A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Study shows some complex shapes don't fit a certain property.
The paper introduces flat-topped PDFs for better fitting machine learning models.
Coarse homotopy theory connects Euclidean cones to shape theory of compact spaces.
CEDA improves understanding of data fit to models.
A new method for analyzing shapes and forms using additive models on manifolds.
Early and accurate identification of parkinsonian syndromes (PS) involving presynaptic degeneration from non-degenerative variants such as Scans Without Evidence of Dopaminergic Deficit (SWEDD) and tremor disorders, is important for effective patient management as the course, therapy and prognosis differ substantially …
Neural networks predict shapes of first passage percolation sets.
Functional BART adds shape priors to Bayesian tree regression for better curve fitting.
Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) are commonly thought to recognise objects by learning increasingly complex representations of object shapes. Some recent studies suggest a more important role of image textures. We here put these conflicting hypotheses to a quantitative test by evaluating CNNs and human observers on…
Active-set algorithm improves Cox regression for shape-restricted covariates.
This paper studies identifiability and convergence behaviors for parameters of multiple types in finite mixtures, and the effects of model fitting with extra mixing components. First, we present a general theory for strong identifiability, which extends from the previous work of Nguyen [2013] and Chen [1995] to address…
NVA combines variational posteriors, annealing, and natural-gradient learning for multimodal optimization.
We introduce a new algorithm for approximate inference that combines reparametrization, Markov chain Monte Carlo and variational methods. We construct a very flexible implicit variational distribution synthesized by an arbitrary Markov chain Monte Carlo operation and a deterministic transformation that can be optimized…
A mixture of Gaussians fit to a single curved or heavy-tailed cluster will report that the data contains many clusters. To produce more appropriate clusterings, we introduce a model which warps a latent mixture of Gaussians to produce nonparametric cluster shapes. The possibly low-dimensional latent mixture model allow…
A mixture of Gaussians fit to a single curved or heavy-tailed cluster will report that the data contains many clusters. To produce more appropriate clusterings, we introduce a model which warps a latent mixture of Gaussians to produce nonparametric cluster shapes. The possibly low-dimensional latent mixture model allow…
Study analyzes Airbnb lead-time distributions for Nights Booked and Gross Booking Value, finding divergent shapes and tail behavior.
The kernel exponential family is a rich class of distributions, which can be fit efficiently and with statistical guarantees by score matching. Being required to choose a priori a simple kernel such as the Gaussian, however, limits its practical applicability. We provide a scheme for learning a kernel parameterized by …
A novel 3D shape registration method using spectral graph embedding and probabilistic matching.
We report the proof that the extension of Gibrat's law in the middle scale region is unique and the probability distribution function (pdf) is also uniquely derived from the extended Gibrat's law and the law of detailed balance. In the proof, two approximations are employed. The pdf of growth rate is described as tent-…
Optimizing full likelihoods adapts loss scales and shapes for robust modeling.
We analyze correlations between squared volatility indices, VIX and VXO, and realized variances -- the known one, for the current month, and the predicted one, for the following month. We show that the ratio of the two is best fitted by a Beta Prime distribution, whose shape parameters depend strongly on which of the t…
Neural networks fit fewer samples than their parameters suggest in practice.
New ABC method improves Bézier simplex fitting for noisy data.
The over-parameterized models attract much attention in the era of data science and deep learning. It is empirically observed that although these models, e.g. deep neural networks, over-fit the training data, they can still achieve small testing error, and sometimes even {\em outperform} traditional algorithms which ar…
New neural network models extreme value distributions with preserved shape constraints.
Neural networks that compute over graph structures are a natural fit for problems in a variety of domains, including natural language (parse trees) and cheminformatics (molecular graphs). However, since the computation graph has a different shape and size for every input, such networks do not directly support batched t…
FAST optimizes additive segmentation for faster, more interpretable models.
Paper tackles multivariate shape-constrained convex regression problems.
Paper develops a new method to analyze 3D tree-like objects.
The study finds the best elliptical trajectory for planets using a variation of the hodograph theorem.
The reconstruction of an object's shape or surface from a set of 3D points plays an important role in medical image analysis, e.g. in anatomy reconstruction from tomographic measurements or in the process of aligning intra-operative navigation and preoperative planning data. In such scenarios, one usually has to deal w…
Improved modeling of persistence diagrams for data analysis.
Study shows 3D shapes can't fit in certain 4D spaces.
This paper proposes the k-generalized distribution as a model for describing the distribution and dispersion of income within a population. Formulas for the shape, moments and standard tools for inequality measurement - such as the Lorenz curve and the Gini coefficient - are given. A method for parameter estimation is …
We present a new mixture model-based discriminant analysis approach for functional data using a specific hidden process regression model. The approach allows for fitting flexible curve-models to each class of complex-shaped curves presenting regime changes. The model parameters are learned by maximizing the observed-da…
In this paper, we present experimental results obtained from retraining the last layer of the Inception v3 model in classifying images of human faces into one of five basic face shapes. The accuracy of the retrained Inception v3 model was compared with that of the following classification methods that uses facial landm…
New algorithm broadens BART models applicability.
We design a new nonparametric method that allows one to estimate the matrix of integrated kernels of a multivariate Hawkes process. This matrix not only encodes the mutual influences of each nodes of the process, but also disentangles the causality relationships between them. Our approach is the first that leads to an …
The highly detailed international trade data among all countries in the world during 1971-2000 shows that the kinds of export goods and the logarithmic GDP (gross domestic production) of a country has an S-shaped relationship. This indicates all countries can be divided into three stages accordingly. First, the poor co…
Geodesic distance matrices can reveal shape properties that are largely invariant to non-rigid deformations, and thus are often used to analyze and represent 3-D shapes. However, these matrices grow quadratically with the number of points. Thus for large point sets it is common to use a low-rank approximation to the di…
We present a new algorithm for boosting generalized additive models for location, scale and shape (GAMLSS) that allows to incorporate stability selection, an increasingly popular way to obtain stable sets of covariates while controlling the per-family error rate (PFER). The model is fitted repeatedly to subsampled data…
Breakthroughs in machine learning are rapidly changing science and society, yet our fundamental understanding of this technology has lagged far behind. Indeed, one of the central tenets of the field, the bias-variance trade-off, appears to be at odds with the observed behavior of methods used in the modern machine lear…
Tropical Geometry and Mathematical Morphology share the same max-plus and min-plus semiring arithmetic and matrix algebra. In this chapter we summarize some of their main ideas and common (geometric and algebraic) structure, generalize and extend both of them using weighted lattices and a max- algebra with an ar…
ParamBoost uses gradient boosting to create interpretable non-linear models with constraints.
Several important algorithms for machine learning and data analysis use pairwise distances as input. On Riemannian manifolds these distances may be prohibitively costly to compute, in particular for large datasets. To tackle this problem, we propose a distance approximation which requires only a linear number of geodes…
The paper analyzes tech specialization and diversification at various scales.
In spite of the recent surge of interest in quantile regression, joint estimation of linear quantile planes remains a great challenge in statistics and econometrics. We propose a novel parametrization that characterizes any collection of non-crossing quantile planes over arbitrarily shaped convex predictor domains in a…
Proposes adaptive ridge regression for functional linear models with piecewise shapes.