.
method Fitting a spectrahedral function (maximum eigenvalue of an affine matrix expression) to the data via an alternating minimization algorithm.
result The alternating minimization algorithm converges geometrically to a small ball around the optimal parameter.

This work establishes always-valid risk bounds for online matrix completion.

problem Challenges in establishing always-valid concentration inequalities for online matrix completion.
method Combines non-asymptotic martingale concentration and regularized low-rank matrix regression.
result Establishes always-valid risk bound process for online matrix completion.

The paper proposes an efficient nested simulation design using likelihood ratio method.

problem Designing nested simulations with fixed outer scenarios and minimizing simulation effort.
method Proposes a bi-level optimization problem to decide inner replications and pooling strategies.
result Optimized design achieves $\cO(Γ^{-1})$ mean squared error of estimators.

Study learns linear system dynamics from noisy bilinear data.

problem Learning linear dynamics from bilinear observations with process and measurement noise.
method Regression with Kronecker product design, data-dependent and independent error bounds.
result Upper bounds on statistical error rates and sample complexity for learning dynamics matrices.

Enhances neural network regression performance by modeling weight and variance uncertainty.

problem Improving predictive performance of neural networks for regression tasks.
method Extended Blundell's framework to include variance uncertainty, using a full posterior distribution over variance parameters.
result Explicitly modeling variance uncertainty improves generalization of Bayesian neural networks.

A new method for feature selection robust to noise and design variability.

problem Feature selection in high-dimensional regression under sampling variability and measurement error.
method Injects controlled additive noise into the design matrix, fits a base selector, and aggregates selection frequencies.
result Improved robustness compared to Stability Selection and standard base selectors.

Bayesian model estimates treatment effects near cutoffs in regression discontinuity designs.

problem Estimating conditional average treatment effects in regression discontinuity designs.
method Develops a Bayesian additive regression tree (BART) model with linear leaf-level regressions.
result Adapts to different slopes on the running variable near the cutoff, providing interpretable inference.

Gradient descent converges to a small neighborhood of the true parameter in logistic regression with Gaussian design.

problem Estimating the parameter in logistic regression with Gaussian design.
method Gradient descent with small stepsize and large stepsize, using approximate invertibility condition and eigenvalue analysis.
result Gradient descent achieves an 2\ell_2 error of order O(θ25d/n)O(\sqrt{\|θ^*\|_2^5d/n}).

Locally private online quantile regression method addresses privacy constraints.

problem Estimating and inferring quantile regression under local differential privacy constraints.
method Developed a finite-alphabet channel where users compute local contributions, apply randomized response, and send reports. A public decoder corrects distortion and reconstructs inputs for averaging.
result Established local privacy, decoder unbiasedness, consistency, asymptotic normality, and inference for scalar contrasts.

New algorithms for model selection in linear bandits adapt to instance complexity.

problem Adapting to the instance-dependent complexity of the true model in linear bandits.
method Design of algorithms in fixed confidence and fixed budget settings, leveraging experimental design and selection-validation procedures.
result Near instance optimal guarantees for model selection in linear bandits.

Exact and scalable algorithm for Gaussian process regression with Matérn correlations.

problem Efficient Gaussian process regression with Matérn correlations.
method Novel kernel packet theory and sparse representation of covariance matrix.
result Significantly superior to existing alternatives in computational time and predictive accuracy.