This work uses a recommendation system to enhance exporting countries' fitness.
problem Predicting and optimizing the evolution of international trade networks.
method A recommendation system was used to identify overlooked products for countries.
result Countries can improve their national competitiveness by diversifying exported products.
Enhanced detection of sneutrinos at the LHC using machine learning.
problem Detecting rare new physics signals in the presence of significant backgrounds.
method Machine learning models (XGBoost and deep neural network) applied to template fit analysis.
result Template fit outperforms simple cuts in enhancing sneutrino detectability.
Kernel Multigrid accelerates Back-fitting for additive Gaussian Processes.
problem Slow convergence of Back-fitting in training additive Gaussian Processes.
method Kernel Packets (KP) and Sparse Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) to enhance Back-fitting.
result Kernel Multigrid reduces the required iterations to O(logn). Study evaluates different mathematical models for three case studies using statistical fitting.
problem Estimating outcomes in population dynamics, temperature variations, and market equilibrium.
method Applied various statistical equations (e.g., fractional exponential, sinusoidal) to three case studies.
result Optimal models differ by case study (fractional exponential for population dynamics, sinusoidal for temperature and market equilibrium).
Enhances projection pursuit tree classifier with visual diagnostics for better multi-class classification.
problem Rigidity of original algorithm limits performance in complex high-dimensional classification problems.
method Allowing more splits and flexible class groupings in projection pursuit computation, and developing visual diagnostics.
result Demonstrates enhanced classifier performs as intended through interactive visual diagnostics.
Enhanced SABR model captures complex volatility smiles in Chinese financial options.
problem Limited accuracy of classical SABR model in fitting implied volatility curves.
method Proposes skew-SABR model with an extended stochastic dynamics and a new Black implied volatility expression.
result Skew-SABR model achieves high and stable fitting accuracy across various market conditions.
Improved classifier for PU data using logistic regression.
problem Analysis of Positive Unlabeled data under SCAR assumption.
method Fitting misspecified logistic regression model to PU data.
result The classifier performs on par or better than competitors on real data sets.
In this paper, prediction for linear systems with missing information is investigated. New methods are introduced to improve the Mean Squared Error (MSE) on the test set in comparison to state-of-the-art methods, through appropriate tuning of Bias-Variance trade-off. First, the use of proposed Soft Weighted Prediction …
Software package assesses spherical data distributions and clusters.
problem Assessing and clustering spherical data distributions.
method Innovative goodness-of-fit tests and clustering algorithms using kernel-based quadratic distances.
result Efficient and mathematically sound goodness-of-fit tests for spherical data.
Enhanced visual feature attribution via adaptive baseline weighting.
problem IG's sensitivity to baseline images leads to noisy or unstable explanations.
method Weighted Integrated Gradients (WG) evaluates and weights baselines for improved reliability.
result WG improves over Expected Gradients (EG) by up to 36% across various models.
Enhanced volatility model using LSTM and realized volatility.
problem Volatility modeling in financial markets.
method Combining deep learning (LSTM) and realized volatility measures in a Bayesian framework.
result Superior predictive performance compared to benchmark models.
Improved Random Forests detect pure interactions better.
problem Random Forests struggle with certain pure interactions.
method Alternative partitioning schemes during tree construction.
result Improved Random Forests enhance fitting ability in scenarios with pure interactions.
Knowledge distillation improves model accuracy by mimicking teacher model probabilities.
problem Improving model accuracy through model compression.
method Casting knowledge distillation as a semiparametric inference problem, deriving new guarantees, and developing enhancements.
result Enhancements improve student performance by mitigating teacher overfitting and underfitting.
Temporal Normalizing Flows enhance density estimation of time-dependent data.
problem Accurate and robust density estimation of time-dependent stochastic data.
method Leveraging normalizing flows for temporal data, tNFs estimate multi-scale distributions without prior scale knowledge.
result Temporal Normalizing Flows improve density estimation of time-dependent data, including multi-scale distributions.
Paper proposes algorithms to accurately identify breakpoints in piecewise regression.
problem Identifying accurate breakpoints in piecewise regression for better data fitting.
method Proposes novel greedy algorithms to minimize error and determine optimal breakpoints.
result The proposed algorithms outperform existing methods in accuracy and efficiency.
GSSBO reduces GP fitting time in Bayesian optimization.
problem High computational cost of fitting Gaussian process surrogate models in Bayesian optimization.
method Gradient-based sample selection to reduce the number of samples used in GP fitting.
result Sublinear regret bounds and significant reduction in computational cost.
