Paper analyzes CoCos with short-term uncertainty and noisy firm reports.
problem Modeling conversion and default in CoCos under short-term uncertainty.
method Combines Duffie and Lando (2001) and Jeanblanc and Valchev (2005) models.
result Describes CoCo bond conversion and default using a short-term uncertainty model.
Paper uses LLMs to analyze annual reports for stock investment, improving efficiency.
problem Manual analysis of annual reports is time-consuming and requires expertise.
method Leverages Large Language Models to extract and analyze annual reports.
result Machine Learning model trained on LLM outputs outperforms S&P500 returns.
Study uses LLM to extract and compare segment disclosures from financial filings.
problem Challenges in completeness and comparability of segment disclosures in financial reports.
method Developed a large language model framework to extract and preserve segment information from Form 10-K filings.
result The LLM accurately extracts segment-level information and addresses cross-period knowledge questions.
Deep learning model improves corporate distress prediction using text data.
problem Predicting corporate distress using only financial data is insufficient.
method Convolutional recurrent neural network trained on auditors' and managers' reports.
result Unstructured textual data significantly enhances distress prediction, especially for large firms.
Both theoretical and applied economics have a great deal to say about many aspects of the firm, but the literature on the extinctions, or demises, of firms is very sparse. We use a publicly available data base covering some 6 million firms in the US and show that the underlying statistical distribution which characteri…
Labor productivity was studied at the microscopic level in terms of distributions based on individual firm financial data from Japan and the US. A power-law distribution in terms of firms and sector productivity was found in both countries' data. The labor productivities were not equal for nation and sectors, in contra…
Firms delay write-downs for adverse macroeconomic and industry outcomes but not for firm-specific issues.
problem Timeliness of write-downs for adverse macroeconomic and industry outcomes versus firm-specific issues.
method Comparative analysis of write-downs driven by macroeconomic and industry outcomes versus firm-specific outcomes.
result Firms delay write-downs for adverse macroeconomic and industry outcomes but not for firm-specific issues.
Research shows eco-innovation boosts earnings management, especially in constrained firms.
problem The impact of eco-innovation on earnings management in firms with financial constraints.
method Multi-method approach including entropy balancing, PSM, and Heckman Test correction.
result Eco-innovation positively correlates with earnings management, especially in firms facing financial constraints.
This paper analyzes the relationship between public disclosure, private information and stock liquidity in Tunisian context using a sample of 41 listed firms in the Tunis Stock Exchange in 2007. First, we find no evidence that there is a relation between public and private information. Second, Tunisian investors do not…
New attacks inflate earnings while reducing fraud scores, potentially millions at stake.
problem Manipulating financial reports to hide distress and gain.
method Maximum Violated Multi-Objective (MVMO) attacks that adapt search direction.
result Inflation of earnings by 100-200% while reducing fraud scores by 15% in 50% of cases.
Study compares Islamic banks' accounting and market performance.
problem Assessing the relationship between Islamic banks' accounting and market performance.
method Selected six Islamic banks, collected data from 2009-2013, used random-effect models.
result Superior accounting performance does not correlate with superior market performance.
Survey shows firms still underutilize collaboration in procurement relationships.
problem Limited collaboration between purchasing firms and suppliers despite benefits.
method Survey of procurement professionals, structural equation modeling.
result Firms are not fully utilizing collaborative relationships.
The study finds that firm membership in flagship indices and TCFD endorsement are strong predictors of a wider Disclosure-Performance Gap.
problem The Aggregate Confusion hypothesis and the measurement of greenwashing in environmental disclosures.
method The study uses a Disclosure-Performance Gap (DPG) model to measure the divergence between voluntary environmental disclosures and realised emissions performance for 200 large European firms. The model selection process involved multiple stages and robust standard errors.
result Firm membership in flagship indices and TCFD endorsement are strong predictors of a wider gap, while renewable energy use and environmental capital expenditure significantly narrow the gap.
The study visualizes Spanish fish and meat processing companies using financial, environmental, and social ratios.
problem Mapping financial, environmental, and social performance of Spanish processing companies.
method Used compositional data and principal-component analysis biplot for statistical analysis.
result Identified clusters of companies with similar financial, environmental, and social performance.
The study finds that supply chain information from LLM embeddings improves stock returns predictions.
problem Predicting stock returns using textual information from annual reports.
method Combining LLM embeddings of annual reports with supply chain knowledge graph propagation.
result Network-augmented embeddings significantly predict stock returns with a Sharpe ratio of 0.86 and alpha of 7.27%.