SplitWise enhances stepwise regression by adaptively encoding numeric predictors into binary features.
problem Capturing nonlinear relationships in regression models without sacrificing interpretability.
method Adaptive encoding of numeric predictors into binary features using shallow decision trees, assessed by AIC or BIC.
result Consistently produces more parsimonious and generalizable models than traditional techniques.
GUESS improves surrogate model accuracy with adaptive sampling.
problem Creating accurate surrogate models with limited data.
method Gradient and Uncertainty Enhanced Sequential Sampling (GUESS) using predictive uncertainty and Taylor expansion.
result GUESS achieved highest sample efficiency compared to other strategies.
DropEdge improves deep GCNs for node classification by reducing over-fitting and over-smoothing.
problem Over-fitting and over-smoothing in deep GCNs for node classification.
method Randomly removes edges from the input graph at each training epoch to reduce over-fitting and over-smoothing.
result DropEdge improves performance on various GCN models and prevents over-smoothing.
Enhances graph classification models on small datasets.
problem Over-fitting and undergeneralization on small-scale benchmark datasets.
method Data augmentation via graph structure transformation and model evolution framework.
result Average improvement of 3 - 13% accuracy on graph classification tasks.
We address two shortcomings in online travel time estimation methods for congested urban traffic. The first shortcoming is related to the determination of the number of mixture modes, which can change dynamically, within day and from day to day. The second shortcoming is the wide-spread use of Gaussian probability dens…
ScoreFusion fuses multiple diffusion models to enhance generative modeling of a target population.
problem Enhancing generative modeling of a target population with limited data.
method ScoreFusion uses KL barycenters of auxiliary populations and recasts the learning problem as score matching in denoising diffusion.
result ScoreFusion achieves a dimension-free sample complexity bound in total variation distance.
Algorithm infers sampling distribution from i.i.d. samples without supervision.
problem Learning probability distributions from unlabeled data.
method Unsupervised tree boosting using additive tree ensembles and new distributional operations.
result Algorithm outperforms deep learning in multivariate density estimation.
We enhance short-rate models to control implied volatility analytically.
problem Controlling implied volatility in short-rate models.
method Randomized Affine Diffusion (RAnD) method applied to Heath-Jarrow-Morton framework.
result Randomized short-rate models improve calibration and control implied volatility shapes.
We extend the classical Cox-Ross-Rubinstein binomial model in two ways. We first develop a binomial model with time-dependent parameters that equate all moments of the pricing tree increments with the corresponding moments of the increments of the limiting Itô price process. Second, we introduce a new trinomial model i…
GFN-SR uses deep learning to generate diverse mathematical expressions.
problem Symbolic regression to find best mathematical expressions.
method Traversing a DAG to generate expression trees sequentially with GFlowNet.
result GFN-SR outperforms other SR algorithms in noisy data.
The tracking method based on the extreme learning machine (ELM) is efficient and effective. ELM randomly generates input weights and biases in the hidden layer, and then calculates and computes the output weights by reducing the iterative solution to the problem of linear equations. Therefore, ELM offers the satisfying…
Develops a new method to model overlapping asymmetric datasets effectively.
problem Handling overlapping asymmetric datasets in data science.
method Twice penalized P-Spline approximation method.
result Improves model fit by over 65% in a real-life dataset.
New method improves cause-effect identification using neural networks.
problem Identifying cause and effect from observational data.
method Variational Bayesian learning of neural networks.
result Improves model fitness and codelengths succinctness.
Improved VGG networks enhance image classification accuracy.
problem Enhancing image classification accuracy using modified VGG architectures.
method Two improved VGG architectures were created by freezing the first two blocks and applying different dilation rates in the last three blocks.
result Significant out-performance on image classification tasks on CIFAR-10 and CIFAR-100 datasets.
GCNIII combines Wide & Deep for better node classification.
problem Issues with graph convolutional networks in node classification tasks.
method Proposes GCNIII framework integrating Wide & Deep architecture and three techniques.
result Demonstrates improved performance in various node classification tasks.
Proposes a semi-Bayesian nonparametric estimator for MMD in GOF tests and GANs.
problem Challenges in goodness-of-fit testing for intractable models.
method Semi-Bayesian nonparametric estimator of MMD.
result Outperforms frequentist MMD-based methods in false rejection and acceptance rates.
Proposes a new method to prevent overfitting in deep neural networks.
problem Overfitting in deep neural networks with many trainable parameters.
method Randomly replaces elements in feature maps with specific values during training.
result Improves the testing performance of deep neural networks on benchmark datasets.
Bayesian DOE accelerates experimental design with improved efficiency.
problem Enhancing experimental design efficiency and reliability.
method Bayesian framework, conditional density estimation, informative data selection.
result Significantly improved computational efficiency of experimental design.
Enhances DNN robustness and accuracy with L2,∞ normalization.
problem Improving the robustness and accuracy of deep neural networks.
method Introducing L2,∞ normalization of weight matrices in DNNs with Relu activation. result Lower bound for robustness measure in terms of L2,∞ norm and upper bound for Rademacher complexity. Automated neural network potentials achieve coupled cluster accuracy for protonated water clusters.
problem Creating highly accurate potential energy surfaces for chemical systems.
method Automated fitting of neural network potentials to ab initio reference calculations.
result Single potential energy surface for H3O+ to H9O4+ clusters at essentially converged coupled cluster accuracy.
A novel Hawkes Process model captures order sizes in LOBs, improving fit quality and market impact studies.
problem Capturing the variability in order sizes in Limit Order Books (LOBs).
method Compound Hawkes Process with time-varying parameters and non-parametric calibration.
result Improved fit quality and empirical market impact function replication.
Enhances deep kernel learning with stochastic latent variables for better model regularization.
problem Weak model regularization in deep kernel learning, especially on small datasets.
method Introduces DLVKL model with stochastic latent variables, NSDE for expressive posterior, and hybrid prior.
result DLVKL-NSDE outperforms existing deep GPs on large datasets.
Proposes a method to learn graph structure and model parameters jointly in LRSM.
problem The sensitivity of graph weights in LRSM can be arbitrarily large under imbalanced scales and sample sizes.
method Jointly learns graph structure and model parameters by solving a single optimization problem, providing convergence guarantees.
result The proposed approach outperforms existing methods in various real-world numerical examples.
We propose a new method for detecting changes in Markov network structure between two sets of samples. Instead of naively fitting two Markov network models separately to the two data sets and figuring out their difference, we \emph{directly} learn the network structure change by estimating the ratio of Markov network m…
Summary of para-Hermitian geometry for T-duality in string theory.
problem Describing T-duality in string theory with a covariant approach.
method Introducing para-Hermitian geometry and Born geometry to enhance the kinematical setup.
result A generalized differentiable structure on the doubled space allows for the recovery of physical spacetime.
BODE enhances deep neural network predictions and uncertainty quantification in safety modeling.
problem Uncertainty in deep neural network predictions for safety-critical applications.
method Bayesian optimization combined with deep ensembles (BODE).
result BODE reduces total uncertainty by over 30% compared to a manually tuned baseline ensemble.
We present a method for incorporating missing data in non-parametric statistical learning without the need for imputation. We focus on a tree-based method, Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART), enhanced with "Missingness Incorporated in Attributes," an approach recently proposed incorporating missingness into deci…
LS improves model selection for singular statistical models.
problem Challenges in model selection for singular statistical models.
method Integrates empirical loss from WAIC and sBIC penalty term.
result Enhanced utility for model selection without regularity constraints.
The SV-GARCH-EVT model improves risk assessment in financial markets.
problem Inaccurate risk assessment in financial markets due to fat-tailed and leverage effects.
method Enhanced SV model with EVT for tail distribution, MCMC for parameter estimation.
result SV-EVT models outperform other models in backtesting and out-of-sample analysis.
Enhances deep neural networks with fixed-mean Gaussian processes for uncertainty estimation.
problem Post-hoc uncertainty estimation of pre-trained deep neural networks.
method Fixed-mean Gaussian processes with variational inference for efficient stochastic optimization.
result FMGP improves uncertainty estimation and computational efficiency compared to state-of-the-art methods.
L1-orthogonal regularization improves decision tree explainability of deep neural networks.
problem Lack of explainability in deep neural networks.
method L1-orthogonal regularization during training of decision trees.
result Decision trees closely approximate trained deep neural networks with improved accuracy and fidelity.
Polynomial-time algorithm for learning halfspaces with Gaussian-distributed data and adversarial noise.
problem Learning halfspaces in the presence of adversarial label noise.
method Iterative soft localization technique enhanced with appropriate testers.
result Output a halfspace with misclassification error $O(\opt)+\eps$.