Study shows how financial report sentiment impacts bank profitability.
problem Understanding causal effects of financial report sentiment on bank profitability.
method Causal forest machine learning methodology, FinancialBERT sentiment scores, SHAP analysis, comprehensive dataset.
result Statistically significant causal associations between balance sheet and expense management variables and profitability.
Labour productivity distribution (dispersion) is studied both theoretically and empirically. Superstatistics is presented as a natural theoretical framework for productivity. The demand index κ is proposed within this framework as a new business index. Japanese productivity data covering small-to-medium to large firm…
Graph-based method predicts business conduct risk from incomplete data.
problem Sparse and biased data limits risk assessment.
method Visibility-aware GCNII framework on corporate graph.
result Graph-based approach outperforms non-graph methods in predicting future incidents.
Study examines tech stocks' reactions to Facebook data leak scandal.
problem Impact of Facebook data leak scandal on U.S. tech stocks.
method Clustering method to identify related companies, CAR to measure impact.
result Overall tech sector showed no adverse impact, but Facebook's performance was negatively affected.
Hybrid ANN model predicts firm bankruptcy with improved PSO and SA.
problem Predicting firm failure for investors and decision makers.
method Hybrid ANN model using improved PSO and SA for variable selection and optimization.
result The hybrid model outperforms in convergence and accuracy compared to traditional methods.
In this paper, we study a continuous time structural asset value model for two correlated firms using a two-dimensional Brownian motion. We consider the situation of incomplete information, where the information set available to the market participants includes the default time of each firm and the periodic asset value…
We analyze high-resolution foreign exchange data consisting of 20 million data points of USD-JPY for 13 years to report firm statistical laws in distributions and correlations of exchange rate fluctuations. A conditional probability density analysis clearly shows the existence of trend-following movements at time scale…
Customer momentum is a positive relationship between a firm's returns and past returns of its customers.
problem Understanding the relationship between a firm's returns and its customers' past returns.
method Examined customer momentum using a long-short equally-weighted decile portfolio and Fama-French factor models.
result Customer momentum generates significant monthly returns and is statistically significant.
Study examines the impact of employment benefit costs on firm profitability.
problem Impact of employment benefit costs on firm profitability.
method Panel data regression analysis using E-Views.
result There is a significant positive relationship between employment benefit costs and firm profitability.
AWARE-FX uses AI to audit foreign-exchange risk disclosures in corporate reports.
problem Weakly structured foreign-exchange risk disclosures in corporate reports.
method Combines lexicon, logic, encoders, and aggregation methods to convert text into traceable measures.
result FinBERT outperforms in most comparisons, improving F1 scores by up to 0.077.
Digital transformation boosts corporate financial asset allocation, especially short-term.
problem Understanding how digital transformation affects corporate financial decisions.
method Fixed-effects models and staggered DID design using A-share listed companies data.
result Digital transformation significantly promotes corporate financial asset allocation, more pronounced in short-term.
The study shows interest rates impact investment and funding negatively but positively on dividend decisions.
problem The effect of interest rates on financial decisions like investment, funding, and dividend.
method Correlation coefficient analysis and descriptive methods.
result Interest rates have a negatively insignificant effect on investment and funding decisions, but positively moderate effect on dividend decisions.
Hierarchical AI multi-agent framework optimizes equity portfolios in China's A-share market.
problem Optimizing equity portfolios in China's A-share market using AI and multi-agent systems.
method A hierarchical multi-agent design integrating macro, firm-level, and reinforcement learning approaches.
result Consistently outperforms benchmarks and state-of-the-art systems on risk-adjusted returns and drawdown control.
Crowdsourced predictions from microservices improve supply chain efficiency.
problem Improving supply chain efficiency through high-quality predictions.
method Trials of a multi-agent system with microservices and economic incentives.
result Empirical lessons suggest potential for a Prediction Web.
Paper uses queue theory to model financial signals with relativistic delay.
problem Relativistic delay in financial trading signals.
method Modified M/M/G queue theory.
result Describes propagation of trading signals with finite velocity.
Firms miscount their customers who stop buying without saying goodbye.
problem Counting non-contractual customers accurately.
method Estimating repeat purchase probabilities and extrapolating to infinite time.
result The count of alive customers is only partially identified, with a wide range of estimates.
Model shows reduced adoption of green tech due to behavioural biases.
problem Undervaluation of green technologies by firms.
method Simple model of heterogeneous agents with different behavioural responses, calibrated with audit data.
result Behavioural factors reduce expected adoption rates significantly from 81% to 20%.
The effect of self-default on the valuation of liabilities and derivatives (DVA) has been widely discussed but the effect on assets has not received similar attention. Any asset whose value depends on the status, or existence, of the firm will have a DVA. We extend (Burgard and Kjaer 2011) to provide a hedging strategy…
Consumers adjust their spending based on firms' social stances, influencing firm profits.
problem How consumer spending responds to firms' social stances.
method Using payment card transactions to predict and measure consumer responses to firms' social stances.
result Consumers' spending increases by 19% and decreases by 12% in response to firms' social stances, with effects lasting up to a year.
We introduce a solvable model of randomly growing systems consisting of many independent subunits. Scaling relations and growth rate distributions in the limit of infinite subunits are analysed theoretically. Various types of scaling properties and distributions reported for growth rates of complex systems in a variety…
A microeconomic model is developed, which accurately predicts the shape of personal income distribution (PID) in the United States and the evolution of the shape over time. The underlying concept is borrowed from geo-mechanics and thus can be considered as mechanics of income distribution. The model allows the resoluti…
Study reveals supply chain correlations in firm growth rates.
problem Understanding correlations in firm growth rates and their supply chain relationships.
method Investigated correlation structure of firm growth rates and used Gaussian Markov Models to reconstruct supply chain networks.
result Supply chain-linked firms exhibit stronger correlation in growth rates than non-linked firms.
Analyzed US firm data 1970-2019, identifying scale effects and distributional forms.
problem Understanding differences between small and large firms over time.
method Examined all public US firms, used stylized facts and DLN distribution analysis.
result Small firms are systematically different from large firms, with scale-dependent heteroskedasticity.
Study reveals opacity in insider sales, leading to inefficiencies in capital allocation.
problem Insider sales opacity due to reporting inversion of Form 144 and Form 4.
method Event study framework, machine learning audit, cross-sectional tests.
result Persistent opacity of insider sales signals, leading to inefficiencies in capital allocation.
Revisits granular models explaining firm growth rates and sizes.
problem Understanding the relationship between firm size and growth rate statistics.
method Developed new theoretical insights linking firm size and growth rate statistics within granular models.
result Growth volatility distribution is size-independent but fat-tailed, challenging granular models.
Financial statements contain quantitative information and manager's subjective evaluation of firm's financial status. Using information released in U.S. 10-K filings. Both qualitative and quantitative appraisals are crucial for quality financial decisions. To extract such opinioned statements from the reports, we built…
We develop a probabilistic consumer choice framework based on information asymmetry between consumers and firms. This framework makes it possible to study market competition of several firms by both quality and price of their products. We find Nash market equilibria and other optimal strategies in various situations ra…
Study examines financial structure's impact on non-financial firms' growth in Kenya.
problem Declining financial performance and growth of non-financial firms listed at Nairobi Securities Exchange.
method Analyzes the effect of financial structure on financial growth.
result Established the impact of financial structure on non-financial firms' growth.
The understanding of complex social or economic systems is an important scientific challenge. Here we present a comprehensive study of the Spanish Stock Exchange showing that most financial firms trading in that market are characterized by a resulting strategy and can be classified in groups of firms with different spe…
An agent-based model for firms' dynamics is developed. The model consists of firm agents with identical characteristic parameters and a bank agent. Dynamics of those agents is described by their balance sheets. Each firm tries to maximize its expected profit with possible risks in market. Infinite growth of a firm dire…
This study assesses how share capital affects financial growth of non-financial firms listed at NSE.
problem Non-financial firms listed at NSE struggle with financial growth due to declining performance and lack of investor interest.
method Descriptive and panel data analysis of 45 non-financial firms over 10 years.
result Share capital positively and significantly influences financial growth, explaining 32.73% and 11.62% of variations in earnings per share and market capitalization growth, respectively.
Machine learning forecasts show bias at long horizons, contrary to standard tests.
problem Forecast efficiency tests misinterpret machine learning performance.
method Theoretical and empirical analysis of regularization and measurement noise.
result Machine learning forecasts exhibit overreaction at longer horizons, not bias.
Article models firm interactions on market with taxation.
problem Analyzing firm interactions on market with taxation.
method Differential equations and Lotka-Volterra model applied to non-competing and competing firms.
result Algorithm for solving competing firms' interaction in taxation.